Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-5   TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2/1)-(6/5/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-2-3 $82.50 $58.50 244%
    SFT (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2/1)-(6/5/3/2/1)-(6/5/3/2/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  6-2-3-5 $37.03 $27.43 286%
TAM-6   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    DD (6/5/3/2)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  6-1 $10.00 $2.00 25%
    PK3 (2/4/3/1/6)-(6/5/3/2)-(4/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00  1-6-1 $21.00 $1.00 5%
TAM-9   WIN (5/8/7/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $12.40 $2.40 24%
    DD (3/7/5/1/10)-(5/8/7/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00  5-4 $37.20 $12.20 49%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   01/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 F PT-12:32
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELMAR SUMMER 2 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¾ (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 1.80 13% 6.90 2.20 W
LADYNESS 5 4 42 31   3½ 2¾ (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 2.50 39% 1.50 2.10 P
PEEP'S DAY 1 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 3 (rini anthony)CENTENO E 118 3.50 12% 7.60 2.20 S
LA PANDA 4 3 3 4   4 4 (lorito mario)CASTANON L 118 6.00 9% 10.60 4.20  
LUCKY FREEDOM 3 5 5 5   5 513¾ (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 7% 13.20 11.10  
SCR  SUMMER NITRO               (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
 
TAM-2   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGING AERO 1 4 2nk 3.2   1nk 1 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 1.50 26% 2.80 2.20 W
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of AEROSPACE by INVASOR (ARG))
SHE'S REDNECKER 2 2 31 2nk   2nk 2 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 117 4.50 20% 4.10 1.80 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHIRLEY SHE CAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
LITTLE BIG 4 1 1nk 1nk   32 3 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 23% 3.40 3.80 S
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of WITCHESOFWESTFIELD by CAPE CANAVERAL)
ROYAL COURT 6 6 66 4   4 4 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50 11% 7.80 2.70  
  (by TIZNOW out of MRS. NORRIS by BERNARDINI)
PRINCESS LAKME 5 3 44 5   5 515 (posadas pedr)ARROYO S 117 20.00 32.60  
  (by SEVENTYSEVENSTREET out of CHINITA MIA by CIRCULAR QUAY)
DOC CARSON 3 5 5 6   6 618 (cordero-lopez)ALICEA JEREMY 115 10.00 22.40  
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOC'S DESTINY by DOC'S LEADER)
 
TAM-3   01/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:151 1:411   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLATOUTANDFOXY 5 4 42 4 4¾ 2½ 1 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.00 18% 4.60 2.70 W
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL 2 2 3 3.2 2nk 1½ 2 (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 5.00 13% 6.60 2.30 P
BEAUTIFUL TIZ 3 5 52 5 5 54 39 (sacco grego)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 4.50 4.20  
MA MEATLOAF 4 1 11 1nk 3.2 31 410¾ (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 8% 11.60 4.00  
LUCKY LIZZIE 1 3 21 2nk 1nk 41 512 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 6.00 12% 7.50 3.00  
SCR  PEACELOVENKARMA               (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 22% 3.60    
 
TAM-4   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:143 1:42   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA 1 2 1½ 1 13 13 1 (knoll d)FERRER C 122 5.00 7% 13.50 3.10 W
NURSE JUDY WHITNEY 5 1 2½ 2 23 23 2 (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 115 12.00 4.20  
HURRY UP DEAR 2 3 42 4 3 3 35 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50 17% 4.90 1.80 S
FROSTY SECRET 4 6 6 64 44 4 4 (manning j)BRACHO A 122 12.00 2.90  
BRIENNE OF TARTH 3 5 5 5 56 59 513¼ (robillard )ROWLAND MADELINE 117 12.00 5% 18.60 7.30  
10  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 6 4 3½ 3 67 615 627 (galvan baltaza)COA J 122 30.00 20.00  
SCR  KAZACHAN               (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 2.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  KEENE ON JENNY               (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 122 20.00    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS               (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
SCR  SHE'S JUST QUALITY               (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
 
