The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Sunday - January 29, 2023

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AQU-1   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
:233 :473 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 5 1 2½ 1½   1nk 1¾ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 45% 1.20 0.65 W
WEST STAR 4 6 4 3   2nk 2¾ (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 1.60 22% 3.50 2.35 P
FAST STUDY 6 2 1½ 2½   38 318 (schettino domin)OLVER MADISON 110 4.00 11% 8.10 5.80 S
SCREEN DOOR 2 4 52 54   412 418¾ (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 10.90  
LIOTTA 3 5 63 6   514 524¼ (hills )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 25.25  
EXCALIBRATE 1 3 3½ 42   615 635 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 27.75  
 
AQU-2   01/29/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
:231 :471 1:124     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMMERIN AAMER 2 6 5 5 42 1½ 1(rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 30% 2.30 2.60 W
LIL COMMISSIONER 1 5 32 41 3 3½ 2(arriag)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 20% 4.00 1.65 P
RUNABOUT 5 3 42 3½ 2½ 2½ 3(rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 13% 6.90 2.85 S
MOUNT TRAVERS 6 1 11 2nk 1½ 44(kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 6.00 8% 11.10 9.50  
CASH NOW 4 2 64 6 6 5514¾ (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 123 10.00 14.20  
1A  KUMAR 3 4 21 1nk 5 68 626¼ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 120 4.00 9% 10.40 7.20  
SCR  CRYPTO CASH               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
AQU-3   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
:242 :483 1:143     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGHT UNSEEN 3 2 31 31   1nk 12 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 123 15.00 5.60  
GHOSTLYPRINCE 2 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 22 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 16% 5.30 1.15 P
ROMANOATSEE 4 3 42 5   43(barrow paul)GOMEZ O 123 15.00 5% 17.90 22.60 S
RAW COURAGE 1 5 5 42   549 (toscano t)FUENTES ERICK 110 15.00 15.80  
NICHOLAS JAMES 5 4 1½ 1nk   3510¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 17% 4.80 1.05  
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  MATTY'S MARAUDER               (donk david)VARGAS A 120 6.00 9% 10.80    
 
AQU-4   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
:222 :461 :592     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKED AND FAMOUS 4 1 1 1nk   2½ 1nk (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 4.00  
SUPER QUALITY 6 2 2 2nk   1½ 2nk (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 48% 1.10 0.90 P
THREETHIRTYTHREE 3 5 49 48   35 3.2 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00 9.60  
GROWTH MINDSET 7 4 3 3   46 4(gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 4.30  
PAPI ON ICE 1 7 621½ 624½   521 5(persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
MR. BUSTA 5 3 5 523   627 623 (follett norman)TORRES A 115 12.00 22% 3.60 23.30  
RED JET 2 6 721½ 732½   732 727¼ (younghans will)HOWELL TALBERT 122 30.00 63.25  
SCR  GRAND AGAIN               (shivma)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00    
 
AQU-5   01/29/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:17
:223 :462 1:121     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSET PURCHASE 4 5 32 2nk   118 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.40 3.40 W
RISK FREE 5 6 8 8   328 (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 16% 5.10 9.40 P
LIAM'S CHAMP 6 8 7 7   815¼ 310¼ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 42% 1.40 1.40 S
WONDER GIRL 8 7 6 6   514 413¾ (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 120 30.00 67.25  
MAYHEM MISS 1 1 21 3   614 515¾ (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 36.25  
NOW SHOWING 2 2 11 1nk   2616½ (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 2.95  
HERECOMES SCARLETT 7 3 53 46   413 718¼ (miceli)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 21.30  
LENDHERCREDIT 3 4 43 5   714¼ 821¼ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 7.10  
 
AQU-6   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
:234 :48 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 4 2 2½ 2nk   11(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 21% 3.90 3.90 W
MOVIE MOXY 6 7 77 5   32(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 22% 3.60 2.30 P
GAGLIANO 5 5 5 6   57 3(barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 5.90 S
INFRINGEMENT 1 4 4 43   44 4(persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00 19.20  
FANTAIL (GB) 2 3 1½ 1nk   25(jacobson david)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.00 25% 3.00 1.95  
RACING COLORS 7 1 66 7   68 65 (sells)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 10% 8.50 20.00  
SURCHARGE 3 6 31 32   714½ 722 (jones michael )TORRES A 116 8.00 7.90  
 
AQU-7   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
:234 :48 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TONY'S GIRL 8 3 1½ 1½   11 1(ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 16% 5.20 6.20 W
LONDON GOLD 7 2 2½ 2½   21 2(persaud ra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 4.40  
CARLY HUSTLE 1 4 76 7   63(toscano t)FUENTES ERICK 110 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90 S
AMITY ISLAND 4 7 4 4   49 4(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 7% 12.80 4.00  
EASY PLAY 5 1 3 32   3510 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 4.00  
BELLS ON HER TOES 6 8 89 811   710¾ 612½ (metivier richa)HARKIE K 120 20.00 46.50  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 2 6 65 5   59 713½ (barker)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 19% 4.10 8.20  
VILLAREGGIA 3 5 5 65   812¼ 817 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 29% 2.40 2.55  
 
AQU-8   01/29/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
:251 :501 1:151 1:412   1:542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONAL IMPACT 1 5 5 6 6 1nk 1(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 29% 2.50 0.65 W
GOOD SKATE 4 4 4 3 3½ 2nk 2(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 6.10  
THREE JOKERS 7 1 21 2½ 1nk 3½ 37 (terranova p)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 11.10 S
LUNI SIMA 3 3 32 43 42 44(walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 14% 6.20 9.30  
BOLD VICTORY 5 6 74 75 76 77 510 (engleh)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 12% 7.30 18.50  
SIX PERCENT 6 7 64 5 5 6610½ (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 20% 4.00 4.00  
MANDATORY 2 2 11 1½ 2nk 5712¾ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 40.75  
 
AQU-9   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:16
:223 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HOT FUDGE 10 4 21 3½   1nk 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 25% 2.90 3.30 W
KITTEN'S APPEAL 5 9 4 2½   2nk 2¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 15% 5.60 7.10 P
10  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 9 10 9 8   73(cash j)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 2.75  
I'M BUZZY 4 7 75 7   45 4(chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 17.60  
WESTERN LANE 2 8 108 10   95(lynch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00 10.80  
LADY MILAGRO 8 2 11 1½   32 6(martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 14.00  
CHAMPAGNE POETRY 3 5 8 9   109 7(summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 5% 17.50 12.10  
RUVIES IN TIME 1 1 5 4   56 8(jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 4.50 26% 2.80 5.80  
BABA 6 3 3 53   6912¼ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 9.70  
CHASING CARA 7 6 6 65   81019 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00 18.60  
SCR  TODO SOLA               (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.