Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5/2/3)-(1/4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/1/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/1/3/8)-(3/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8/7)-(2/1/3/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/8)-(3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/8)-(3/2/7)-(6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/4/5)-(3/2/7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(6/7)-(2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(2/8)-(2/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/8)-(2/7/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(2/7/5/3)-(2/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/4)-(2/7/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/1/3)-(2/7/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAILOR SPEED Dec20 Dec02 Sep29 Sep11 Aug31 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
2  BOSSY CAT Jan06 Dec20 Dec06 Nov18 Nov04 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 ★    
3  LONG TOM Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Nov15 Jun01 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 5.00 ★    
4  AMERICAN FORCES Dec12 Nov16 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 (pattershall )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
5  ICE BAR Jan05 Dec01 Nov23 Nov03 Oct22 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.50 ★    
6  PRINCIPALITY Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 Oct21 Sep29 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
7  PEAKY BLINKERS Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Sep01 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   01/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE A. PLUS Dec28 Dec06 Nov02 Oct14 May27 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
2  SOUPER CATCH Dec01 Nov12 Oct01 Aug19 Jul29 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  MYSTIC LINK Dec21 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep08 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 9% 10.10    
4  FRIENDLY FELLA Dec21 Nov27 Oct16 Sep03 Aug19 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
5  MISSISSIPPI Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 Sep05 Jul25 (perez ruper)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 5.00    
6  O K GAME ON Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep22 (moreno-barban)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
7  LOST MY VOWCHER Dec20 Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Sep04 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 10.00 ★    
8  CHARGING LION Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Dec16 Nov18 Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
2  MEMPHIS MAFIA Dec28 Dec16 Nov25 Nov02 Oct10 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  FAIRY DUST Dec20 Nov04 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
4  SHATTER ME Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Sep07 Aug05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 ★    
5  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Dec16 Nov25 Oct19 Sep21 Sep02 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 ★    
6  FAIR LASSIE Nov16 Oct31 Oct19 Aug29 Aug01 (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 6.00    
7  STARSHIP REINA Dec16 Nov25 Nov01 Oct07 Sep28 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 122 4.50 7% 13.00    
 
PEN-4   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHASHKA Dec27 Dec16 Apr20 Mar11 Feb18 (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  LADY BERNADETTE Dec16 Dec07 Nov28 Nov08 Oct24 (diaz jorge)MILAN GERARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  CAPE COD SALLY Dec16 Nov18 Oct19 Oct07 Sep23 (maroun doug)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 10% 8.70    
4  GOLDEN ACCOUNT Dec31 Dec10 Dec03 Aug07 Jun11 (cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 4.00 ★    
5  REAWAKENED Dec14 Sep17 Sep02 Jul16 Jun26 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
6  LA LENA Dec21 Nov22 Sep23 Sep08 Jun30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 50% 1.00    
7  OUR JESSICA JOAN Dec21 Nov22 Oct18 Sep16 Aug12 (houghton )VARGAS L 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
8  FALSE RULING Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 May05 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEBERRY MASH Dec16 Nov22 Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00    
2  OUR LUCKY MAN Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 Oct16 Sep25 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  LINGFIELD PARK Dec13 Nov22 Oct19 Aug24 Jul13 (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  CELTIC TREASURE Dec03 Nov03 Oct10 Sep24 Sep06 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  MOON WARRIOR Dec18 Dec06 Nov18 Oct13 Feb25 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
6  MEAN MACHINE Dec16 Nov18 Oct01 Aug30 Aug02 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  BURGEE Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 Sep14 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 6% 15.90    
8  KAZ SUGAR BANK Dec16 Nov23 Nov11 Oct11 Sep15 (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Jan15 Dec21 Nov25 Nov13 Nov05 (smith law)VARGAS L 120 30.00    
 
PEN-6   01/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUCKERTON BAY Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Sep14 Aug24 (ippolito mark)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
2  PRIME TIME PLAYER Nov29 Nov01 Oct07 Jun16 Jun02 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  RACING IN THE RAIN Dec28 Nov27 Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
4  C C'S KINGDOM Dec11 Nov18 Oct23 Sep25 Sep09 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
5  CHROME DIXIE Dec20 Nov21 Oct29 Sep30 Jul19 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 14% 6.10    
6  FORMAL ORDER Nov14 Oct24 Aug24 Jul20 Jul07 (lake a)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00    
7  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Jan08 Jan01 Dec18 Dec09 Dec04 (cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-7   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE GOLD Dec09 Nov22 Nov14 Oct31 Oct04 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★    
2  WILD CARAMELO May26 May02       (flores)GONZALEZ JR 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Dec09 Oct29 Oct12 Sep14 Jun19 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00 ★    
4  PAPA TONY Dec30 Nov30 Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 (dimitriou)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 8% 11.00    
5  RAPID RESPONSE Oct22 Sep16 Jul29 Jul04 Jun05 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
6  THE GREAT CASBY Dec30 Nov30 Nov04 Oct11 Aug31 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 30.00    
7  CARGO SHIP Dec30 Dec21 Sep07 Aug17 Jul06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
8  TOMASCO Dec09 Aug25 Jul20 Jul07 Jun11 (farley j)FLORES E 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.