Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/2)-(1/3/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/5/7)-(5/8/2/3/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/6/4)-(1/5/7/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(5/8/2/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(5/8/2/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/8/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/3/1)-(5/8/2/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/3/1)-(5/8/2/3/1)-(5/8/2/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/2/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(6/7/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(1/2/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(1/2/4/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(6/7/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(6/7/5/1)-(3/9/4/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/1)-(1/6/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/1)-(1/6/7/5/4)-(1/6/7/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/5/1)-(3/9/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/1)-(3/9/4/6)-(10/8/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/6)-(3/9/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/6)-(3/9/4/6/1)-(3/9/4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/4/6)-(10/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/4/6)-(10/8/3/5)-(2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (10/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/3/5)-(10/8/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/3/5)-(10/8/3/5/6)-(10/8/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/3/5)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/3/5)-(2/1/4)-(1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/6/3)-(2/1/4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-9   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2/8/7)-(1/5/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Jan16 Dec13 Nov17 Oct27 Jun16 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.40 66% 0.50    
1A  BALI BEACH Jun01 May12 Apr03 Feb09 Jan16 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 1.40    
2  MR. LUCKY Feb07 Jan12 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
3  BAYOU SHACK Jan16 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Oct08 (zook w)BRACHO A 124 2.00 6% 15.40    
4  THE EQUINEST Feb07 Jan30 Dec20 Dec13 Nov17 (brown gle)CORREA L 124 8.00    
5  COAL TOWN ROAD Feb07 Jan30 Jan12 Dec30 Dec16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
6  OLD FORTY FIVE Feb06 Jan11 Dec13 Nov30 Oct30 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 6% 16.70    
 
MVR-2   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGAREE Feb06 Jan19 Dec28 Dec08 Oct10 (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  RED LINGERIE Feb01 Dec12 Nov30 Nov11 Sep29 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
SCR  MIA PROMESSA Feb01 Jan11 Dec11 Nov29 Nov15 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
4  CASCABRIA Jan10 Dec20 Dec13 Sep22 Aug17 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 ★    
5  TURN TO ME SUCREE Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 Nov14 Oct03 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 126 2.00 24% 3.10    
6  ROMANTIC JEWEL Feb01 Jan19 Jan11     (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50 ★    
7  ROSE RING Feb01 Jan19 Jan03 Dec08 Nov24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
MVR-3   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY SUNRISE Jan23 Dec12 Dec04 Nov21 Oct30 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 9% 9.50    
2  BAD LITTLE BEAST Feb08 Jan17 Jan07 Dec17 Nov16 (londono j)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
3  DOCTOR WU Jan30 Jan16 Dec13 Nov11 Oct30 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 10% 8.80    
4  FORTY STRIPES Feb02 Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 May08 (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50    
5  CENTSOFWANDER Jan17 Aug16 Jul06 Jun16 May16 (huffman candace )RIVERA R 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  AGNELLO'S DREAM Feb08 Jan05 Dec22 Dec07 Oct27 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 116 8.00    
7  TALKTOEACHOTHER Jan23 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 (candelas blanca)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
8  WELLMAN Jan17 Dec17 Oct28 Sep13 Aug11 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-4   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSINGER Feb13 Feb02 Dec21 Nov28 Nov10 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 7% 12.90    
1A  SHOW SLIDING HOME Jan10 Dec03 Oct29 Oct04 Sep19 (johnson g)CORREA L 124 2.50 ★    
2  CLASSIC MO Jan26 Jan10 Dec03 Oct04 Sep01 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
3  KID RUSSELL Jan26 Dec29 Dec12 Nov28 Jun27 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 4.50 9% 10.80    
4  OAKEN Jan26 Dec27 Nov09 Oct29 Aug13 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 3.00 22% 3.40    
5  THIS MAN CAN Feb02 Jan17 Jan04 Dec27 Dec06 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 ★    
6  PRIVATE DRIVE Feb02 Jan10 Dec27 Dec01 Nov07 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   02/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIZMO JONES Feb02 Jan16 Nov08 Oct24 Oct14 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 6.00 ★    
1A  ROYAL DRAGOON Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 Nov03 (urieta jo)CORREA L 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Feb07 Jan17 Dec29 Dec21 Nov29 (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
3  KLAATU Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
4  ZERO GRAVITY Jan10 Dec05 Nov02 Oct26 Sep28 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 5.00 ★    
5  BOURBON WISDOM Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 Dec03 Aug14 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 17% 4.70    
6  SMASH Feb08 Dec29 Dec13 Nov29 Nov16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  GIANT CRITIC Feb07 Jan05 Dec15 Dec02 Nov04 (sullivan )BERMUDEZ E 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
8  BLOOD MOON Feb07 Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 Nov23 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00    
 
