The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 04, 2023
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AQU-1   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
:232 :464 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIAM'S CHAMP 2 1 1½ 1½   11 11½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 60% 0.70 1.15 W
6  GIFTED 5 3 32 33   33 21½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 ★ 2.05 P
5  PITCH CLOCK 4 4 2½ 2½   21 32 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 16% 5.40 3.75 S
4  TRYINMYHEARTOUT 3 5 58 58½   45 44¾ (camejo m)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 7.30  
1  ACCEL ROSE 1 2 43 47½   511½ 513½ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★ 11.30  
SCR  NOBLEANDGREENOUGH               (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
:23 :462 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY WAY 1 1 41 31½   11 12¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 21% 3.80 2.60 W
6  TREATY OBLIGATION 6 6 2½ 2nk   21 22¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 51% 1.00 0.80 P
5  LIGHT THE WAY 5 3 1½ 1nk   31 33¾ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 28.00  
4  GOOD RAPPORT 4 5 52 52¼   44½ 49 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 15.00 ★ 9.60  
3  WHENLOVETAKESOVER 3 2 63 68¼   512 516 (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★ 7.70  
2  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES 2 4 77 79¾   714¼ 618½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 6% 16.60 10.70  
7  GOTTA CONNECT 7 7 31 42   614 724¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 21.90  
 
AQU-3   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm  ($62.5K Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:52
:231 :461 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MARKET ALERT 3 3 11 11½ 12½ 13½ 14¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 13% 7.00 3.85 W
2  UNCLE MOONLIGHT 1 1 54 53 42¾ 23½ 24¼ (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 ★ 2.50 P
6  KINETIC SKY 4 5 31 31½ 32½ 46½ 39¼ (rice adam)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 45% 1.20 2.35 S
7  FAMISHED 5 4 21 21½ 22½ 36 410¾ (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 7% 14.10 10.70  
4  MILTON THE MONSTER 2 2 42 42½ 54¾ 57½ 511¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 13% 7.00 2.10  
SCR  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN               (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIER               (russell britta)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
 
AQU-4   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Busher Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:20
:233 :474 1:13 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHIDABHUTI 5 6 31 41¼ 32½ 22 12 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 11% 8.50 5.30 W
6  ASSET PURCHASE 6 5 1nk 2nk 11 12 22 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 22% 3.60 0.95 P
2  CAPELLA 2 4 41¼ 31 43 45 33¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 25% 3.00 3.35 S
3  ZIAERATI 3 1 2nk 1nk 21 34½ 48 (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.80 22% 3.50 3.40  
4  LA VITA SOFIA 4 2 51¼ 51¾ 65 58 510 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 32.50  
1  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 1 3 62¾ 62¼ 55 68 611¾ (abreu r)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 ★ 19.80  
 
AQU-5   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming  ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
:234 :463 1:112 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ADVANCED STRATEGY 7 4 42½ 45 25½ 2½ 13¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 17% 4.90 2.05 W
4  OPTIC WAY 4 1 1½ 12½ 15½ 1½ 23¾ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 3.50 27% 2.70 2.25 P
1  CAERUS 1 3 64¾ 68 510½ 56½ 34¾ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 8.30  
3  MY FRIENDS BEER 3 5 2½ 32½ 47 46½ 47¾ (penalo)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00 11% 7.90 12.10  
6  MOUNT TRAVERS 6 2 3½ 22½ 36 34½ 59¼ (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 9% 10.10 21.00  
9  JALEN JOURNEY 8 6 54½ 57 612 68½ 610¾ (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 6.10  
5  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 5 8 88¾ 812 714 711 710¾ (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 4.70  
2  IT'S MANDATORY 2 7 75¼ 78½ 814 811¼ 815½ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00 53.75  
SCR  PICASSO               (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-6   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
:224 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SIGNAL CORPS 8 6 51½ 52¾   1nk 13¼ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.30 W
7  RUNANDSCORE 7 5 86¼ 712¼   75½ 23¼ (wohlers laura)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 9.40  
2  DISARMED 2 1 1½ 1½   2nk 33½ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 12.00 ★ 20.40 S
3  RUSSI 3 3 2½ 32½   42 48 (bond h)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 20.90  
1  MAKAR 1 4 41 2½   31½ 59½ (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
6  FORTY ONE TALES 6 8 64 64¾   52½ 611 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 21.20  
9  WOODSIDE WARRIOR 9 7 74¼ 812¼   89½ 713 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★ 3.65  
5  POP COYER 5 2 3½ 42½   64 814¼ (duggan dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 33% 2.10 3.45  
4  CENTRAL STATION 4 9 912¼ 917¾   913 916¾ (jerkens)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00 91.00  
 
