The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - February 21, 2023

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MVR-1   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:222 :48       1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 2 3 3 2   31½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.40 66% 0.50 0.90 W
THE EQUINEST 5 5 45 4   11 2½ (brown glenr)CORREA L 124 8.00 13.80  
OLD FORTY FIVE 7 6 5 55   43 3(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 6% 16.70 8.50 S
COAL TOWN ROAD 6 1 1½ 1   21 4(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5.10  
BAYOU SHACK 4 2 2½ 3   5511½ (zook w)BRACHO A 124 2.00 6% 15.40 2.00  
MR. LUCKY 1 4 6 610   612½ 623½ (flores c)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 25.50  
1A  BALI BEACH 3 7 712½ 717   715½ 728½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 1.40 0.90  
 
MVR-2   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:243 :492 1:023     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE RING 5 2 4 2nk   1nk 1¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 13% 6.80 1.70 W
CHARGAREE 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (zircher )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 38% 1.60 2.00 P
TURN TO ME SUCREE 3 4 3 3   37 3(west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 126 2.00 24% 3.10 2.00 S
CASCABRIA 2 5 53 5   411 412½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 27.30  
ROMANTIC JEWEL 4 1 2½ 4   512½ 524 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50 5.60  
SCR  MIA PROMESSA               (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
SCR  RED LINGERIE               (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
 
MVR-3   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:234 :484 1:023     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR WU 3 7 5 44   2nk 1(zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 10% 8.80 3.20 W
CENTSOFWANDER 5 6 7 55   3.2 2(huffman m)RIVERA R 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.50 P
WELLMAN 8 4 4 31   1nk 3(reed r)MCKEE J 124 3.00 17% 4.80 1.60 S
BAD LITTLE BEAST 2 8 810¼ 7   54(londono j)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 16% 5.40 22.90  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 6 2 2nk 1nk   45(skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 116 8.00 6.60  
FORTY STRIPES 4 5 66 8   6615¼ (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50 9.60  
TALKTOEACHOTHER 7 1 1nk 2nk   7721 (candelas blanca)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 13.50  
WHISKEY SUNRISE 1 3 3½ 6   810¼ 822 (vickers )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 9% 9.50 18.80  
 
MVR-4   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
:24 :484 1:023     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE DRIVE 7 2 32 31   1nk 1(rone)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 10.90  
KISSINGER 1 7 6 6   62(johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 7% 12.90 1.50  
CLASSIC MO 2 3 11 1nk   2nk 34 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 41% 1.40 4.20 S
OAKEN 4 6 7 7   744 (urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 3.00 22% 3.40 1.70  
1A  SHOW SLIDING HOME 5 5 5 4   555 (johnson gar)CORREA L 124 2.50 1.50  
THIS MAN CAN 6 1 21 2nk   3½ 6(gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 19.40  
KID RUSSELL 3 4 42 5   47(juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 4.50 9% 10.80 6.40  
 
MVR-5   02/21/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:243 :492 1:142 1:421   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOOD MOON 9 2 42 4 2nk 1nk 1¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 6.40  
GIANT CRITIC 8 6 6 5 1nk 2nk 2¼ (sullivan el)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.00 20% 4.10 2.10 P
KLAATU 2 3 11 1nk 4 410½ 315 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 39.70  
ZERO GRAVITY 4 9 8 810¼ 6 511½ 417½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 5.00 9.10  
SMASH 7 5 32 3.2 3.2 39 519 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 24% 3.20 2.00  
1A  ROYAL DRAGOON 5 7 9 911¼ 913¾ 815 620 (urieta joha)CORREA L 124 6.00 12% 7.20 7.60  
BOURBON WISDOM 6 4 53 6 8 714½ 720 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 17% 4.70 7.30  
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 1 8 7 7 7 612½ 823½ (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 10.90  
GIZMO JONES 3 1 21 2nk 5 916 931½ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 119 6.00 7.60  
 
