The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - February 20, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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MVR-1   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:263 :502 1:16 1:293   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LITTLE BLAKER 5 1 11 11 12½ 13½ 14¾ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.40 74% 0.30 0.40 W
7  BEAT THE DEALER 6 5 42½ 35 32½ 23½ 24¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 ★ 4.20 P
1  DEER CREEK ROAD 1 3 64½ 58½ 58 412½ 313¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 14.80  
5  HANSENATION 4 4 21 21 22½ 39½ 414¼ (juarez l)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★ 15.80  
4  DR. ZARNETT 3 2 32½ 45½ 45½ 513½ 516½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 ★ 4.50  
2  SAMMY DA BULL 2 6 53 69½ 611 616½ 620¾ (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 31.80  
SCR  KINGDOM DIAMOND               (meyers sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:233 :482 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAPTIVATING ART 4 4 11 11   11½ 11¾ (robillard julie)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 29% 2.40 15.40 W
5  LELAWALA 5 2 63¼ 65   32½ 21¾ (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 ★ 3.80 P
9  UNCAPTURED FAITH 9 6 41½ 41½   21½ 32½ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★ 2.70 S
11  FIONA 11 8 73¼ 52   54½ 45 (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 20.00 6% 16.40 13.10  
10  LUCKYWISE 10 3 53 77   65½ 57¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 10.00 8.00  
3  MAIDEN ROCK 3 9 108 1012   89 68¼ (candelas blanca)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 9.50  
1  PLAYFUL SUMMER 1 11 1110 1112¼   910 79¾ (flores christi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 23.70  
2  HERO'S DAUGHTER 2 5 21 21   43½ 810½ (morales )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 36% 1.80 3.40  
6  CONDUTTORE 6 10 97¾ 911   1012 913 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 23.10  
8  HOPS PETUNIA 8 1 31 31   77½ 1017¼ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00 24.80  
7  GRANADICA 7 7 85¼ 810   1112 1120 (sandy s)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 14.30  
 
MVR-3   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
:231 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TEMPLEMENT 7 2 2½ 13½   17 17¼ (van den)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 31% 2.20 7.40 W
3  CONTENT 3 1 1½ 23½   27 27¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.00 P
4  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR 4 5 42 45   37½ 39 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 3.50 4.80  
1  BAREBACK FUN 1 7 76½ 76¾   49 411¼ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 ★ 6.70  
2  SWEET QUEEN BEE 2 6 52½ 65¾   611 515 (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 124 3.00 7% 12.90 5.20  
5  AFERDITA 5 4 32 33½   510 615¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★ 7.20  
6  CHACALOSA 6 3 65 55¼   711½ 716½ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 39.00  
 
MVR-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
:252 :492 1:15 1:283   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CANDY ISLAND 1 4 11 11½ 1½ 11½ 1½ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 7% 13.90 1.30 W
1  ITSALLABOUTACTION 3 1 21 21½ 2½ 21½ 2½ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 1.20 72% 0.40 1.90 P
4  BEAV'S BOO 4 2 43 66½ 45½ 35½ 31¾ (fadlovich megan)BRACHO A 124 12.00 ★ 11.70 S
8  ESTILO ELEGANTE 8 8 89 813¾ 812¼ 713 48¾ (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 124 8.00 19.20  
7  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 7 3 64 55½ 55¾ 49½ 58¾ (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 15.00 25.40  
3  LITTLE BIRD FLASH 2 6 32 35 35½ 510 69½ (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 ★ 16.10  
5  BOURBON BUNS 5 9 99¼ 713½ 712¼ 613 712½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 12.50  
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL 6 7 54 45 68¼ 813¼ 813¼ (fadlovich mega)AYALA J 124 15.00 ★ 6.80  
9  QUARANTINA 9 5 77½ 919¾ 919¼ 925¼ 929½ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 51.10  
SCR  ADMAA               (reed r)MCKEE J 126 1.20    
 
MVR-5   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:23 :472 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FIRST CITIZEN 10 1 45½ 3½   11 11¾ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00 5.00  
2  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 2 8 56½ 5¾   21 21¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.50 ★ 4.30 P
3  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 3 9 89¼ 73¼   32½ 33½ (reavis m)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 14.10  
4  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 4 10 67½ 62¼   42½ 45¾ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 49% 1.00 5.30  
1  MAKING ME CRAZY 1 7 1012¼ 107½   74½ 57 (mahan p)DIAZ I 126 20.00 31.80 DH
5  ALACRITOUS 5 6 11 4¾   53 57 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 7% 13.90 1.90 DH
9  JACK'S ADVANTAGE 9 5 77¾ 84¼   87½ 77½ (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 ★ 36.10  
7  SOUTHERN WILL 7 3 99¼ 97¼   99 813 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 12.00 8.00  
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 2 21 1½   63½ 918½ (johnson gar)CORREA L 126 6.00 21% 3.80 8.50  
8  CRAFTY CONQUEST 8 4 31 2½   1011 1023¾ (robillard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00 34.10  
 
