Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-3   WIN (6/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.38 $3.38 42%
TP-9   WIN (1/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  10 $10.28 $4.28 71%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   03/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISIANIMAL 2 6 1½ 1½   1 1¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 4.69  
UNCAPTURED DREAM 4 5 2½ 2½   2 2¾ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 125 2.00 44% 1.30 0.60 P
SAMURAI ISLAND 7 2 7 65   45 3 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 125 10.00 10.68  
PAST IMPERATIVE 1 7 4 4   34 4 (sandy s)MCKEE J 125 15.00 23.61  
EL MUZN 6 1 52 5   67 512¼ (short w)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 4.39  
SOUTHPOINT 3 4 6 7   78 612½ (davis jos)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 8.00 24% 3.20 13.33  
MORNING MOTIVATION 5 3 3 3   5 713 (nance jonath)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 15.00 28.90  
SCR  FLAGSTONE               (shetron )RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAHEZ               (trujillo elv)MARCANO Y 115 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
TP-2   03/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:143 1:403   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE SIMBA 4 4 42 5 6 6 12 (howard d)MCKEE J 120 10.00 5.75  
GIACOMETTI 8 7 3 3 4 5 22 (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 120 5.00 3.88 P
MYTHOMANIA 1 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 32 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 3.76  
JOHNNY'S MOMENT 3 3 6 6 5 41 4 (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 120 20.00 33.54  
HE'S A GOOD DANCER 6 8 8 8 7 8 5 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 3.00 11% 8.00 2.16  
ROYALLY BITTER 7 6 53 42 31 3½ 63 (sims p)MOJICA O 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.31  
STORMY DANSER 5 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 75 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 4.98  
DARTIGA 2 2 7 7 8 7 8 (waltz brian)FELIX E 115 20.00 31.62  
SCR  NOBLE CONNECTION               (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
 
TP-3   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE HIGHWAY 3 4 4 5   53 1½ (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 4.69 W
J W RUCKUS 4 3 5 4¼   21 2½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 5.00 3.09  
CUT GLASS 6 2 1½ 1nk   11 3¾ (howard d)MCKEE J 120 10.00 4.58  
UNCLE EARL 5 6 3 3.2   31 43 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 4.00 49% 1.00 5.41  
HAPPY CAMPER 2 5 7 7   65 5 (wong jonath)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 4.50 10% 8.50 4.05  
THE BOSS FACTOR 7 1 2½ 2nk   4 6 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 6% 15.90 3.99  
DICHOTOMY 1 7 6 6   76 711¼ (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 115 12.00 15.91  
SCR  EL BOHEMIO               (esquivel)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
SCR  MERLIN'S SONG               (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00    
 
TP-4   03/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:133 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERRYBOAT 8 8 11 1½ 1nk 12 1½ (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00 29.48  
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED 1 1 5 5 5 32 2½ (howard john )MARCANO Y 114 30.00 56.04  
JIMMY DAN 3 2 94 8 7 22 3 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 20.00 10.11  
11  COMMAND CENTRAL 10 9 105 11 11 7 4 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 127 4.00 5% 19.00 5.87  
T J MUNNINGS 4 3 21 2½ 2nk 4 54 (bogle ferg)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.50 5% 19.00 3.14  
10  BLACKSMITH STRONG 9 6 4 43 6 10 6 (gre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 10.00 16.67  
ENGLISH CLASSIC 6 5 31 3 31 5 76 (wong jonathan)MOJICA O 124 8.00 12.85  
13  MISTER MAN 12 10 83 9 8 8 86 (blevins)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 54.92  
12  EYE BLACK 11 12 7 64 4 6 9 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 7.85  
AVIANO 7 11 116 10 106 9 10 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 124 3.00 45% 1.20 4.30  
Z U AT THE RACES 5 4 6 74 9 11 1112½ (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00 54.70  
JUANITA'S EXPRESS 2 7 126 12 1211½ 1212¼ 1216¾ (deegan joseph )LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00 25% 3.00 3.55  
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS               (buckley )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
TP-5   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:113 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER ONE SKY 2 2 9 9 7 21 1 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 2.59  
13  FIRESIDE KITTEN 11 9 6 31 1nk 11 2 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00 29.19  
DE JORIA 5 3 8 8 6 4 3 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 4.50 67% 0.50 2.71 S
12  KLIMT'S MUSE 10 12 1210¾ 10 9 6 4 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 12.10  
COLONEL ABY B 6 10 10 11 10 75 5 (williamson brian)MOJICA O 124 20.00 68.14  
ELLE OF THE BALL 1 1 5 7 8 53 6 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00 8.45  
QUARTERFLASH 3 11 1110¾ 12 1210¾ 10 7 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.59  
BEL ARIA 4 4 7 6 41 3 8 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 10.95  
11  CHICA DE ORO 9 7 3 5 11 11 913¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 117 15.00 18.78  
QUARIA BRAVA 8 6 43 42 52 97 1013½ (lobo h)RAMOS D 124 12.00 33.80  
14  KENDAL GRACE 12 8 2nk 1½ 2nk 86 1114¼ (acevedo israel)MOJICA JR 124 15.00 33.09  
BE UP 7 5 1nk 2½ 3½ 12 1221½ (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 127 4.50 3.79  
SCR  EDGEE ANGEL               (king l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S KEEN               (arnold )DE CRUZ 124 4.00 5% 18.90    
 
