Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-5   EXA (10/7/12/11)-(10/7/12/11/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  10-8 $50.40 $18.40 58%
    TRI (10/7/12/11)-(10/7/12/11/8)-(10/7/12/11/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-8-11 $74.95 $50.95 212%
PRX-6   WIN (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $14.60 $6.60 83%
    TRI (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1/8)-(7/5/2/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-5-7 $25.20 $1.20 5%
    SFT (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1/8)-(7/5/2/1/8)-(7/5/2/1/8) 96 $0.10 $9.60  1-5-7-2 $41.75 $32.15 335%
    DD (10/7/12/11)-(7/5/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  10-1 $66.80 $34.80 109%

Simulator Race results

 
PRX-1   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-11:55
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:163 1:303   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUNNY BONUS 6 3 11 1 14 15 1 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 124 6.00 4.20  
FANCY SCEPTER 5 1 21 2 24 25 2 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 2.50 56% 0.80 1.70 P
LORD JOAN 2 7 75 43 37 3 311¼ (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 124 6.00 4.40  
TREASURE SEEKER 4 4 811 810½ 619 417½ 429¼ (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 124 10.00 25.00  
CHARLYS WILD ANGEL 3 5 5 6 518 618½ 529½ (farro patri)DE KEMICH 117 12.00 39.70  
OVERTHEBLUESKY 1 2 43 5 417 518½ 630¼ (bullock jorda)PEREZ M 124 8.00 33.70  
COLLEGE TRY 8 6 6 7 723 726½ 750¼ (pessanha ney)MOYA F 124 8.00 32.70  
MAGNOLIA ROAD 7 8 3 32 823 830½ 860¼ (wyner harold)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 17% 4.80 1.80  
 
PRX-2   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT-12:22
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:154 1:453   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE A PRO 4 7 715 714½ 6 4 1¾ (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00 19.20  
TIZ A SHARPIE 5 5 68 57 4 21 2¾ (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 3.20 P
MOONCHILD 1 3 1 15 14 11 31 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 1.60 43% 1.30 1.30 S
TRIBORD 3 2 44 46 24 3 4 (solis jacinto)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00 7% 13.20 7.90  
TILSA 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.00 12% 7.20 3.60  
TWIRLING WIND 2 1 33 25 34 6 615¾ (tapsas eli)SANCHEZ J 121 20.00 50.40  
MINDING MILLIE 7 4 2 35 712¾ 715½ 726¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 13% 6.60 5.70  
 
