Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2/7)-(4/5/3/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/5/6)-(4/7/3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(4/2/5)-(7/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3/1)-(4/2/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(7/6/4)-(7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/3/5)-(7/6/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(7/1)-(4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/1)-(4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(4/2)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/8/1)-(4/2/8/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/4/7)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/6/9)-(5/4/7/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(3/6/2/5)-(5/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5/4)-(3/6/2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(5/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (5/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/9)-(5/6/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/9)-(5/6/9/3/2)-(5/6/9/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETROLO Dec31         (bond)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00    
2  AMERICAN GRANT Jan28 Jan07 Dec10     (brown r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
3  WONKER WARRIOR         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
4  WHO ME Feb09 Jan28 Dec30 Nov27 Oct22 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
5  FOUR EYES Feb11 Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 Nov02 (follett norm)TORRES A 113 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  ETERNAL GLORY Jan06         (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50    
7  CHASIN' YOU Jan06 Dec17 Oct22 Sep23 Sep04 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASIS RISK Feb05 Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 Aug31 (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
2  CLASH A. J. Feb11 Feb02 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
3  BREAKING STONES Feb02 Jan19 Dec29 Nov26 Nov20 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
4  MY MAN MATTY Feb05 Jan12 Nov27     (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.50 27% 2.70    
5  UNO Jan26 Jan08 Nov02 Oct03 Sep05 (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00 ★    
6  CHIEF ENGINEER Jan21 Dec11 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 ★    
7  LOHENGRIN TWO Jan22 Jan12 Nov02 Oct24 Aug24 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-3   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. KRAFT Jan26 Dec31 Nov26 Oct09   (englehar)DAVIS A 118 10.00 ★    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
2  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Jan15 Nov25 Oct27 Sep29   (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of D'WILD RIDE by D'WILDCAT)
3  STARQUIST Jan15 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09   (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of STAR GRAZING by SKY MESA)
4  MAKER'S CANDY Jan28 Dec31       (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.20 33% 2.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PURPLE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  NEURAL NETWORK Jan07 Nov13       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 8% 12.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LAPINSKI by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
AQU-4   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S MANDATORY Feb09 Jan15 Jan07 Dec18 Nov12 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00    
2  LOST IN ROME Feb09 Jan21 Jan06 Dec08 Nov05 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
3  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Feb10 Jan21 Jan14 Dec08 Nov18 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 ★    
4  GENTLEMAN JOE Feb10 Dec15 Nov02 Oct15 Sep05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
5  ROYAL TRYST Feb11 Jan14 Jan05 Dec18 Dec03 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00 ★    
6  LASTCHANCEATGLORY Jan15 Dec15 Oct21 Sep25 Aug24 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
7  HAMMERIN AAMER Jan29 Jan07 Dec08 Oct21 Sep16 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-5   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CURRENCY Jan28 Jan06 Nov17 Sep17 Aug20 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  BERN ROSEY BERN Jan13 Dec29 Nov12 Oct13 Aug31 (mar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 ★    
3  JET SET JULIET Jan28 Oct22 Sep25 Sep04 Aug05 (rodriguez gu)TORRES A 113 6.00    
SCR  FORTY SMOOTH Nov15 Nov07 Oct08 Sep15 Aug21 (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 20% 3.90    
5  FANCY FELINE Jan28 Nov18 Oct22 Sep05 Jul22 (bond)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 ★    
6  STEAL MY HEART Jan28 Dec30 Dec15 Nov06 Oct03 (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 123 30.00    
7  GRANNYS CONNECTION Jan15 Dec16       (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.40 28% 2.50    
 
AQU-6   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHTCHARLY Oct11 Sep10 Aug22 Jul19 Jul12 (arri)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 ★    
2  LIL COMMISSIONER Jan29 Dec29 Nov18 Sep17 Aug24 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 11% 8.30    
3  AIR SHOW Jan21 Dec18 Nov12 Sep24 Aug24 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00    
4  DUST DEVIL Jan22 Oct15 Sep16 Aug25 Jul23 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Feb12 Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 Sep30 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
SCR  RUNABOUT Jan29 Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 Oct21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
7  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY May20 Mar25 Feb12 Jan09   (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
8  MOUNT TRAVERS Jan29 Jan19 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M BUZZY Jan29 Jan07 Dec02 Nov17 Oct07 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
2  LADY MILAGRO Jan29 Dec31 Dec09 Jul09 Jun19 (martin carlo)TORRES A 113 12.00    
3  AWILLAWAY Jun10 May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb13 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 123 20.00    
4  YO CUZ Jan07 May30 Apr24 Mar27 Feb21 (mott will)VARGAS A 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  KANT HURRY LOVE Feb05 Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  BABA Feb10 Jan29 Jan08 Nov26 Nov13 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00 ★    
7  KITTEN'S APPEAL Jan29 Dec09 Sep29 Jul30 Jun30 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 9% 10.10    
8  CHASING CARA Jan29 Dec09 Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 (frie)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 20.00    
9  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Jan29 Jan07 Dec11 Nov10 Oct23 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-8   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBONIC Feb05 Jan07 Dec03     (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
2  FAR MO POWER Jan30 Oct18 Sep24 Aug22 Jul12 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of J. D. SAFARI by POWER BY FAR)
3  REPO ROCKS Jan28 Jan04 Nov23 Oct29 Oct03 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  BLACK BELT Jan28 Dec23 Oct16 Sep04 Jul29 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PICA SLEW by PICO CENTRAL (BRZ))
5  TOUGH TICKETS Jan04 Nov23 Oct22 Oct05 Sep15 (wyner harold)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 6% 16.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAP TAP TAPPING by TAPIT)
6  MILES D Jan28 Feb19       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by CURLIN out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-9   02/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN SMITTY RUN Oct08 May29 Apr10 Mar19 Mar05 (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00    
2  THREETHIRTYTHREE Jan29 Jan23 Dec05     (servis j )VARGAS A 122 6.00 ★    
3  DADS GOOD RUNNER Jan08 Jun18 May01 Apr01 Feb03 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 ★    
4  GRAND AGAIN Jan19 Dec17 Nov25 Nov10 Sep30 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00    
5  OLD POINT Jan19 Nov13 Oct08     (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  BOLD HONOR         (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 34% 2.00    
7  EQUALIZER Aug15         (terranova jo)TORRES A 115 8.00    
8  MY BOY COLTON Jan31 Apr14 Mar19 Feb27 Feb03 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00    
9  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jan08 Feb19 Jan22     (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOLDEN PURCHASE Feb12 Feb02 Jan19 Jan08 Dec29 (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.