Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:134 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 1 3 55 4 3 2 1¼ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 27% 2.60 3.70 W
ALONG THE WAY 6 2 22 22 2nk 1 2¼ (johnston ro)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 2.00 38% 1.60 2.30 P
GREAT BARONESS 7 5 12 12 1nk 3 310 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 0.80 S
LOOP THE LOOP 4 1 4 5 5 510½ 412 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 10.00 7% 14.30 40.20  
OH SO JAZZY 5 4 33 3 4 49 513¼ (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 31.10  
ESTA CHUCK 3 6 7 610½ 6 612 616¼ (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 8.00 13.60  
SEEKING THE THRONE 2 7 6 710½ 710 712½ 716½ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00 59.10  
 
PEN-2   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:112 1:244   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT FLASHY 1 1 12 12 16 110 1 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.50 48% 1.10 5.80 W
VITESSE 4 4 48 48 410 310½ 2 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 6% 17.20 2.20 P
JOJOMAR 2 3 32 3 3 411 317¼ (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 18% 4.40 1.30 S
LONGTAIL 3 2 22 22 26 210 418 (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 122 3.00 6% 16.10 2.10  
SCR  BEACH ACCESS               (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  KRACHENWAGEN               (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00    
SCR  RESPECT FOR ALL               (hillegass al)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
 
PEN-3   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC POINT 1 6 44 3   2 11 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 44% 1.30 4.10 W
COMMUNICATION FAIL 7 9 1012½ 9   7 21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 52.20  
POP POP SUSI 8 1 2½ 11   1 3 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 8.00 6% 15.00 8.00 S
KNOCKDOWN KID 4 3 32 21   3 4 (salinas jose)FLORES E 121 20.00 56.40  
BUFF AND SHINE 9 4 89 8   810 56 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 6.50  
BUMBLE MONSTER 6 8 67 6   5 67 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 121 5.00 18% 4.60 7.90  
10  JUMP FREE 10 5 912 108   911 7 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 20.00 8.20  
SCYNTZ 3 10 7 7   6 8 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 122 20.00 ######  
GREAT ASSUMPTIONS 2 7 54 4   4 9 (graci kimbe)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50 8% 12.30 1.40  
MY WALLY 5 2 1½ 5   1014 1029 (martinez j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 9.70  
SCR  ABHAR               (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
SCR  SUMMER ASH               (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
 
PEN-4   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA FAMILIA 4 4 1 1   12 12 (pradenas serg)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 7.50  
MORE RANSOM 7 1 5 57   5 22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 17% 5.00 2.40 P
SONG SAVER 3 5 32 2   22 3 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.80 S
TAK E LADY 1 3 2 32   32 4 (stites will)INIRIO J 120 6.00 12.60  
MELODIA 5 6 6 78   6 5 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 18.30  
JACK'S LILLY 6 2 4 4   45 67 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 24% 3.20 2.80  
DENALI RAE 2 7 79 6   79 710½ (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00 17.10  
 
PEN-5   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIKES SHIRL 1 2 1½ 1   13 1 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 13% 6.50 3.40 W
PAPA TONY 5 6 5 32   33 2 (dimitriou)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 4.40  
BIG BAD BUD 7 3 41 55   4 3 (arce josue)CONNER TYLER 115 12.00 13.70  
MY DEVILS CHILD 2 5 6 87   68 4 (moreno-barban)TUNON JORDANO 120 5.00 16% 5.20 12.40  
CARGO SHIP 9 9 85 65   5 55 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 23% 3.40 1.20  
SCREEN STAR 8 4 31 2   23 6 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 10.00 15.00  
THE GREAT CASBY 3 8 9 7   8 7 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 50.80  
HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN 6 1 2½ 4   7 810¾ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 7% 12.80 12.70  
NICE OF ME 4 7 73 9   911¼ 911¾ (o'callahan carl)FLORES E 122 8.00 15.40  
 
PEN-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALEIGH B 3 7 5 2½   11 1 (russell t)ROSE J 124 4.50 39% 1.60 1.40 W
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 4 3 3 1½   21 2 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 14% 6.10 2.00 P
RUNNIN REDBIRD 2 6 6 5   34 3 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 15.20  
BACKSTREET AFFAIR 6 2 2 6   55 48 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 6.00 15.00  
DARN THAT SONG 5 4 7 4   4 5 (sells rache)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 7% 12.80 19.30  
SHUTUP AND HANG ON 7 5 43 7   7 610½ (houghton th)INIRIO J 121 5.00 7.70  
SPUNKY ZOEY 1 1 1 3½   67 717¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 8% 10.80 4.40  
 
PEN-7   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC SPIN 1 2 1½ 1   16 1 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 6.00 20% 4.10 5.50 W
FATHEROFTHEBRIDES 4 7 5 55   4 2 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00 12.80  
ON THE RIM 3 5 42 3   26 311¾ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 121 6.00 12% 7.00 2.20 S
BIGSHOT ON NOTHING 2 1 2½ 4   57 412¾ (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
10  PAID THE PREACHER 7 4 31 2   36 516¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 2.90  
GOSIGNAL 5 3 66 67   613 620¾ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 12.30  
FREEDOM'S START 6 6 77 710   716 723 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 6.90  
SCR  BORN HAPPY               (albright am)INIRIO J 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  DANCIN IN DUBAI               (brown kelton)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF FENTON               (dunham b)FLORES JR 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-8   12/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONIN WARRIOR 5 7 66 6 42 12 15 (bravo-est)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 1.90  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 1 8 79 7 6 3 25 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00 5% 19.00 21.20 P
VISHNU 6 4 3 32 2 44 36 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 3.70  
BAVARIA 8 3 1½ 1½ 1 22 4 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 12.00 13.60  
PIGGYBANK 3 9 812½ 811¼ 87 58 5 (santaella-cald)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 6.20  
10  AULD LANGE SYNE 9 6 53 4 53 6 616½ (diaz jorge)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00 13.20  
ROLLING PALISADES 4 5 2½ 2½ 32 711½ 721¼ (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 10% 8.70 6.40  
DIAMOND SETTER 7 2 913 912¼ 912 918½ 831 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 124 50.00 7% 13.50 73.40  
BANANAS ON FIRE 2 1 4 5 7 815½ 931¼ (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 22% 3.60 4.20  
SCR  EDICT (ARG)               (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.