PRX-3   01/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:49
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONIC LEGACY 2 3 21 1½   16 110½ (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 2.50 17% 5.00 2.00 W
PELOTA 3 4 4 32   26 210½ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 1.60 30% 2.40 0.80 P
MR. BRIGGS 6 6 63 6   511½ 316¾ (brennan )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00 5% 18.40 3.50 S
TRIPLE AMERICANO 5 2 3 4   411½ 419½ (santaella-c)DE KEMICH 114 15.00 53.70  
DON'T RECALL 1 7 79 712½   615½ 520¼ (polachek janet)MARIANO ABEL 121 15.00 39.30  
REFUND RIGLER 7 1 11 2½   311 621 (guerrero mele)PEREZ M 121 12.00 37.60  
BOOM BOOM KABOOM 4 5 53 5   716 727 (gallimore tre)RIVERA D 121 15.00 5% 17.90 18.70  
SCR  DOHKO               (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
SCR  FIRE'S FINALE               (collazo l)VARGAS A 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
PRX-4   01/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 1:16
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:144     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL REWARD 4 1 12 1   13 1 (crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 8.00  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of STEP N OUT by E DUBAI)
TAKE IT TO THE MAX 1 6 4 33   23 2 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 2.50 30% 2.40 1.20 P
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of R SHADE OF GRAY by MACHO UNO)
BACK TO D' FUTURE 2 5 32 2   33 37 (coletti )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 36% 1.80 2.30 S
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of LULA MAE by UNION RAGS)
BLUE SKY TUNE 6 2 6 57   512 420 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 12.00 33.70  
  (by SHOW TUNE out of TALE OF THE DIVA by TALE OF THE CAT)
DISCREETLIN JONES 3 4 5 67   411 521¾ (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 4.50 7.20  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of DISCREETLIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
THEARCHERORTHEPREY 5 3 22 4   613 627¾ (linder lou)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00 14% 6.00 4.20  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ARCHED by ARCH)
SCR  PHILLIES DIAMOND               (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of FIREY DIAMOND by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
PRX-5   01/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:143     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STRAWBERRY CONE 9 2 2½ 23   1nk 1 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 2.00 31% 2.30 2.40 W
ALMOND CIDER 8 1 1½ 13   2nk 2 (schistl rafael)BISONO J 124 6.00 7.20 P
11  MAJOR CAM 10 3 32 4   4 3 (santaella-cal)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.00 9% 9.70 9.00 S
STAFF SERGEANT 2 6 4 3   36 410½ (hogan william)OCASIO M 124 15.00 1.50  
DUBROVNIK 7 11 1113¾ 1017½   711¼ 512¼ (avila juan )RAMOS C 119 6.00 22% 3.60 6.50  
SIR CUPID 4 8 8 714   610¾ 614 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 20.00 63.70  
12  JEKYLL ISLAND 11 4 6 510½   5 714¾ (stowers mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00 17% 5.00 10.60  
LIGHT WORK 6 10 10 915   813¼ 817½ (simone mich)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 20.00 52.30  
FACTUM LOVE STYLE 1 7 9 814   914¾ 922½ (nicholson jun)RIVERA D 124 20.00 66.30  
ASH OF MY ENEMY 3 5 5 612½   1017¾ 1025½ (smylie timothy )BOWMAN ADAM 124 20.00 55.10  
SEVENTYTIMESSEVEN 5 9 7 1118½   1125¾ 1136½ (diaz jorge)MILAN GERARDO 124 20.00 93.40  
SCR  SOCIAL JOE               (bouchard les)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 12.00    
 
PRX-6   01/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:154 1:453   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE DAKOTAN 1 7 711¾ 7 67 24 1 (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 121 8.00 5% 17.90 6.30 W
SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE 5 3 4 5 46 36 2 (coletti )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.00 27% 2.70 0.90 P
TOUGH WORKOUT 7 4 2½ 2nk 14 14 3 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50 37% 1.70 2.70 S
BOB IN OUR MIDST 2 2 6 6 57 510 412 (padilla-precia)MOYA F 121 6.00 6% 16.60 19.70  
ABOUT THE MULTIPLE 6 6 5 4 35 47 518 (soto c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 10.00 9.40  
VANCOUVER D'ORO 8 5 3½ 3.2 24 614 624 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 4.50 8.30  
SOUL PROVIDER 3 1 1½ 1nk 710 720 732 (whylie herold)MILAN GERARDO 121 12.00 75.30  
OUTWORKNFORAKISS 4 8 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (milian carlos)PEREZ M 121 15.00 27.30  
 
PRX-7   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:131 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGH SEA 1 4 6 6 47 4 1½ (mosco robert)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.50 1.00  
MR. ROUNDTREE 3 3 1nk 32 32 31 2½ (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00 8% 11.90 5.60 P
EXIT RIGHT 5 6 5 2nk 2nk 1nk 3 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 35% 1.90 5.30 S
SILVER EDGE 4 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 4 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00 15% 5.50 5.40  
EL HERMANO 2 7 7 711¼ 714½ 6 5 (ramirez silvi)MILAN GERARDO 121 6.00 16.00  
FLOAT ON 6 1 4 5 5 5 610¾ (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 10.40  
RON DON SCORESE 7 5 31 4 610½ 715½ 723¾ (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 121 4.50 5% 18.10 9.20  
SCR  IN EQUALITY               (abrams rona)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00    
 
