Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 0.80
MVR-2   Win (2/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $32.80 $32.80 26.80
MVR-3   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $16.80 $16.80 10.80
MVR-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
MVR-5   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $12.00  
MVR-6   Win (4/5/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
MVR-7   Win (9/7/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $15.60  
MVR-8   Win (2/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
MVR-9   Win (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:263 :502 1:16 1:293   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE BLAKER 5 1 11 11 1 1 1 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.40 74% 0.30 0.40 W
BEAT THE DEALER 6 5 4 35 3 2 2 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 4.20 P
DEER CREEK ROAD 1 3 6 5 58 412½ 313¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 14.80  
HANSENATION 4 4 21 21 2 3 414¼ (juarez l)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 15.80  
DR. ZARNETT 3 2 3 4 4 513½ 516½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 4.50  
SAMMY DA BULL 2 6 53 6 611 616½ 620¾ (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 31.80  
SCR  KINGDOM DIAMOND               (meyers sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVATING ART 4 4 11 11   1 1 (robillard julie)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 29% 2.40 15.40 W
LELAWALA 5 2 6 65   3 2 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 3.80 P
UNCAPTURED FAITH 9 6 4 4   2 3 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 2.70 S
11  FIONA 11 8 7 52   5 45 (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 20.00 6% 16.40 13.10  
10  LUCKYWISE 10 3 53 77   6 5 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 10.00 8.00  
MAIDEN ROCK 3 9 108 1012   89 6 (candelas blanca)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 9.50  
PLAYFUL SUMMER 1 11 1110 1112¼   910 7 (flores christi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 23.70  
HERO'S DAUGHTER 2 5 21 21   4 810½ (morales )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 36% 1.80 3.40  
CONDUTTORE 6 10 9 911   1012 913 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 23.10  
HOPS PETUNIA 8 1 31 31   7 1017¼ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00 24.80  
GRANADICA 7 7 8 810   1112 1120 (sandy s)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 14.30  
 
MVR-3   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLEMENT 7 2 2½ 1   17 1 (van den)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 31% 2.20 7.40 W
CONTENT (IRE) 3 1 1½ 2   27 2 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.00 P
MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR 4 5 42 45   3 39 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 3.50 4.80  
BAREBACK FUN 1 7 7 7   49 411¼ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 6.70  
SWEET QUEEN BEE 2 6 5 6   611 515 (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 124 3.00 7% 12.90 5.20  
AFERDITA 5 4 32 3   510 615¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 7.20  
CHACALOSA 6 3 65 5   711½ 716½ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 39.00  
 
MVR-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:15 1:283   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY ISLAND 1 4 11 1 1½ 1 1½ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 7% 13.90 1.30 W
ITSALLABOUTACTION 3 1 21 2 2½ 2 2½ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 1.20 72% 0.40 1.90 P
BEAV'S BOO 4 2 43 6 4 3 3 (fadlovich megan)BRACHO A 124 12.00 11.70 S
ESTILO ELEGANTE 8 8 89 813¾ 812¼ 713 4 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 124 8.00 19.20  
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 7 3 64 5 5 4 5 (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 15.00 25.40  
LITTLE BIRD FLASH 2 6 32 35 3 510 6 (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 16.10  
BOURBON BUNS 5 9 9 713½ 712¼ 613 712½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 12.50  
DUNVEGAN DOLL 6 7 54 45 6 813¼ 813¼ (fadlovich mega)AYALA J 124 15.00 6.80  
QUARANTINA 9 5 7 919¾ 919¼ 925¼ 929½ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 51.10  
SCR  ADMAA               (reed r)MCKEE J 126 1.20    
 
MVR-5   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FIRST CITIZEN 10 1 4 3½   11 1 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00 5.00  
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 2 8 5 5¾   21 2 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.50 4.30 P
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 3 9 8 7   3 3 (reavis m)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 14.10  
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 4 10 6 6   4 4 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 49% 1.00 5.30  
MAKING ME CRAZY 1 7 1012¼ 10   7 57 (mahan p)DIAZ I 126 20.00 31.80 DH
ALACRITOUS 5 6 11 4¾   53 57 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 7% 13.90 1.90 DH
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 9 5 7 8   8 7 (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 36.10  
SOUTHERN WILL 7 3 9 9   99 813 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 12.00 8.00  
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 2 21 1½   6 918½ (johnson gar)CORREA L 126 6.00 21% 3.80 8.50  
CRAFTY CONQUEST 8 4 31 2½   1011 1023¾ (robillard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00 34.10  
 
