Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $29.20 $29.20 21.20
AQU-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $24.80  
AQU-3   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.10  
AQU-4   Win (1/4/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
AQU-5   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
AQU-6   Win (8/2/4/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $28.80  
AQU-7   Win (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
AQU-8   Win (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
AQU-9   Win (11/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:14 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ROD LINCOLN 2 5 5 4 31 11 1 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 3.50 13% 6.90 13.60 W
BOYS CODE 4 4 7 7 43 33 2 (miceli mic)DAVIS A 120 5.00 16.20 P
LAUREL VALLEY 5 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 21 33 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 12% 7.30 0.90 S
SORPRESO 7 3 31 2nk 2nk 47 412 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.50 47% 1.10 2.10  
SARATOGA RED 3 7 6 6 5 510½ 520½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 6% 16.40 6.00  
SARATOGA STRONG 1 6 2nk 3.2 6 612½ 623½ (handal raymond)OLVER MADISON 113 4.00 13.80  
LIOTTA 6 2 4 5 710½ 713 723¾ (hills ti)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 43.75  
SCR  M. C. DOUBLE R               (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50    
 
AQU-2   02/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ENGINE 6 6 42 41   2nk 1hd (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 11.40  
KING ANGELO 2 5 6 5   5 2hd (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 3.15 P
SHERIFF BIANCO 3 2 2 3½   1nk 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 44% 1.30 1.50 S
NABOKOV 1 1 3 2½   3½ 44 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 28% 2.60 1.45  
MONDAY MORNING QB 4 4 1 1½   4¾ 5 (cash l)TORRES A 113 10.00 20.50  
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 5 3 5 64   6 611½ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 40.75  
 
AQU-3   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:252 :49 1:131 1:25   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROST POINT 1 3 1nk 1½ 1 1 1 (mott willia)VARGAS A 118 3.00 3.55  
FALCONET 4 1 2nk 2½ 2 2 2 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.20 38% 1.70 0.65 P
BATTLE BLING 2 4 4 3 34 38 38 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.60 27% 2.70 2.65 S
PIECE OF MY HEART 3 2 31 4 4 411 413¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 10% 8.60 8.80  
SCR  MOMMASGOTTARUN               (rice )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
AQU-4   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAYSENBRYN 6 8 7 41   1 1 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.20 2.90 W
LEFT LEANING LUCY 3 6 8 6   4 2 (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 3.00 15% 5.50 1.85 P
MERAVIGLIOSO 5 2 3½ 2½   2 3 (ferraro james )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00 12% 7.30 5.70 S
BETTY'S SMILE 4 5 2nk 1½   32 4 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 2 7 5 8   7 510 (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 2.85  
TRIPLE P 8 4 4¾ 3½   53 611¾ (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 8.00 10% 9.00 14.50  
HONORABLE LILLY 1 1 1nk 53   6 713½ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 12.00 34.75  
1A  SHE'S A BLACK BELT 7 3 6 75   8100 8100 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 2.50 2.90  
 
AQU-5   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA'S FOLLY 3 3 2nk 1nk 1 14 1 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 5% 19.00 3.20 W
K D KAKES 5 7 4 3 2 24 2 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 46% 1.20 1.25 P
DERWIN'S PAYNTER 1 6 7 8 714 419 322¾ (serpe phili)VARGAS A 120 4.00 28% 2.50 6.00 S
MY GORGEOUS 4 8 8 7 3 316 424¾ (reynolds p)DAVIS A 120 8.00 15.60  
LA CHANCE 8 1 5 6 511 519 525½ (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00 81.75  
DENIECE OF DEGRACE 6 5 6 4 611½ 620 627¼ (noda o)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 27.75  
QUEENPIN 7 2 3.2 2nk 410½ 722½ 733 (gargan danny)TORRES A 113 10.00 3.30  
FOUR QUARTZ 2 4 1nk 5 829 837½ 861¼ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 23.70  
 
AQU-6   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:123 1:262   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JONNY QUIST 6 7 7 54 53 5 1¼ (bedard alan)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 13.40  
DONTBELATE 8 4 64 7 4 1½ 2¼ (giangiulio mic)HARKIE K 120 6.00 5% 18.50 7.10 P
BINGO JOHN 3 5 4 4 6 6 31 (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00 13% 6.40 9.80 S
ONE MORE SCORE 5 8 3 31 3½ 2½ 42 (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
BREADMAN 2 6 87 86 7 7 53 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 4.00 16% 5.10 2.65  
SEANAN 4 2 2 2nk 1nk 31 6 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 116 2.50 2.60  
JAY'STALKER 7 3 53 6 88 8 7 (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 38% 1.70 4.10  
JAA MODE 1 1 1 1nk 2nk 4 8 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 28.75  
SCR  CENTAVO               (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00    
 
AQU-7   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGISTER 1 4 21 1nk 1nk 1½ 1hd (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.50 19% 4.30 3.60 W
ASMODEUS 5 1 11 2nk 2nk 2½ 2hd (morey )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 22.10  
RIDE UP 9 2 7 5 5 4 310¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 2.95 S
POWER IN NUMBERS 4 5 31 32 36 5 410½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 46% 1.20 3.15  
BATTUTA D'ORO 6 10 6 6 4 3 511¼ (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00 14.90  
10  MCCULLOUGH 10 6 10 1010¼ 710½ 610 612 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 9.10  
EGYPT 2 8 4 4 6 715 723½ (de horacio)TORRES A 113 10.00 28.50  
THERE BE DRAGONS 8 7 9 8 921 825 830¼ (pletcher)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 11% 8.30 10.00  
YORKSHIRE PRINCE 3 9 8 9 820½ 926 932½ (morle)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 57.25  
FOXBURG 7 3 5 7 1051 1056 10100 (mott willia)VARGAS A 120 12.00 6.30  
 
AQU-8   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:223 :451 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODAY'S FLAVOR 5 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 61% 0.60 0.40 W
KAZ'S BEACH 4 4 4 3   3 2 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 30.25  
HANDSOME CAT 6 5 33 5   5 3 (jacobson da)VARGAS A 123 10.00 34.50 S
TWELTH MAN 2 7 65 49   49 4 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 4.60  
RUSSIAN TO WIN 3 3 54 6   6 5 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 14.40  
RYAN'S CAT 7 2 2½ 2½   2 610½ (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 12% 7.20 5.90  
GASLIGHT 1 6 7 714   714 712½ (quick )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 12.00 20.20  
SCR  SURPRISE BOSS               (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 123 15.00    
 
AQU-9   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:121 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 4 6 5 43 4 1 1 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 24% 3.10 1.95 W
11  CALLALOO 9 5 3½ 33 31 43 2 (donk david)VARGAS A 123 4.00 28% 2.60 3.20 P
BIG VENEZUELA 2 3 1nk 12 1nk 2 3 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 4.20 S
MIDNIGHT WORKER 8 1 2nk 22 2nk 3 4 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 113 10.00 18.50  
AFJAN 6 8 8 6 5 54 510¼ (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 8% 11.20 7.10  
SMOKE AND HEAT 5 7 74 7 6 6 610¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 10.70  
SON OF AN EX 7 9 910½ 9 810¾ 7 712¾ (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 12.00 7.00  
CAGNEY (BRZ) 1 4 6 8 7 810½ 819¾ (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 67.25  
LIAM'S FIRE 3 2 41 5 911¼ 913½ 925½ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 36.25  
SCR  COLLOQUY               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  MACH ONE               (persaud eddie)HARKIE K 120 15.00 13% 6.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.