Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-2   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $20.40 $14.40 240%
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $36.75 $24.75 206%
AQU-3   DD (4/7/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-5 $32.75 $23.75 264%
AQU-4   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(4/2/5)-(7/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-5-6 $124.00 $97.00 359%
AQU-5   PK4 (4/7/3)-(4/2/5)-(7/6/4)-(7/1/4) 81 $0.50 $40.50  3-5-6-4/7 $285.50 $245.00 605%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:131     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN GRANT 2 4 32 3   32 11 (brown r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 1.80  
PETROLO 1 5 1nk 11   1½ 21 (bond)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 12.60  
FOUR EYES 5 2 4 4   2½ 3 (follett norm)TORRES A 113 3.50 25% 3.00 4.10 S
WHO ME 4 3 2nk 21   4 4 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 34% 1.90 3.70  
WONKER WARRIOR 3 7 7 7   610½ 5 (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 10.00 16% 5.10 4.70  
CHASIN' YOU 7 1 66 65   5 611¼ (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 8.80  
ETERNAL GLORY 6 6 5 54   711½ 716½ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 11.20  
 
AQU-2   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKING STONES 3 2 3 2   2nk 1 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 21% 3.70 9.20 W
LOHENGRIN TWO 7 3 16 1   1nk 2 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 3.50 25% 3.00 2.35 P
CLASH A. J. 2 4 610 610   6 3 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 30.00 50.25  
CHIEF ENGINEER 6 1 26 4   4 4 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 22.10  
UNO 5 5 4 57   5 511¼ (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00 4.70  
MY MAN MATTY 4 7 5 3   34 611¾ (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.50 27% 2.70 0.85  
BASIS RISK 1 6 711½ 713   711¼ 713¼ (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 30.00 43.25  
 
AQU-3   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKER'S CANDY 4 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 11 1 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.20 33% 2.00 1.70 DQ↓2
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PURPLE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
NEURAL NETWORK 5 2 32 4 33 3 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 8% 12.20 1.35 W
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LAPINSKI by STREET CRY (IRE))
DR. KRAFT 1 5 58 5 57 4 3 (englehar)DAVIS A 118 10.00 17.20 S
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
D'ONT LOSE CRUZ 2 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 21 4 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 32% 2.10 6.90  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of D'WILD RIDE by D'WILDCAT)
STARQUIST 3 3 42 3 4 58 511 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 3.50  
  (by NYQUIST out of STAR GRAZING by SKY MESA)
 
AQU-4   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:121 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTCHANCEATGLORY 6 4 31 31 1½ 2nk 1¼ (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 25% 3.00 2.40 W
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 3 1 4 4 32 1nk 2¼ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 2.60 P
HAMMERIN AAMER 7 7 6 6 5 4 32 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 36% 1.80 3.25 S
ROYAL TRYST 5 5 7 78 66 5 4 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00 4.20  
LOST IN ROME 2 6 1½ 1½ 2½ 3 5 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 8.00 11.60  
GENTLEMAN JOE 4 3 53 5 45 6 614½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 13% 6.90 9.00  
IT'S MANDATORY 1 2 2½ 2½ 7 7 714¾ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00 46.50  
 
AQU-5   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANNYS CONNECTION 6 4 2nk 1   1 1 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.40 28% 2.50 0.85 W
FANCY FELINE 4 6 5 35   2 2 (bond)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 9.70 P
ROYAL CURRENCY 1 5 44 45   4 311¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 27% 2.70 1.55 S
JET SET JULIET 3 3 1nk 2   3 411½ (rodriguez gu)TORRES A 113 6.00 8.90  
BERN ROSEY BERN 2 1 65 620½   520½ 521¾ (mar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 17.60  
STEAL MY HEART 5 2 3 520   626½ 632½ (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 123 30.00 69.00  
SCR  FORTY SMOOTH               (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 20% 3.90    
 
AQU-6   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:11     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIBBEAN (AUS) 5 4 4 49   45 1¾ (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00 9.40  
AIR SHOW 3 1 1 1   1 2¾ (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 123 12.00 19.40  
LIL COMMISSIONER 2 3 2 2   2 3 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 11% 8.30 2.60 S
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY 6 5 34 37   3 4 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 4.40  
DUST DEVIL 4 6 66 5   5 5 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 47% 1.10 3.20  
MIDNIGHTCHARLY 1 2 77 611   610½ 67 (arri)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 8.50  
MOUNT TRAVERS 7 7 56 714   712½ 7 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 3.05  
SCR  RUNABOUT               (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
AQU-7   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M BUZZY 1 8 810½ 89   45 1hd (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 12.90  
KANT HURRY LOVE 5 9 6 5   2½ 2hd (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 39% 1.60 2.55 P
KITTEN'S APPEAL 7 4 43 22   31 3 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 9% 10.10 2.45 S
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 9 2 911 915   7 4 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 2.80  
LADY MILAGRO 2 6 1 12   1½ 5 (martin carlo)TORRES A 113 12.00 34.75  
AWILLAWAY 3 7 79 7   6 6 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 123 20.00 72.25  
YO CUZ 4 5 2 33   55 77 (mott will)VARGAS A 123 6.00 30% 2.30 5.10  
BABA 6 1 3 43   8 810 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 13.00  
CHASING CARA 8 3 5 66   911¼ 913 (frie)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 20.00 72.75  
 
AQU-8   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:121 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REPO ROCKS 3 1 2nk 31 3 1½ 1 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 1.20 37% 1.70 1.15 W
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
MILES D 6 5 31 2½ 1½ 2½ 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 18% 4.60 2.40 P
  (by CURLIN out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)
FAR MO POWER 2 2 4 41 4 3 3 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.50 15% 5.50 7.10 S
  (by UNCLE LINO out of J. D. SAFARI by POWER BY FAR)
BOURBONIC 1 4 6 63 5 4 45 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 3.30  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
BLACK BELT 4 3 1nk 1½ 2½ 5 513¼ (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 14.80  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PICA SLEW by PICO CENTRAL (BRZ))
TOUGH TICKETS 5 6 5 5 6 6 619¼ (wyner harold)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 6% 16.50 39.25  
  (by NYQUIST out of TAP TAP TAPPING by TAPIT)
 
AQU-9   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:123     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN SMITTY RUN 1 9 78 7   1nk 15 (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00 18.70  
OLD POINT 5 10 1014¼ 1014½   7 25 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 40% 1.50 5.60 P
DADS GOOD RUNNER 3 6 32 32   2nk 3 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 2.80 S
EQUALIZER 7 3 5 4   52 4 (terranova jo)TORRES A 115 8.00 9.70  
THREETHIRTYTHREE 2 8 9 9   8 5 (servis j )VARGAS A 122 6.00 3.95  
MY BOY COLTON 8 2 4 57   63 6 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00 5.40  
GRAND AGAIN 4 4 1 1½   4 7 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00 42.50  
BOLD HONOR 6 5 2 2½   3½ 811½ (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 34% 2.00 7.10  
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 9 7 6 68   9 914¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
10  GOLDEN PURCHASE 10 1 8 8   1010¼ 1015½ (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 20.00 31.25  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.