Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-2   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-8   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-9   Win (13/11/14/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-10   Win (4/3/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCEL ROSE         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  NOBLEANDGREENOUGH         (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 10.00 ★    
3  LIAM'S CHAMP Jan29 Dec15       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 60% 0.70    
4  TRYINMYHEARTOUT Feb05 Jan07       (camejo m)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
5  PITCH CLOCK         (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
6  GIFTED Feb05 Nov25 Aug07     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY WAY         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 6% 16.60    
3  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Feb11 Jan06       (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★    
4  GOOD RAPPORT Jan21 Dec17 Nov18 Sep25 Jul30 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 15.00 ★    
5  LIGHT THE WAY Jan21         (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
6  TREATY OBLIGATION Jan28         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 51% 1.00    
7  GOTTA CONNECT Jan28         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
 
AQU-3   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Feb18 Feb10 Dec03 Nov05 Sep17 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 20.00    
2  UNCLE MOONLIGHT Feb05 Jan06 Jun11 Apr22   (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  CLASSIER Jan02 Jan14       (russell britta)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
4  MILTON THE MONSTER Jan28 Jan01 Dec03 Oct24 Sep24 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 13% 7.00    
5  MARKET ALERT Feb20 Jan08 Dec17 Dec09 Nov06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 13% 7.00    
6  KINETIC SKY Feb02 Jan01 Nov06 Oct14 Sep24 (rice adam)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  FAMISHED Feb05 Jan15 Dec15 Nov04 Oct01 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 7% 14.10    
 
AQU-4   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Busher Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT Feb05 Dec04 Jul31     (abreu r)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 ★    
2  CAPELLA Feb03 Dec29       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  ZIAERATI Jan15         (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.80 22% 3.50    
4  LA VITA SOFIA Jan22 Dec03 Nov06 Oct01 Aug28 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
5  SHIDABHUTI Jan22 Sep17       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 11% 8.50    
6  ASSET PURCHASE Jan29         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-5   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAERUS Feb12 Feb05 Jan19 Jan01 Nov25 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
2  IT'S MANDATORY Feb25 Feb09 Jan15 Jan07 Dec18 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00    
3  MY FRIENDS BEER Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 Dec29 Nov30 (penalo)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00 11% 7.90    
4  OPTIC WAY Jan21 Nov17 Oct21 Sep30 Sep17 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Feb11 Jan21 Jan07 Dec08 Nov18 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
6  MOUNT TRAVERS Feb25 Jan29 Jan19 Dec04 Nov12 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  PICASSO Jan22 Dec29 Jun24 May20 Apr20 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
8  ADVANCED STRATEGY Jan06 Nov17 Oct27 Sep24 Jul09 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
9  JALEN JOURNEY Feb24 Feb13 Feb04 Jan16 Jan01 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 4.50    
 
AQU-6   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKAR Nov17 Oct21 Aug10 Jul08   (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DISARMED Feb09 Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 Oct21 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 12.00 ★    
3  RUSSI Jan07         (bond h)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00    
4  CENTRAL STATION         (jerkens)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00    
5  POP COYER Feb09 Aug11       (duggan dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
6  FORTY ONE TALES         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
7  RUNANDSCORE Feb17         (wohlers laura)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
8  SIGNAL CORPS         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
9  WOODSIDE WARRIOR         (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-7   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER SON Jul14 Jun17 May21 May12 Apr10 (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
1A  ROYAL TRYST Feb25 Feb11 Jan14 Jan05 Dec18 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00    
2B  HANDSOME CAT Feb18 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Nov08 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Feb18 Feb11 Dec30 Dec16 Nov27 (jacobson david)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00    
3  IKIGAI Feb11 Jan14 Dec01 Oct16 Sep17 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 123 10.00    
4  JAKE ROCKS Feb05 Jan14 Dec11 Oct23 Oct02 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  TRASH TALKER Apr07 Mar05 Feb20 Jan08   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 ★    
SCR  LIFE CHANGER Jan27 Nov26 Nov05 Oct08 Aug27 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
7  ROTKNEE Jun29 May30 Apr02 Mar13 Feb11 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  SURPRISE BOSS Oct23 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Jun04 (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
9  PRESSURE Jun21 May03 Apr08 Mar25 Feb11 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 20.00    
SCR  QUICKFLASH Feb05 Jan12 Dec07 Sep22 Aug26 (johnson cl)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Tom Fool Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTERN BAY Feb18 Oct29 Oct08 Sep28 Aug26 (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
2  CHATEAU Feb10 Dec30 Jun17 May14 Mar05 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
3  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Nov26 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 Jul31 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  DRAFTED Jan28 Dec30 Oct29 Oct08 Aug27 (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 ★    
5  PIRATE RICK Feb18 Jan28 Jan22 Dec30 Dec14 (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 ★    
6  NAKATOMI Dec26 Nov05 Sep24 Jun26   (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 ★    
7  LITTLE VIC Jan28 Dec30 Nov26 Oct20 Sep24 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 121 6.00    
8  WENDELL FONG Jan29 Jan04 Nov21 Oct24 Sep10 (lynch natal)VARGAS A 117 20.00    
 
AQU-9   03/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Gotham Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEAR THE AIR Feb11 Jan06 Aug28     (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00    
2  HOWGREATISNATE Dec05 Nov05 Sep29 Aug31   (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MR. SWAGGER Jan28         (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 10.00    
4  UNCORRELATED Jan06         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
5  CARMEL ROAD Dec17 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06   (yakteen tim)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  GENERAL BANKER Feb11 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Oct16 (ferraro w)PENNINGTON F 118 30.00    
7  TRANSECT Feb10 Jan20       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
SCR  FORT WARREN Jan29 Oct30       (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00    
9  CLUBHOUSE Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 Nov19 Oct16 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
10  LUGAN KNIGHT Jan07 Nov26 Oct21 Sep21   (mccarthy michael )DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
11  SLIP MAHONEY Jan21 Dec17 Nov19     (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
12  RAISE CAIN Jan21 Dec26 Oct29 Oct09 Sep17 (colebrook ben)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
13  EYEING CLOVER Jan28 Dec31       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
14  RECRUITER Jan03 Nov12 Oct02 Aug27   (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 15% 5.80    
15  RADIO RED Feb09 Jan07 Sep05     (gargan dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00    
 
AQU-10   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Feb02 Aug03 Jun22 May07 Apr13 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
2  PINE VALLEY Dec05 Oct08 Sep15 Aug07 Jul15 (mosco robert)PENNINGTON F 123 8.00    
3  CALLALOO Feb18 Jan19 Jan12 Dec15 Nov13 (donk david)VARGAS A 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  BOURBON READY Feb12 Jan08 Apr23 Mar26 Feb12 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 27% 2.60    
5  BRACIOLE Feb05 Jan13 Dec31 Aug03 Jun16 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
6  VICTORIOUS WAVE Jan07 Nov27 Oct27 Sep23 Aug19 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
7  CHARLIE FIVE O Feb26         (jones )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
8  KING JAMES (IRE) Feb11 Jan12 Dec01 Nov04 Jan08 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00    
SCR  PER DIEM Feb24 Feb05 Jan25 Jan07 Dec30 (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
SCR  MACH ONE Jan26 Dec29 Sep16 Aug21 Aug14 (persaud eddie)HARKIE K 123 12.00 14% 5.90    
11  MOTION TO STRIKE Jan05 Dec10 Nov20 Oct23 Jul03 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 8% 11.10    
12  MIDNIGHT WORKER Feb18 Jan13 Jan05 Dec15 Dec09 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 116 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.