Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $4.90 $0.90 23%
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-3 $16.70 $8.70 109%
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4/1/3)-(2/5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-3-4 $21.87 $9.87 82%
    SFT (2/5)-(2/5/4/1/3)-(2/5/4/1/3)-(2/5/4/1/3) 48 $0.10 $4.80  2-3-4-5 $8.20 $3.40 71%
AQU-2   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    DD (2/5)-(2/6/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-6 $18.70 $10.70 134%
AQU-3   WIN (5/4/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $12.00 $2.00 20%
    TRI (5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-3-5 $65.00 $35.00 117%
    SFT (5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-3-5-4 $25.35 $13.35 111%
    DD (2/6/4/1)-(5/4/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-6 $34.50 $14.50 73%
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/6/4/1)-(5/4/3/1/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00  2-6-6 $116.50 $76.50 191%
AQU-4   TRI (3/2/7/5/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(3/2/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-7-6 $65.50 $35.50 118%
    SFT (3/2/7/5/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(3/2/7/5/6) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-7-6-2 $45.70 $33.70 281%
    DD (5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00  6-3 $25.50 $0.50 2%
AQU-5   WIN (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $14.20 $6.20 78%
    EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-7 $26.25 $10.25 64%
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/1/5/4)-(6/7/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-7-6 $31.37 $7.37 31%
    DD (3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-5 $32.00 $12.00 60%
    PK3 (5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/5/4) 100 $1.00 $100  6-3-5 $310.00 $210.00 210%
    PK4 (2/6/4/1)-(5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/5/4) 400 $0.50 $200  6-6-3-5 $578.00 $378.00 189%
    PK5 (2/5)-(2/6/4/1)-(5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/5/4) 800 $0.50 $400  2-6-6-3-5 $2865 $2465 616%
AQU-6   DD (6/7/5/4)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-4 $16.80 $4.80 40%
    PK3 (3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/5/4)-(2/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  3-5-4 $85.25 $25.25 42%
AQU-7   WIN (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $14.20 $6.20 78%
    EXA (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-4 $40.25 $24.25 152%
    DD (2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $13.20 $1.20 10%
    PK3 (6/7/5/4)-(2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-4-5 $151.00 $103.00 215%
AQU-8   WIN (7/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    EXA (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-5 $165.75 $149.75 936%
    TRI (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5/4)-(7/3/2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-5-3 $324.00 $300.00 1250%
    SFT (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5/4)-(7/3/2/5/4)-(7/3/2/5/4) 96 $0.10 $9.60  2-5-3-7 $172.85 $163.25 1701%
    DD (7/5/3/4)-(7/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-2 $55.75 $39.75 248%
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/3/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  4-5-2 $165.25 $117.25 244%
    PK4 (6/7/5/4)-(2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/3/2/5) 192 $0.50 $96.00  5-4-5-2 $516.50 $420.50 438%
    PK5 (3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/5/4)-(2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/3/2/5) 960 $0.50 $480  3-5-4-5-2 $2148 $1668 348%
    PK6 (5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/5/4)-(2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/3/2/5) 4800 $1.00 $4800  6-3-5-4-5-2 $10700 $5900 123%
    PK6 (5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/5/4)-(2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/3/2/5) 4800 $1.00 $4800  6-3-5-4-5-2 $35555 $30755 641%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:142 1:273   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAGLIANO 2 5 54 53 58 5 1 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 30% 2.40 1.45 W
R GIRL FAITH 3 4 21 2½ 33 42 2 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 8.80 P
SIMPLE SUGAR 4 2 11 1½ 1½ 1 3 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 120 3.50 3.35 S
RACING COLORS 5 3 42 31 43 2 45 (sells ra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 28% 2.50 2.30  
INFRINGEMENT 1 1 3 42 2½ 32 5 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50 5.40  
 
AQU-2   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKERS DAUGHTER 6 1 2½ 1nk   15 1 (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 21% 3.80 4.40 W
REIGNING CHICK 2 4 3 32   3 2 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60 28% 2.60 0.90 P
TRUE EMPRESS 5 2 6 64   25 36 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 3.00 3.65 S
GAME THEORY 1 3 1½ 2nk   4 46 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
DUCKPHAT 3 6 53 4   5 5 (henry nev)VARGAS A 123 4.50 5.90  
DEVILLY 4 5 42 5   613 618½ (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 20% 4.10 17.20  
 
