Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   EXA (5/8/2/3/1)-(5/8/2/3/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-5 $43.00 $3.00 8%
    SFT (5/8/2/3/1)-(5/8/2/3/1)-(5/8/2/3/1)-(5/8/2/3/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-5-8-2 $31.48 $19.48 162%
    DD (1/5/7)-(5/8/2/3/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00  7-3 $37.20 $7.20 24%
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/5/7)-(5/8/2/3/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1-7-3 $31.35 $8.85 39%
MVR-6   WIN (3/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $14.40 $6.40 80%
    EXA (3/9/4/6)-(3/9/4/6/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-1 $43.00 $11.00 34%
MVR-9   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $14.20 $10.20 255%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2/8/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00  1-7 $94.60 $78.60 491%
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2/8/7)-(1/5/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-2 $103.15 $91.15 760%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:222 :48       1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 2 3 33½ 21½   31½ 1½ (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.40 66% 0.50 0.90 W
4  THE EQUINEST 5 5 45 42½   11 2½ (brown gle)CORREA L 124 8.00 13.80  
6  OLD FORTY FIVE 7 6 55½ 55   43 35¼ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 6% 16.70 8.50 S
5  COAL TOWN ROAD 6 1 1½ 11½   21 46½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★ 5.10  
3  BAYOU SHACK 4 2 2½ 32½   53½ 511½ (zook w)BRACHO A 124 2.00 6% 15.40 2.00  
2  MR. LUCKY 1 4 65½ 610   612½ 623½ (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★ 25.50  
1A  BALI BEACH 3 7 712½ 717   715½ 728½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 1.40 0.90  
 
MVR-2   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:023     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROSE RING 5 2 41½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 13% 6.80 1.70 W
1  CHARGAREE 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 38% 1.60 2.00 P
5  TURN TO ME SUCREE 3 4 31½ 32½   37 39¾ (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 126 2.00 24% 3.10 2.00 S
4  CASCABRIA 2 5 53 54½   411 412½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 ★ 27.30  
6  ROMANTIC JEWEL 4 1 2½ 43½   512½ 524 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50 ★ 5.60  
SCR  MIA PROMESSA               (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
SCR  RED LINGERIE               (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
 
MVR-3   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:023     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DOCTOR WU 3 7 55½ 44   2nk 11½ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 10% 8.80 3.20 W
5  CENTSOFWANDER 5 6 76¼ 55   3.2 21½ (huffman candace )RIVERA R 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.50 P
8  WELLMAN 8 4 41½ 31   1nk 31¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 124 3.00 17% 4.80 1.60 S
2  BAD LITTLE BEAST 2 8 810¼ 77¾   57¼ 46¼ (londono j)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 16% 5.40 22.90  
6  AGNELLO'S DREAM 6 2 2nk 1nk   42¼ 59½ (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 116 8.00 6.60  
4  FORTY STRIPES 4 5 66 89¾   68¼ 615¼ (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50 9.60  
7  TALKTOEACHOTHER 7 1 1nk 2nk   78¾ 721 (candelas blanca)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 13.50  
1  WHISKEY SUNRISE 1 3 3½ 67½   810¼ 822 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 9% 9.50 18.80  
 
MVR-4   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:023     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRIVATE DRIVE 7 2 32 31   1nk 11¼ (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 10.90  
1  KISSINGER 1 7 64¾ 64¾   63¼ 21¼ (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 7% 12.90 1.50  
2  CLASSIC MO 2 3 11 1nk   2nk 34 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 41% 1.40 4.20 S
4  OAKEN 4 6 76¾ 74¾   75¼ 44 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 3.00 22% 3.40 1.70  
1A  SHOW SLIDING HOME 5 5 54½ 43½   52¾ 55 (johnson g)CORREA L 124 2.50 ★ 1.50  
5  THIS MAN CAN 6 1 21 2nk   3½ 67¾ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 ★ 19.40  
3  KID RUSSELL 3 4 42 53¾   42½ 78¼ (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 4.50 9% 10.80 6.40  
 
MVR-5   02/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:142 1:421   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLOOD MOON 9 2 42 41¾ 2nk 1nk 1¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 6.40  
7  GIANT CRITIC 8 6 63½ 52¾ 1nk 2nk 2¼ (sullivan )BERMUDEZ E 124 3.00 20% 4.10 2.10 P
3  KLAATU 2 3 11 1nk 45¼ 410½ 315 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 39.70  
4  ZERO GRAVITY 4 9 88½ 810¼ 66¾ 511½ 417½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 5.00 ★ 9.10  
6  SMASH 7 5 32 3.2 3.2 39 519 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 24% 3.20 2.00  
1A  ROYAL DRAGOON 5 7 98¾ 911¼ 913¾ 815 620 (urieta jo)CORREA L 124 6.00 12% 7.20 7.60  
5  BOURBON WISDOM 6 4 53 67¾ 88¾ 714½ 720 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 17% 4.70 7.30  
2  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 1 8 77½ 79¾ 77¾ 612½ 823½ (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 10.90  
1  GIZMO JONES 3 1 21 2nk 56¼ 916 931½ (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 6.00 ★ 7.60  
 