MVR-6   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Jan18 Dec27 Dec03 Nov12 Oct15 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 ★    
2  TAMANRASSETT Feb07 Dec29 Dec13 Nov07 Oct06 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00    
3  ADANO Feb01 Jan16 Jan03 Dec03 Nov16 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 30% 2.30    
4  KING OF THE RING Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec15 Dec03 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.50 13% 6.60    
5  BALTIC FLEET Feb15 Jan23 Sep05 Aug14 Jul31 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00    
6  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Feb02 Jan23 Sep13 Aug24 Aug04 (romero oscar)AYALA J 126 12.00 12% 7.50    
7  GEH SCHNELL Feb01 Jan17 Dec29 Dec14 Nov19 (manning richard )RIVERA R 126 10.00    
SCR  WISE KHOZAN Jan30 Jan03 Nov14 Nov03 Oct27 (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
9  QUESTION AUTHORITY Jan16 Jan02 Dec20 Jul18 Jun26 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-7   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ANDRES Feb02 Jan05 Dec14 Nov29 Nov12 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
2  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Feb02 Jan24 Dec06 Nov23 Nov13 (welsh r)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
3  GOTSOMEMOJO Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 9% 9.80    
4  THIRSTY ACTOR Dec29 Nov23 Oct13 Sep14 Aug30 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
5  PIONEER DANCER Feb02 Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Oct02 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  GET HAMMERED Feb02 Jan17 Jan03 Dec14 Dec08 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 ★    
7  AZTEC EMPIRE Feb01 Nov30 Nov08 Apr15 Mar05 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
8  SAY HEY KID Feb01 Nov19 Nov02 Oct13 Aug31 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
9  VALEROSO Feb09 Dec15 Nov30 Oct27 Sep13 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00    
10  DEBDURITE Jan16 Jan03 Dec03 Nov16 Nov02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
MVR-8   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFTEN ENOUGH Nov03 Sep29 Sep15 Jun06 May31 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  REANIMATE Feb02 Jan16 Dec27 Nov19 Oct29 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 46% 1.20    
3  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Feb02 Nov28 Nov03 Oct12 Sep27 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 ★    
4  JUDGE HEAD Feb02 Sep08 Jul25 Jun27 May31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.50 7% 13.60    
5  THE MAN CAN Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 Nov28 Nov03 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
6  BOOT LEGGER Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Nov12 Oct12 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00 ★    
7  CAPTAIN RILEY Feb02 Jan17 Nov03 Jun27 May25 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
8  ONE CRAZY RIDE Feb09 Jan17 Dec30 Dec12 Nov28 (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
9  JUST CHESTER Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 Oct10 Sep22 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
10  DYNAMITE CLOUD Feb02 Jan16 Dec29 Oct29 Sep29 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
11  JOES A ROCKIN Feb02 Jan17 Dec30 Dec12 Nov12 (hernandez ricard)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
12  PLATE IT UP Feb09 Feb02 Jan28 Jan11 Dec30 (gonzalez )CORREA L 126 20.00    
 
MVR-9   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LOTSA MATCHA Jan19         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
SCR  SLICK EDDIE Jan04 Dec19 Dec03     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00    
  (by PALACE out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
2  MR. BALI         (evans ii)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 ★    
  (by BAL A BALI out of PRETTY GRITTY by MERCER MILL)
2B  GRAY DAY         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 4.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
3  COUNCIL OF FOUR Jan19 Jan04       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ENTERPRISING LADY by FIRST DUDE)
4  PAYMASTER GENERAL Jan04         (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
5  STAGE NAME         (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of APACHEE CRUISE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  HARSH TRUTH Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 Dec03 Nov16 (skerrett )CORREA L 122 15.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  TIER ONE Jan26 Jan19 Jan04 Dec19   (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 5.00 ★    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
8  BAD BOY BOOGIE Jan19 Dec19 Dec03 Nov16 Nov01 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
  (by GET STORMY out of CAROLYN M. by GRAND REWARD)
9  CONSTITUTION COAL Feb09 Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 Nov01 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
10  MAN'S CHOICE Feb09 Jan26 Dec24     (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.