Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.50 $2.50  
AQU-2   Win (1/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $31.80  
AQU-3   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
AQU-4   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $8.20  
AQU-5   Win (1/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $10.60  
AQU-6   Win (8/9/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $16.60 $16.60 6.60
AQU-7   Win (6/3/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $13.40  
AQU-8   Win (7/1/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
AQU-9   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
AQU-10   Win (4/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $13.00  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONROE 6 2 2½ 1½   1 1 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.20 33% 2.00 0.25 W
BIG HAZEL 4 3 54 5   2 2 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 36.25  
KRYSTALHEIR 3 9 911 811   813½ 310½ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 20.00 60.50  
MY ANGEL 7 6 7 79   710½ 410¾ (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 21.00  
QUEENS OVER THREES 2 1 1½ 2½   35 511 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 8.00 19.90  
MAJESTIC RETURN 1 5 42 33   48 615¾ (giangiulio miche)PENNINGTON F 120 10.00 32.00  
DEBBIE DARLING 9 8 6 6   5 716½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 12.90  
NAUGHTY NAN 5 4 32 44   610 821 (russell brittany)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 24% 3.20 6.00  
AERON WARRIOR 8 7 89 914½   919½ 928¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 120 12.00 21% 3.80 32.50  
 
AQU-2   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT-12:47
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST DEPUTY 7 5 610½ 5   4 1½ (shivma)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 14.90  
FOOLISH GHOST 1 2 13 1   15 2½ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 40% 1.50 2.60 P
MASKED MARAUDER 3 4 5 46   25 3 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 15% 5.70 2.65 S
QUICK RETURN 2 3 35 3   35 4 (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 8% 12.30 3.85  
RUVIES IN TIME 5 1 23 2   5 5 (jacobso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 108 8.00 6.40  
GANDY DANCING 4 7 49 6   711¾ 610½ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 9.60  
DOUBLE SHOT 6 6 715½ 713½   611¼ 710½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 5.90  
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (kantarmaci mertk)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREW'S GOLD 4 1 1nk 11   1 1 (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 33% 2.10 1.75 W
CLUBHOUSE 5 3 3½ 21   2 2 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 2.60 P
JOEY FRESHWATER 1 2 4 42   33 35 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 21% 3.80 3.10 S
DAYDREAMING BOY 2 5 5 54   48 414¼ (linder j)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.50 22% 3.60 7.20  
KOOL KATHMANDU 3 4 2nk 3   5 523¾ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 4.20  
 
AQU-4   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :473 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IKIGAI 5 1 11 12   12 1 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 120 3.00 3.10  
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 1 7 7 5   4 2 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 5.50 P
KING JAMES (IRE) 3 2 3 33   3 3 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 18.10  
WIN FOR GOLD 6 5 21 22   22 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 8% 12.10 4.40  
MO REWARDS 8 8 811 8   610 5 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5.00  
UPPER LEVEL 9 3 5 43   57 610 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 6.40  
CLASH A. J. 7 9 911½ 6   710½ 711 (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 30.00 72.50  
TURNSANDCONDITIONS 4 4 63 78   914 815 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 33.25  
TENEBRIS 2 6 4 9   814 915 (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.50 68% 0.50 3.60  
SCR  JOEY LOOSE LIPS               (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 2.50    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVATING CARA 7 1 1½ 1   1 111¼ (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 4.30  
WRITE THIS DOWN 3 10 8 5   3 211¼ (englehart jeffr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 11.10  
BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND 1 2 2½ 2   2 312¼ (englehart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 49% 1.00 5.00 S
CRYSTAL ORB 4 6 52 4   4 414 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 47.75  
DARN THAT SONG 9 5 31 35   510½ 515¾ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
PREDETERMINED 5 9 9 914¼   614 618½ (sciacca gary)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00 38.00  
RIDING ON A WINNER 6 4 6 810¾   714 720¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 6% 15.60 6.70  
MY DELICIOUS 8 8 7 710½   914¾ 820¾ (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 18.30  
10  HOLIDAY JAZZ 10 7 41 6   814¼ 921 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 18% 4.60 1.55  
MIDMON 2 3 1010 1014¼   1015¾ 1021 (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 120 30.00 67.00  
 
