Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $13.00 $5.00 63%
    EXA (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-5 $25.20 $9.20 58%
FG-6   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $33.60 $27.60 460%
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-6 $41.80 $29.80 248%
FG-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $6.00 $2.00 50%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-2 $22.30 $14.30 179%
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2/7/3)-(1/5/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-2-3 $30.65 $18.65 155%
    SFT (1/5)-(1/5/2/7/3)-(1/5/2/7/3)-(1/5/2/7/3) 48 $0.10 $4.80  1-2-3-5 $13.12 $8.32 173%
    DD (6/2/8)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-1 $64.00 $58.00 967%
FG-8   WIN (5/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $15.00 $7.00 88%
    DD (1/5)-(5/3/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-3 $31.20 $23.20 290%
    PK3 (6/2/8)-(1/5)-(5/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-1-3 $491.10 $479.10 3993%
FG-9   DD (5/3/6/7)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $22.20 $10.20 85%
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/3/6/7)-(2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-2 $22.35 $10.35 86%
    PK4 (6/2/8)-(1/5)-(5/3/6/7)-(2/1/3) 72 $0.50 $36.00  8-1-3-2/6 $463.75 $427.75 1188%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:143 1:273   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE ALLIANCE 1 2 1½ 11 15 16 1 (cuccia j)ALBERT S 117 5.00 19% 4.20 5.50 W
SNEAKY ALLIE KAT 4 6 610½ 612 610 38 2 (peterso)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50 8% 11.00 2.90 P
OLE STUD MUFFIN 2 1 2½ 33 25 26 38 (ladner herm)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00 11.90  
DEMON HUNTER 3 3 4 4 5 510½ 415 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 37% 1.70 1.50  
R T'S D'ORO 6 5 3 21 37 410 515¼ (sam w)STOKES A 122 8.00 14.00  
FORGED IN STEEL 5 4 5 57 48 612 624 (gelner scott)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 10% 9.00 2.80  
SCR  CHIEF KIMOSABI               (flint steve)MELANCON G 122 4.50    
 
FG-2   03/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYFRIENDSAWINNER 3 3 3 31   1½ 1¾ (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 12.00 9.00  
ZYDECO MUSIC 5 5 4 4   32 2¾ (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 53% 0.90 1.10 P
OURPERFECTPRINCESS 7 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 3 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 120 4.00 11% 8.10 4.90 S
GALAXY THIRTYSIX 4 7 6 6   66 4 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.00 2.70  
NEW YEAR'S PARTY 1 4 5 56   5 52 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 13.50  
SHADES OF TRUTH 2 2 2nk 1nk   4 611½ (delany sa)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 7% 13.10 12.60  
COMMERCIAL FLASH 6 6 710¼ 713½   718 735½ (hodges e)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 16.10  
 
FG-3   03/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Red Camelia Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:16 1:292   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT POLK 5 7 5 5 3 2½ 1½ (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00 4.80  
  (by BEHINDATTHEBAR out of MILITARY MISS by MILITARY)
A G'S CHARLOTTE 2 5 6 64 5 32 2½ (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 1.90 P
  (by MO TOM out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
WHOLELOTTAMO 4 6 7 7 7 55 31 (gelner ja)HERNANDEZ J 117 15.00 26.30 S
  (by MO TOM out of JET'S TRADITION by A. P JET)
CHEAPSKATE DIVA 6 3 1 11 1 1½ 4 (felks r)GRAHAM J 117 8.00 2.90  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of BEAUTIFUL LIAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BLESSED ANNA 7 2 3 21 2 43 5 (faucheux ron)COHEN DAVID 117 10.00 18.30  
  (by FAST ANNA out of PLEASANTLY BLESSED by PLEASANT TAP)
FREE LIKE A GIRL 3 4 4 42 4 6 613 (pomier chasey )COTTO L 117 2.50 61% 0.60 2.70  
  (by EL DEAL out of FLASHY PRIZE by FLASHY BULL)
EVE'S DELIGHT 1 1 2 3 6 710 720 (goins ga)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 6.00 9.70  
  (by APRIORITY out of PRADO STRUTTER by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  WINNING ROMANCE               (calhoun william )PARKER L 117 3.50 15% 5.60    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of LIPSTICK JUNKY by FLATTER)
SCR  WORLD WAR               (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of SPARKLING DIAMOND by FINEST HOUR)
 
FG-4   03/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEY HARBOR 3 5 31 3½ 11 12 1hd (camejo jos)URDANETA J 121 4.00 2.80  
TAPAGE 5 7 5 7 4 34 2hd (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.90 3.60 P
OTTOTHELEGEND 1 1 2nk 2nk 34 4 3 (richard chris)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 2.30 S
SUPER WISE 2 2 1nk 1nk 21 22 4 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.50 20% 4.00 8.20  
PAYNT BATTLE 4 3 4 42 56 5 5 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 121 8.00 20.90  
VIM AND VIGOR 7 4 6 6 710 713½ 637¼ (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 9.90  
CLASSIC KING 6 6 7 53 66 611½ 746 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
 