MVR-6   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
:261 :511 1:18 1:313   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CULDEE 4 10 31 31½ 3½ 2nk 1¼ (drury jr)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 28% 2.50 0.30 W
1  DONNARUMMA 1 7 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 2¼ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00 13% 6.60 8.60 P
2  CANDYMONIUM 2 6 2nk 2nk 2nk 32½ 38½ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 126 8.00 16.70  
5  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC 5 2 41¼ 41¾ 55½ 49½ 413½ (reed r)MCKEE J 126 3.50 26% 2.80 9.60  
8  TIME FOR CUPID 8 1 96 96 97¾ 610¾ 514 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 7% 13.90 11.60  
3  ASHWICKEN 3 9 53¾ 53¼ 45 510½ 623½ (zielinski rich)AYALA J 126 6.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
6  FULL TIME STRUTIN 6 3 74 63¾ 77¼ 912¼ 723¾ (lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00 64.50  
9  DINAH JO 9 4 106 85¾ 67 711¾ 825¼ (anderson susan )BRACHO A 118 12.00 17.80  
10  IMA SURE BET 10 5 63¾ 73¾ 87¾ 811¾ 928¾ (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 47.80  
7  ICY RAIN 7 8 84 106 109¾ 1024¼ 1042¾ (trierweiler cameron)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 66.80  
 
MVR-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
:241 :483 1:02     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 11 2 52 3½   2½ 11½ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 6.80  
3  JULIE'S FERRARI 2 8 41½ 4¾   4¾ 21½ (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 6% 16.50 12.00 P
6  EXONERATED PREZ 5 4 21 1nk   1½ 32¼ (tumblin )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 11% 7.80 15.30 S
8  NOT A GAME 8 5 31 2nk   3½ 43¼ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 12% 7.10 6.20  
9  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 9 3 93½ 64¾   65¾ 54¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.70  
4  SCORSESE 3 10 83¼ 95½   76¾ 66¼ (zielinski richard)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 4.70  
10  REINSURE 10 1 116 117   107½ 76½ (zielinski rich)AYALA J 124 15.00 15.70  
5  GATTO MARRONE 4 7 72¼ 75¼   86¾ 88½ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 60.40  
2  JOCULARITY 1 6 11 53¾   54¾ 99¾ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 17.80  
7  TURN THE SWITCH 7 11 105 85¼   97¼ 1011¾ (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 4.50 14% 6.00 5.40  
1  HEY SACH 6 9 62¼ 107   1116½ 1129¼ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 6.80  
 
MVR-8   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
:221 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UOTTALIKEIT 6 2 1nk 12½   14 12¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 19% 4.40 2.90 W
9  EL MARRO 7 6 74¼ 32½   24 22¾ (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 22.00  
6  SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 4 52¼ 42¾   35 36¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 4.80  
3  CLAW 3 7 64¼ 54¾   48½ 47 (barnes a)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 7.10  
4  CHACO SPIRIT 4 1 42 65¾   510½ 58¾ (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 10.00 12% 7.40 6.40  
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS 2 3 2nk 22½   610½ 611½ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50  
1  DECEITFUL ANTHONY 1 5 31 76¾   714½ 716¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 3.70  
SCR  GARRETT               (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MUTINY               (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-9   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:32
:242 :491 1:021     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHANEL SPIRIT 2 5 2nk 11½   16 12¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 122 2.50 22% 3.60 1.20 W
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 5 1 75¾ 53½   26 22¼ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 122 3.00 43% 1.30 2.70 P
4  PRONTO CHARLI 4 2 41¾ 65   516 323¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 4.50 8% 11.90 5.00 S
1  BONNIE'S BEST 1 7 1nk 32½   416 424¾ (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 12.00 13.50  
9  LADYBUGGIN 8 4 53¼ 43½   616¼ 528¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 ★ 5.70  
3  VAMONOS PIACENTE 3 3 63¾ 79   720¼ 631¾ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 122 20.00 56.30  
6  KISS VALENTINA 6 6 31½ 21½   315 732 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 5% 17.30 16.90  
8  MI CANCION 7 8 88¼ 811   826¼ 839½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 27.40  
10  INCREDIBLE MARINI 9 9 912¾ 913   926¼ 941¼ (bogart b)BRACHO A 122 20.00 89.30  
SCR  NO MORE MARGS               (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.