Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-3   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/8/1)-(3/7/2/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-7-1 $39.00 $21.00 117%
    SFT (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/8/1)-(3/7/2/8/1)-(3/7/2/8/1) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-7-1-2 $20.20 $13.00 181%
AQU-4   WIN (1/6/7/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $32.20 $22.20 222%
    EXA (1/6/7/3/4)-(1/6/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-6 $71.75 $51.75 259%
    TRI (1/6/7/3/4)-(1/6/7/3/4)-(1/6/7/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-6-1 $80.75 $50.75 169%
    DD (3/7/2)-(1/6/7/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-3 $88.25 $73.25 488%
AQU-5   SFT (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/4/1)-(8/7/2/4/1)-(8/7/2/4/1) 72 $0.10 $7.20  7-8-2-1 $9.15 $1.95 27%
    DD (1/6/7/3/4)-(8/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-7 $58.00 $43.00 287%
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(1/6/7/3/4)-(8/7/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00  3-3-7 $373.50 $328.50 730%
AQU-6   WIN (4/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.30 $1.30 16%
    EXA (4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-4 $18.90 $2.90 18%
    PK3 (1/6/7/3/4)-(8/7/2)-(4/5/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00  3-7-7 $314.00 $254.00 423%
AQU-8   WIN (12/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    PK4 (8/7/2)-(4/5/7/8)-(7/9/3)-(12/8/6/9) 144 $0.50 $72.00  7-7-3/9-12 $73.50 $1.50 2%
    PK5 (1/6/7/3/4)-(8/7/2)-(4/5/7/8)-(7/9/3)-(12/8/6/9) 720 $0.50 $360  3-7-7-3/9-12 $2975 $2615 726%
    PK6 (3/7/2)-(1/6/7/3/4)-(8/7/2)-(4/5/7/8)-(7/9/3)-(12/8/6/9) 2160 $1.00 $2160  3-3-7-7-3/9-12 $17612 $15452 715%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:133 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOUNDS SPOOKY 2 4 31½ 31½ 22 1nk 1nk (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 42% 1.40 0.70 W
3  STORMANDY 3 5 1½ 2nk 12 2nk 2nk (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 12% 7.10 3.60 P
6  STEADY PROGRESS 6 2 42 53 42½ 3½ 31¼ (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.80 S
5  THAT'S MY BUSINESS 5 1 2½ 1nk 32½ 42 45¾ (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 10.50  
1  DISTURBED 1 6 52½ 42½ 54 54½ 511 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 ★ 6.20  
4  AWESOME WEAPON 4 3 67 67 610½ 616½ 628½ (forde jason)RICHARDS G 120 20.00 9% 9.60 35.00  
 
AQU-2   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:141 1:282   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MARIAH'S FORTUNE 5 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 12 12½ (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 116 4.00 6.60  
1  INDIAN BELLA 3 3 32 32 33 22 22½ (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 44% 1.30 2.40 P
3  BLUE PAYNT 2 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 32 32½ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 13% 7.00 2.90 S
7  ITS COLD IN DEHERE 7 7 54 45 56½ 56¼ 44½ (tos)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 9% 10.50 4.10  
6  PRAIRIE FIRE 6 6 42½ 65¾ 45½ 46 57¼ (clarke dylan)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
4  GRINGOTTS 4 4 65 55¼ 69 69¾ 610½ (kles)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 10.60  
2  VALLARAND 1 5 75 77¾ 712 713¼ 713¼ (martin carlos )PENNINGTON F 123 3.50 11% 8.20 4.50  
SCR  VIRADIA               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
AQU-3   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:131 1:27   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 3 6 41½ 31 11½ 15½ 18½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 37% 1.70 2.40 W
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KHANCORD KID by LEMON DROP KID)
7  REFUAH 7 4 62¾ 52½ 42½ 25½ 28½ (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 20% 4.10 1.80 P
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
1  OLYMPIC DREAMS 1 5 51¾ 63½ 56½ 512 313¼ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 ★ 11.70 S
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  CENTRAL PRIDE 2 1 1½ 1nk 32 49 414½ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 16% 5.10 9.00  
  (by LORD NELSON out of COREY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  VALENTINO'S HERE 4 8 814¾ 810½ 69½ 614 516 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 46.00  
  (by LAOBAN out of NEVER MISS A TRICK by ANASHEED)
8  EIGHT AND SAND 8 3 2½ 2nk 21½ 39 618½ (giangiulio mic)PENNINGTON F 122 4.00 ★ 5.40  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
6  SQUID GAMER 6 7 76¾ 74 813 719½ 724¾ (baker cha)VARGAS A 122 10.00 7.80  
  (by VIOLENCE out of SHOW ME THE CARATS by MORE THAN READY)
5  TIE BREAKER 5 2 3½ 41½ 712½ 823½ 836¼ (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 11.40  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SHE'LL BE RIGHT by SKY MESA)
 
