Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - January 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (3/2/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-3   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (3/2/8/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-8   Win (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (1/11/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCALIBRATE Jan05 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 Sep04 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
SCREEN DOOR Jan13 Nov27 Oct27 Sep29   (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
LIOTTA Dec17 Nov17 Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 (hills )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00    
WEST STAR Jan21 Dec30 Nov17 Sep29   (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 1.60 22% 3.50    
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Nov27 Oct22 Jul29 Jun24   (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 45% 1.20    
FAST STUDY Dec30 Oct22 Sep22     (schettino domin)OLVER MADISON 110 4.00 11% 8.10    
 
AQU-2   01/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KUMAR Jan07 Nov18 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 120 4.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  CRYPTO CASH Jan21 Jan15 Oct21 Aug24 Jun30 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
LIL COMMISSIONER Dec29 Nov18 Sep17 Aug24 Jul09 (arriag)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 20% 4.00    
HAMMERIN AAMER Jan07 Dec08 Oct21 Sep16 Jul22 (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
CASH NOW Jan21 Jan01 Dec03 Nov25 Oct27 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 123 10.00    
RUNABOUT Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
MOUNT TRAVERS Jan19 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 Sep25 (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
 
AQU-3   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAW COURAGE Dec31 Nov11 Oct15 Sep16 Aug03 (toscano t)FUENTES ERICK 110 15.00    
GHOSTLYPRINCE Jan01 Dec15 Dec02 Sep22 Aug14 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE Jan01 Dec09 Nov10 Sep16 Aug15 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  MATTY'S MARAUDER Jan15 Dec31 Sep16 Aug21 Apr28 (donk david)VARGAS A 120 6.00 9% 10.80    
SIGHT UNSEEN Dec31 Nov05 Oct14 Aug11 Jul03 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 123 15.00    
ROMANOATSEE Dec31 Nov21 Nov09 Oct17   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 123 15.00 5% 17.90    
NICHOLAS JAMES Dec31 Dec02 Nov05 Sep18 Aug19 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
AQU-4   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPI ON ICE Jan19 Jan08 Dec17 Dec09 Nov25 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED JET Jan19 Dec11 Dec01 Nov13 Jun17 (younghans will)HOWELL TALBERT 122 30.00    
THREETHIRTYTHREE Jan23 Dec05       (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
SCR  GRAND AGAIN Jan19 Dec17 Nov25 Nov10 Sep30 (shivma)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00    
NAKED AND FAMOUS Jan08 Aug25 Jul20 Jun26   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
MR. BUSTA         (follett norman)TORRES A 115 12.00 22% 3.60    
SUPER QUALITY Dec09 Nov10 Sep30 Aug28 Jul20 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
GROWTH MINDSET Dec17 Sep17 Aug13     (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
AQU-5   01/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYHEM MISS         (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
NOW SHOWING Nov20         (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
LENDHERCREDIT         (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
ASSET PURCHASE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.40    
RISK FREE Jan07 Dec15 Nov10 Oct23 Oct02 (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
LIAM'S CHAMP Dec15         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
HERECOMES SCARLETT Dec04         (miceli)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00    
WONDER GIRL         (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
 
AQU-6   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFRINGEMENT Jan06 Dec30 Dec18 Dec08 Nov17 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00    
FANTAIL (GB) Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 Sep13 Aug14 (jacobson david)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
SURCHARGE Dec17 Oct29 Oct03 Aug23 Jun11 (jones michael )TORRES A 116 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL KAREN Jan15 Dec03 Oct23 Sep23 Aug06 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 21% 3.90    
GAGLIANO Jan13 Dec10 Oct28 Sep16 Aug20 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
MOVIE MOXY Dec30 Dec04 Oct29 Oct06 Sep04 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
RACING COLORS Jan22 Dec10 Oct27 Sep04 Aug05 (sells)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 10% 8.50    
 
AQU-7   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLY HUSTLE Jan12 Dec01 Aug29 Jul19 Jul06 (toscano t)FUENTES ERICK 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 Oct23 Aug28 (barker)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 19% 4.10    
VILLAREGGIA Dec18 Dec02 Nov24 Nov09 Oct26 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 29% 2.40    
AMITY ISLAND Dec30 May01 Mar18 Feb18   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 7% 12.80    
EASY PLAY Jan15 Jun20 Jun06 May23 May09 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
BELLS ON HER TOES Dec30 Dec18 Sep23 Aug17 Jul27 (metivier richa)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
LONDON GOLD Jan12 Dec18 Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 (persaud ra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50    
BIG TONY'S GIRL Nov17 Nov04 Jul27 Jun03 May06 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
AQU-8   01/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONAL IMPACT Jan05 Dec18 Nov23 Sep28 Sep18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 29% 2.50    
MANDATORY Dec18 Nov26 Mar27 Feb06   (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
LUNI SIMA Dec18 Nov26 Oct29 Sep25 Aug27 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
GOOD SKATE Jan12 Dec16 Sep29 Aug07 Jul04 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
BOLD VICTORY Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 Nov08 Sep05 (engleh)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 12% 7.30    
SIX PERCENT Jan06 Oct16 Sep05 Jul15 May29 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
THREE JOKERS Jan14 Dec18 Oct29 Aug12 Jun11 (terranova p)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
 
AQU-9   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUVIES IN TIME Dec09 Nov20 Nov13 Sep25 Aug21 (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 4.50 26% 2.80    
WESTERN LANE Dec18 Nov20 Oct15 Sep16 Apr15 (lynch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
CHAMPAGNE POETRY May28 Apr02 Feb06 Jan13   (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 5% 17.50    
I'M BUZZY Jan07 Dec02 Nov17 Oct07 Sep01 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
KITTEN'S APPEAL Dec09 Sep29 Jul30 Jun30 May22 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
BABA Jan08 Nov26 Nov13 Oct20 Aug21 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00    
SCR  TODO SOLA Dec14 Nov15 Oct06 Sep07 Aug19 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHASING CARA Dec09 Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
LADY MILAGRO Dec31 Dec09 Jul09 Jun19 Mar19 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
10  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Jan07 Dec11 Nov10 Oct23 Oct01 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
11  HOT FUDGE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 25% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.