Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-6   WIN (8/9/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $16.60 $6.60 66%
    EXA (8/9/5/3/6)-(8/9/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-9 $22.80 $2.80 14%
    TRI (8/9/5/3/6)-(8/9/5/3/6)-(8/9/5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-9-8 $39.12 $9.12 30%
AQU-8   EXA (7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-2 $45.00 $25.00 125%
    TRI (7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-2-7 $93.87 $63.87 213%
    SFT (7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2)-(7/1/5/4/2) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-2-7-5 $48.20 $36.20 302%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONROE   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.20 33% 2.00 0.25 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of GIRLABOUTOWN by A.P. INDY)
BIG HAZEL   (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 36.25  
  (by BIG BROWN out of BLUEGRASS ARCH by BLUEGRASS CAT)
KRYSTALHEIR   (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 20.00 60.50  
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
MY ANGEL   (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 21.00  
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
QUEENS OVER THREES   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 8.00 19.90  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of E. QUEEN by E DUBAI)
MAJESTIC RETURN   (giangiulio mic)PENNINGTON F 120 10.00 32.00  
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of MAJESTIC MIST by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
DEBBIE DARLING   (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 12.90  
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
NAUGHTY NAN   (russell britta)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 24% 3.20 6.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RUEDELAROSE by STREET SENSE)
AERON WARRIOR   (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 12.00 21% 3.80 32.50  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SLAMIN' DIXIE by GRAND SLAM)
 
AQU-2   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT-12:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST DEPUTY   (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 14.90  
FOOLISH GHOST   (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 40% 1.50 2.60 P
MASKED MARAUDER   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 15% 5.70 2.65 S
QUICK RETURN   (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 8% 12.30 3.85  
RUVIES IN TIME   (jacob)HERNANDEZ OMAR 108 8.00 6.40  
GANDY DANCING   (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 9.60  
DOUBLE SHOT   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 5.90  
SCR  BRONX BOMBER   (kantarmaci mer)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREW'S GOLD   (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 33% 2.10 1.75 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of FROLIC'S REVENGE by VINDICATION)
CLUBHOUSE   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 2.60 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of WILD RIDGE by TAPIT)
JOEY FRESHWATER   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 21% 3.80 3.10 S
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAKE TURKANA by MORE THAN READY)
DAYDREAMING BOY   (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.50 22% 3.60 7.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DENALI DREAMSCAPE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
KOOL KATHMANDU   (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 4.20  
  (by FROSTED out of FAT KAT by WEIGELIA)
 
AQU-4   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IKIGAI   (giangiuli)VARGAS A 120 3.00 3.10  
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY   (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 5.50 P
KING JAMES (IRE)   (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 18.10  
WIN FOR GOLD   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 8% 12.10 4.40  
MO REWARDS   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5.00  
UPPER LEVEL   (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 6.40  
CLASH A. J.   (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 30.00 72.50  
TURNSANDCONDITIONS   (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 33.25  
TENEBRIS   (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.50 68% 0.50 3.60  
SCR  JOEY LOOSE LIPS   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 116 2.50    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVATING CARA   (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 4.30  
WRITE THIS DOWN   (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 11.10  
BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND   (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 49% 1.00 5.00 S
CRYSTAL ORB   (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 47.75  
DARN THAT SONG   (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
PREDETERMINED   (sciacca gary)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00 38.00  
RIDING ON A WINNER   (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 6% 15.60 6.70  
MY DELICIOUS   (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 18.30  
10  HOLIDAY JAZZ   (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 18% 4.60 1.55  
MIDMON   (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 30.00 67.00  
 
AQU-6   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOXIC GRAY   (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 5% 17.40 7.30 W
  (by VERRAZANO out of REGGAE SONG by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 19% 4.20 0.65 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EVER SO CLEVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MOORE'S LAW   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 26% 2.80 5.50 S
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLA'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FAST BOAT TO SKYE   (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 10.00 20.50  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
WHENLOVETAKESOVER   (lakeman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 8.00  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1A  EGYPT   (de horaci)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 16.10  
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
LOGIN REQUIRED   (camejo m)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00 9% 10.00 40.00  
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
MO THAN LUCK   (ryerson james )PENNINGTON F 120 6.00 19% 4.30 13.20  
  (by ACCELERATE out of MO SHOPPING by UNCLE MO)
CLOUD MUSIC   (chapman jame)TORRES A 113 30.00 83.00  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of THURSDAYS ANGEL by BIONDETTI)
SCR  COMMON PROSPERITY   (de p)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LEGENDARY STACEY by INCLUDE)
SCR  LEONIDS   (beattie m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AREOLITE by TAPIT)
 
AQU-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAESWITHSANDY   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 116 6.00 5.70  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS   (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 6.40  
IRISH HONOR   (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 123 12.00 18.20  
LEDDY   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 20% 4.00 2.40  
CRYPTO CASH   (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 10% 8.60 27.50  
PIT BOSS   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 19% 4.20 2.05  
COOL QUARTET   (nod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10% 9.40 21.50  
MY FRIENDS BEER   (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 12.00 17.50  
10  SWIFT TAP   (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 123 10.00 8.50  
SCR  AMERICAN RULE   (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS)   (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
 
AQU-8   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANEJO   (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 20% 3.90 2.95 W
SHIPSATIONAL   (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90 P
MACALLAN   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 23% 3.40 2.65 S
PATIENT CAPITAL   (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 17% 4.90 2.05  
MAGIA NERA   (breen j)PENNINGTON F 123 20.00 50.00  
ROYAL TRYST   (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00 37.25  
SILVER SEEKER   (lacroix )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 15% 5.50 3.75  
1A  LOOSE GOOSE   (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.95  
GIANT'S FIRE   (terranova jo)TORRES A 113 15.00 24.75  
SCR  SON OF AN EX   (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
 
AQU-9   02/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT SHOW   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 21% 3.70 1.30 W
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ACTRESS by TAPIT)
ARCTIC ARROGANCE   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60 43% 1.30 1.75 P
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of MODEST MAVEN by UNCLE MO)
GENERAL BANKER   (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 8.80  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ELUSIVE JOZI by JOHANNESBURG)
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE   (breen j)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00 32.50  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MY EVERY WISH by LANGFUHR)
PROVE RIGHT   (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 80.25  
  (by JUSTIFY out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
JUNGFRAU   (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 4.40  
  (by ARROGATE out of SOUTH BANK by TAPIT)
NINETYPRCENTMADDIE   (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 12% 7.10 12.80  
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
 
AQU-10   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:59
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CAMM' DUKE   (ryerson james )ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 5.50  
FOUR EYES   (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 14% 6.00 2.55 P
LIEUTENANT SAM   (bond)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 16.60  
CENTRAL LOVE   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10  
BUSTINUPISHARDTODO   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 7% 12.50 9.10  
EXCALIBRATE   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 70.25  
SOMAMA BEACH   (persaud rand)HARKIE K 120 20.00 33.50  
M. C. DOUBLE R   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 12.00 13.40  
10  MILAGROSO   (brown r)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 50.25  
SCR  METAMORPHOSES   (levine br)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
SCR  WILLINTORISKITALL   (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.