AQU-6   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:224 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOXIC GRAY 6 4 43 1nk   1nk 1nk (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 5% 17.40 7.30 W
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 9 1 31 2nk   2nk 2nk (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 19% 4.20 0.65 P
MOORE'S LAW 8 9 811 8   610¾ 312½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 26% 2.80 5.50 S
FAST BOAT TO SKYE 7 5 64 5   49 412¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 120 10.00 20.50  
WHENLOVETAKESOVER 4 2 2½ 3½   38 513½ (lakeman an)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 8.00  
1A  EGYPT 3 8 915½ 9   911¾ 614½ (de horacio)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 16.10  
LOGIN REQUIRED 2 7 75 6   711¼ 715½ (camejo m)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00 9% 10.00 40.00  
MO THAN LUCK 5 6 53 7   811¼ 816 (ryerson t)PENNINGTON F 120 6.00 19% 4.30 13.20  
CLOUD MUSIC 1 3 1½ 4¾   510½ 919½ (chapman james )TORRES A 113 30.00 83.00  
SCR  COMMON PROSPERITY               (de paz)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00    
SCR  LEONIDS               (beattie m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
 
AQU-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:14 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 7 5 1½ 1 16 1 113¾ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 6.00 5.70  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 1 8 914¾ 915¼ 917 814 213¾ (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 6.40  
IRISH HONOR 8 4 3½ 7 713 713 315 (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 123 12.00 18.20  
LEDDY 6 3 2½ 33 3 2 415½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 20% 4.00 2.40  
CRYPTO CASH 2 7 8 8 814 512½ 515¾ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 10% 8.60 27.50  
PIT BOSS 3 2 6 5 26 38 616 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 19% 4.20 2.05  
COOL QUARTET 5 9 5 4 4 411½ 716¼ (noda )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10% 9.40 21.50  
MY FRIENDS BEER 4 1 7 65 612½ 612½ 816¾ (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 12.00 17.50  
10  SWIFT TAP 9 6 4¾ 2 511 920 936¾ (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 123 10.00 8.50  
SCR  AMERICAN RULE               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS)               (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
 
AQU-8   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:133 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANEJO 3 9 913 814 66 22 1 (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 20% 3.90 2.95 W
SHIPSATIONAL 1 7 6 612 7 53 2 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90 P
MACALLAN 6 4 7 713 8 87 3 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 23% 3.40 2.65 S
PATIENT CAPITAL 4 5 1 11 11 12 4 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 17% 4.90 2.05  
MAGIA NERA 7 1 2 21 3 32 5 (breen j)PENNINGTON F 123 20.00 50.00  
ROYAL TRYST 5 8 812½ 914¼ 911 7 6 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00 37.25  
SILVER SEEKER 2 6 33 32 21 4 7 (lacroix ge)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 15% 5.50 3.75  
1A  LOOSE GOOSE 9 3 5 4 4 66 8 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.95  
GIANT'S FIRE 8 2 45 5 5 912½ 921¾ (terranova john)TORRES A 113 15.00 24.75  
SCR  SON OF AN EX               (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
 
AQU-9   02/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:132 1:403   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT SHOW 4 1 5 52 31 11 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 21% 3.70 1.30 W
ARCTIC ARROGANCE 1 4 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60 43% 1.30 1.75 P
GENERAL BANKER 5 7 64 6 53 37 311¾ (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 8.80  
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE 7 5 3 31 2½ 515 426½ (breen j)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00 32.50  
PROVE RIGHT 2 2 2½ 2½ 41 415 526½ (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 80.25  
JUNGFRAU 3 6 7 77 711½ 728 649¾ (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 4.40  
NINETYPRCENTMADDIE 6 3 4 42 6 625 756 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 12% 7.10 12.80  
 
AQU-10   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:59
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CAMM' DUKE 9 1 1nk 1   15 111¼ (ryerson t)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 5.50  
FOUR EYES 6 7 6 68   39 211¼ (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 14% 6.00 2.55 P
LIEUTENANT SAM 7 2 2nk 2   25 312¾ (bond h)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 16.60  
CENTRAL LOVE 3 6 41 4   410 414¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10  
BUSTINUPISHARDTODO 1 5 3½ 3   511 517¾ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 7% 12.50 9.10  
EXCALIBRATE 4 8 7 710½   713½ 617¾ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 70.25  
SOMAMA BEACH 2 9 9 812½   814 718 (persaud randi)HARKIE K 120 20.00 33.50  
M. C. DOUBLE R 5 3 5 57   611½ 818¾ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 12.00 13.40  
10  MILAGROSO 8 4 8 915½   915½ 919¼ (brown r)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 50.25  
SCR  METAMORPHOSES               (levine bruc)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
SCR  WILLINTORISKITALL               (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.