Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.30 $4.30 0.30
AQU-2   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
AQU-3   Win (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.70 $9.70 1.70
AQU-4   Win (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 4.60
AQU-5   Win (4/8/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.10 $6.10  
AQU-6   Win (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
AQU-7   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $12.20  
AQU-8   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $15.00  
AQU-9   Win (13/11/14/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $49.00  
AQU-10   Win (4/3/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $20.00  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM'S CHAMP 2 1 1½ 1½   11 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 60% 0.70 1.15 W
GIFTED 5 3 32 33   33 2 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 2.05 P
PITCH CLOCK 4 4 2½ 2½   21 32 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 16% 5.40 3.75 S
TRYINMYHEARTOUT 3 5 58 5   45 4 (camejo m)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 7.30  
ACCEL ROSE 1 2 43 4   511½ 513½ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 11.30  
SCR  NOBLEANDGREENOUGH               (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
 
AQU-2   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY WAY 1 1 41 3   11 1 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 21% 3.80 2.60 W
TREATY OBLIGATION 6 6 2½ 2nk   21 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 51% 1.00 0.80 P
LIGHT THE WAY 5 3 1½ 1nk   31 3 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 28.00  
GOOD RAPPORT 4 5 52 5   4 49 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 15.00 9.60  
WHENLOVETAKESOVER 3 2 63 6   512 516 (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 7.70  
BILLY'S GOT ISSUES 2 4 77 7   714¼ 618½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 6% 16.60 10.70  
GOTTA CONNECT 7 7 31 42   614 724¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 21.90  
 
AQU-3   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET ALERT 3 3 11 1 1 1 1 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 13% 7.00 3.85 W
UNCLE MOONLIGHT 1 1 54 53 4 2 2 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 2.50 P
KINETIC SKY 4 5 31 3 3 4 3 (rice adam)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 45% 1.20 2.35 S
FAMISHED 5 4 21 2 2 36 410¾ (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 7% 14.10 10.70  
MILTON THE MONSTER 2 2 42 4 5 5 511¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 13% 7.00 2.10  
SCR  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN               (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIER               (russell britta)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
 
AQU-4   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Busher Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:13 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIDABHUTI 5 6 31 4 3 22 12 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 11% 8.50 5.30 W
ASSET PURCHASE 6 5 1nk 2nk 11 12 22 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 22% 3.60 0.95 P
CAPELLA 2 4 4 31 43 45 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 25% 3.00 3.35 S
ZIAERATI 3 1 2nk 1nk 21 3 48 (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.80 22% 3.50 3.40  
LA VITA SOFIA 4 2 5 5 65 58 510 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 32.50  
CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 1 3 6 6 55 68 611¾ (abreu r)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 19.80  
 
AQU-5   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:112 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADVANCED STRATEGY 7 4 4 45 2 2½ 1 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 17% 4.90 2.05 W
OPTIC WAY 4 1 1½ 1 1 1½ 2 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 3.50 27% 2.70 2.25 P
CAERUS 1 3 6 68 510½ 5 3 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 8.30  
MY FRIENDS BEER 3 5 2½ 3 47 4 4 (penalo)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00 11% 7.90 12.10  
MOUNT TRAVERS 6 2 3½ 2 36 3 5 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 9% 10.10 21.00  
JALEN JOURNEY 8 6 5 57 612 6 610¾ (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 6.10  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 5 8 8 812 714 711 710¾ (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 4.70  
IT'S MANDATORY 2 7 7 7 814 811¼ 815½ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00 53.75  
SCR  PICASSO               (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-6   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGNAL CORPS 8 6 5 5   1nk 1 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.30 W
RUNANDSCORE 7 5 8 712¼   7 2 (wohlers laura)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 9.40  
DISARMED 2 1 1½ 1½   2nk 3 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 12.00 20.40 S
RUSSI 3 3 2½ 3   42 48 (bond h)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 20.90  
MAKAR 1 4 41 2½   3 5 (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
FORTY ONE TALES 6 8 64 6   5 611 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 21.20  
WOODSIDE WARRIOR 9 7 7 812¼   8 713 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 3.65  
POP COYER 5 2 3½ 4   64 814¼ (duggan dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 33% 2.10 3.45  
CENTRAL STATION 4 9 912¼ 917¾   913 916¾ (jerkens)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00 91.00  
 
