The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Friday - February 17, 2023

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AQU-1   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
:241 :48 1:133 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUNDS SPOOKY 2 4 3 3 22 1nk 1nk (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 42% 1.40 0.70 W
STORMANDY 3 5 1½ 2nk 12 2nk 2nk (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 12% 7.10 3.60 P
STEADY PROGRESS 6 2 42 53 4 3½ 3(chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.80 S
THAT'S MY BUSINESS 5 1 2½ 1nk 3 42 4(progn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 10.50  
DISTURBED 1 6 5 4 54 5511 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 6.20  
AWESOME WEAPON 4 3 67 67 610½ 616½ 628½ (forde jason)RICHARDS G 120 20.00 9% 9.60 35.00  
 
AQU-2   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
:234 :474 1:141 1:282   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIAH'S FORTUNE 5 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 12 1(rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 4.00 6.60  
INDIAN BELLA 3 3 32 32 33 22 2(englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 44% 1.30 2.40 P
BLUE PAYNT 2 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 32 3(kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 13% 7.00 2.90 S
ITS COLD IN DEHERE 7 7 54 45 5 54(tosca)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 9% 10.50 4.10  
PRAIRIE FIRE 6 6 4 6 4 46 5(clarke dylan)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
GRINGOTTS 4 4 65 5 69 6610½ (klesar)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 10.60  
VALLARAND 1 5 75 7 712 713¼ 713¼ (martin f)PENNINGTON F 123 3.50 11% 8.20 4.50  
SCR  VIRADIA               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
AQU-3   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
:232 :472 1:131 1:27   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 3 6 4 31 1 11(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 37% 1.70 2.40 W
REFUAH 7 4 6 5 4 22(walder r)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 20% 4.10 1.80 P
OLYMPIC DREAMS 1 5 5 6 5 512 313¼ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 11.70 S
CENTRAL PRIDE 2 1 1½ 1nk 32 49 414½ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 16% 5.10 9.00  
VALENTINO'S HERE 4 8 814¾ 810½ 6 614 516 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 46.00  
EIGHT AND SAND 8 3 2½ 2nk 2 39 618½ (giangiulio miche)PENNINGTON F 122 4.00 5.40  
SQUID GAMER 6 7 7 74 813 719½ 724¾ (baker charl)VARGAS A 122 10.00 7.80  
TIE BREAKER 5 2 3½ 4 712½ 823½ 836¼ (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 11.40  
 
AQU-4   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
:242 :484 1:14 1:272   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH EXIT 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 11(servis c)PENNINGTON F 120 12.00 13% 7.00 15.10 W
FROMANOTHAMUTHA 5 2 2½ 21 4 32(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 17% 4.70 2.60 P
COMPLETE AGENDA 1 3 3 32 31 43(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 24% 3.20 1.60 S
DOCTOR LOVE 2 5 42 42 2½ 246 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 3.00  
BLU GROTTO 6 4 617½ 619½ 615½ 613¾ 514¾ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50 14% 6.40 4.70  
HANG TIGHT 4 6 513 516 515½ 513½ 615 (thompson m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
SCR  BREADMAN               (persaud randi)TORRES A 116 6.00    
 
AQU-5   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 3:22
:234 :481 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABULOUSLY FUNNY 7 1 21 1½   111 (dutrow w)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 26% 2.80 1.85 W
SPELTERINI 8 4 42 31   321 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 27% 2.70 2.00 P
RISK FREE 2 5 7 64   53(delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 25% 3.00 10.00 S
WONDER GIRL 1 3 11 2½   245 (klesaris rober)TORRES A 113 15.00 15.10  
SWANSON LAKE 4 7 31 42   458 (mccarthy michae)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 3.00  
MY GIRL JAL 3 8 814¾ 810½   86(legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 120 20.00 43.75  
BALENTINA 6 2 6 76   67(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 15.80  
TAP IT UP 5 6 5 5   7813¼ (ryerso)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 34.25  
 
AQU-6   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
:23 :462 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJORITY PARTNER 6 7 2 2   31 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 13% 6.80 3.65 W
SCILLY CAY 3 1 79 712½   72¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 33% 2.10 4.30 P
LISTENTOYOURHEART 5 4 4 33   21 3½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 11.40  
DURKIN'S CALL 2 5 5 6   44(baker charlton)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00 11.50  
EXCELLENT TIMING 7 2 1 1   11 5(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 7% 13.10 1.15  
MASKED MARAUDER 1 6 68 5   66(martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00 19.10  
WRITER'S REGRET 4 3 3 4   57(d'alessandro r)TORRES A 113 5.00 24% 3.20 7.40  
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK               (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
 
AQU-7   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:26
:231 :482 1:002     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF 8 5 3½ 11   11(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 24% 3.20 0.65 W
MIDTOWN LIGHTS 6 1 5 21   22(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 44% 1.30 2.65 P
SECURITY CODE 4 7 4 6   46 3(serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 6.80  
QUEENS MASTERPIECE 3 8 8 53   36 49 (bond james)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 12.70  
LOCKBOX 1 2 2½ 43   58 515¼ (d'alessandro ral)PENNINGTON F 122 20.00 30.00  
MY SWEET KHAILE 7 6 6 7   610½ 615¼ (romero rafael)MILAN GERARDO 120 30.00 57.75  
VAX 5 4 7 8   712½ 718 (maker micha)VARGAS A 122 10.00 28.50  
PRETTY MISS KEENS 2 3 1½ 3   813 824½ (weaver george)TORRES A 113 20.00 33.50  
SCR  LUNA LOCA               (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
 
AQU-8   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
:232 :483 1:013     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FLATTERING GAL 11 7 8 6   31(noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50 25% 3.10 3.70 W
FULIGNI 1 3 1nk 1½   1½ 2(bond ja)TORRES A 118 6.00 3.20 P
MY INNER VOICE 4 10 6 55   56 36 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 118 20.00 45.50  
MRS BELL 8 6 10 1012¾   812 46 (lucas)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00 6% 14.60 17.10  
11  FOLLOW THE FED 10 5 4 42   45(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 8.20  
BAD CONNECTION 7 1 3½ 2½   2½ 67 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 23% 3.30 2.25  
WINE GODDESS 3 9 9 7   79 7(klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 9.70  
MADAME ROSE 5 2 2nk 32   69 818 (jones edua)DAVIS A 125 20.00 30.50  
DELIGHTFUL RITA 2 11 1115¾ 1117¾   1116¾ 919 (donk david)LUZZI J 118 20.00 21.00  
WAR MUSEUM 6 8 7 912¾   1014¼ 1020¼ (levine)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 10.00 38.00  
10  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY 9 4 55 812¼   914 1120¾ (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00 16.70  
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY               (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 125 12.00 21% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.