Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3/4/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/6/1)-(5/3/4/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/6/1)-(5/3/4/6/1)-(5/3/4/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/4/6/1)-(2/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/6/1)-(2/5/3)-(1/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/6/4)-(2/5/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/3/2/6)-(2/4/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6/5)-(1/3/2/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/2/6)-(2/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/6)-(2/4/6/5)-(9/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5/3)-(2/4/6/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/6/5)-(9/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/5)-(9/5/1)-(1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/1)-(9/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/1)-(9/5/1)-(9/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/5/1)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/5/1)-(1/2)-(7/3/1/2/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/4/5/3)-(1/2/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2)-(7/3/1/2/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(7/3/1/2/6)-(1/3/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/3/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2/6)-(7/3/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2/6)-(7/3/1/2/6)-(7/3/1/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2/6)-(1/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/7)-(1/3/4/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY RAIN Feb20 Jan12 Dec11 Nov09 Sep14 (trierweiler camer)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 13% 6.80    
2  DANCING FOR MONEY Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 Dec28 Dec09 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 8.00    
3  STRAIGHT TO GO Feb14 Jan30 Nov09 Oct10 Sep19 (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 126 4.00 16% 5.30    
4  SUPER GEUSE Jan31 Sep28 Sep14 Feb11 Jan07 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 16% 5.50    
5  IRON BERTIE Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec11 Nov25 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 17% 4.90    
6  IMA SURE BET Feb20 Jan31 Jan12 Dec21 Dec05 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
MVR-2   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAMBITI Feb09 Jan17 Dec30 Dec06 Nov28 (lopez jacinto)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
2  IT'S A MANS WORLD Feb02 Nov03 Oct11 Jul07 Jun06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  BOOT LEGGER Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Nov12 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
4  DREAM PRIZES Feb02 Sep12 Sep01 Aug13 Aug04 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 ★    
5  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Aug24 Aug09 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  JACK BE FAST Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 Dec21 Dec06 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-3   03/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARRELHOUSE Jan27 Dec16 Oct21     (mccarthy mich)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SANDY'S SURPRISE by DROSSELMEYER)
2  NAPA DUDE Feb01 Jan12 Dec18 Nov11   (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of HARBIN by GONE WEST)
3  TIMESATAPPIN         (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of TIME GIVEN by POINT GIVEN)
4  OUTSLEWTHEM Dec30 Oct27 Oct20     (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
5  WARHORSE WEST Feb14 Dec30 Dec07 Oct27 Oct14 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 ★    
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
6  LED TASSO Nov25 Nov19 Oct22 Sep22 Aug28 (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 3.00 8% 11.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BROKEN SILENCE by BROKEN VOW)
 
MVR-4   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ESPECIALLY YOU Feb06 Nov24 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 (shiffle)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
SCR  LIVE IT UP Feb06 Jan13 Aug25 Jul13 Jun28 (shifflett cher)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
2  JOLIE RULER Feb06 Dec31 Dec18 Dec03 Nov13 (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 2.00    
2B  BOURBON SOCIAL Feb16 Jan17 Dec06 Nov06 Oct30 (ramos francis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  MISS OVER THERE Feb06 Jan11 Jan03 Dec08 Oct03 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 ★    
4  ORBIT MARS Feb06 Dec30 Dec08 Nov15 Nov01 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
5  PRINCESS HALIME Feb06 Jan11 Dec22 Dec07 Nov17 (yoder d)RIVERA R 126 3.50 12% 7.40    
6  LOADED ONCE MORE Feb15 Jan28 Jan11 Jan02 Nov22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
MVR-5   03/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATIO PARTY Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 Dec03 Nov14 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  HEZA HANDFUL Jan03 Nov28 Oct10 Aug22 May24 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  BEYOND MY DREAMS Feb13 Feb01 Jan19 Jan12 Dec09 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 25% 2.90    
4  FIGHTVILLE Jan30 Jan07 Oct10 Sep21 Sep13 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
5  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Feb21 Jan18 Dec27 Dec03 Nov12 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
6  MY BROTHER CAM Feb07 Jan19 Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 (sweeting craig)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
SCR  JULIE'S FERRARI Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 Dec11 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
8  WINWITHJIMMY Sep08 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 May07 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
9  BIG FRANK Feb07 Jan19 Jan02 Dec03 Nov19 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 6.00 19% 4.20    
10  MASTER OF WAR Feb13 Jan23 Jan13 Dec13 Nov29 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
MVR-6   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ELLIE Feb09 Jan24 Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 (doering mark)PEREZ E 121 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
2  RAY'S EMPIRE Jan19 Jan04       (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 13% 6.90    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
3  OXBOW'S RIDE Feb16 Feb09 Jan04 Dec12 Nov29 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 ★    
  (by OXBOW out of CYNTHIA'S NEW CAR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  FAST AS FAST CAN B Jan26 Jan04 Dec12 Nov10 Oct06 (guidry terran)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 ★    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of THEANA by UNCLE MO)
5  BUCKEYE CHARLIE Feb09         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 126 3.50 ★    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
 
MVR-7   03/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRANCIPANTS Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec31 Dec18 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 12% 7.30    
2  SUPER DONNA G Feb14 Dec11 Dec05 Nov14 Oct31 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 7% 12.70    
3  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 Dec05 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
4  MISS HEART Jan25 Jan13 Dec10 Nov18 Oct29 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
5  FLECK Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 Dec05 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
6  KEYPIT Feb14 Jan30 Dec29 Dec07 Oct24 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
7  DESIGNATE Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 Sep14 Aug24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
8  VIVE EL MOMENTO Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 Dec11 Nov23 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEHRIG Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Nov15 Oct31 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 1.40 46% 1.20    
2  GOTTAGETITBACK Feb15 Jan19 Dec28 Dec07 Nov21 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 ★    
3  AUGER Feb01 Jan16 Dec28 Dec15 Nov22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
4  INHERENT POWERS Jan30 Jan05 Dec22 Oct24 Sep08 (paquette raym)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 6% 16.80    
5  SKIDSTREAM Jan02 Dec13 Oct25 Oct11 Oct04 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
6  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Feb20 Feb01 Jan02 Dec13 Dec05 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
7  D'MONEY HONEY Feb07 Jan23 Dec28 Dec15 Nov27 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.