Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-2   WIN (7/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.66 $2.66 33%
TP-4   WIN (3/1/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $18.86 $8.86 89%
TP-5   WIN (3/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00  11 $6.20 $2.20 55%
TP-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.50 $4.50 75%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:151 1:28   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING LINE NEWS 4 7 52 73 5 4 1¼ (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 5.47  
ENDLESS 7 9 6 5 1nk 1nk 2¼ (adams l)HESS SARA 114 10.00 53.06  
JERSEY GOLD 1 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 3 (pittman bonn)MORALES JOSHUA 124 8.00 8.88 S
KNELCOCK 3 2 2½ 2nk 3.2 31 43 (evans m)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 48% 1.10 1.52  
GORILLA GIRL 9 6 105 9 8 6 5 (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 4.93  
WILMORE 5 3 4 3 6 7 6 (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00 47.90  
LUCKY SHORE 6 4 73 8 96 8 7 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 12.00 8% 10.80 15.03  
JAMAICAN TRAFFIC 8 10 9 10 119 116 89 (wells duane)MOJICA JR 124 15.00 37.57  
YOUDEVILYOUCECILIA 2 8 3 4 4 5 99 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 12.19  
10  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 10 5 11 115 10 9 10 (nihei michell)BECKMAN ALICE 110 20.00 29.14  
11  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 11 11 84 6 7 106 1113½ (brafford michelle)FELIX E 124 3.50 21% 3.80 5.44  
 
TP-2   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELEN MAE'S SONG 4 3 1½ 11   1 1¾ (watkins m)FELIX E 120 6.00 18% 4.40 4.33 W
NANA'S GRAY 7 4 4 32   2 2¾ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 2.50 29% 2.50 2.18 P
NARROWS BRIDGE 9 1 5 4   44 3 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 6.00 8% 11.80 6.60 S
POQUITO ROSE 2 9 910 98   76 4 (radosevi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 23% 3.30 5.50  
SHANNON'S GIRL 5 6 8 7   66 5 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 120 20.00 26.72  
ABOUNDING 1 7 6 65   5 6 (cook david )PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00 48.16  
ANOTATION 6 2 2½ 21   3 7 (hale jr)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 11.64  
ANCIENT BROWN 3 8 74 8   99 810½ (humphries thomas)ORM CORY 120 12.00 32.84  
MY ROSIE 8 5 3 5   8 910¾ (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 3.50 2.83  
 
TP-3   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:221 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLIN'S SONG 6 3 22 2½   2 1hd (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 7% 12.40 2.68 W
MALIBU TIME 5 6 6 53   5 2hd (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 8% 11.60 2.62 P
UNCLE EARL 2 4 12 1½   1 31 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 10.00 7.85  
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 4 5 7 7   4 4 (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 4.50 23% 3.30 5.57  
THE BOSS FACTOR 7 2 43 3   3 5 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00 2.65  
10  TOSS OF FATE 8 1 85 8   6 6 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 28.25  
FULCO 3 7 5 4   7 7 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00 21.01  
SUGGESTED 1 8 33 6   8 816¼ (johnston re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00 20.60  
SCR  ETHAN'S ANIMAL               (short tr)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  KITTENS ADAIR               (egbert ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 30.00    
 
TP-4   03/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:402   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT RUTH 1 1 8 9 7 1nk 1 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 124 5.00 12% 7.40 8.43 W
FRACING HOT 2 2 98 88 9 5 2 (reed r)FELIX E 124 4.50 7.91  
LUMINIST 3 5 6 45 4 4 33 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.89 S
SHRIMPIE 5 4 3 33 3½ 2nk 43 (smith l)DE CRUZ 124 5.00 11% 8.50 4.11  
STARSHIP BELMONT 6 6 1 2½ 1nk 3.2 5 (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.00 6% 14.40 2.75  
11  DREAMING ALWAYS 9 9 76 7 63 6 610 (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 20.00 16.19  
PACIFIC GROVE (GB) 4 3 4 55 8 9 712¾ (gonz)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 30.00 52.78  
10  RISING HEAT 8 8 5 6 5 8 813¼ (stidham mich)CARROLL DECLAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00 9.58  
GRAN CHEMIN 7 7 2 1½ 2nk 7 914 (cli)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 30.00 65.08  
SCR  BALLOT INITIATIVE               (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 10.00    
SCR  BEACH KITTEN               (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
 
TP-5   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:11     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  PURPLE DREAM 10 2 9 65   21 1 (lobo h)RAMOS D 123 8.00 7% 14.10 2.10 W
SAMURAI PRINCE 3 7 31 2   11 2 (morey w)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 65% 0.50 2.06 P
BODOCK 5 5 7 44   4 3 (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 50.00 45.83  
PYRON 4 10 10 10   5 4 (stall albert)CARROLL DECLAN 123 3.50 10.50  
STONEVICIOUS 9 1 5 7   7 5 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 9.45  
PURE PANIC 2 9 8 8   6 6 (brownfie)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 12.06  
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 8 4 4 54   83 7 (gowan willia)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 8.00 10.90  
AWESOME AARON 1 8 11 1   31 812¾ (green troy)MCKEE J 123 30.00 50.19  
BRING ME A CHECK 6 6 63 9   107 915 (wong jona)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 4.50 9.50  
IAN GLASS 7 3 21 33   96 1017¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 8.00 10.84  
SCR  TRASHTALKINYANKEE               (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 123 30.00    
 
