Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-4   WIN (2/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.40 $2.40 30%
MVR-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $15.80 $9.80 163%
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-7 $59.20 $35.20 147%
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/7)-(1/3/4/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-7-1 $23.75 $5.75 32%
    SFT (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/7)-(1/3/4/2/7)-(1/3/4/2/7) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-7-1-4 $10.39 $3.19 44%
    DD (7/3/1/2/6)-(1/3/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00  2-3 $89.40 $59.40 198%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:153 1:29   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON BERTIE 5 1 1 11 1 16 113½ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 17% 4.90 1.50 W
ICY RAIN 1 3 4 44 34 26 213½ (trierweiler camer)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 13% 6.80 4.70 P
DANCING FOR MONEY 2 2 2 21 2 36 316¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 30.30  
IMA SURE BET 6 6 612 611 613 612 423¼ (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 13% 6.70 4.10  
STRAIGHT TO GO 3 4 5 57 511 511½ 530¼ (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 126 4.00 16% 5.30 8.50  
SUPER GEUSE 4 5 32 32 4 411 630½ (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 16% 5.50 2.10  
 
MVR-2   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMBITI 1 6 43 2   2 1 (lopez jacinto)DIAZ I 124 6.00 9.50  
DREAM PRIZES 4 3 2 3   3 2 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 4.20 P
ROLLIN ON TEQUILA 5 1 1 1   1 3 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 22% 3.60 1.40 S
BOOT LEGGER 3 5 6 6   6 4 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 16% 5.10 5.80  
JACK BE FAST 6 2 5 5   46 5 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 2.80  
IT'S A MANS WORLD 2 4 32 44   56 612 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 30% 2.30 7.20  
 
MVR-3   03/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:241 :474       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LED TASSO 6 3 3½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 3.00 8% 11.60 2.00 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BROKEN SILENCE by BROKEN VOW)
WARHORSE WEST 5 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2¾ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 4.10 P
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
BARRELHOUSE 1 4 41 5   56 3 (mccarthy mich)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.30 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SANDY'S SURPRISE by DROSSELMEYER)
OUTSLEWTHEM 4 2 2nk 4   3 43 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 10.20  
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
TIMESATAPPIN 3 5 5 32   45 5 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 5.00 17% 4.80 10.60  
  (by TAPITURE out of TIME GIVEN by POINT GIVEN)
NAPA DUDE 2 6 6 6   610½ 614 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 11% 8.20 8.30  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of HARBIN by GONE WEST)
 
MVR-4   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS HALIME 5 2 3 2   2½ 1¼ (yoder d)RIVERA R 126 3.50 12% 7.40 4.20 W
2B  BOURBON SOCIAL 7 1 11 1   1½ 2¼ (ramos francis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 31% 2.20 0.80 P
LOADED ONCE MORE 6 7 712 59   5 3 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 16% 5.30 3.50 S
ORBIT MARS 2 4 21 32   3½ 4 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 20% 4.00 4.30  
MISS OVER THERE 1 6 4 43   44 5 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 18.40  
JOLIE RULER 4 3 6 6   69 6 (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 2.00 0.80  
1A  ESPECIALLY YOU 3 5 5 713½   715½ 726¾ (shiffle)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 44.00  
SCR  LIVE IT UP               (shifflett cher)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   03/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:134 1:271   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROTHER CAM 4 3 4 3 2 11 1 (sweeting craig)PEREZ E 124 8.00 3.30  
PATIO PARTY 1 2 11 1½ 1 21 2 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 6% 17.20 2.30 P
MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 3 5 610 610½ 59 47 3 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.30 1.50 S
BIG FRANK 6 6 5 5 4 57 410¼ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 6.00 19% 4.20 5.10  
FIGHTVILLE 2 4 31 2½ 3 3 515¼ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 25.80  
10  MASTER OF WAR 7 7 710¼ 711 617 617 627½ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 30.30  
WINWITHJIMMY 5 1 21 45 718½ 717¼ 730¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 15.30  
SCR  BEYOND MY DREAMS               (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  HEZA HANDFUL               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  JULIE'S FERRARI               (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE CHARLIE 5 5 4 31   1½ 1 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 126 3.50 0.70  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
RAY'S EMPIRE 2 3 2nk 11   2½ 2 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 13% 6.90 3.70 P
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
MISS ELLIE 1 4 33 21   3½ 3 (doering mark)PEREZ E 121 2.50 55% 0.80 2.60 S
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
OXBOW'S RIDE 3 1 58 5   4 4 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 20.60  
  (by OXBOW out of CYNTHIA'S NEW CAR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FAST AS FAST CAN B 4 2 1nk 4   5 528½ (guidry terran)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 7.30  
  (by CAN THE MAN out of THEANA by UNCLE MO)
 
MVR-7   03/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:151 1:431   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER DONNA G 2 1 2 2 11 14 1 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 7% 12.70 3.50 W
VIVE EL MOMENTO 8 8 68 48 33 24 2 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 11.10  
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 3 3 5 5 5 4 36 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 15% 5.70 2.70 S
PRANCIPANTS 1 7 710 610 44 3 4 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 12% 7.30 4.50  
MISS HEART 4 4 814 814 7 5 510¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00 15.30  
DESIGNATE 7 6 35 3 6 7 618¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 37% 1.70 2.40  
KEYPIT 6 5 1 1 21 6 719¾ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 6% 15.60 20.10  
FLECK 5 2 4 711½ 816½ 818½ 831¾ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 12.90  
 
MVR-8   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:234 :471 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGER 3 4 21 2nk   11 14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 25% 3.00 6.90 W
D'MONEY HONEY 7 1 5 3½   21 24 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 2.80 P
GEHRIG 1 2 11 1nk   31 39 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 1.40 46% 1.20 0.60 S
INHERENT POWERS 4 5 7 7   6 4 (paquette raym)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 6% 16.80 8.60  
SKIDSTREAM 5 7 6 6   7 510½ (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 124 8.00 16.80  
GOTTAGETITBACK 2 6 4 4¾   4 611¼ (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 45.60  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 6 3 31 5   5 712½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 24.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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