TAM-5   01/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELARY 6 1 21 21   2nk 11 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.90 W
LUCKY SUNDAY 2 6 68 6   53 21 (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 8.00 7% 12.50 7.00 P
PARTY DREAM 3 7 710 7   7 3 (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 120 12.00 7% 12.50 31.40 S
DA JOURNEYGIRL 5 2 11 11   1nk 4 (minguet ramo)BATISTA A 120 1.80 21% 3.70 1.40  
HIGH DONNA 7 5 4 33   4 5 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 20.00 27.40  
SORTARIA 1 4 54 5   32 64 (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 5.10  
UNCAPTURED DREAMS 4 3 33 4   64 7 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00 9.00  
 
TAM-6   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:141 1:40   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R FUNNY BIZNESS 1 3 1 1½ 1 15 110¾ (bennett gerald)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 11% 7.80 1.30 W
PRUDENT SONG 2 4 2 2½ 2 25 210¾ (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 3.00 63% 0.60 2.00 P
SUMMER AT THE SPA 4 5 54 52 4 3 313½ (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.50 3.20 S
MISTY GALE 5 2 3 31 3 46 417¾ (falk jacqu)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 30.00 19.00  
TAKE TO THE SKIES 3 1 4 4 5 510 526¼ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00 4.90  
SCR  ENTWINE (IRE)               (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 3.50    
SCR  MISS Z               (harty eoin)CASTANON L 121 6.00    
SCR  SOL HOPE               (lightner ma)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.50    
 
TAM-7   01/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:14 1:404   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL PRO 3 5 1½ 11 13 12 17 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 12.00 6.90  
FIRST FAITH 2 2 2½ 4 23 22 27 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 4.70 P
SUWANNEE CHICK 4 6 43 7 5 46 310¾ (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 46% 1.20 2.60 S
BLACK KARMA 5 7 7 6 4 36 411 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 4.50 21% 3.80 13.70  
SKYWARD PRINCESS 8 4 6 31 35 5 516½ (santillana)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 5.80  
CITY SPEAKER 1 8 32 5 6 6 617½ (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00 22.20  
DON DIVA 7 1 8 8 8 710 721 (arriagada)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00 6% 14.60 16.80  
LIGEIA 6 3 53 21 79 814 832 (granitz antho)SOSA LAUREANO 115 6.00 2.10  
SCR  VARSITY KICKLINE (IRE)               (escobar alis)ARROYO S 122 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:143 1:41   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS BOOMBASTIC 4 2 54 43 3 3½ 1 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.50 13% 6.90 3.00 W
THEUNCAPTUREDLADY 1 4 21 2 2nk 1nk 2 (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 6.00 9% 9.60 2.50 P
10  J'S STAR JET 6 1 11 1 1nk 2nk 3 (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 112 12.00 5% 19.00 3.40 S
DONNA LIRICA 2 3 31 32 4 4 415¼ (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 119 10.00 4.10  
R D BLESSING 3 6 68 6 6 6 517¾ (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00 32.50  
KISSES FOR HANNAH 5 5 4 5 5 58 620½ (lopez rob)CENTENO E 121 6.00 18% 4.40 3.40  
SCR  BALI KUTA               (raven kerri)CASTANON L 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  BROADWAY PEGGY               (parra hernan)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
SCR  C C'S FREEDOM               (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  LEMON TAFFY               (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 10.00    
 
TAM-9   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:132 1:403   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINDY'S SONG 2 3 2nk 1½ 1½ 13 1 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
10  WATER WITCH 6 6 6 6 6 33 2 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 6.00 2.20  
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS 1 5 42 4 2½ 23 32 (werneth robert)GREEN AUBRIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
BALI MOON 5 2 31 3 41 44 4 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 12.00 5.80  
BARBARA 3 1 1nk 2½ 3½ 55 511½ (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 6.00 1.90  
GLITTER BAY 4 4 5 5 52 6 621¼ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00 6% 15.90 7.70  
SCR  COMMAND POINT               (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  LUNA'S TREASURE               (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
SCR  MAGIC SURPRISE               (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS               (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.