The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Monday - February 20, 2023

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AQU-1   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
:243 :49 1:142 1:273   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAGLIANO 2 5 54 53 58 51(barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 30% 2.40 1.45 W
R GIRL FAITH 3 4 21 2½ 33 42 2(thomp)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 8.80 P
SIMPLE SUGAR 4 2 11 1½ 1½ 13(giglio gina)SAMUEL L 120 3.50 3.35 S
RACING COLORS 5 3 42 31 43 245 (sells rach)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 28% 2.50 2.30  
INFRINGEMENT 1 1 3 42 2½ 32 5(persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50 5.40  
 
AQU-2   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
:234 :474 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKERS DAUGHTER 6 1 2½ 1nk   15 1(d'alessandro ra)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 21% 3.80 4.40 W
REIGNING CHICK 2 4 3 32   32(reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60 28% 2.60 0.90 P
TRUE EMPRESS 5 2 6 64   25 36 (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 3.00 3.65 S
GAME THEORY 1 3 1½ 2nk   446 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
DUCKPHAT 3 6 53 4   55(henry nevil)VARGAS A 123 4.50 5.90  
DEVILLY 4 5 42 5   613 618½ (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 20% 4.10 17.20  
 
AQU-3   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
:24 :472 1:131 1:271   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLY HUSTLE 6 4 5 4 4 4¾ 1(toscan)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 W
PONCHO SONG 3 3 1nk 1nk 3.2 2nk 2(atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 13% 6.90 2.35 P
RHUBARB MARTINI 5 6 4¾ 3½ 1nk 1nk 36 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.50 4.30 S
RAFFINITY 4 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 3.2 4(rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 1.80 16% 5.40 2.20  
SYNONYMOUS 2 5 6 52 5 5510¾ (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 123 4.00 4.20  
EASY PLAY 1 1 3.2 6 613¾ 617¼ 637 (noda orl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 7% 13.70 26.25  
 
AQU-4   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
:222 :461 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN FOR GOLD 3 3 2nk 12   16 12 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 30% 2.30 1.60 W
CHARGER 7 2 5 45   26 22 (rodriguez rudy )OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 10% 9.50 6.50 P
HOLEY MATRIMONY 6 7 7 58   436 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
JOKEMEISTER 2 5 3 33   34(atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 28% 2.50 3.20  
CATCHING CUPID 1 6 6 6   513½ 514½ (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 10.50  
FENWAY 4 1 1nk 22   614 622 (jones )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00 16.40  
JELLY NOUGAT 5 4 4 7100   7100 7100 (jones michael )TORRES A 113 3.50 7% 13.50 3.40  
 
AQU-5   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:22
:232 :474 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLAN'S BOND 4 4 11 1½   2nk 1¼ (donk david)VARGAS A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 W
CLOVER STREET 6 5 4 3½   1nk 2¼ (hennig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 28% 2.60 1.60 P
NORTHWAY 5 6 21 2½   35 310¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 38% 1.60 2.30 S
GOOD ACCELEBRATE 1 2 3 4   4413¼ (deiter l)TORRES A 113 3.50 3.45  
BANDULU QUEEN 2 1 6 513½   513½ 519¼ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 20.00 25.25  
BUSHWICK 3 3 5 614½   625½ 632½ (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
SCR  TUMBLES               (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 120 5.00    
 
AQU-6   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
:224 :461 1:113 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR ARDITO 4 3 45 45 2nk 2nk 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 25% 2.90 0.85 W
BANKIT 5 2 3 3 1nk 1nk 2nk (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 22% 3.50 3.05 P
FULL MOON FEVER 1 5 510 5 5 34 3(hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 16.80 S
WUDDA U THINK NOW 2 1 2nk 1nk 31 4411¼ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.80 28% 2.60 2.40  
SEA FOAM 3 4 1nk 2nk 4 5513 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 118 6.00 14.10  
 
AQU-7   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
:232 :462 1:112 1:241   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON CALLING 5 7 62 4¾ 1 13 1nk (arriaga ant)VARGAS A 120 3.50 23% 3.40 6.10 W
KING KUMBALAY 4 6 4 3½ 3 23 2nk (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00 6% 16.90 11.30 P
PRACTICAL COACH 6 2 31 6 6 45 33 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 7.70  
MARKET ALERT 3 3 5 5 5 35 4(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 12% 7.50 2.25  
CHESTERTOWN 2 4 7 7 7 7510 (asmussen m)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 5.00  
LOBSTA 1 1 1½ 1½ 4 6610¼ (sciacc)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 6.00 6.40  
NO BURN 7 5 2½ 2½ 2 56 713¾ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 34% 1.90 2.95  
 
AQU-8   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
:223 :463 1:00     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S UP BRO 2 4 4 3   1½ 1(klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 11% 8.20 5.10 W
KAZ PALACE 5 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 2(synnefias dimit)PANAIJO JORGE 122 20.00 9% 10.40 32.50 P
LOOMS BOLDLY 3 6 31 2nk   3½ 3(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 20% 4.10 4.20 S
PLEASE BE NICE 7 7 6 5   45 4(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80 39% 1.60 0.60  
BOBBY THE TANK 4 5 7 6   5511¼ (rice adam)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 6.00  
MACDONOUGH 8 1 5 710½   712½ 623¾ (sells rach)DAVIS A 122 30.00 57.75  
GOLD IN THEM HILLS 1 3 1nk 4   611½ 725½ (d'ale)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 15.00 42.00  
SARATOGA BANKER 6 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 61.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.