Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4/1/3)-(2/5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/6/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/6/4/1)-(5/4/3/1/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/5/1)-(2/6/4/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/4/1)-(5/4/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/1)-(5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-3   WIN (5/4/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/1/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-4   WIN (3/2/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/5/6)-(3/2/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/5/6)-(3/2/7/5/6)-(3/2/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/5/6)-(6/7/4/5)-(2/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/5)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/3/1)-(2/4/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/3/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4/2)-(7/5/3/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/3/4)-(7/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5/4)-(7/3/2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFRINGEMENT Jan29 Jan06 Dec30 Dec18 Dec08 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50 ★    
2  GAGLIANO Jan29 Jan13 Dec10 Oct28 Sep16 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 30% 2.40    
3  R GIRL FAITH Jan20 Dec18 Nov27 Oct28 Oct13 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 ★    
4  SIMPLE SUGAR Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 Sep16 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 120 3.50 ★    
5  RACING COLORS Jan29 Jan22 Dec10 Oct27 Sep04 (sells ra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
AQU-2   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME THEORY Feb09 Jan28 Jan08 Dec16 Dec01 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  REIGNING CHICK Jan28 Jan15 Dec10 Nov27 Oct25 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60 28% 2.60    
3  DUCKPHAT Jan22 Dec30 Nov26 May12 Apr23 (henry nev)VARGAS A 123 4.50    
4  DEVILLY Jan28 Dec17 Dec02 Nov04 Sep22 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 20% 4.10    
5  TRUE EMPRESS Feb09 Jan28 Dec17 Dec02 Oct20 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 3.00 ★    
6  BANKERS DAUGHTER Jan28 Jan15 Dec15 Nov16 Sep05 (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-3   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY PLAY Jan29 Jan15 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (noda o)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 7% 13.70    
2  SYNONYMOUS Feb05 Jan13 Dec08 Nov06 Oct20 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 123 4.00    
3  PONCHO SONG Jan22 Dec18 Sep15 Aug11 Jun25 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
4  RAFFINITY Jan13 Dec30 Dec02 Oct27 Sep22 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 1.80 16% 5.40    
5  RHUBARB MARTINI May29 Apr21 Mar03 Jan08   (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
6  CARLY HUSTLE Jan29 Jan12 Dec01 Aug29 Jul19 (tosc)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHING CUPID Jan12 Dec16 Dec02 Sep24 Aug11 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
2  JOKEMEISTER Jan15 Dec19 Nov30 Nov07 Apr10 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
3  WIN FOR GOLD Feb11 Jan12 Dec11 Nov18 Nov12 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 30% 2.30    
4  FENWAY Feb05 Jan28 Jan20 Dec31 Nov19 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00    
5  JELLY NOUGAT Jan11 Nov08 Oct16 Sep24 Aug13 (jones michae)TORRES A 113 3.50 7% 13.50    
6  HOLEY MATRIMONY Jan07 Jan01 Dec16 Nov26 Nov04 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHARGER Jan28 Jan07 Dec06 Oct13 Sep04 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 10% 9.50    
 
AQU-5   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUMBLES         (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 120 5.00 ★    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of EPONYMOUS by UTOPIA (JPN))
2  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Jan27 Jan01       (deiter kelly)TORRES A 113 3.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
3  BANDULU QUEEN Jan27 Dec03       (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of CURRENCY CHAOS by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  BUSHWICK         (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CONTENTIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  HARLAN'S BOND         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DISCREET WOMAN by DISCREET CAT)
6  NORTHWAY         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SHINE UPON by CONGAREE)
7  CLOVER STREET Dec17 Nov04 Oct01     (henn)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of FORTUNE STREET by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
AQU-6   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON FEVER Jan06 Dec09 Nov16 Oct10 Sep19 (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 ★    
  (by EFFINEX out of DOUBLE MINT by ELTISH)
2  WUDDA U THINK NOW Jan08 Dec17 Oct30 Sep10 Aug12 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
  (by FAST ANNA out of UNBRIDLED GRACE by UNBRIDLED JET)
3  SEA FOAM Jan07 Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 Aug12 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of STRIKE IT RICH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  DR ARDITO Jan19 May15 Apr01 Feb24   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 25% 2.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
5  BANKIT Jan08 Dec04 Aug26 Aug12 Feb19 (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
 
AQU-7   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOBSTA Jan22 May22 Apr29 Mar20 Jan08 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 6.00    
2  CHESTERTOWN Jan01 May22 Mar20 Feb03 Jan08 (asmussen steven)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 ★    
3  MARKET ALERT Jan08 Dec17 Dec09 Nov06 Oct07 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 12% 7.50    
4  KING KUMBALAY Jan04 Nov02 Oct07 Aug22 May24 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00 6% 16.90    
5  BOURBON CALLING Jan06 Nov18 Nov07 Oct07 Sep28 (arriaga a)VARGAS A 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
6  PRACTICAL COACH Jan14 Dec13 Oct27 Sep24 Aug23 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
7  NO BURN Jan20 Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 Sep03 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
AQU-8   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Jan15 Nov02 Oct17 Sep26 Aug23 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 15.00    
2  WHAT'S UP BRO Jan15 Dec10 Nov12     (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
3  LOOMS BOLDLY Nov12 Sep29       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  BOBBY THE TANK Jan01 Dec04 Nov27 Oct16 Sep04 (rice adam)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 ★    
5  KAZ PALACE Dec16 Dec02       (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 122 20.00 9% 10.40    
6  SARATOGA BANKER Jan15 Dec17 Nov17 Oct22 Sep22 (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
7  PLEASE BE NICE Jan07         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80 39% 1.60    
8  MACDONOUGH Jan15 Oct25 Sep21 Sep05   (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.