Handicappers' Racing Form
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Penn National
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
PEN-1   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Dec14 Dec02 Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
2  SEEKING THE THRONE Dec14 Dec02 Nov02 Oct04 Aug26 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00    
3  ESTA CHUCK Dec14 Nov29 Oct19 Sep02 Aug12 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 8.00 ★    
4  LOOP THE LOOP Dec16 Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 Oct07 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 10.00 7% 14.30    
5  OH SO JAZZY Dec14 Nov29 Nov02 Sep21 Sep14 (nunley randy)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
6  ALONG THE WAY Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 Aug26 (johnston rob)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
7  GREAT BARONESS Dec07 Nov23 Oct21 Sep16 Jul16 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 ★    
 
PEN-2   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT FLASHY Nov30 Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 Aug12 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  BEACH ACCESS Nov15 Oct24 Oct10 Sep21 Aug09 (englehart c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
3  JOJOMAR Nov22 Oct19 Oct04 Sep16 Aug27 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  KRACHENWAGEN Nov29 Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Jul31 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00 ★    
SCR  RESPECT FOR ALL Dec17 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 Aug22 (hillegass alex)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
6  LONGTAIL Dec14 Sep26 Sep14 Sep05 Aug17 (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 122 3.00 6% 16.10    
7  VITESSE Dec14 Oct25 Oct11 Sep16 Aug31 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 6% 17.20    
 
PEN-3   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC POINT Nov11 Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  GREAT ASSUMPTIONS Dec14 Nov16 Nov06 Oct21 Sep30 (graci kimberl)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.50 8% 12.30    
3  SCYNTZ Nov29 Nov02 Oct19 Sep02 Aug17 (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 122 20.00    
4  KNOCKDOWN KID Dec14 Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 Oct04 (salinas jose)FLORES E 121 20.00    
5  MY WALLY Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 Jun23 May19 (martinez jos)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
6  BUMBLE MONSTER Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
7  COMMUNICATION FAIL Dec14 Nov29 Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00    
8  POP POP SUSI Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 8.00 6% 15.00    
9  BUFF AND SHINE Nov18 Nov02 Oct14 Sep07 Aug24 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50    
10  JUMP FREE Dec14 May21 Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 20.00    
SCR  ABHAR Dec14 Jun18 May27 May05 Apr22 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
SCR  SUMMER ASH Dec14 Nov16 Oct14 Aug28 Aug20 (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 121 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAK E LADY Nov22 Oct29 Oct12 Sep24 Aug15 (stites willia)INIRIO J 120 6.00 ★    
2  DENALI RAE Nov22 Oct26 Oct12 Sep23 Sep08 (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00    
3  SONG SAVER Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 Aug12 Jul13 (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  LA FAMILIA Nov23 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 Sep23 (pradenas sergio)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 ★    
5  MELODIA Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 Sep21 Aug05 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
6  JACK'S LILLY Dec09 Nov22 Oct26 Oct07 Aug17 (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  MORE RANSOM Nov30 Oct17 Sep06 Aug10 Jun30 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
PEN-5   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIKES SHIRL Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 Sep15 Aug11 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
2  MY DEVILS CHILD Nov23 Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 (moreno-barban l)TUNON JORDANO 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
3  THE GREAT CASBY Nov30 Nov04 Oct11 Aug31 Aug04 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  NICE OF ME Dec05 Oct31 Oct18 Sep20 Sep05 (o'callahan carl)FLORES E 122 8.00    
5  PAPA TONY Nov30 Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 Aug24 (dimitriou h)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
6  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 7% 12.80    
7  BIG BAD BUD Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct19 Sep21 (arce josue)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
8  SCREEN STAR Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 Jun29 Jun17 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
9  CARGO SHIP Dec21 Sep07 Aug17 Jul06 Jun09 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNKY ZOEY Dec09 Nov22 Nov04 Oct05 Aug18 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 8% 10.80    
2  RUNNIN REDBIRD Dec02 Nov02 Oct12 Sep01 Aug12 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
3  HALEIGH B Dec11 Aug14 Jul20 Feb10   (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.50 39% 1.60    
4  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Nov30 Nov02       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
5  DARN THAT SONG Dec09 Nov22 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 (sells rachel)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 7% 12.80    
6  BACKSTREET AFFAIR Nov26 Oct19 Sep30 Sep05 Jul29 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 6.00    
7  SHUTUP AND HANG ON Nov23 Oct28       (houghton thom)INIRIO J 121 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BORN HAPPY Dec02 Nov13 Oct28 Sep11 Aug13 (albright amy)INIRIO J 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
2  MAGIC SPIN Nov11 Oct16 Sep30 Aug26 Aug13 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  BIGSHOT ON NOTHING Dec19 Nov29 Oct25 Sep30 Apr12 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  ON THE RIM Dec09 Oct26 Aug04 Jun29 Jun10 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 121 6.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  DANCIN IN DUBAI Dec13 Nov17 Jul20 Jun12 May27 (brown kelton)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00    
6  FATHEROFTHEBRIDES Oct25 Sep11 Jul30     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
7  GOSIGNAL Nov15 Mar09 Feb11 Jan04   (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
8  FREEDOM'S START Dec09 Nov02 Oct18 Oct04 Sep09 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF FENTON Dec19 Dec07 Sep30 Aug22 Aug10 (dunham ber)FLORES JR 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
10  PAID THE PREACHER Dec09 Nov15 Oct26 Oct11 Sep27 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
 
PEN-8   12/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Nov04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 (martin r)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  BANANAS ON FIRE Dec06         (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
3  PIGGYBANK Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 (santaella-calder)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00    
4  ROLLING PALISADES Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Aug25 Jul13 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  EDICT (ARG) Dec06 Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Sep29 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
6  RONIN WARRIOR Dec21 Nov28 Oct17 Sep26 Sep14 (bravo-estra)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00    
7  VISHNU Nov18 Nov04 Oct05 Sep22 Aug31 (beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50    
8  DIAMOND SETTER Dec06 Nov23 Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 (bobadilla f)INIRIO J 124 50.00 7% 13.50    
9  BAVARIA Dec09 Nov30 Nov18 Oct25 Oct07 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
10  AULD LANGE SYNE Nov29 Oct28 Oct13 Sep20 Sep10 (diaz jorge)RAMOS C 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.