AQU-7   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
:222 :453 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ROYAL TRYST 5 6 66½ 69½   67 1nk (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 5.10  
2B  HANDSOME CAT 4 4 43 43½   22 2nk (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 6% 14.50 6.70 P
4  JAKE ROCKS 3 5 53½ 56½   56 3¾ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 ★ 3.55 S
3  IKIGAI 1 1 11½ 11   12 41 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 123 10.00 8.50  
7  ROTKNEE 6 3 21½ 21   32 52¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 8% 11.60 0.80  
9  PRESSURE 7 2 32 33   45½ 65½ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 20.00 38.75  
1  WINTER SON 2 7 77½ 710   716 725½ (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 5.10  
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY               (jacobson david)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00    
SCR  LIFE CHANGER               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (johnson cl)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
SCR  SURPRISE BOSS               (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
SCR  TRASH TALKER               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Tom Fool Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
:22 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LITTLE VIC 7 4 33 31   11½ 11½ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 121 6.00 6.50  
3  RUNNINSONOFAGUN 3 3 43½ 43   31½ 21½ (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 32% 2.10 2.25 P
6  NAKATOMI 6 6 66 76   42½ 31¾ (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 ★ 2.25 S
1  EASTERN BAY 1 5 76½ 55   52¾ 42 (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 42% 1.40 5.60  
5  PIRATE RICK 5 2 21½ 21   21½ 54 (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 ★ 8.90  
4  DRAFTED 4 7 810½ 88½   84¾ 65½ (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 ★ 9.50  
8  WENDELL FONG 8 8 54½ 65½   74¾ 75½ (lynch natal)VARGAS A 117 20.00 37.00  
2  CHATEAU 2 1 11½ 11   63¾ 819¾ (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 12.60  
 
AQU-9   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Gotham Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:56
:223 :453 1:25     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  RAISE CAIN 11 5 114½ 95½ 74¾ 11 17½ (colebrook ben)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 23.50  
11  SLIP MAHONEY 10 13 1311½ 1311 127¾ 85¼ 27½ (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 24% 3.20 6.20 P
6  GENERAL BANKER 6 12 125½ 127½ 85¾ 43 39 (ferraro w)PENNINGTON F 118 30.00 30.00  
13  EYEING CLOVER 12 4 3½ 31½ 2nk 21 49 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 31% 2.30 3.15  
1  CLEAR THE AIR 1 7 72¾ 116 106¾ 105½ 510¾ (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 44.00  
3  MR. SWAGGER 3 10 104 63 43 64½ 611½ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 10.00 31.50  
10  LUGAN KNIGHT 9 3 62¼ 52½ 54 54 715¼ (mccarthy michael )DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6.30  
5  CARMEL ROAD 5 8 2nk 1½ 1nk 33 818½ (yakteen tim)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
15  RADIO RED 14 6 41½ 42 64½ 95¼ 918½ (gargan dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 83.00  
7  TRANSECT 7 11 83¾ 73½ 96¼ 117½ 1018¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 8.20  
14  RECRUITER 13 1 1nk 2½ 31½ 74¾ 1124¼ (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 15% 5.80 7.60  
4  UNCORRELATED 4 9 93¾ 84 117¾ 129 1231¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 12.20  
9  CLUBHOUSE 8 2 52 106 1315¾ 1314 1331½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 44.25  
2  HOWGREATISNATE 2 14 14100 14100 14100 14100 14100 (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
SCR  FORT WARREN               (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00    
 
AQU-10   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance  ( Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
:222 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BRACIOLE 4 9 99¼ 77¾   52½ 11 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 9.00  
6  VICTORIOUS WAVE 5 7 63¾ 52¾   42 21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 3.55  
12  MIDNIGHT WORKER 9 3 32 31   2½ 31¼ (chichakly amir)TORRES A 116 12.00 ★ 12.50 S
11  MOTION TO STRIKE 8 5 12 11   1½ 41½ (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 8% 11.10 7.10  
3  CALLALOO 2 6 87¾ 910¾   96 52½ (donk david)VARGAS A 123 4.50 24% 3.20 5.30  
8  KING JAMES 7 2 42¼ 21   31½ 63 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 6.00  
7  CHARLIE FIVE O 6 1 22 42½   63 73 (jones )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 24.75  
4  BOURBON READY 3 8 75¾ 88¼   86 84¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 27% 2.60 3.15  
2  PINE VALLEY 1 4 53¾ 66¼   75 94½ (mosco robert)PENNINGTON F 123 8.00 9.20  
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  MACH ONE               (persaud eddie)HARKIE K 123 12.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  PER DIEM               (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.