MVR-6   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:151 1:433   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KING OF THE RING 4 5 11 11½ 1nk 12½ 16 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.50 13% 6.60 6.20 W
1  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 1 8 76¼ 65½ 2nk 22½ 26 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 ★ 1.70 P
2  TAMANRASSETT 2 1 21 42 46½ 38½ 315 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 2.20  
9  QUESTION AUTHORITY 8 3 62¾ 21½ 32 48½ 420½ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 4.00 19% 4.30 3.60  
5  BALTIC FLEET 5 2 52¼ 32 68¾ 510½ 523¾ (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00 12.60  
3  ADANO 3 6 42 75¾ 713¼ 713½ 626¼ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 30% 2.30 15.50  
6  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX 6 4 32 52½ 58½ 613 730½ (romero oscar)AYALA J 126 12.00 12% 7.50 41.50  
7  GEH SCHNELL 7 7 87¼ 86¾ 816¼ 819½ 832¾ (manning richard )RIVERA R 126 10.00 22.40  
SCR  WISE KHOZAN               (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
 
MVR-7   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:153 1:442   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AZTEC EMPIRE 7 9 810¾ 88¼ 35 23 1¼ (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 8.10  
10  DEBDURITE 10 7 31 21 12 13 2¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 47% 1.10 1.80 P
3  GOTSOMEMOJO 3 10 1013¾ 1011¾ 75¾ 45½ 32 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 9% 9.80 21.30 S
1  KING ANDRES 1 1 41¼ 42½ 22 34 410 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 5.60  
8  SAY HEY KID 8 8 910¾ 98¼ 65¼ 58½ 512½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 13% 6.50 17.50  
2  AREYOUTALKINGTOME 2 5 75¾ 75¾ 88¾ 715 618½ (welsh r)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 44.30  
6  GET HAMMERED 6 6 63¾ 65½ 45 612½ 722¼ (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 ★ 2.10  
4  THIRSTY ACTOR 4 3 2nk 31 55¼ 815 828¼ (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 45.10  
5  PIONEER DANCER 5 4 51¾ 54 99 919 933 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 35.60  
9  VALEROSO 9 2 1nk 11 109 1020 1033¾ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 7.50  
 
MVR-8   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:024     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BUCKEYE RUCKUS 3 7 67¼ 66¼   3½ 14½ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 ★    
4  JUDGE HEAD 4 1 32 1nk   2nk 24½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.50 7% 13.60   P
11  JOES A ROCKIN 11 6 88¼ 54¼   41½ 36¼ (hernandez ricard)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
6  BOOT LEGGER 6 5 98¾ 89¼   83½ 47¾ (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00 ★    
7  CAPTAIN RILEY 7 12 1210¾ 1112¼   73¼ 510¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
2  REANIMATE 2 3 11 3.2   1nk 610¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 46% 1.20    
9  JUST CHESTER 9 8 52¼ 77¼   53 710¾ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
12  PLATE IT UP 12 11 109¼ 910¼   94 812 (gonzalez )CORREA L 126 20.00    
8  ONE CRAZY RIDE 8 9 119¾ 1012¼   105 912¼ (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
5  THE MAN CAN 5 2 21 2nk   63¼ 1014 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
1  OFTEN ENOUGH 1 10 78¼ 1213¼   126 1114¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
10  DYNAMITE CLOUD 10 4 42 43¼   115 1215¾ (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-9   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:233 1:03       1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LOTSA MATCHA 10 9 77¾ 66¾   12½ 14¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 49% 1.00 6.10 W
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
7  TIER ONE 6 4 55¾ 56¾   35 24¾ (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 5.00 ★ 9.20 P
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
2  MR. BALI 3 7 1017¼ 810¾   45 39¾ (evans ii)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 ★ 1.90 S
  (by BAL A BALI out of PRETTY GRITTY by MERCER MILL)
2B  GRAY DAY 7 11 811¼ 45¾   67 411½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 4.00 1.90  
  (by RACE DAY out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
6  HARSH TRUTH 5 10 1118¼ 1013¾   710 515½ (skerrett )CORREA L 122 15.00 32.40  
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
10  MAN'S CHOICE 11 3 44¾ 25½   56 618 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 122 15.00 8.70  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
4  PAYMASTER GENERAL 2 8 914¼ 912¾   810½ 721 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 45.10  
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
8  BAD BOY BOOGIE 8 1 14½ 15½   22½ 821¼ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 ★ 11.10  
  (by GET STORMY out of CAROLYN M. by GRAND REWARD)
9  CONSTITUTION COAL 9 2 34½ 79¾   910¾ 925 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 12.00 7.20  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
5  STAGE NAME 4 5 24½ 35½   1013¾ 1029½ (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 27% 2.60 2.70  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of APACHEE CRUISE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  COUNCIL OF FOUR 1 6 67¼ 1114¼   1121¾ 1146¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 20.00 43.80  
  (by MASTERY out of ENTERPRISING LADY by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  SLICK EDDIE               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00    
  (by PALACE out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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