Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-5   Win (1/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (8/9/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-7   Win (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (7/1/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-10   Win (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC RETURN         (giangiulio miche)PENNINGTON F 120 10.00    
QUEENS OVER THREES Jan12 Nov27 Oct30     (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 8.00    
KRYSTALHEIR         (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
BIG HAZEL         (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
NAUGHTY NAN Oct30         (russell brittany)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
MONROE         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.20 33% 2.00    
MY ANGEL Jan14         (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
AERON WARRIOR Jan12         (donk david)VARGAS A 120 12.00 21% 3.80    
DEBBIE DARLING Jan14         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
 
AQU-2   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT-12:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH GHOST Jan07 Nov17 Sep23 Sep03 Jul04 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
QUICK RETURN Jan21 Dec02 Nov17 Oct16 Sep23 (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 8% 12.30    
MASKED MARAUDER Jan19 Nov30 Oct23 Sep14 Jul30 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
GANDY DANCING Jan05 Dec02 Oct16 Aug26 Aug05 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
RUVIES IN TIME Jan29 Dec09 Nov20 Nov13 Sep25 (jacobso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 108 8.00    
DOUBLE SHOT Jan19 Jan05 Dec02 Nov17 Oct08 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Feb02 Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 Oct21 (kantarmaci mertk)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST DEPUTY Jan05 Dec16 Nov16 Nov07 Oct03 (shivma)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY FRESHWATER Jan01 Nov27 Nov06     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
DAYDREAMING BOY Jan03 Dec05 Nov01 Sep24   (linder j)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
KOOL KATHMANDU Dec16 Nov06       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
DREW'S GOLD Jan28 May12       (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
CLUBHOUSE Jan14 Dec16 Nov19 Oct16 Sep01 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50    
 
AQU-4   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENEBRIS Jan01 Dec03 Sep18 Aug13 Jun25 (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.50 68% 0.50    
SCR  JOEY LOOSE LIPS Jan14 Dec29 Oct16 Sep24 Aug19 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 2.50    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Dec30 Dec16 Nov27 Oct23 Sep23 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
KING JAMES (IRE) Jan12 Dec01 Nov04 Jan08   (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00    
TURNSANDCONDITIONS Feb05 Jan28 Jan12 Aug14 May29 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
IKIGAI Jan14 Dec01 Oct16 Sep17 Aug25 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 120 3.00    
WIN FOR GOLD Jan12 Dec11 Nov18 Nov12 Oct08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 8% 12.10    
CLASH A. J. Feb02 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 Nov27 (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 30.00    
MO REWARDS Jan27 Dec18 Nov13 Oct21 Sep23 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
UPPER LEVEL Jan14 Dec16 Oct20 Sep30 Aug28 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Dec08 Nov10 Oct06 Sep02 Aug11 (englehart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 49% 1.00    
MIDMON Jan21 May23 May09 Apr22 Apr02 (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
WRITE THIS DOWN Dec29 Nov06 Aug15 Jun17 Apr29 (englehart jeffr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
CRYSTAL ORB Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 Oct27 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
PREDETERMINED Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 Oct13 Jul08 (sciacca gary)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00    
RIDING ON A WINNER Dec09 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11   (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 6% 15.60    
CAPTIVATING CARA Jan06 Oct01 Aug26 Jun25 May28 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
MY DELICIOUS Dec29 Dec09 Nov17 Oct13 Sep18 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
DARN THAT SONG Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 Nov22 Oct24 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  HOLIDAY JAZZ Jan20 Jan13 Nov27 Oct28 Oct06 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-6   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EGYPT         (de horacio)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  COMMON PROSPERITY         (de paz)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00    
CLOUD MUSIC         (chapman james )TORRES A 113 30.00    
LOGIN REQUIRED Dec16 Nov06 Aug22     (camejo m)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00 9% 10.00    
WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jan06         (lakeman an)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00    
MO THAN LUCK Jan06 Dec10       (ryerson t)PENNINGTON F 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
TOXIC GRAY Dec30         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 5% 17.40    
FAST BOAT TO SKYE Jan21 Dec16 Oct22     (donk david)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
MOORE'S LAW         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  LEONIDS Jan20         (beattie m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
 
AQU-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO CASH Jan21 Jan15 Oct21 Aug24 Jun30 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Jan21 Jan07 Dec08 Nov18 Sep30 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00    
PIT BOSS Jan07 Dec16 Nov15 Nov02 Oct27 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
MY FRIENDS BEER Jan21 Dec29 Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 12.00    
COOL QUARTET Feb05 Jan21 Dec18 Nov14 Oct24 (noda )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10% 9.40    
LEDDY Dec17 Nov05 Sep24 Aug03   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
SUNDAESWITHSANDY Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 Oct07 Sep04 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 6.00    
IRISH HONOR Jan30 Jan09 Nov09 Oct25 Sep24 (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 123 12.00    
SCR  AMERICAN RULE Jan15 Jul22 Jun16 May15 Apr21 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
10  SWIFT TAP Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Oct22 Aug27 (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 123 10.00    
 
AQU-8   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANEJO Jan05 Dec01 Oct22 Sep24 Aug26 (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
1A  LOOSE GOOSE Dec23 Jul30 Jul10 Apr09   (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
SHIPSATIONAL Jan13 Dec02 Oct29 Oct08 Mar12 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SON OF AN EX Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Jun30 May28 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
SILVER SEEKER Dec10 Nov06       (lacroix ge)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 15% 5.50    
PATIENT CAPITAL Jan14 Dec18 Nov26 Oct02 Sep03 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
ROYAL TRYST Jan14 Jan05 Dec18 Dec03 Nov26 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
MACALLAN Jun09 Apr09 Feb12 Jan14   (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
MAGIA NERA Jan13 Jul02 Jun24 May15 Apr09 (breen j)PENNINGTON F 123 20.00    
GIANT'S FIRE Nov11 Feb12 Jan14     (terranova john)TORRES A 113 15.00    
 
AQU-9   02/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCTIC ARROGANCE Jan07 Dec03 Oct30 Sep29 Sep05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60 43% 1.30    
PROVE RIGHT Jan07 Dec11 Dec03 Nov06 Oct08 (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
JUNGFRAU Dec31 Nov20 Sep03     (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
HIT SHOW Dec17 Nov26 Oct09     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 21% 3.70    
GENERAL BANKER Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Oct16 Sep29 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
NINETYPRCENTMADDIE Jan03 Nov29 Oct31 Aug22 Jul09 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Jan07 Oct17 Oct01 Aug26 Jul16 (breen j)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00    
 
AQU-10   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTINUPISHARDTODO         (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  WILLINTORISKITALL         (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
SOMAMA BEACH Jan08 Dec17 Sep22 Sep05   (persaud randi)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
CENTRAL LOVE Nov17 Oct09 Sep22     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
SCR  METAMORPHOSES Jan05 Nov27 Oct16     (levine bruc)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
EXCALIBRATE Jan29 Jan05 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
M. C. DOUBLE R Jan21 Dec17 Nov17 Oct22 Sep22 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 12.00    
FOUR EYES Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 Nov02   (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
LIEUTENANT SAM Jan21 Dec11 Nov17     (bond h)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00    
10  MILAGROSO Jan21 Dec11       (brown r)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
11  CAMM' DUKE Jan21 Dec17 Nov27 Oct21 Jul29 (ryerson t)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.