Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
MVR-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
MVR-3   Win (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
MVR-4   Win (6/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
MVR-5   Win (6/11/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
MVR-6   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
MVR-7   Win (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
MVR-8   Win (8/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:153 1:293   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALFIO 4 4 4 3 2nk 1½ 1 (thornbury jeff)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.00 16% 5.10 1.50 W
WAITES KINGDOM 2 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 2 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 15% 5.70 3.30 P
ANCIENT MAN 5 6 66 5 33 3 312½ (hughes w)DIAZ I 126 6.00 8% 11.00 9.10 S
ZINFATUATION 1 3 3 4 44 48 415½ (norris stephan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00 35.90  
BON DEUX 6 2 2nk 2nk 66 617½ 528½ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 36% 1.70 3.40  
BLUNDER 3 5 5 6 55 512½ 630½ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 2.90  
 
MVR-2   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON SOCIAL 3 1 2½ 1   1 1 (patterso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 24% 3.20 1.00 W
LUCKY TO HAVE ME 5 5 8 7   39 2 (hernandez r)CORREA L 124 15.00 14% 6.10 20.50 P
WHOVILLE 2 8 33 2   2 38 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 7.50 S
GO STELLAIRE 6 6 7 6   614¼ 49 (vickers richard)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 12.00 20.10  
BLACK BUTTE 8 3 56 5   514 510½ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 9.90  
ACT LIKE A LADY 1 4 67 8   816¼ 614¾ (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.80 34% 1.90 1.60  
FASHION FRAME 7 2 1½ 3   414 714¾ (galloway khad)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 15.30  
1A  KAY BEE GEE 4 7 46 4   716¼ 822 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 1.80 1.60  
 
MVR-3   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:161 1:302   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOPILOT 2 2 11 1 11 1 1¼ (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 28% 2.50 2.90 W
ONE FOR THE MONEY 5 8 7 7 5 3 2¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 9.20  
INSACIABLE PRINCE 8 1 6 5 21 2 3 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 24% 3.20 1.60 S
UNCLE DICK 4 7 813¾ 8 7 4 414½ (ramos francisco)BRACHO A 126 10.00 13.30  
SHEA D CAPTURE 3 6 21 3 4 5 518¼ (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00 6.30  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 7 5 5 4 32 611 622½ (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 126 5.00 24% 3.20 4.00  
BAYTOWN BEAVER 6 3 31 2 6 711½ 723½ (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 118 10.00 20.70  
AWESOME BREAK 1 4 43 6 8 815½ 829 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 18.40  
 
MVR-4   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
1:16         1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNCHATTHELIZARD 3 4 11 13   112 119¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 26% 2.90 0.50 W
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 1 8 43 46   314 219¾ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 5.00  
OXBOW'S RIDE 5 3 7 811   415½ 323¼ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 12.00 S
DANES HEART 9 5 6 56   515½ 424½ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 9% 10.40 8.70  
A K A FIBBER MCGEE 8 1 21 23   212 524¾ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 21.10  
ALDUIN 6 2 54 6   616½ 626¼ (vazquez ivan)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 12.00 86.20  
ROUGE TU RICHES 7 9 9 7   817¾ 732¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 4.00 40% 1.50 4.70  
1A  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 4 6 31 34   717½ 838¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00 5.00  
NEW YORK MIRACLE 2 7 8 918   937¾ 954½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 12.00 72.00  
SCR  TRANSPIRED               (gorostieta )CORREA L 118 8.00    
 
MVR-5   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW SHIP 4 1 4 43   2 1 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.50 10% 9.50 2.60 W
10  PENNY SHOTS 10 4 6 53   34 2 (faulkner ro)CORREA L 124 15.00 40.20  
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 9 3 2nk 1   1 3 (huffman m)RIVERA R 124 15.00 27.60  
BISCAYNE BAY 5 11 11 10   5 4 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 12.00 14.90  
GRIZABELLA 8 10 9 7   7 5 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 10.00 8.20  
11  GAIL'S DANCER 11 5 7 64   6 6 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 16% 5.40 3.80  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 2 6 10 1110¾   11 711¼ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 6.00  
SARAH JANE 3 2 1nk 2   44 811¾ (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 24.40  
BAY MAGIC 7 7 8 9   8 912¼ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 17.90 67.30  
DIVA POWER 6 8 3 32   9 1013 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 44% 1.30 3.80  
BOOGIE BOOGEE 1 9 5 8   10 1116 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 8.30  
 
MVR-6   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:151 1:293   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE BRRRR 2 5 54 33 21 1 1 (poole m)CORREA L 124 2.00 9% 10.60 2.00 W
CATCHING MAGIC 3 1 33 23 3 3 2 (gotera carl)DIAZ I 124 5.00 6% 16.30 8.90 P
PRETTY LOUD 6 7 67 7 4 4 3 (gomez alejandr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 20.20 S
INGERSOLL 5 2 12 13 11 2 4 (west m)PEREZ E 124 1.60 62% 0.60 0.80  
MR. COMMISH 7 3 44 5 5 58 512½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 12.50  
GOLDEN OAK 1 6 7 68 713 620 621 (fiesman robe)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 39.60  
CURLIN LANE 4 4 22 4 610½ 726 734¼ (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 9.20  
 
MVR-7   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDIA DARLING 8 1 1nk 11   1 111 (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 120 3.50 27% 2.60 4.80 W
PAINT THE TOWN 4 9 9 78   5 211 (gorham m)DIAZ I 120 6.00 9% 9.70 3.10 P
LITTLE TOY GUNS 1 5 2nk 34   38 312 (tooley je)PILARES P 120 10.00 15.60  
TROJAN TALE 6 7 6 45   48 412¾ (maker j)HOUGHTON D 120 2.50 14% 5.90 1.00  
AINT NO BANDLEADER 9 2 3½ 21   2 514½ (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 115 10.00 27.30  
HOTROD BOBBY 5 3 5 5   6 615¾ (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 120 5.00 16.20  
1A  SWING STATE 7 4 7 8   811¾ 716 (gorham robe)CORREA L 122 6.00 3.10  
PRIMITIVO 3 8 8 910¼   711¾ 821¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00 38.50  
YIPPEE KI YAY 2 6 4¾ 6   921¾ 934¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 120 4.50 28% 2.60 5.80  
 
MVR-8   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:012     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEAR PERFECT 8 1 1nk 2   2 1¾ (gorham m)DIAZ I 116 1.60 29% 2.50 0.20 W
KERRI'S MIRACLE 9 4 2nk 1   1 2¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00 26% 2.90 13.50 P
BEAUTIFUL LASS 6 7 6 45   3 3 (morales m)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 58.10  
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 1 6 4 6   511 4 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 4.00 6.30  
TV TIZ GORGEOUS 5 2 31 3   4 5 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 19% 4.30 10.10  
SEEKING THE MONEY 2 8 7 7   614 6 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 29.00  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 7 5 8 810¼   817½ 711 (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 96.30  
REYS PINA COLADA 4 3 5 5   715 814¼ (schuster robin)RIVERA R 124 15.00 38.40  
ANIMO STAR 3 9 917¼ 913¼   918 916 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 32.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.