Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $29.20 $21.20 265%
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-4 $62.25 $46.25 289%
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3/4)-(7/1/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-4-5 $113.00 $89.00 371%
    SFT (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3/4)-(7/1/5/3/4)-(7/1/5/3/4) 96 $0.10 $9.60  1-4-5-7 $50.30 $40.70 424%
AQU-4   SFT (1/4/6/7/5)-(1/4/6/7/5)-(1/4/6/7/5)-(1/4/6/7/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-4-6-5 $19.77 $7.77 65%
AQU-5   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/6/4)-(5/1/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-5-1 $19.25 $1.25 7%
    SFT (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/6/4)-(5/1/3/6/4)-(5/1/3/6/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-5-1-4 $14.22 $7.02 98%
AQU-7   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.20 $3.20 53%
AQU-8   DD (4/1/8)-(6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $9.40 $3.40 57%
AQU-9   TRI (11/5/4/7)-(11/5/4/7/2)-(11/5/4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-11-2 $28.12 $4.12 17%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ROD LINCOLN   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 3.50 13% 6.90 13.60 W
BOYS CODE   (miceli m)DAVIS A 120 5.00 16.20 P
LAUREL VALLEY   (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 12% 7.30 0.90 S
SORPRESO   (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.50 47% 1.10 2.10  
SARATOGA RED   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 6% 16.40 6.00  
SARATOGA STRONG   (handal raymon)OLVER MADISON 113 4.00 13.80  
LIOTTA   (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 43.75  
SCR  M. C. DOUBLE R   (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50    
 
AQU-2   02/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ENGINE   (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 11.40  
KING ANGELO   (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 3.15 P
SHERIFF BIANCO   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 44% 1.30 1.50 S
NABOKOV   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 28% 2.60 1.45  
MONDAY MORNING QB   (cash norman )TORRES A 113 10.00 20.50  
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 40.75  
 
AQU-3   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROST POINT   (mott will)VARGAS A 118 3.00 3.55  
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of BALLETTO by TIMBER COUNTRY)
FALCONET   (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.20 38% 1.70 0.65 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of BIRDATTHEWIRE by SUMMER BIRD)
BATTLE BLING   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.60 27% 2.70 2.65 S
  (by VANCOUVER (GB) out of SOLEIL ROUGE by E DUBAI)
PIECE OF MY HEART   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 10% 8.60 8.80  
  (by FLAT OUT out of INTHERIVER by SUNRIVER)
SCR  MOMMASGOTTARUN   (ric)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LOVE IN TOKYO by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-4   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAYSENBRYN   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.20 2.90 W
LEFT LEANING LUCY   (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 3.00 15% 5.50 1.85 P
MERAVIGLIOSO   (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00 12% 7.30 5.70 S
BETTY'S SMILE   (grusmark)DAVIS A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE   (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 2.85  
TRIPLE P   (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 8.00 10% 9.00 14.50  
HONORABLE LILLY   (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 12.00 34.75  
1A  SHE'S A BLACK BELT   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 2.50 2.90  
 
AQU-5   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:51
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA'S FOLLY   (martin carlos)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 5% 19.00 3.20 W
K D KAKES   (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 46% 1.20 1.25 P
DERWIN'S PAYNTER   (serpe phi)VARGAS A 120 4.00 28% 2.50 6.00 S
MY GORGEOUS   (reynolds)DAVIS A 120 8.00 15.60  
LA CHANCE   (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00 81.75  
DENIECE OF DEGRACE   (noda)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 27.75  
QUEENPIN   (gargan danny)TORRES A 113 10.00 3.30  
FOUR QUARTZ   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 23.70  
 
AQU-6   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JONNY QUIST   (bedard alan)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 13.40  
DONTBELATE   (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 120 6.00 5% 18.50 7.10 P
BINGO JOHN   (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00 13% 6.40 9.80 S
ONE MORE SCORE   (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
BREADMAN   (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 4.00 16% 5.10 2.65  
SEANAN   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 116 2.50 2.60  
JAY'STALKER   (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 38% 1.70 4.10  
JAA MODE   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 28.75  
SCR  CENTAVO   (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00    
 
AQU-7   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGISTER   (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.50 19% 4.30 3.60 W
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHAMPAGNE SUE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ASMODEUS   (more)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 22.10  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SPANISH POST by FLATTER)
RIDE UP   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 2.95 S
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
POWER IN NUMBERS   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 46% 1.20 3.15  
  (by GIRVIN out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
BATTUTA D'ORO   (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00 14.90  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHRISTINA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  MCCULLOUGH   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 9.10  
  (by CURLIN out of ASTRAY by BERNARDINI)
EGYPT   (de horac)TORRES A 113 10.00 28.50  
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
THERE BE DRAGONS   (pletch)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 11% 8.30 10.00  
  (by BERNARDINI out of MEMA by GRAND REVIVAL)
YORKSHIRE PRINCE   (mor)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 57.25  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HOPEFUL UNION by DIXIE UNION)
FOXBURG   (mott will)VARGAS A 120 12.00 6.30  
  (by ARROGATE out of TOO MUCH MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-8   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODAY'S FLAVOR   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 61% 0.60 0.40 W
KAZ'S BEACH   (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 30.25  
HANDSOME CAT   (jacobson )VARGAS A 123 10.00 34.50 S
TWELTH MAN   (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 4.60  
RUSSIAN TO WIN   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 14.40  
RYAN'S CAT   (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 12% 7.20 5.90  
GASLIGHT   (quic)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 12.00 20.20  
SCR  SURPRISE BOSS   (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 123 15.00    
 
AQU-9   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY   (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 24% 3.10 1.95 W
11  CALLALOO   (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 4.00 28% 2.60 3.20 P
BIG VENEZUELA   (tess)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 4.20 S
MIDNIGHT WORKER   (chichakly am)TORRES A 113 10.00 18.50  
AFJAN   (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 8% 11.20 7.10  
SMOKE AND HEAT   (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 10.70  
SON OF AN EX   (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 12.00 7.00  
CAGNEY (BRZ)   (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 67.25  
LIAM'S FIRE   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 36.25  
SCR  COLLOQUY   (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  MACH ONE   (persaud eddi)HARKIE K 120 15.00 13% 6.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.