TP-6   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:114 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POET OF LIFE (IRE) 5 8 54 6 3½ 11 1¾ (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 2.70  
QUICK MASTER 3 2 32 5 5 21 2¾ (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 10.00 5.59  
KAZAN (IRE) 7 9 10 10 10 8 34 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 20% 4.00 3.49 S
SMOKEY LEE 6 6 9 9 9 74 4 (cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00 48.52  
BUGLE BARRY 1 1 21 2nk 1nk 32 57 (walsh d)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 18% 4.40 12.62  
SACRED RIDER 4 3 43 3½ 6 64 6 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 10% 8.60 5.14  
11  AMENDED 10 7 7 7 7 10 7 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 12.00 29.40  
10  FRANCO'S TEAM 9 5 64 4¾ 4¾ 43 8 (valencia efr)MARCANO Y 110 20.00 55.50  
QUANTUM LEAP 8 4 11 1nk 2nk 5 910¼ (campbell joel)FELIX E 120 10.00 8.66  
SOLIDIFY 2 10 86 8 8 9 1011½ (mor)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 5.00 29% 2.50 5.35  
SCR  SAMI'S TROOPER               (richard)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
 
TP-7   03/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN HEIGHTS 2 5 2nk 11   13 1 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 125 2.00 48% 1.10 1.26 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SAXET HEIGHTS by OUTFLANKER)
MYSTIC PLEASURE 6 9 6 3   23 2 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 3.00 12% 7.50 5.73 P
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DISPOSABLEPLEASURE by GIACOMO)
LITTLE SISTER SUE 5 3 3 5   4 3 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 8.00 6.65 S
  (by KLIMT out of MY LITTLE MUNN by MUNNINGS)
MY LILY MAE 9 1 8 7   7 4 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 118 3.50 14% 6.40 3.24  
  (by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
TEXAS MELODY 1 7 42 65   5 56 (gallagher will)HUGHES CARLY 125 20.00 51.03  
  (by TEXAS RED out of ECHLUATH by TALE OF THE CAT)
CHAMELEON 8 2 1nk 21   33 69 (stidham mich)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 4.50 7.49  
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
MO HAPPY 4 8 5 4   6 710¾ (thompson bo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00 39.33  
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of GENUINE HAPPINESS by UNCLE MO)
POINT WELL TAKEN 7 4 9 88   810¾ 813 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 20.00 5% 17.60 50.25  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
SEA YA 3 6 7 910½   922¾ 938½ (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 12.00 12.51  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of FIGURETA (ARG) by THE LEOPARD)
 
TP-8   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:121 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLISH CHALLENGE 5 6 6 6 5 33 1½ (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 124 12.00 8.40  
MILITARY FORCE 3 5 54 5 3.2 1 2½ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 6.00 9% 10.30 5.38 P
KENTUCKY COOL 6 4 11 2nk 2nk 2 3 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 124 2.00 33% 2.00 2.02 S
ELUSIVE TARGET 1 1 4 43 6 5 4 (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 1.67  
P H FACTOR 4 3 21 1nk 1nk 4 58 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 34% 2.00 3.61  
BRICK TOWN 2 2 32 3 4 66 6 (judd cassand)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00 33.92  
SCR  BULLBRIAR               (guida ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 30.00    
SCR  FULCO               (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 114 30.00    
SCR  HARD RYE GUY               (grubbs )DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
SCR  NORDIC LIGHT               (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 20.00    
 
TP-9   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:213 :451 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FOGO ISLAND 8 2 7 5   1nk 1 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 21% 3.70 4.14 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of OUR SMILE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BLUE TOPAZ 7 9 8 6   3.2 2 (foley greg)RAMOS D 120 20.00 21.74  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CAROLINE COUNTY by TAPIZAR)
ALL THAT 3 11 99 7   7 3 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 21% 3.90 2.31 S
  (by FLATTER out of CASH CONTROL by DRUMNADROCHIT)
13  NEGRA GATA 11 7 53 4   5 4 (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 9.90  
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of CIARA by TIZNOW)
11  HARTFUL HOPE 9 1 3 3.2   6 58 (oliver victoria)MOJICA JR 120 4.50 2.96  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SHE'S STYLISH by POSSE)
WICKED FROST 6 5 2½ 1nk   2nk 6 (greenhill je)HALDAR J 120 20.00 11.85  
  (by FROSTED out of SPOKEN NOT BROKEN by BROKEN VOW)
MORETHANANYONE 4 8 10 8   8 7 (maker mi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 9.53  
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of ISLAND STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
MISS ARLINGTON 1 4 1½ 2nk   4¾ 8 (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 20.00 16.97  
  (by MARK VALESKI out of LUVNOTIONUMBERNINE by NOTIONAL)
KEEN POINT 5 6 65 9   9 913½ (rodriguez ger)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00 25.00  
  (by KEEN ICE out of ASK THE QUESTION by SILVER DEPUTY)
12  DOWHATEVERITTAKES 10 10 1110 1112¾   10 1016¼ (reed r)FELIX E 120 15.00 40.27  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAT ON A TIN ROOF by CATIENUS)
ROLO BOLO 2 3 4 1010¾   1116¾ 1134 (mcpeek kenne)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00 26.08  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  GATHER (ARG)               (arnold )DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ONE TOO MANY by NUMEROUS)
SCR  HURRY UP HANNAH               (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of MALIBU SONG by POWER BROKER)
SCR  MISS LIZZY               (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CARADINI by BERNARDINI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.