Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/5)-(6/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/5)-(6/3/2/4)-(4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4/1)-(6/3/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/4)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/4)-(4/1/5)-(4/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/2/6)-(4/1/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/8/6)-(11/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/7/1)-(4/8/6/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(11/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(11/9)-(1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-5   WIN (11/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/9)-(11/9/4/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (11/9)-(11/9/4/1/2)-(11/9/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/9)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (11/9)-(1/4)-(5/11/7/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/7/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/7/5/3)-(1/4/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/11/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/11/7/6)-(7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/11/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/7/6)-(5/11/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/11/7/6)-(5/11/7/6/4)-(5/11/7/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/11/7/6)-(7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/8/9/1)-(7/2/8/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD IDEA Jan24 Dec27 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
2  BEYOND MY DREAMS Feb01 Jan19 Jan12 Dec09 Oct27 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  HEZA HANDFUL Jan03 Nov28 Oct10 Aug22 May24 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00 ★    
4  MASTER OF WAR Jan23 Jan13 Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
5  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 Nov19 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HONORABLE Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-2   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING SCORE Jan28 Dec29 Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 ★    
2  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Nov29 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 May21 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 2.00 10% 8.70    
3  MOESTER Jan28 Dec20 Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
4  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Nov17 Oct06 Sep15 Aug24 Aug09 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIDE RISING Jan28 Dec29 Dec06 Jun11 May26 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
6  WILD OX Dec21 Dec01 Nov01 Sep13 Aug31 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
 
MVR-3   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURRY SPUR Jan26 Dec03 Oct04 Sep20 Sep02 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  OHIO MUNNY Jan23 Dec06 Oct12 Sep15 Aug30 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 3.50 ★    
3  NEBULOSA Jan28 Jan17 Dec22 Dec06 Oct24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00    
4  REINVESTEDINTEREST Jan30 Dec27 Nov28 Nov07 Sep15 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 126 1.40 36% 1.80    
5  OHIO PLAYER Jan23 Jan11 Nov19 Oct29 Sep27 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
6  RECKLESS L J Jan17 Dec27 Oct11 Sep20 Sep02 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 124 8.00 ★    
7  KISSINGER Feb02 Dec21 Nov28 Nov10 Oct26 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY BABY Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 Nov16 Oct24 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
2  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA Jan24 Jan04 Sep21 Aug23 Jun25 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 6.00    
3  SKIPSHOT LILLY Jan24 Mar23 Mar02 Jan31   (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 20.00    
4  LADY FORTUNE Jan24 Dec19 Dec12 Nov28 Oct26 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
5  ALL THE BEST Jan04 Dec19 Aug04 Jul05 Jun16 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
6  EXACTITUDE Jan23 Dec27 Jun03 Apr28 Mar26 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
7  PATTI LOU Jan23 Jan04 Dec19     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 ★    
8  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Jan24 Dec27 Aug25 Jul26 Jun25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-5   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LELAWALA Jan19 Jan22 Jan01     (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 ★    
2  FIONA Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 Oct17 Sep30 (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 15.00 ★    
3  GRANADICA Jan13 Dec21 Nov30 Oct31 Oct07 (sandy stephen )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
4  UNCAPTURED FAITH Jan24 Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 Sep16 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★    
5  PHARIBE Jan20 Jan10 Oct22 Oct06 Sep28 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 116 15.00    
6  LA MAMA CHULA Jan13 Nov30 Sep28 Sep18   (chapman j)CORREA L 124 10.00    
7  V K STAR Jan24 Jan02 Sep22 Aug15 Aug02 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
8  HOPS PETUNIA Jan30 Jan09 Dec28 Dec15 Nov28 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
9  CAPTIVATING ART Feb01 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (robillard julie)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 35% 1.90    
10  SWEET FRAULEIN Jan12 Dec31 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
11  HERO'S DAUGHTER Feb01 Jan24 Jan05 Dec28 Sep20 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
12  PLAYFUL SUMMER Jan05 Dec14 Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   02/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSALLABOUTACTION Dec15 Oct23 Sep19 May24 Apr13 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80 59% 0.70    
2  ESTILO ELEGANTE Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Sep27 Aug24 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00    
3  BOURBON BUNS Jan24 Dec29 Dec15 Nov30 Nov10 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 5.00 ★    
4  CANDY ISLAND Dec15 Nov21 Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
5  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Jun22 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50 ★    
6  QUARANTINA Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Oct17 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
7  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE Jan24 Dec01 Nov15 Oct06 Sep26 (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERSON JONES Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 116 4.00    
2  MUSIC CITY DANCER Jan26 Jan04 Nov23 Nov08   (fadlovich me)AYALA J 124 12.00    
3  MARGARITA CINCO Jan23 Dec27 Nov28 Nov08 May26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
4  HELLO SWEETS Dec31 Dec15 Nov15     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 3.50 ★    
5  SAVESOMEFORME Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Oct05 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 5.00 34% 2.00    
6  BROWNIE Sep15 Sep01 Aug01 Jul07   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SORORITY SISTER Jan23 Dec12 Nov28 Oct05 Sep08 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
8  THE BOOK OF RUTH Dec19 Dec08 Nov08 Oct25 Oct04 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00    
9  DANZA MAGIC Jan23 Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
10  DANES LAST SONG Dec13 Nov30       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 116 20.00    
11  STORM OF NINETEEN Jan23 Dec27 Dec08 Nov23   (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-8   02/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANIMO ROBERTO Jan24 Jan09 Dec29 Dec14 Nov14 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 6.00 ★    
2  RED HEAD KID Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Dec07   (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  DANCE MOVES Dec19 Sep20 Sep08 Aug24 Jul27 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
4  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Jan31 Jan12 Dec14 Nov14 Oct31 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00    
5  MUCH TIMES TWO Jan26 Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Sep12 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00    
6  PLAYING BALL Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 Dec22 Dec07 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
7  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jan12 Dec30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 116 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  GOING PRIMETIME Jan31 Jan12 Dec14 Dec06 Nov30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
9  SMOOCHER Jan12 Nov30 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.