Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   TRI (6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5/3)-(6/4/2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-2-5 $27.45 $3.45 14%
MVR-2   EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-4 $51.40 $27.40 114%
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/6/2)-(1/3/4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-4-2 $72.75 $54.75 304%
MVR-3   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-2 $30.40 $12.40 69%
MVR-6   EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-3 $42.80 $18.80 78%
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/6)-(5/2/3/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-3-6 $74.80 $56.80 316%
    SFT (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/6)-(5/2/3/1/6)-(5/2/3/1/6) 72 $0.10 $7.20  2-3-6-5 $38.88 $31.68 440%
MVR-7   WIN (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    EXA (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-1 $42.80 $10.80 34%
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-7 $35.00 $11.00 46%
    PK3 (6/11/4/7)-(5/2/3)-(3/7/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-2-7 $35.80 $11.80 49%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALFIO   (thornbury jef)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.00 16% 5.10 1.50 W
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of RUSTICANA by PIONEERING)
WAITES KINGDOM   (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 15% 5.70 3.30 P
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CONQUEST SUMMERFUN by SUMMER BIRD)
ANCIENT MAN   (hughes w)DIAZ I 126 6.00 8% 11.00 9.10 S
  (by ZIVO out of BRAND ENHANCEMENT by GIROLAMO)
ZINFATUATION   (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00 35.90  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
BON DEUX   (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 36% 1.70 3.40  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of LA BELLE EPOQUE by TAPIT)
BLUNDER   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 2.90  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of HALLIE GAY by SUMMER BIRD)
 
MVR-2   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON SOCIAL   (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 24% 3.20 1.00 W
LUCKY TO HAVE ME   (hernandez)CORREA L 124 15.00 14% 6.10 20.50 P
WHOVILLE   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 7.50 S
GO STELLAIRE   (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 12.00 20.10  
BLACK BUTTE   (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 9.90  
ACT LIKE A LADY   (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.80 34% 1.90 1.60  
FASHION FRAME   (galloway kh)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 15.30  
1A  KAY BEE GEE   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 1.80 1.60  
 
MVR-3   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOPILOT   (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 28% 2.50 2.90 W
ONE FOR THE MONEY   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 9.20  
INSACIABLE PRINCE   (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 24% 3.20 1.60 S
UNCLE DICK   (ramos francis)BRACHO A 126 10.00 13.30  
SHEA D CAPTURE   (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00 6.30  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS   (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 126 5.00 24% 3.20 4.00  
BAYTOWN BEAVER   (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 118 10.00 20.70  
AWESOME BREAK   (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 18.40  
 
MVR-4   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNCHATTHELIZARD   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 26% 2.90 0.50 W
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 5.00  
OXBOW'S RIDE   (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 12.00 S
DANES HEART   (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 9% 10.40 8.70  
A K A FIBBER MCGEE   (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 21.10  
ALDUIN   (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 12.00 86.20  
ROUGE TU RICHES   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 4.00 40% 1.50 4.70  
1A  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00 5.00  
NEW YORK MIRACLE   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 12.00 72.00  
SCR  TRANSPIRED   (gorostiet)CORREA L 118 8.00    
 
MVR-5   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW SHIP   (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.50 10% 9.50 2.60 W
10  PENNY SHOTS   (faulkner )CORREA L 124 15.00 40.20  
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE   (huffman candace )RIVERA R 124 15.00 27.60  
BISCAYNE BAY   (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 12.00 14.90  
GRIZABELLA   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 10.00 8.20  
11  GAIL'S DANCER   (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 16% 5.40 3.80  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE   (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 6.00  
SARAH JANE   (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 24.40  
BAY MAGIC   (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 17.90 67.30  
DIVA POWER   (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 44% 1.30 3.80  
BOOGIE BOOGEE   (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 8.30  
 
MVR-6   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE BRRRR   (poole joe)CORREA L 124 2.00 9% 10.60 2.00 W
CATCHING MAGIC   (gotera ca)DIAZ I 124 5.00 6% 16.30 8.90 P
PRETTY LOUD   (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 20.20 S
INGERSOLL   (west m)PEREZ E 124 1.60 62% 0.60 0.80  
MR. COMMISH   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 12.50  
GOLDEN OAK   (fiesman ro)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 39.60  
CURLIN LANE   (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 9.20  
 
MVR-7   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDIA DARLING   (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 120 3.50 27% 2.60 4.80 W
PAINT THE TOWN   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 120 6.00 9% 9.70 3.10 P
LITTLE TOY GUNS   (tooley )PILARES P 120 10.00 15.60  
TROJAN TALE   (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 120 2.50 14% 5.90 1.00  
AINT NO BANDLEADER   (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 115 10.00 27.30  
HOTROD BOBBY   (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 120 5.00 16.20  
1A  SWING STATE   (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 6.00 3.10  
PRIMITIVO   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00 38.50  
YIPPEE KI YAY   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 120 4.50 28% 2.60 5.80  
 
MVR-8   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEAR PERFECT   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 1.60 29% 2.50 0.20 W
KERRI'S MIRACLE   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00 26% 2.90 13.50 P
BEAUTIFUL LASS   (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 58.10  
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE   (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 4.00 6.30  
TV TIZ GORGEOUS   (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 19% 4.30 10.10  
SEEKING THE MONEY   (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 6.00 29.00  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION   (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 96.30  
REYS PINA COLADA   (schuster robin)RIVERA R 124 15.00 38.40  
ANIMO STAR   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 32.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.