Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (3/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/6)-(3/11/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/11/6)-(3/11/6/4/1)-(3/11/6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/11/6)-(7/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/11/6)-(7/2/4/9)-(5/6/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (7/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/9/8)-(7/2/4/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/4/9)-(5/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/9)-(5/6/8/9)-(3/1/5/8/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (5/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/9)-(3/1/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/9)-(3/1/5/8/10)-(3/11) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/1/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/8/10)-(3/1/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/8/10)-(3/1/5/8/10)-(3/1/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/5/8/10)-(3/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/8/10)-(3/11)-(5/3/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TP-5   WIN (3/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/11)-(3/11/7/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/11)-(3/11/7/6/2)-(3/11/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/11)-(5/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/11)-(5/3/9)-(7/3/12/13/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TP-6   WIN (5/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/9)-(5/3/9/11/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/9)-(5/3/9/11/7)-(5/3/9/11/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/9)-(7/3/12/13/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/9)-(7/3/12/13/9)-(1/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TP-7   WIN (7/3/12/13/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/12/13/9)-(7/3/12/13/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/12/13/9)-(7/3/12/13/9)-(7/3/12/13/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/12/13/9)-(1/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/3/12/13/9)-(1/2)-(10/9/8/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/9/7)-(1/2/9/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(10/9/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TP-9   WIN (10/9/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/8/3)-(10/9/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/8/3)-(10/9/8/3)-(10/9/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY GOLD Mar02 Feb01 Nov22 Nov01 Oct04 (pittman bonn)MORALES JOSHUA 124 8.00 ★    
2  YOUDEVILYOUCECILIA Jan06 Dec21 Nov09 Oct18 Aug17 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
3  KNELCOCK Mar02 Feb08 Feb01 Dec22 Dec01 (evans m)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  MORNING LINE NEWS Feb08 Jan13 Dec30 Dec18 Dec09 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 ★    
5  WILMORE Feb01 Jan06 Dec21 Oct27 Sep27 (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00    
6  LUCKY SHORE Mar02 Feb08 Jan13 Dec22 Dec09 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 12.00 8% 10.80    
7  ENDLESS Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 Jun08 May18 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 10.00    
8  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Feb09 Jan13 Nov25 Sep09 Aug27 (wells duane)MOJICA JR 124 15.00    
9  GORILLA GIRL Feb01 Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 Feb23 (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00    
10  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE Feb22 Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 Nov11 (nihei michell)BECKMAN ALICE 110 20.00    
11  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Feb25 Feb04 Dec28 Nov25 Nov11 (brafford michelle)FELIX E 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
TP-2   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABOUNDING Mar02 Dec30 Dec02     (cook david )PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
2  POQUITO ROSE Mar02 Feb02 Jan19 Dec30 Oct04 (radosevi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  ANCIENT BROWN Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 Sep09 Jun29 (humphries thomas)ORM CORY 120 12.00    
4  HELEN MAE'S SONG Sep03 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun04 (watkins m)FELIX E 120 6.00 18% 4.40    
5  SHANNON'S GIRL Feb23 Feb02 Jan19 Dec11 Nov30 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
6  ANOTATION Mar02 Jan20 Dec30 Aug19 Jul15 (hale jr)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
7  NANA'S GRAY Mar04 Jan19 Dec15 Nov20 Oct13 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
8  MY ROSIE Mar02 Feb02 Jan13 Dec11 Oct25 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 3.50 ★    
9  NARROWS BRIDGE Mar02 Jan14 Jan04 Jun22 Jun09 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
 
TP-3   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGGESTED Feb02 Jan18 Dec31 Dec08 Nov02 (johnston re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
2  UNCLE EARL Feb15 Jan19 Dec30 Nov10 Oct10 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
3  FULCO Feb09 Jan11 Nov28 Oct24 Sep28 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
SCR  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Feb23 Jan07 Dec14 Nov13 Oct23 (short tr)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Feb17 Feb02 Jan18 Dec08 Oct06 (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  MALIBU TIME Feb17 Jan27 Jan07 Dec29 Nov11 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  KITTENS ADAIR Feb02 Jan19 Nov10 Oct13 Aug24 (egbert ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 30.00    
8  MERLIN'S SONG Feb24 Jan27 Dec03 Oct10 May31 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 7% 12.40    
9  THE BOSS FACTOR Feb23 Feb03 Jan04 Nov13 Oct30 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  TOSS OF FATE May18 May03 Feb26     (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
 
TP-4   03/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT RUTH Feb04 Jan14 Dec28 Dec03 Sep22 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 124 5.00 12% 7.40    
2  FRACING HOT Feb04 Dec28 Nov01 Sep27 Aug14 (reed r)FELIX E 124 4.50    
3  LUMINIST Mar02 Feb01 Jan12 Nov13 Nov04 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  PACIFIC GROVE (GB) Mar07 Jan31 Jan12 Dec22 Nov20 (gonz)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 30.00    
5  SHRIMPIE Feb25 Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 Nov11 (smith l)DE CRUZ 124 5.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  BALLOT INITIATIVE Mar02 Feb01 Jul18 Jun30 Jun08 (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 10.00    
SCR  BEACH KITTEN Feb25 Feb01 Nov11 Oct19 Sep22 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
8  STARSHIP BELMONT Feb25 Feb04 Jan20 Dec21 Oct17 (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.00 6% 14.40    
9  GRAN CHEMIN Feb25 Feb01 Oct24 Sep23 Apr02 (cli)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 30.00    
10  RISING HEAT Mar02 Feb03 Jan01     (stidham mich)CARROLL DECLAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  DREAMING ALWAYS Jan12 Dec07 Nov02 Sep22   (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 20.00    
 
