Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5/6)-(1/4/2/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/2/5)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/5)-(5/4/1)-(6/2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/2/6)-(5/4/1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(6/2/7/4)-(1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4/1)-(6/2/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/7/4)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/4)-(1/5/3)-(5/1/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/2/3/7)-(1/5/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(1/7/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3/4)-(5/1/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(1/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/3)-(1/7/3/4)-(3/1/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4/6)-(1/7/3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/3/4)-(3/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/4)-(3/1/7/4)-(6/5/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4/5)-(3/1/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/7/4)-(6/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/4)-(6/5/4/1)-(9/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1/3)-(6/5/4/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/4/1)-(9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (9/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/4)-(9/8/4/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/4)-(9/8/4/11/2)-(9/8/4/11/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONIGHT WE LOVE Feb02 Jan13 Jan05 Dec08 Nov12 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 1.40 47% 1.10    
2  FROSTY INVASION Feb02 Jan13 Dec08 Nov12 Sep24 (schettin)DAVIS A 122 2.00 11% 8.50    
3  VIRTUAL BEAUTY Feb10 Jan22 Dec16 Dec02   (goberd)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
4  TREAT STREET Jan05 Nov12 Oct09 Aug31 Jul23 (hennig ma)VARGAS A 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
5  HAIL BRITANNIA Jan22         (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MENILY Jan05 Nov26 Apr10 Feb05   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-2   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEMOGRAPHY Feb10 Jan01 Dec02 Oct15 Sep17 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 8% 12.10    
2  PRISONER Jan26 Jan01 Dec17 Sep17 Jul23 (baker charlt)TORRES A 116 3.50 ★    
3  ALCOOLS Feb05 Jan22 Sep17 Aug18 Jul16 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00    
4  NUCLEAR OPTION Feb08 Jan19 Jan10 Sep20 Sep02 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
5  LAFITTE'S FLEET Jan26 Jan01 Dec04 Nov05 Sep25 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  THINKABOUTIT Jan21 Nov26 Oct02 Jul24 Jun03 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-3   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYRANNOSAURUS REX Jan27 Jan08 Jul22 Jun21 May21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00 ★    
2  TREVOR BARDETTE Feb12 Jan21 Jan12 Dec15   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 19% 4.20    
3  MR. BUSTA Jan29         (follett norm)TORRES A 115 20.00    
4  IRON HORIZON         (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
5  NOAH'S DESTINY Feb12         (clarke d)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
6  THE GREAT GAZOO Feb05 Jan08 Jun20 May02 Mar07 (gorham michae)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  REUNION TOUR Jan27 Jan05 Dec11 Dec01 Nov11 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
AQU-4   02/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREATEST LOVE Jan20 Dec08 Jul21 Jun19 Jun04 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 43% 1.40    
2  TILSA Jan17 Jan02 Dec09 Nov16 Oct19 (lake scot)VARGAS A 123 4.00 ★    
3  EXFILTRATION Jan22 Dec18 Dec02 Aug04 Feb11 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  ICY REPLY Feb04 Jan16 Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 (sanchez-salomon)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
5  VIRADIA Jan15 Jan05 Dec03 Nov05 Sep29 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 24% 3.10    
SCR  WAIT A MINUTE Apr29 Apr15 Jan27 Jan13   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
7  PRAIRIE FIRE Feb17 Jan20 Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 (clarke dylan)PENNINGTON F 123 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   02/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY BANKER Jan28         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 14% 5.90    
2  JOEYBIGNOSE Jan20 Dec16       (lynch natali)TORRES A 113 6.00    
3  BERNING HONOR Jan19 Oct08 Aug18 Jul27   (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 7% 14.20    
4  FORALLTHEGIRLS         (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 ★    
5  UKRAINIAN PRINCESS Jan27 Dec18       (levi)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 50% 1.00    
6  REIGN OF THUNDER Jan27 Oct23 Oct01 Sep05   (goberdhan ch)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 30.00    
7  APEROL SPRITZ Jan12         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 8% 11.20    
 
AQU-6   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE JAMES Feb13 Jan26 Dec04 Jul20 Jun18 (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
2  MARVIN Jan22 Nov10 Sep23 Aug14 Aug08 (tess)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00    
3  WINNING DRIVE Feb09 Jan19 Nov17 Nov10 Oct16 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 17% 5.10    
4  STANDUP Feb09 Feb02 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00 10% 9.40    
5  FOREVER WICKED Jan07 Dec29 Dec18 Dec01 Nov12 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
6  CASALSA Jan12 Dec10 Sep01 Aug17 Jul10 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 ★    
7  CHARLIE FIVE O         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
AQU-7   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL QUARTET Feb11 Feb05 Jan21 Dec18 Nov14 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  MICROSCOPE Feb10 Jan22 Jan07 Dec02 Mar06 (qui)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
3  TRUCULENT Jan22 Dec08 Nov06 Sep30 Aug11 (baker charlt)TORRES A 113 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  CRYPTO CASH Feb11 Jan21 Jan15 Oct21 Aug24 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
5  MY FRIENDS BEER Feb11 Jan21 Dec29 Nov30 Nov15 (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 5.00 ★    
6  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Jan22 Dec18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep16 (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
7  DADDY KNOWS Jan19 Nov16 Oct24 Oct03 Sep03 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
AQU-8   02/26/2023 6600ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Feb18 Feb04 Jan18 Jan08 Jan01 (cash norman )TORRES A 116 15.00 12% 7.20    
2  CURBSTONE Jan28 Dec09 Nov19 Jul27 Jul02 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 116 0.80    
3  UNION LIGHTS Jan07 Dec17 Nov06 Sep29 Mar20 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 ★    
4  TIMBUKTU Jan26 Dec18 Nov05 Oct07 Sep04 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 14% 6.00    
5  BOLD VICTORY Jan29 Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 Nov08 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
6  GOOD SKATE Jan29 Jan12 Dec16 Sep29 Aug07 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-9   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME FORCE Jan26         (diprima gre)MARTINEZ R 120 30.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of EVER AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  MORETHANAFEELING Jan25 Dec08       (servis tyle)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 15.00 ★    
  (by BLAME out of BLITHELY by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Feb04         (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MATERIUM by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  GEM MINT TEN Jan26         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 12% 7.10    
  (by LAOBAN out of DIXIE GEM by ROBYN DANCER)
5  TUNNEL VISION Jan27 Dec31       (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of R Y SQUADRON by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  IN MY SHADOW Feb09 Jan06 Dec11     (fisher l)DAVIS A 120 50.00    
  (by DESTIN out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  AMMAN Feb09         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
  (by DESERT PARTY out of CHINCHILLA DUST by FREUD)
8  ENGINEER EMPIRE         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of REVEALED by OLD TRIESTE)
9  VICTORY MONEY Nov26         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TRANSACTION TAX by GEMOLOGIST)
10  VOLCKER RULES Jan27         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BINARY BOURBON by DATA LINK)
11  DUDLEY DICKERSON Jan28 Jan03 Nov21     (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00 ★    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
12  WANNA WINNA Jan06 Dec08 Nov13 Sep29   (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
13  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Jan07 Dec03       (breen j)CANCEL ERIC null      
  (by MUNNINGS out of JUDY'S CHANCE by FIRST DUDE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.