Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00  6 $2.80 $0.80 40%
MVR-2   WIN (2/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $32.80 $26.80 447%
    EXA (2/4/11)-(2/4/11/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $176.20 $152.20 634%
    TRI (2/4/11)-(2/4/11/5/9)-(2/4/11/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-5-9 $198.45 $180.45 1003%
    SFT (2/4/11)-(2/4/11/5/9)-(2/4/11/5/9)-(2/4/11/5/9) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-5-9-11 $962.48 $955.28 13268%
    DD (6)-(2/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6-4 $75.40 $69.40 1157%
MVR-3   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $16.80 $10.80 180%
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $50.60 $26.60 111%
    DD (2/4/11)-(3/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-7 $211.20 $193.20 1073%
    PK3 (6)-(2/4/11)-(3/7/2) 9 $0.50 $4.50  6-4-7 $236.35 $231.85 5152%
MVR-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/6/4/3)-(1/2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-4 $13.90 $1.90 16%
    DD (3/7/2)-(1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-2 $39.60 $27.60 230%
    PK3 (2/4/11)-(3/7/2)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-7-2 $295.35 $286.35 3182%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:263 :502 1:16 1:293   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LITTLE BLAKER 5 1 11 11 12½ 13½ 14¾ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.40 74% 0.30 0.40 W
7  BEAT THE DEALER 6 5 42½ 35 32½ 23½ 24¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 ★ 4.20 P
1  DEER CREEK ROAD 1 3 64½ 58½ 58 412½ 313¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 14.80  
5  HANSENATION 4 4 21 21 22½ 39½ 414¼ (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★ 15.80  
4  DR. ZARNETT 3 2 32½ 45½ 45½ 513½ 516½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 ★ 4.50  
2  SAMMY DA BULL 2 6 53 69½ 611 616½ 620¾ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 31.80  
SCR  KINGDOM DIAMOND               (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAPTIVATING ART 4 4 11 11   11½ 11¾ (robillard julie)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 29% 2.40 15.40 W
5  LELAWALA 5 2 63¼ 65   32½ 21¾ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 ★ 3.80 P
9  UNCAPTURED FAITH 9 6 41½ 41½   21½ 32½ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★ 2.70 S
11  FIONA 11 8 73¼ 52   54½ 45 (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 20.00 6% 16.40 13.10  
10  LUCKYWISE 10 3 53 77   65½ 57¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 10.00 8.00  
3  MAIDEN ROCK 3 9 108 1012   89 68¼ (candelas blanca)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 9.50  
1  PLAYFUL SUMMER 1 11 1110 1112¼   910 79¾ (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 23.70  
2  HERO'S DAUGHTER 2 5 21 21   43½ 810½ (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 36% 1.80 3.40  
6  CONDUTTORE 6 10 97¾ 911   1012 913 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 4.50 23.10  
8  HOPS PETUNIA 8 1 31 31   77½ 1017¼ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00 24.80  
7  GRANADICA 7 7 85¼ 810   1112 1120 (sandy stephen )HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 14.30  
 
MVR-3   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TEMPLEMENT 7 2 2½ 13½   17 17¼ (van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 31% 2.20 7.40 W
3  CONTENT (IRE) 3 1 1½ 23½   27 27¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.00 P
4  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR 4 5 42 45   37½ 39 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 3.50 4.80  
1  BAREBACK FUN 1 7 76½ 76¾   49 411¼ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 ★ 6.70  
2  SWEET QUEEN BEE 2 6 52½ 65¾   611 515 (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 124 3.00 7% 12.90 5.20  
5  AFERDITA 5 4 32 33½   510 615¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★ 7.20  
6  CHACALOSA 6 3 65 55¼   711½ 716½ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 39.00  
 
MVR-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:15 1:283   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CANDY ISLAND 1 4 11 11½ 1½ 11½ 1½ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 7% 13.90 1.30 W
1  ITSALLABOUTACTION 3 1 21 21½ 2½ 21½ 2½ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 1.20 72% 0.40 1.90 P
4  BEAV'S BOO 4 2 43 66½ 45½ 35½ 31¾ (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 124 12.00 ★ 11.70 S
8  ESTILO ELEGANTE 8 8 89 813¾ 812¼ 713 48¾ (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 124 8.00 19.20  
7  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 7 3 64 55½ 55¾ 49½ 58¾ (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 15.00 25.40  
3  LITTLE BIRD FLASH 2 6 32 35 35½ 510 69½ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 ★ 16.10  
5  BOURBON BUNS 5 9 99¼ 713½ 712¼ 613 712½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 12.50  
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL 6 7 54 45 68¼ 813¼ 813¼ (fadlovich me)AYALA J 124 15.00 ★ 6.80  
9  QUARANTINA 9 5 77½ 919¾ 919¼ 925¼ 929½ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 51.10  
SCR  ADMAA               (reed r)MCKEE J 126 1.20    
 