TP-6   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT KISS 7 8 9 21   2nk 1hd (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 13.77  
KATE'S CONCERTO 5 6 31 11   1nk 2hd (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 1.00 59% 0.70 0.54 P
CARMEL SUNRISE 9 3 52 6   4 3 (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6% 16.20 13.85 S
KALL KAT 2 10 8 83   54 410 (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00 22.15 DH
HEAVENLY HASH 3 7 7 9   7 410 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00 9% 10.60 5.37 DH
INSIDE GIRL 4 11 10 4   33 610 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 30.00 65.59  
11  RAINWATER 11 1 2½ 31   65 717 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 5.20  
STORY CHANNEL 6 5 41 10   10 819½ (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00 97.66  
10  BANK CHARGES 10 4 6 7   89 919¾ (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00 39.35  
THIS IS ANFIELD 1 9 115 118   1111¾ 1020 (wells duane)MOJICA JR 120 50.00 ######  
AUGURI (ARG) 8 2 1½ 5   9 1121¼ (cline robert)HALDAR J 120 30.00 96.78  
 
TP-7   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132 1:263   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MISS GOODBAR 6 8 8 94 9 7 1½ (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 118 12.00 47.03  
12  COURTING WAR 8 5 5 6 5 2½ 2½ (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 5.00 12% 7.00 21.97 P
OLIVE'S CANDY 3 6 6 42 42 1½ 3½ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 33% 2.10 2.09 S
11  MISS BRIGHTSIDE 7 7 7 7 7 6 4 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 126 12.00 50.44  
SAVE YOUR TEARS 4 9 9 8 8 5¾ 5 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 6.38  
13  GIRLS HOUSE 9 4 3½ 31 32 3½ 6 (cano juan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 3.50 6% 15.30 2.27  
LITERARY 5 3 4 5 6 83 7 (gre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00 6.24  
LOTTA ROSES 2 2 1nk 1nk 11 4¾ 85 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00 17.16  
PARTY NEXT DOOR 1 1 2nk 2nk 21 96 915 (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 126 6.00 25% 3.00 4.82  
SCR  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART               (bush s)MOJICA JR 126 10.00    
SCR  BELLA MORNING               (pittman b)BERMUDEZ E 126 20.00    
SCR  CAPTIVE STAR               (cline robert)HALDAR J 118 30.00    
SCR  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE               (taylor brent)HEARD TYLER 126 30.00    
SCR  POINT OF INFINITY               (bright d)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
 
TP-8   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:23 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 2 5 5 5¾   1½ 1½ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.25 W
HOLIDAY HOUSE 6 6 6 4¾   2½ 2½ (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 123 4.50 5.88 P
GROUP EIGHTEEN 4 7 7 6   32 3 (williamson bri)MILLER CHASE 126 6.00 16.74  
INSIDE STUNT 5 1 2½ 2½   5 4 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 123 12.00 12.37  
FAITHFUL RULER 1 2 1½ 1½   42 5 (watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 50% 1.00 2.13  
NINETIES COUNTRY 7 8 9 7   64 6 (estvanko ric)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 12.00 16.99  
ZIP IT SCOTTY 3 9 8 8   8 7 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 121 30.00 42.16  
ON K P 8 4 31 3½   7 8 (red)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 6.00 4.01  
10  BRIT'S WIT 9 3 4 9   9 917¼ (ortiz jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 5.73  
SCR  WELLMAN               (reed r)MCKEE J 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
TP-9   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE STORMY LADY 4 5 6 54   2 12 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 3.01  
MS. THE LAW 7 1 1nk 12   1 22 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 4.50 12% 7.50 2.76 P
ZERO CLICK 3 3 43 44   3 3 (langemeier j)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00 12.89  
11  MIDNIGHT XO 9 2 32 33   44 4 (hancock dan)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00 27.34  
CLASSIC FAREWELL 1 6 2nk 22   54 510 (schultz li)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5.08  
10  ALL ROSES 8 9 8 88   7 610¼ (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 38% 1.70 3.81  
LOVE FROM ABOVE 6 8 912¾ 910   97 713¼ (pitts helen)MILLER CHASE 120 15.00 11% 8.10 15.09  
ONTOTHENEXT 5 4 5 6   8 814 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 5.00 10.79  
PINKY TUSCADERO 2 7 7 76   6 914 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 5% 18.70 12.99  
SCR  MORE THAN ROSES               (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 120 12.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  SHEZADADDYSGIRL               (anderson l)FELIX E 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.