Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-4   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-6 $28.00 $4.00 17%
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/7/1)-(4/8/6/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-6-7 $39.70 $21.70 121%
    SFT (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/7/1)-(4/8/6/7/1)-(4/8/6/7/1) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-6-7-1 $25.14 $17.94 249%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   02/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
1:481         1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD IDEA 1 2 21 1nk 1nk 16 112 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.60 25% 3.00 0.50 W
2  BEYOND MY DREAMS 2 1 32 3½ 2nk 26 212 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 24% 3.20 7.50 P
4  MASTER OF WAR 3 5 43 54¾ 56½ 412 313 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 7.90  
6  HONORABLE 5 3 11 2nk 31 39 414½ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 21% 3.80 3.30  
5  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 4 4 53 4¾ 43 513½ 520½ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SCR  HEZA HANDFUL               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:232 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WILD OX 6 4 31½ 21½   21 11 (gorostieta ci)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.80 53% 0.90 1.40 W
2  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 2 1 11 11½   11 21 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 2.00 10% 8.70 1.20 P
3  MOESTER 3 6 66½ 411   411½ 38¼ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 12% 7.10 3.70 S
5  TIDE RISING 5 2 21 35½   38 48¼ (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 10.00 12.90  
4  CHOCOLATE PHILLING 4 3 45 511   512½ 510¾ (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
1  KEEPING SCORE 1 5 55½ 614½   620½ 618 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 ★ 24.30  
 
MVR-3   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  REINVESTEDINTEREST 4 3 2½ 1nk   14 14¼ (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 126 1.40 36% 1.80 0.10 W
6  RECKLESS L J 6 1 45 32   24 24¼ (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 124 8.00 ★ 20.20 P
5  OHIO PLAYER 5 5 56 43½   48½ 312½ (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 10% 8.60 17.40 S
7  KISSINGER 7 7 711 69   511½ 414½ (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 43.10  
3  NEBULOSA 3 2 1½ 2nk   37 516¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 24.70  
1  MURRY SPUR 1 6 610 710   615½ 618¼ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.00 29% 2.40 10.50  
2  OHIO MUNNY 2 4 3½ 58½   720½ 735 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 3.50 ★ 12.80  
 
MVR-4   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:02     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY FORTUNE 4 3 42 42   21½ 11¼ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 3.50 33% 2.10 2.60 W
6  EXACTITUDE 6 4 31 2nk   11½ 21¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 15% 5.70 2.10 P
7  PATTI LOU 7 7 65½ 54   53 36¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 ★ 7.70 S
1  SHADY BABY 1 2 2nk 1nk   32½ 49½ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★ 3.60  
2  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA 2 6 53½ 66½   63½ 59¾ (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 10.20  
8  BUSYBEING FABULOUS 8 1 1nk 3½   43 611¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 21% 3.80 4.90  
5  ALL THE BEST 5 8 813½ 712½   710½ 720½ (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 20.00 41.90  
3  SKIPSHOT LILLY 3 5 710 814½   819½ 837¾ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 20.00 54.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.