Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
PEN-2   Win (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $14.80  
PEN-3   Win (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $4.00  
PEN-4   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.40  
PEN-5   Win (4/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $18.80  
PEN-6   Win (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
PEN-7   Win (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   01/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:133 1:40   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILOR SPEED 1 5 42 1½ 14 15 12 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.00 41% 1.40 0.50 W
ICE BAR 5 6 6 43 59 4 22 (pickett cry)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.50 6.10 P
BOSSY CAT 2 4 1½ 2½ 24 25 3 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 4.80 S
AMERICAN FORCES 4 3 2½ 32 3 3 4 (pattershall ma)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 21% 3.80 14.00  
PEAKY BLINKERS 7 7 7 710 613 612½ 5 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 11.80  
LONG TOM 3 2 54 5 49 511½ 6 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 5.00 11.50  
PRINCIPALITY 6 1 32 64 714 718½ 719¼ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 49.40  
 
PEN-2   01/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST MY VOWCHER 7 8 7 66 4 11 1 (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 10.00 6.40  
FRIENDLY FELLA 4 2 4¾ 3½ 1nk 21 2 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 6.50  
CHARGING LION 8 5 5 52 6 5 35 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 32.70 S
SOUPER CATCH 2 4 1½ 1nk 3.2 33 45 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 52% 0.90 1.50  
MYSTIC LINK 3 1 3½ 2nk 2nk 43 5 (ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 9% 10.10 2.30  
TRIPLE A. PLUS 1 6 2½ 41 5 6 6 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 11% 8.00 6.60  
MISSISSIPPI 5 3 6 7 7 7 79 (perez ruperto)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 5.00 12.60  
O K GAME ON 6 7 8 810½ 810¼ 811¼ 813 (moreno-barban l)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 61.40  
 
PEN-3   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHATTER ME 4 2 3 3½   12 1 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 1.00  
BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD 5 3 6 53   43 2 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 6.50 P
FAIR LASSIE 6 4 22 2½   22 35 (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 122 6.00 11.80  
MEMPHIS MAFIA 2 6 4 65   64 4 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 2.50 33% 2.00 4.00  
FAIRY DUST 3 7 7 4   5 5 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 34% 1.90 6.80  
STARSHIP REINA 7 1 12 1½   32 6 (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 122 4.50 7% 13.00 5.50  
MAGICALLYDELICIOUS 1 5 5 79   710 713¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 27.90  
 
PEN-4   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :462 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ACCOUNT 2 5 5 4   23 12 (cash l)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 4.00 4.70  
REAWAKENED 3 1 1½ 1   13 22 (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 13.80  
FALSE RULING 6 4 32 3   3 3 (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 34.40  
LA LENA 4 2 2½ 2   47 411¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 50% 1.00 0.40  
SHASHKA 1 3 44 5   511 513½ (albright geor)INIRIO J 124 6.00 6.70  
OUR JESSICA JOAN 5 6 614½ 618½   619 614¾ (houghton th)VARGAS L 120 5.00 14% 6.00 7.90  
SCR  CAPE COD SALLY               (maroun dougla)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  LADY BERNADETTE               (diaz jorge)MILAN GERARDO 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:12 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON WARRIOR 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 12 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 8.40  
LINGFIELD PARK 3 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 21 22 (schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 3.90 P
MEAN MACHINE 5 4 56 57 44 34 3 (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 9.20  
OUR LUCKY MAN 2 6 6 6 5 46 45 (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.00 30% 2.30 1.70  
BLUEBERRY MASH 1 5 4 45 6 5 5 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00 23.20  
KAZ SUGAR BANK 6 3 31 31 3 614½ 620¼ (synnefias d)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 1.50  
SCR  BURGEE               (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 6% 15.90    
SCR  CELTIC TREASURE               (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER               (smith lawre)VARGAS L 120 30.00    
 
PEN-6   01/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113 1:382   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIME TIME PLAYER 2 1 2nk 1½ 1½ 1 1 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 28% 2.60 0.90 W
C C'S KINGDOM 4 4 1nk 2½ 2½ 2 2 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 2.60 P
MAILMAN'S A FLYER 7 6 7 78 7 4 3 (cash l)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 4.50 25% 3.00 6.00 S
CHROME DIXIE 5 3 32 4 3 35 4 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 14% 6.10 8.70  
TUCKERTON BAY 1 7 5 5 57 5 511¾ (ippolito mark)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 21.30  
FORMAL ORDER 6 5 6 6 67 710 613½ (lake a)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00 18.00  
RACING IN THE RAIN 3 2 4 32 44 6 715½ (chircop ste)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 10% 9.30 11.30  
 
PEN-7   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARGO SHIP 7 3 2½ 11   11 11 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 11% 8.00 3.30 W
PAPA TONY 4 4 32 4   21 21 (dimitriou h)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 8% 11.00 3.40 P
RAPID RESPONSE 5 5 5 3   32 33 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 4.70  
TRUE GOLD 1 7 65 6   66 4 (ferreira fernand)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 5.70  
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND 3 8 8 5   5 57 (pickett cry)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00 7.00  
THE GREAT CASBY 6 6 79 7   78 69 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 30.00 30.50  
WILD CARAMELO 2 1 1½ 21   44 713 (flores-c)GONZALEZ JR 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.90  
TOMASCO 8 2 4 810½   811 821½ (farley j)FLORES E 122 20.00 45.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.