The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Sunday - February 26, 2023

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AQU-1   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer  ($25 Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
:243 :482 1:141 1:281   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONIGHT WE LOVE 1 3 2½ 1½ 14 18 115¼ (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 1.40 47% 1.10 1.50 W
FROSTY INVASION 2 4 52 3 34 28 215¼ (schettino )DAVIS A 122 2.00 11% 8.50 2.80 P
TREAT STREET 4 5 4 43 24 311½ 325 (hennig mark)VARGAS A 122 3.50 16% 5.30 3.05 S
MENILY 6 2 1½ 2½ 45 414½ 431¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50 3.70  
VIRTUAL BEAUTY 3 1 3½ 5 514 527½ 552¾ (goberdha)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 28.25  
HAIL BRITANNIA 5 6 6 6 620 633½ 658¾ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
 
AQU-2   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
:222 :443 1:094     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRISONER 2 1 12 14   15 1(baker charlton)TORRES A 116 3.50 3.00  
THINKABOUTIT 6 4 4 37   36 2(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 2.20 P
JEMOGRAPHY 1 2 6 5   47 3(englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 8% 12.10 5.80 S
NUCLEAR OPTION 4 3 22 24   25 4(penaloza migue)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 5.00 16% 5.40 7.70  
ALCOOLS 3 6 3 4   511 5(jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 19.40  
LAFITTE'S FLEET 5 5 5 610   611 6(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 49% 1.00 2.05  
 
AQU-3   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer  ($25 Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
:23 :463 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREVOR BARDETTE 2 1 11 1   15 15 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 19% 4.20 1.65 W
REUNION TOUR 7 4 6 33   25 25 (ferraro w)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50 15% 5.60 4.00 P
THE GREAT GAZOO 6 5 4 2   36 310½ (gorham michael )FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.65 S
NOAH'S DESTINY 5 2 21 44   4418 (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 122 20.00 35.75  
MR. BUSTA 3 6 5 711   715 518¾ (follett norman)TORRES A 115 20.00 48.00  
IRON HORIZON 4 3 31 6   614½ 621¾ (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 9% 9.90 7.30  
TYRANNOSAURUS REX 1 7 7 58   513 723 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00 12.70  
 
AQU-4   02/26/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
:23 :46 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREATEST LOVE 1 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 1(rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 43% 1.40 1.80 W
ICY REPLY 4 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 2(sanchez-salomon r)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 10.30  
TILSA 2 3 3 33   33(lake scott )VARGAS A 123 4.00 6.50 S
PRAIRIE FIRE 6 5 4 44   59 413½ (clarke dylan)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 3.40  
VIRADIA 5 6 64 5   4514 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 24% 3.10 1.70  
EXFILTRATION 3 4 5 6   610½ 618 (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00 5% 19.00 56.00  
SCR  WAIT A MINUTE               (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-5   02/26/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer  ($40 Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 2:51
:23 :463 1:134     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEYBIGNOSE 2 6 68 5   3½ 1(lynch natalia)TORRES A 113 6.00 10.60  
UKRAINIAN PRINCESS 5 2 32 3   41 2(levine)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 50% 1.00 3.15 P
LADY BANKER 1 1 1½ 2nk   1½ 3(gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 14% 5.90 1.45 S
BERNING HONOR 3 5 2½ 1nk   2½ 413¾ (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 7% 14.20 6.10  
APEROL SPRITZ 7 4 4 4   59 516¼ (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 8% 11.20 2.90  
FORALLTHEGIRLS 4 7 710½ 715¼   610 616¾ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 19.70  
REIGN OF THUNDER 6 3 54 615   726 751 (goberdhan chandr)RICHARDS G 120 30.00 65.25  
 
AQU-6   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
:22 :453 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE JAMES 1 2 43 43   54 1hd (handal raym)VARGAS A 120 6.00 30% 2.40 11.30 W
WINNING DRIVE 3 5 57 54   42 2hd (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 17% 5.10 2.45 P
MARVIN 2 1 2 2nk   1nk 3(tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 8.60  
CHARLIE FIVE O 7 4 1 1nk   2nk 43 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 17% 4.90 2.10  
FOREVER WICKED 5 7 713½ 713   75(jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 8.20  
CASALSA 6 3 3 3   365 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 2.85  
STANDUP 4 6 611 68   676 (ferraro james )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00 10% 9.40 28.50  
 
AQU-7   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
:233 :463 1:104 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADDY KNOWS 7 3 1½ 1nk 12 11(handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 13% 6.60 5.00 W
MY FRIENDS BEER 5 2 4 43 3 22(schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 5.00 7.90 P
COOL QUARTET 1 4 32 31 4 33(noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 19% 4.20 2.60 S
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD 6 5 53 54 5 5412¾ (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 4.10  
TRUCULENT 3 1 2½ 2nk 22 45 513¼ (baker charlton)TORRES A 113 2.50 34% 1.90 2.35  
CRYPTO CASH 4 6 64 66 612 612 616 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 120 8.00 12% 7.50 8.30  
MICROSCOPE 2 7 76 7 712¼ 712¼ 722¼ (quick)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 24.50  
 
AQU-8   02/26/2023 6600ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
:242 :493 1:132 1:383   2:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SKATE 6 1½ 1½ 1 1 15 1(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 37% 1.70 2.90 W
CURBSTONE 2 55 6 35 3 25 2(morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 116 0.80 0.45  
TIMBUKTU 4 2½ 2½ 2 2 37 313 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 14% 6.00 10.00 S
MAILMAN'S A FLYER 1 33 5 411½ 413½ 414½ (cash l)TORRES A 116 15.00 12% 7.20 24.25  
BOLD VICTORY 5 65 47 513½ 515 515¾ (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 15% 5.80 8.20  
UNION LIGHTS 3 43 44 6 615½ 624 637¼ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 34.75  
 
AQU-9   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
:232 :463 1:122 1:254   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY MONEY 9 7 1nk 1½ 1½ 11(pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.30 W
12  WANNA WINNA 12 6 8 78 56 22(nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 14.40  
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 3 9 1212¼ 1013 7 44 32 (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 13.70  
MORETHANAFEELING 2 10 31 52 6 74(servis tyler)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 15.00 17.30  
ENGINEER EMPIRE 8 8 7 3 32 35(clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 16% 5.30 7.30  
11  DUDLEY DICKERSON 11 12 1110¼ 89 89 86(linder j)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00 19.90  
GEM MINT TEN 4 1 4 42 4 67(handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 12% 7.10 4.90  
13  SCARAMANGA 13 11 2nk 2½ 2½ 5813¾ (breen j)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 10.80  
10  VOLCKER RULES 10 5 9 1113½ 1014 1015¾ 916¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 54.75  
AWESOME FORCE 1 3 5 66 911 914¾ 1022¼ (diprima grego)MARTINEZ R 120 30.00 70.75  
IN MY SHADOW 6 4 10 912½ 1114½ 1117¾ 1128¼ (fisher lin)DAVIS A 120 50.00 81.00  
AMMAN 7 2 6 12100 12100 12100 12100 (donk david)VARGAS A 120 20.00 69.25  
TUNNEL VISION 5 13 13100 13100 13100 13100 13100 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 9.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.