FG-5   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY FOR CHANGE 2 2 3 3   22 1 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 2.50 4.30  
BELEOUT 1 5 21 1½   12 2 (dandridge courtney)GRAHAM J 119 1.60 48% 1.10 0.30 P
MISTY DAY 5 3 11 2½   3 3 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 21% 3.80 11.30 S
ROOKERY 4 1 5 45   4 413¾ (catalano wa)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 12.00 19.00  
DONYA KNOW IT 3 4 4 57   510 516¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 6.20  
SCR  SHELLEY'S MONEY               (duhon o)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
 
FG-6   03/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Edward Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:254 :52 1:174 1:301   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CHOPPER 8 4 43 42 32 1nk 1hd (gelner scott)LANERIE J 117 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80 W
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MISS WELL MOLDED by UNUSUAL HEAT)
WHO TOOK THE MONEY 6 7 7 7 7 6 2hd (calhoun william )PARKER L 123 0.80 70% 0.40 0.50 P
  (by STREET BOSS out of SPEIGHTS' COLONY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BUDRO TALKING 3 6 6 6 5 2nk 3nk (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00 14.20  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMERICAN PLACED by QUIET AMERICAN)
SMARTY ALEX 1 5 54 5 6 43 4 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 10.00 12.10  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of BARBIES M by AFLEET ALEX)
WICKED ROSE 5 8 812½ 812¾ 8 8 53 (johnson b)GRAHAM J 117 20.00 11.70  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PALOMA ROSE by CITY ZIP)
MAGA MAN 7 1 21 3 42 5 6 (miller norman )GREEN AUBRIE 117 20.00 51.40  
  (by MUSKET MAN out of LEW'S GRAY by PULLING PUNCHES)
MANGELSEN 2 2 11 1 11 31 7 (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 5.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
  (by BIG BAND SOUND out of TEERIFIC TEE by LIL E. TEE)
HIGHLAND CREEK 4 3 32 2 21 7 813¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 5.00 6.70  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of MIZZENWAY by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  BLUE CHEESE               (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 117 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LEMONDROPKISSES by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  CHANGI               (dolan jeann)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 30.00    
  (by GIANT OAK out of OUR MISS BROOKSIDE by THE CLIFF'S EDGE)
 
FG-7   03/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BO CRUZ 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1 112¼ (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 2.50 57% 0.80 2.00 W
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of QUICK BREEZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
DUAL MONARCHY 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2 212¼ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 12.10 P
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SURFER'S PARADISE by CONGRATS)
RULE BREAKER 3 6 4 3 32 310½ 321 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 1.70 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARTEMIS AGROTERA by ROMAN RULER)
PRESIDER 5 4 5 5 45 411½ 423¼ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 120 3.50 16% 5.30 2.10  
  (by CONNECT out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
GATLINBURG 6 5 6 6 5 511½ 525 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 9.70  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MY SUGAR BEAR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SILVER BULL 4 3 3 43 6 618½ 626½ (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 31.70  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of BUNEYA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  MIDNIGHT PRANKS               (calhoun william )PARKER L 120 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MIDNIGHT GIRL by DROSSELMEYER)
 
FG-8   03/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Black Gold Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:244 :514 1:173 1:43   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) 3 1 21 23 2 2 1¼ (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 19% 4.30 6.50 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of I'M WONDERFUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MYREDWHITEANDBLUE 8 6 8 88 812¼ 6 2¼ (roussel j)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 14.40  
  (by VIOLENCE out of PARTISAN POLITICS by MORE THAN READY)
RECKONING FORCE 1 2 11 13 1 1 3¾ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 5.70 S
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of ALASEMA by JAZIL)
ANDTHEWINNERIS 5 7 55 5 4 34 4 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 2.50 38% 1.60 0.90  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of RUN LIKE THE BOSS by SCAT DADDY)
MAZING MARK 4 8 77 7 7 4 5 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 118 8.00 23.20  
  (by MO TOWN out of MOON MEETING TOO by MALIBU MOON)
LORD DONEGAL 6 5 6 66 5 56 6 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 6.00 12% 7.00 10.70  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of CLEVER RUN by SMART STRIKE)
WINTERS LION 7 4 44 4 6 7 7 (sharp joe)PARKER L 118 4.50 7% 13.40 5.70  
  (by ACCELERATE out of THIS GIRL ROCKS by TACTICAL CAT)
TAPIO (IRE) 2 3 3 3 3 8 812 (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 15.20  
  (by BLAME out of QUEENS PLAZA by FORESTRY)
SCR  DESERT DUKE               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DESERT DUCHESS by HARD SPUN)
 
FG-9   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET VISTA 2 2 33 11   12 14 (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 39% 1.60 1.10 W
BIG BELLA BROWN 1 3 13 21   22 24 (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 32% 2.10 1.80 P
IZZY'S BABY BOY 7 1 23 36   38 3 (gelner scott)PARKER L 121 6.00 6.20  
STEAL IT BACK 4 4 6 611   612 49 (west g)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 6.50  
MR. PRIORITY 5 5 5 5   510½ 511 (husak ga)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 23.40  
RIFLE MAN 6 7 710 711½   713 611 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 15.00 50.20  
AFLEET ASCENT 3 6 45 48   410 711¾ (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 6% 14.40 13.90  
SCR  LT. BONURA               (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.