TP-5   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME AARON Jan01 Dec16 Nov17 Nov02 Aug27 (green troy)MCKEE J 123 30.00    
2  PURE PANIC Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 Dec14 Nov19 (brownfie)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 ★    
3  SAMURAI PRINCE Feb24 Jul01 May29 May05 Mar18 (morey w)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 65% 0.50    
4  PYRON Feb18 Sep08 Jul18 Jun04 May06 (stall albert)CARROLL DECLAN 123 3.50    
5  BODOCK Feb25 May21 Apr02 Feb19 Jan15 (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 50.00    
6  BRING ME A CHECK Feb25 Jan27 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 (wong jona)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 4.50 ★    
7  IAN GLASS Jan28 Dec21 Nov26 Oct23 Oct07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 8.00 ★    
8  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Feb17 Nov17 Oct15 Sep01 Jun26 (gowan willia)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 8.00    
9  STONEVICIOUS Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 Dec17 Nov24 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  TRASHTALKINYANKEE Jan01 Nov09 Oct10 Sep30 Sep06 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 123 30.00    
11  PURPLE DREAM Jan14 Dec16 Jun20 May14   (lobo h)RAMOS D 123 8.00 7% 14.10    
 
TP-6   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS IS ANFIELD Feb03 Dec30 Oct12     (wells duane)MOJICA JR 120 50.00    
2  KALL KAT         (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
3  HEAVENLY HASH Feb15 Oct05 Sep19     (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00 9% 10.60    
4  INSIDE GIRL Feb23 Jan05 Nov12     (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 30.00    
5  KATE'S CONCERTO Feb22 Dec01 Nov02 Sep14   (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 1.00 59% 0.70    
6  STORY CHANNEL Feb02 Jan18 Dec11 Nov16   (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00    
7  NIGHT KISS Feb23         (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 ★    
8  AUGURI (ARG) Dec22         (cline robert)HALDAR J 120 30.00    
9  CARMEL SUNRISE Feb15 Dec29 Dec04 Nov06 Oct01 (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6% 16.20    
10  BANK CHARGES Feb24         (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
11  RAINWATER         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 ★    
 
TP-7   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE Feb15 Dec02 Nov20 Oct19 Sep16 (taylor brent)HEARD TYLER 126 30.00    
SCR  CAPTIVE STAR Feb23 Feb08 Jan05 Dec07 Sep18 (cline robert)HALDAR J 118 30.00    
3  PARTY NEXT DOOR Feb24 Jan27 Feb17     (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 126 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BELLA MORNING Aug21 Jul29 Apr15 Apr02   (pittman b)BERMUDEZ E 126 20.00    
5  LOTTA ROSES Feb25 Feb09 Jan12 Dec01 Oct17 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00    
SCR  POINT OF INFINITY Feb08 Aug17       (bright d)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
7  OLIVE'S CANDY Feb11         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
8  SAVE YOUR TEARS Sep18 Aug14 Jul31     (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00    
9  LITERARY Feb15 Jan06 Dec01 Oct20 Sep28 (gre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MISS GOODBAR Feb16 Feb02 Jan11     (davis j)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
11  MISS BRIGHTSIDE Feb09 Jan20 Dec28     (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 126 12.00    
12  COURTING WAR Feb09 Jan12 Dec30 Dec02 Jun22 (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 5.00 12% 7.00    
13  GIRLS HOUSE Feb25 Feb15 Jan26 Dec28 Dec15 (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.50 6% 15.30    
SCR  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Mar04 Feb08 Jan12 Dec22 Oct17 (bush s)MOJICA JR 126 10.00    
 
TP-8   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAITHFUL RULER Feb18 Jul29 May31 Apr15 Mar16 (watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Jan21 Dec15 Nov02 Oct20 Sep22 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WELLMAN Feb21 Jan17 Dec17 Oct28 Sep13 (reed r)MCKEE J 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
4  ZIP IT SCOTTY Oct24 Oct05 Sep16 Aug26 Aug16 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 121 30.00    
5  GROUP EIGHTEEN Feb24 Jan28 Jan06 Nov27 Jul15 (williamson bri)MILLER CHASE 126 6.00    
6  INSIDE STUNT Jun26 Jun10 May06     (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 123 12.00    
7  HOLIDAY HOUSE Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 Dec16 Nov19 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 123 4.50 ★    
8  NINETIES COUNTRY Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct19 (estvank)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
9  ON K P Feb11 Dec30 Nov25 Oct20 Oct02 (red)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 6.00 ★    
10  BRIT'S WIT Feb18 Jan02 Nov27 Oct15 Aug07 (ortiz jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
 
TP-9   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORE THAN ROSES         (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 120 12.00 11% 8.10    
2  CLASSIC FAREWELL Feb23 Nov25 Oct27 Sep17   (schultz li)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
3  PINKY TUSCADERO Feb18 Jan11 Dec07     (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 5% 18.70    
SCR  SHEZADADDYSGIRL Feb18         (anderson l)FELIX E 120 12.00    
5  ZERO CLICK Mar04         (langemeier j)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
6  ONE STORMY LADY Feb18 Jan05 Oct04 Aug28 Apr29 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00    
7  ONTOTHENEXT Feb18 Jan26 Jan11 Dec29 Dec11 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 5.00    
8  LOVE FROM ABOVE         (pitts helen)MILLER CHASE 120 15.00 11% 8.10    
9  MS. THE LAW Feb15 Jan18 Jan05 Dec17 Oct21 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
10  ALL ROSES Feb18         (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 38% 1.70    
11  MIDNIGHT XO Feb18 Jan26 Jan11 Dec11 Nov22 (hancock dan)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.