Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/2/1/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/4/3)-(6/2/1/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/4/3)-(6/2/1/4/3)-(6/2/1/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/1/4/3)-(1/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/4/3)-(1/4/2/6)-(6/2/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6/5)-(1/4/2/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/2/6)-(6/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/6)-(6/2/1/5)-(4/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(4/1/6)-(6/5/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/5/2/3)-(4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3/1)-(6/5/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/3)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/3)-(4/1)-(4/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(4/5/7)-(7/5/1/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/8/2)-(4/5/7/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(7/5/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(7/5/1/10)-(7/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/5/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/10)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEEP'S DAY Dec14 Nov25 Oct26 Sep07   (rini anthony)CENTENO E 118 3.50 12% 7.60    
2  BELMAR SUMMER Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 Sep11 Sep02 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 1.80 13% 6.90    
3  LUCKY FREEDOM Oct29 Oct20 Sep28 Aug31 Aug13 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 7% 13.20    
4  LA PANDA Dec17 Nov19 Oct12 Oct03 Sep15 (lorito mario)CASTANON L 118 6.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  SUMMER NITRO Dec16 Dec03 Sep30     (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
6  LADYNESS Dec03 Nov25 Oct22 Oct12 Sep11 (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
TAM-2   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGING AERO Jul17 May22 Apr22 Mar05   (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 1.50 26% 2.80    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of AEROSPACE by INVASOR (ARG))
2  SHE'S REDNECKER Dec09 Oct20 Oct03 Sep15 Aug08 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 117 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHIRLEY SHE CAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  DOC CARSON         (cordero-lopez)ALICEA JEREMY 115 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOC'S DESTINY by DOC'S LEADER)
4  LITTLE BIG Sep16 Aug19 Jul16     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of WITCHESOFWESTFIELD by CAPE CANAVERAL)
5  PRINCESS LAKME Dec21         (posadas pedr)ARROYO S 117 20.00 ★    
  (by SEVENTYSEVENSTREET out of CHINITA MIA by CIRCULAR QUAY)
6  ROYAL COURT Mar12 Feb12 Jan08     (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50 11% 7.80    
  (by TIZNOW out of MRS. NORRIS by BERNARDINI)
 
TAM-3   01/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LIZZIE Dec16 Nov26 Oct20 Sep09 Sep01 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
2  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Dec24 Dec09 Oct05 Sep14 Aug20 (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 5.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  PEACELOVENKARMA Nov25 Oct04 Aug02 Jul20 Jun23 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 121 1.80 22% 3.60    
4  BEAUTIFUL TIZ Dec22 Nov26 Oct21 Oct12 Oct05 (sacco grego)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 4.50    
5  MA MEATLOAF Dec10 Nov26 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 8% 11.60    
6  FLATOUTANDFOXY Dec22 Oct16 Sep30 Sep03 Aug05 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-4   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Dec07 Oct14 Aug14 Jul24   (knoll d)FERRER C 122 5.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  SHE'S JUST QUALITY Mar06 Feb12 Jan14     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  KAZACHAN Nov25 Oct22 Aug24 Jul28 Jul01 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 2.00 9% 10.10    
4  HURRY UP DEAR Dec07 Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 Jul03 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Dec07 Oct15 Aug30 Jul26 Feb19 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
6  BRIENNE OF TARTH Dec08 Nov18 Nov04 Oct17 Oct10 (robillard )ROWLAND MADELINE 117 12.00 5% 18.60    
7  FROSTY SECRET Dec10 May07 Apr14     (manning j)BRACHO A 122 12.00    
8  NURSE JUDY WHITNEY Nov12 Oct21       (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 115 12.00    
SCR  KEENE ON JENNY Nov07 Oct14 Sep14 Sep03 Jun24 (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 122 20.00    
10  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL Jan08         (galvan baltaza)COA J 122 30.00    
 
TAM-5   01/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORTARIA Dec15         (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 ★    
2  LUCKY SUNDAY         (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 8.00 7% 12.50    
3  PARTY DREAM         (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 120 12.00 7% 12.50    
4  UNCAPTURED DREAMS Dec22         (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 5.00    
5  DA JOURNEYGIRL Oct09 Jul17 Jun24 Jun09   (minguet ramo)BATISTA A 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
6  ELARY Dec14 Nov04 Aug07     (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  HIGH DONNA Dec16 Dec03 Oct27 Sep06   (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 20.00    
 
TAM-6   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R FUNNY BIZNESS Oct29 Sep20 Aug08 Jul09 Jun12 (bennett gerald)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  MISS Z Nov26 Sep24 Aug19 Feb11 Jan19 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  SOL HOPE Oct02 Aug29 Aug03 May15   (lightner ma)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.50 ★    
4  PRUDENT SONG Dec10 Sep17 Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 3.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  ENTWINE (IRE) Nov26 Oct13 Sep10 Jun17 Apr09 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 3.50    
6  TAKE TO THE SKIES Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 Jul01 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00    
7  SUMMER AT THE SPA Oct22 Sep25 Aug28 Jul29 Jun26 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.50 ★    
8  MISTY GALE Nov07 Oct24 Sep21 Aug24 Aug01 (falk jacqu)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 30.00    
 
TAM-7   01/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY SPEAKER Dec16 Nov30 Sep17 Aug28 Jul09 (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
2  FIRST FAITH Dec16 Dec09 Jun30     (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 ★    
3  GIRL PRO Dec10 Nov25 Apr15     (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 12.00    
4  SUWANNEE CHICK Dec21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jul20 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  BLACK KARMA Dec22 Nov30       (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
6  LIGEIA Apr23 Mar10 Feb18     (granitz antho)SOSA LAUREANO 115 6.00    
7  DON DIVA Dec16 Dec07 Nov25 Oct14 Sep03 (arriagada)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00 6% 14.60    
8  SKYWARD PRINCESS Sep24 Aug05 Jul17 Jun04   (santillana)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  VARSITY KICKLINE (IRE) Dec14 Nov26 Apr16 Mar26 Feb26 (escobar alis)ARROYO S 122 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Dec10 Sep05 Aug17 Jul15 Jun25 (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 6.00 9% 9.60    
2  DONNA LIRICA Oct24 Oct14 Sep15 Aug27 Jun24 (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 119 10.00    
SCR  BALI KUTA Dec10 Oct28 Sep10 Jul29   (raven kerri)CASTANON L 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
4  R D BLESSING Dec23 Dec14       (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
5  MS BOOMBASTIC Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Sep28 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  LEMON TAFFY Dec01 Nov06 Oct07 Sep05 Aug17 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 10.00    
7  KISSES FOR HANNAH Nov25 Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  BROADWAY PEGGY Nov23 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
SCR  C C'S FREEDOM Oct01 Aug26 Aug02 Jul01 May29 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 119 6.00    
10  J'S STAR JET Nov12 Oct28 Sep17 Jul01 Apr13 (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUNA'S TREASURE Dec14 Oct07 Sep23 Aug30 Jul23 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
SCR  MAGIC SURPRISE Nov23 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
3  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Dec14 Nov23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep23 (werneth robert)GREEN AUBRIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CINDY'S SONG Oct23 Oct02 Aug20 Jul23 Jun12 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COMMAND POINT Sep01 Aug05       (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  BARBARA Dec07 Oct05 Sep20 Sep05 Aug17 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 6.00    
7  GLITTER BAY Dec07         (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS Dec10 Dec02 Sep17 Sep10 Aug06 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
9  BALI MOON Dec04 Oct21 Sep16 Aug28 Jul24 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
10  WATER WITCH Dec16 Oct27 Apr27 Apr02 Mar05 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.