AQU-7   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ROYAL TRYST 5 6 6 6   67 1nk (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 5.10  
2B  HANDSOME CAT 4 4 43 4   22 2nk (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 6% 14.50 6.70 P
JAKE ROCKS 3 5 5 5   56 3¾ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 3.55 S
IKIGAI 1 1 1 11   12 41 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 123 10.00 8.50  
ROTKNEE 6 3 2 21   32 5 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 8% 11.60 0.80  
PRESSURE 7 2 32 33   4 6 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 20.00 38.75  
WINTER SON 2 7 7 710   716 725½ (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 5.10  
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY               (jacobson david)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00    
SCR  LIFE CHANGER               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (johnson cl)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
SCR  SURPRISE BOSS               (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
SCR  TRASH TALKER               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
 
AQU-8   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Tom Fool Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE VIC 7 4 33 31   1 1 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 121 6.00 6.50  
RUNNINSONOFAGUN 3 3 4 43   3 2 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 32% 2.10 2.25 P
NAKATOMI 6 6 66 76   4 3 (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 2.25 S
EASTERN BAY 1 5 7 55   5 42 (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 42% 1.40 5.60  
PIRATE RICK 5 2 2 21   2 54 (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 8.90  
DRAFTED 4 7 810½ 8   8 6 (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 9.50  
WENDELL FONG 8 8 5 6   7 7 (lynch natal)VARGAS A 117 20.00 37.00  
CHATEAU 2 1 1 11   6 819¾ (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 12.60  
 
AQU-9   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Gotham Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:25     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  RAISE CAIN 11 5 11 9 7 11 1 (colebrook ben)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 23.50  
11  SLIP MAHONEY 10 13 1311½ 1311 12 8 2 (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 24% 3.20 6.20 P
GENERAL BANKER 6 12 12 12 8 43 39 (ferraro w)PENNINGTON F 118 30.00 30.00  
13  EYEING CLOVER 12 4 3½ 3 2nk 21 49 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 31% 2.30 3.15  
CLEAR THE AIR 1 7 7 116 10 10 510¾ (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 44.00  
MR. SWAGGER 3 10 104 63 43 6 611½ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 10.00 31.50  
10  LUGAN KNIGHT 9 3 6 5 54 54 715¼ (mccarthy michael )DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6.30  
CARMEL ROAD 5 8 2nk 1½ 1nk 33 818½ (yakteen tim)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
15  RADIO RED 14 6 4 42 6 9 918½ (gargan dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 83.00  
TRANSECT 7 11 8 7 9 11 1018¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 8.20  
14  RECRUITER 13 1 1nk 2½ 3 7 1124¼ (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 15% 5.80 7.60  
UNCORRELATED 4 9 9 84 11 129 1231¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 12.20  
CLUBHOUSE 8 2 52 106 1315¾ 1314 1331½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 44.25  
HOWGREATISNATE 2 14 14100 14100 14100 14100 14100 (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
SCR  FORT WARREN               (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00    
 
AQU-10   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRACIOLE 4 9 9 7   5 11 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 9.00  
VICTORIOUS WAVE 5 7 6 5   42 21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 3.55  
12  MIDNIGHT WORKER 9 3 32 31   2½ 3 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 116 12.00 12.50 S
11  MOTION TO STRIKE 8 5 12 11   1½ 4 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 8% 11.10 7.10  
CALLALOO 2 6 8 910¾   96 5 (donk david)VARGAS A 123 4.50 24% 3.20 5.30  
KING JAMES (IRE) 7 2 4 21   3 63 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 6.00  
CHARLIE FIVE O 6 1 22 4   63 73 (jones )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 24.75  
BOURBON READY 3 8 7 8   86 8 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 27% 2.60 3.15  
PINE VALLEY 1 4 5 6   75 9 (mosco robert)PENNINGTON F 123 8.00 9.20  
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  MACH ONE               (persaud eddie)HARKIE K 123 12.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  PER DIEM               (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.