MVR-6   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
:243 :481 1:151 1:433   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF THE RING 4 5 11 1 1nk 116 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.50 13% 6.60 6.20 W
MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 1 8 7 6 2nk 226 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 1.70 P
TAMANRASSETT 2 1 21 42 4 3315 (radosevich just)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 2.20  
QUESTION AUTHORITY 8 3 6 2 32 4420½ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 4.00 19% 4.30 3.60  
BALTIC FLEET 5 2 5 32 6 510½ 523¾ (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00 12.60  
ADANO 3 6 42 7 713¼ 713½ 626¼ (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 30% 2.30 15.50  
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX 6 4 32 5 5 613 730½ (romero oscar)AYALA J 126 12.00 12% 7.50 41.50  
GEH SCHNELL 7 7 8 8 816¼ 819½ 832¾ (manning c)RIVERA R 126 10.00 22.40  
SCR  WISE KHOZAN               (brown gle)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
 
MVR-7   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
:242 :481 1:153 1:442   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZTEC EMPIRE 7 9 810¾ 8 35 23 1¼ (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 8.10  
10  DEBDURITE 10 7 31 21 12 13 2¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 47% 1.10 1.80 P
GOTSOMEMOJO 3 10 1013¾ 1011¾ 7 432 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 9% 9.80 21.30 S
KING ANDRES 1 1 4 4 22 34 410 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 5.60  
SAY HEY KID 8 8 910¾ 9 6 5512½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 13% 6.50 17.50  
AREYOUTALKINGTOME 2 5 7 7 8 715 618½ (welsh r)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 44.30  
GET HAMMERED 6 6 6 6 45 612½ 722¼ (murillo rodriguez)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 2.10  
THIRSTY ACTOR 4 3 2nk 31 5 815 828¼ (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 45.10  
PIONEER DANCER 5 4 5 54 99 919 933 (logston christ)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 35.60  
VALEROSO 9 2 1nk 11 109 1020 1033¾ (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 7.50  
 
MVR-8   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
:234 :484 1:024     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 3 7 6 6   3½ 1(calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00    
JUDGE HEAD 4 1 32 1nk   2nk 2(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.50 7% 13.60   P
11  JOES A ROCKIN 11 6 8 5   43(hernandez ricardo)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
BOOT LEGGER 6 5 9 8   84(londono j)VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00    
CAPTAIN RILEY 7 12 1210¾ 1112¼   7510¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
REANIMATE 2 3 11 3.2   1nk 610¼ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 46% 1.20    
JUST CHESTER 9 8 5 7   53 710¾ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
12  PLATE IT UP 12 11 10 910¼   94 812 (gonzalez do)CORREA L 126 20.00    
ONE CRAZY RIDE 8 9 11 1012¼   105 912¼ (brown gle)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
THE MAN CAN 5 2 21 2nk   61014 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
OFTEN ENOUGH 1 10 7 1213¼   126 1114¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
10  DYNAMITE CLOUD 10 4 42 4   115 1215¾ (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-9   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:32
:233 1:03       1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LOTSA MATCHA 10 9 7 6   11(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 49% 1.00 6.10 W
TIER ONE 6 4 5 5   35 2(fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 5.00 9.20 P
MR. BALI 3 7 1017¼ 810¾   45 3(evans ii)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 1.90 S
2B  GRAY DAY 7 11 811¼ 4   67 411½ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 122 4.00 1.90  
HARSH TRUTH 5 10 1118¼ 1013¾   710 515½ (skerrett je)CORREA L 122 15.00 32.40  
10  MAN'S CHOICE 11 3 4 2   56 618 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 122 15.00 8.70  
PAYMASTER GENERAL 2 8 914¼ 912¾   810½ 721 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 45.10  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 8 1 1 1   2821¼ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 11.10  
CONSTITUTION COAL 9 2 3 7   910¾ 925 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 12.00 7.20  
STAGE NAME 4 5 2 3   1013¾ 1029½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 27% 2.60 2.70  
COUNCIL OF FOUR 1 6 6 1114¼   1121¾ 1146¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 20.00 43.80  
SCR  SLICK EDDIE               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.