AQU-3   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:131 1:271   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLY HUSTLE 6 4 5 4 4 4¾ 1 (tosc)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 W
PONCHO SONG 3 3 1nk 1nk 3.2 2nk 2 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 13% 6.90 2.35 P
RHUBARB MARTINI 5 6 4¾ 3½ 1nk 1nk 36 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.50 4.30 S
RAFFINITY 4 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 3.2 4 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 1.80 16% 5.40 2.20  
SYNONYMOUS 2 5 6 52 5 5 510¾ (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 123 4.00 4.20  
EASY PLAY 1 1 3.2 6 613¾ 617¼ 637 (noda o)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 7% 13.70 26.25  
 
AQU-4   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN FOR GOLD 3 3 2nk 12   16 12 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 30% 2.30 1.60 W
CHARGER 7 2 5 45   26 22 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 10% 9.50 6.50 P
HOLEY MATRIMONY 6 7 7 58   4 36 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
JOKEMEISTER 2 5 3 33   3 4 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 28% 2.50 3.20  
CATCHING CUPID 1 6 6 6   513½ 514½ (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 10.50  
FENWAY 4 1 1nk 22   614 622 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00 16.40  
JELLY NOUGAT 5 4 4 7100   7100 7100 (jones michae)TORRES A 113 3.50 7% 13.50 3.40  
 
AQU-5   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLAN'S BOND 4 4 11 1½   2nk 1¼ (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 W
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DISCREET WOMAN by DISCREET CAT)
CLOVER STREET 6 5 4 3½   1nk 2¼ (henn)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 28% 2.60 1.60 P
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of FORTUNE STREET by BELLAMY ROAD)
NORTHWAY 5 6 21 2½   35 310¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 38% 1.60 2.30 S
  (by BERNARDINI out of SHINE UPON by CONGAREE)
GOOD ACCELEBRATE 1 2 3 4   4 413¼ (deiter kelly)TORRES A 113 3.50 3.45  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
BANDULU QUEEN 2 1 6 513½   513½ 519¼ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 20.00 25.25  
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of CURRENCY CHAOS by EXCHANGE RATE)
BUSHWICK 3 3 5 614½   625½ 632½ (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CONTENTIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  TUMBLES               (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 120 5.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of EPONYMOUS by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
AQU-6   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR ARDITO 4 3 45 45 2nk 2nk 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 25% 2.90 0.85 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
BANKIT 5 2 3 3 1nk 1nk 2nk (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 22% 3.50 3.05 P
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
FULL MOON FEVER 1 5 510 5 5 34 3 (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 16.80 S
  (by EFFINEX out of DOUBLE MINT by ELTISH)
WUDDA U THINK NOW 2 1 2nk 1nk 31 4 411¼ (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.80 28% 2.60 2.40  
  (by FAST ANNA out of UNBRIDLED GRACE by UNBRIDLED JET)
SEA FOAM 3 4 1nk 2nk 4 5 513 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 118 6.00 14.10  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of STRIKE IT RICH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
AQU-7   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:112 1:241   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON CALLING 5 7 62 4¾ 1 13 1nk (arriaga a)VARGAS A 120 3.50 23% 3.40 6.10 W
KING KUMBALAY 4 6 4 3½ 3 23 2nk (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00 6% 16.90 11.30 P
PRACTICAL COACH 6 2 31 6 6 45 33 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 7.70  
MARKET ALERT 3 3 5 5 5 35 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 12% 7.50 2.25  
CHESTERTOWN 2 4 7 7 7 7 510 (asmussen steven)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 5.00  
LOBSTA 1 1 1½ 1½ 4 6 610¼ (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 6.00 6.40  
NO BURN 7 5 2½ 2½ 2 56 713¾ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 34% 1.90 2.95  
 
AQU-8   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:00     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S UP BRO 2 4 4 3   1½ 1 (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 11% 8.20 5.10 W
KAZ PALACE 5 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 122 20.00 9% 10.40 32.50 P
LOOMS BOLDLY 3 6 31 2nk   3½ 3 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 20% 4.10 4.20 S
PLEASE BE NICE 7 7 6 5   45 4 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80 39% 1.60 0.60  
BOBBY THE TANK 4 5 7 6   5 511¼ (rice adam)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 6.00  
MACDONOUGH 8 1 5 710½   712½ 623¾ (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 30.00 57.75  
GOLD IN THEM HILLS 1 3 1nk 4   611½ 725½ (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 15.00 42.00  
SARATOGA BANKER 6 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 61.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.