PRX-8   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:232 :473 :60     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREEZY GUST 6 2 3.2 1nk   1nk 1 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00 1.60  
EASY DAY 7 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 2 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 32% 2.20 4.40 P
SPLICETHEMAINBRACE 1 4 5 5   33 3 (vega ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50 10.30 S
HE HATE ME 3 7 6 6   55 46 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 3.50 16% 5.20 2.80  
FAST BOB 2 5 7 7   66 5 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00 3.40  
TYCOON (GB) 4 6 4 31   44 6 (linder lou)SANCHEZ J 121 10.00 46.40  
MARTINKELLY 5 3 2nk 42   79 718¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 23% 3.40 18.50  
SCR  ZAEVION               (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
 
PRX-9   01/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:132     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOTPOT 2 2 4 4   3 1¾ (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 2.00  
10  FLAG 6 1 1½ 1   1nk 2¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 2.50  
BUCKS ARE MOVING 1 3 2½ 2   2nk 3 (arce josue)RAMOS C 116 5.00 10% 9.20 8.90 S
YO NESSROUNDONKERN 3 7 78 6   4 4 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 121 6.00 3.50  
IMAGINE THIS 5 4 6 7   58 5 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00 9.80  
BOKERMIN 4 6 54 5   713½ 615 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 10.00 9% 10.50 10.20  
11  MARATHONER 7 5 3 3   613 720 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 121 12.00 9.70  
SCR  CENTER MID MADDIE               (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  DANZAFIED               (catalano m )WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 12.00    
SCR  DOCTOR DOOM               (servis john)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  OUCH OUCH OUCH               (maymo alejandr)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00    
 
PRX-10   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:151 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET MAVEN 6 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 14 111½ (solis jacint)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 4.50 0.40  
EXPENSIVE CUT 4 4 42 3½ 3 3 211½ (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.00 7.80 P
SEICHE 3 5 3 4¾ 2½ 24 311¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 20% 3.90 3.20 S
THISTLE 5 3 63 5 56 510½ 418½ (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 7.00  
PIONEER SPIRIT 1 1 1½ 1nk 45 410½ 522¼ (bre)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 49% 1.10 26.60  
NONEEDTOWORRY 2 6 53 6 67 612½ 629¼ (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00 47.20  
SCR  BE ONBOARD               (jones micha)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  UNDERCOVER KITTY               (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00    
 
PRX-11   01/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AKEMI 7 7 53 2nk   13 1 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 15.00 8.60  
REITERATE 3 9 32 6   45 2 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 14.70  
MAGICAL ANNA 6 6 4 42   3 3 (farro patricia)BOWMAN ADAM 124 15.00 5% 18.00 20.70 S
12  VITAEMI 12 1 12 1nk   23 44 (jones michae)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 3.00 11% 8.20 4.30  
PROSPERA 1 3 9 8   78 5 (preciado hugo)RIVERA D 121 8.00 13.40  
LIVE AID 2 5 65 7   67 6 (kirby john)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00 6.80  
11  ONE WILD WOMAN 11 12 11 10   89 75 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 5.00 16% 5.10 11.90  
SNOW FORECAST 5 4 22 3   55 8 (shaw j)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 5% 17.70 3.10  
GIA'S FUEGO 8 10 1211¼ 1211¼   1010½ 96 (rosado robert)MILAN GERARDO 121 15.00 41.20  
AWESOME PAL 4 11 10 9   1110¾ 10 (martinez alex)PEREZ M 121 6.00 22.30  
10  BOURBON SOCIAL 10 2 8 11   1210¾ 11 (patterson k)DE KEMICH 114 4.00 33% 2.00 4.00  
POWWA OF LOVE 9 8 7 5   9 12 (soto c)OCASIO M 124 15.00 42.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.