AQU-4   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14 1:272   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  IRISH EXIT 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 11½ 11½ (servis c)PENNINGTON F 120 12.00 13% 7.00 15.10 W
6  FROMANOTHAMUTHA 5 2 2½ 21 42½ 32½ 21½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 17% 4.70 2.60 P
1  COMPLETE AGENDA 1 3 31½ 32 31 42½ 31½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 24% 3.20 1.60 S
2  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) 2 5 42 42 2½ 21½ 46 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 3.00  
7  BLU GROTTO 6 4 617½ 619½ 615½ 613¾ 514¾ (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50 14% 6.40 4.70  
4  HANG TIGHT 4 6 513 516 515½ 513½ 615 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
SCR  BREADMAN               (persaud rand)TORRES A 116 6.00    
 
AQU-5   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FABULOUSLY FUNNY 7 1 21 1½   11½ 11 (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 26% 2.80 1.85 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JUST FABULOUS by INCLUDE)
8  SPELTERINI 8 4 42 31   31½ 21 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 27% 2.70 2.00 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
2  RISK FREE 2 5 77¾ 64   53¾ 32¼ (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 25% 3.00 10.00 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
1  WONDER GIRL 1 3 11 2½   21½ 45 (klesaris rob)TORRES A 113 15.00 ★ 15.10  
  (by KLIMT out of LADY LYDIE by TALE OF EKATI)
4  SWANSON LAKE 4 7 31 42   43½ 58 (mccarthy mich)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★ 3.00  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SCATTERED CLOUDS by SCAT DADDY)
3  MY GIRL JAL 3 8 814¾ 810½   87¾ 68¼ (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 120 20.00 43.75  
  (by PALACE out of DYNAMITE DAME by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  BALENTINA 6 2 64¼ 76   66¾ 78¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 15.80  
  (by TAPWRIT out of WAKE ME UP by ACT OF WAR)
5  TAP IT UP 5 6 52¼ 53½   77¾ 813¼ (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 34.25  
  (by TAPWRIT out of POCKET OF ACES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
AQU-6   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAJORITY PARTNER 6 7 21½ 21½   31 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 13% 6.80 3.65 W
4  SCILLY CAY 3 1 79 712½   76¼ 2¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 33% 2.10 4.30 P
6  LISTENTOYOURHEART 5 4 43½ 33   21 3½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 11.40  
2  DURKIN'S CALL 2 5 57½ 68½   44½ 41¼ (baker charlton)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00 ★ 11.50  
8  EXCELLENT TIMING 7 2 11½ 11½   11 53½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 7% 13.10 1.15  
1  MASKED MARAUDER 1 6 68 57½   65¾ 64½ (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00 19.10  
5  WRITER'S REGRET 4 3 31½ 45½   54¾ 74½ (d'alessandro)TORRES A 113 5.00 24% 3.20 7.40  
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK               (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
 
AQU-7   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:002     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF 8 5 3½ 11   12½ 11¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 24% 3.20 0.65 W
7  MIDTOWN LIGHTS 6 1 51¾ 21   22½ 21¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 44% 1.30 2.65 P
5  SECURITY CODE 4 7 41½ 63½   46 38¾ (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 6.80  
4  QUEENS MASTERPIECE 3 8 83¾ 53   36 49 (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 12.70  
1  LOCKBOX 1 2 2½ 43   58 515¼ (d'alessandro r)PENNINGTON F 122 20.00 ★ 30.00  
8  MY SWEET KHAILE 7 6 62¼ 77½   610½ 615¼ (romero rafael)MILAN GERARDO 120 30.00 57.75  
6  VAX 5 4 72¾ 88½   712½ 718 (maker mic)VARGAS A 122 10.00 ★ 28.50  
2  PRETTY MISS KEENS 2 3 1½ 31½   813 824½ (weaver georg)TORRES A 113 20.00 33.50  
SCR  LUNA LOCA               (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
 
AQU-8   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:013     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FLATTERING GAL 11 7 87¾ 65¼   32½ 13½ (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50 25% 3.10 3.70 W
1  FULIGNI 1 3 1nk 1½   1½ 23½ (bond harold )TORRES A 118 6.00 ★ 3.20 P
4  MY INNER VOICE 4 10 65¼ 55   56 36 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 118 20.00 45.50  
9  MRS BELL 8 6 109¾ 1012¾   812 46 (luc)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00 6% 14.60 17.10  
11  FOLLOW THE FED 10 5 44½ 42   43½ 56½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 8.20  
8  BAD CONNECTION 7 1 3½ 2½   2½ 67 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 23% 3.30 2.25  
3  WINE GODDESS 3 9 98¼ 79¼   79 79½ (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 9.70  
5  MADAME ROSE 5 2 2nk 32   69 818 (jones ed)DAVIS A 125 20.00 30.50  
2  DELIGHTFUL RITA 2 11 1115¾ 1117¾   1116¾ 919 (donk david)LUZZI J 118 20.00 21.00  
7  WAR MUSEUM 6 8 76¼ 912¾   1014¼ 1020¼ (levi)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 10.00 38.00  
10  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY 9 4 55 812¼   914 1120¾ (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00 16.70  
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY               (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 125 12.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.