MVR-6   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:261 :511 1:18 1:313   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CULDEE 4 10 31 3 3½ 2nk 1¼ (drury jr)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 28% 2.50 0.30 W
DONNARUMMA 1 7 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 2¼ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00 13% 6.60 8.60 P
CANDYMONIUM 2 6 2nk 2nk 2nk 3 3 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 126 8.00 16.70  
HURRY UP CHIC CHIC 5 2 4 4 5 4 413½ (reed r)MCKEE J 126 3.50 26% 2.80 9.60  
TIME FOR CUPID 8 1 96 96 9 610¾ 514 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 7% 13.90 11.60  
ASHWICKEN 3 9 5 5 45 510½ 623½ (zielinski rich)AYALA J 126 6.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
FULL TIME STRUTIN 6 3 74 6 7 912¼ 723¾ (lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00 64.50  
DINAH JO 9 4 106 8 67 711¾ 825¼ (anderson susan )BRACHO A 118 12.00 17.80  
10  IMA SURE BET 10 5 6 7 8 811¾ 928¾ (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 47.80  
ICY RAIN 7 8 84 106 10 1024¼ 1042¾ (trierweiler cameron)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 66.80  
 
MVR-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:02     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 11 2 52 3½   2½ 1 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 6.80  
JULIE'S FERRARI 2 8 4 4¾   4¾ 2 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 6% 16.50 12.00 P
EXONERATED PREZ 5 4 21 1nk   1½ 3 (tumblin )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 11% 7.80 15.30 S
NOT A GAME 8 5 31 2nk   3½ 4 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 12% 7.10 6.20  
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 9 3 9 6   6 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.70  
SCORSESE 3 10 8 9   7 6 (zielinski richard)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 4.70  
10  REINSURE 10 1 116 117   10 7 (zielinski rich)AYALA J 124 15.00 15.70  
GATTO MARRONE 4 7 7 7   8 8 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 60.40  
JOCULARITY 1 6 11 5   5 9 (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 17.80  
TURN THE SWITCH 7 11 105 8   9 1011¾ (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 4.50 14% 6.00 5.40  
HEY SACH 6 9 6 107   1116½ 1129¼ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 6.80  
 
MVR-8   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UOTTALIKEIT 6 2 1nk 1   14 1 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 19% 4.40 2.90 W
EL MARRO 7 6 7 3   24 2 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 22.00  
SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 4 5 4   35 3 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 4.80  
CLAW 3 7 6 5   4 47 (barnes a)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 7.10  
CHACO SPIRIT 4 1 42 6   510½ 5 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 10.00 12% 7.40 6.40  
DUKE OF DARKNESS 2 3 2nk 2   610½ 611½ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50  
DECEITFUL ANTHONY 1 5 31 7   714½ 716¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 3.70  
SCR  GARRETT               (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MUTINY               (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
 
MVR-9   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:021     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANEL SPIRIT 2 5 2nk 1   16 1 (cline c)PEREZ E 122 2.50 22% 3.60 1.20 W
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 5 1 7 5   26 2 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 122 3.00 43% 1.30 2.70 P
PRONTO CHARLI 4 2 4 65   516 323¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 4.50 8% 11.90 5.00 S
BONNIE'S BEST 1 7 1nk 3   416 424¾ (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 12.00 13.50  
LADYBUGGIN 8 4 5 4   616¼ 528¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 5.70  
VAMONOS PIACENTE 3 3 6 79   720¼ 631¾ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 122 20.00 56.30  
KISS VALENTINA 6 6 3 2   315 732 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 5% 17.30 16.90  
MI CANCION 7 8 8 811   826¼ 839½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 27.40  
10  INCREDIBLE MARINI 9 9 912¾ 913   926¼ 941¼ (bogart b)BRACHO A 122 20.00 89.30  
SCR  NO MORE MARGS               (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.