MVR-5   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FIRST CITIZEN 10 1 45½ 3½   11 11¾ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00 5.00  
2  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 2 8 56½ 5¾   21 21¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.50 ★ 4.30 P
3  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 3 9 89¼ 73¼   32½ 33½ (reavis)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 14.10  
4  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 4 10 67½ 62¼   42½ 45¾ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 49% 1.00 5.30  
1  MAKING ME CRAZY 1 7 1012¼ 107½   74½ 57 (mahan p)DIAZ I 126 20.00 31.80 DH
5  ALACRITOUS 5 6 11 4¾   53 57 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 7% 13.90 1.90 DH
9  JACK'S ADVANTAGE 9 5 77¾ 84¼   87½ 77½ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 ★ 36.10  
7  SOUTHERN WILL 7 3 99¼ 97¼   99 813 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 12.00 8.00  
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 2 21 1½   63½ 918½ (johnson g)CORREA L 126 6.00 21% 3.80 8.50  
8  CRAFTY CONQUEST 8 4 31 2½   1011 1023¾ (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00 34.10  
 
MVR-6   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:261 :511 1:18 1:313   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CULDEE 4 10 31 31½ 3½ 2nk 1¼ (drury jr)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 28% 2.50 0.30 W
  (by FLATTER out of BEND by ARCH)
1  DONNARUMMA 1 7 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 2¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00 13% 6.60 8.60 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUBBLES AND BABIES by A.P. INDY)
2  CANDYMONIUM 2 6 2nk 2nk 2nk 32½ 38½ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 126 8.00 16.70  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BROWN EYED MARY by PULPIT)
5  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC 5 2 41¼ 41¾ 55½ 49½ 413½ (reed r)MCKEE J 126 3.50 26% 2.80 9.60  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SNOOZE by FORESTRY)
8  TIME FOR CUPID 8 1 96 96 97¾ 610¾ 514 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 7% 13.90 11.60  
  (by CUPID out of ELUSIVE ACT by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  ASHWICKEN 3 9 53¾ 53¼ 45 510½ 623½ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 126 6.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
6  FULL TIME STRUTIN 6 3 74 63¾ 77¼ 912¼ 723¾ (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00 64.50  
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  DINAH JO 9 4 106 85¾ 67 711¾ 825¼ (anderson susa)BRACHO A 118 12.00 17.80  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TORTUGA LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
10  IMA SURE BET 10 5 63¾ 73¾ 87¾ 811¾ 928¾ (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 47.80  
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SURE FOOT SUE by BRAHMS)
7  ICY RAIN 7 8 84 106 109¾ 1024¼ 1042¾ (trierweiler camer)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 66.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
MVR-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:02     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 11 2 52 3½   2½ 11½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 6.80  
3  JULIE'S FERRARI 2 8 41½ 4¾   4¾ 21½ (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 6% 16.50 12.00 P
6  EXONERATED PREZ 5 4 21 1nk   1½ 32¼ (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 11% 7.80 15.30 S
8  NOT A GAME 8 5 31 2nk   3½ 43¼ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 12% 7.10 6.20  
9  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 9 3 93½ 64¾   65¾ 54¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.70  
4  SCORSESE 3 10 83¼ 95½   76¾ 66¼ (zielinski richar)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 4.70  
10  REINSURE 10 1 116 117   107½ 76½ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00 15.70  
5  GATTO MARRONE 4 7 72¼ 75¼   86¾ 88½ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 60.40  
2  JOCULARITY 1 6 11 53¾   54¾ 99¾ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 17.80  
7  TURN THE SWITCH 7 11 105 85¼   97¼ 1011¾ (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 4.50 14% 6.00 5.40  
1  HEY SACH 6 9 62¼ 107   1116½ 1129¼ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 6.80  
 
MVR-8   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UOTTALIKEIT 6 2 1nk 12½   14 12¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 19% 4.40 2.90 W
9  EL MARRO 7 6 74¼ 32½   24 22¾ (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 22.00  
6  SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 4 52¼ 42¾   35 36¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 4.80  
3  CLAW 3 7 64¼ 54¾   48½ 47 (barnes bart )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 7.10  
4  CHACO SPIRIT 4 1 42 65¾   510½ 58¾ (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 10.00 12% 7.40 6.40  
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS 2 3 2nk 22½   610½ 611½ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50  
1  DECEITFUL ANTHONY 1 5 31 76¾   714½ 716¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 3.70  
SCR  GARRETT               (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MUTINY               (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-9   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:021     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHANEL SPIRIT 2 5 2nk 11½   16 12¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 122 2.50 22% 3.60 1.20 W
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LATIN TUDOR by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 5 1 75¾ 53½   26 22¼ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 122 3.00 43% 1.30 2.70 P
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEYOUINTHETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  PRONTO CHARLI 4 2 41¾ 65   516 323¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 4.50 8% 11.90 5.00 S
  (by PROTONICO out of INDIANISTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
1  BONNIE'S BEST 1 7 1nk 32½   416 424¾ (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 12.00 13.50  
  (by PALACE out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
9  LADYBUGGIN 8 4 53¼ 43½   616¼ 528¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 ★ 5.70  
  (by LORD NELSON out of ODE TO SAMI by LION HEART)
3  VAMONOS PIACENTE 3 3 63¾ 79   720¼ 631¾ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 122 20.00 56.30  
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
6  KISS VALENTINA 6 6 31½ 21½   315 732 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 5% 17.30 16.90  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of KISS FOR DODIE by STATEMENT (IRE))
8  MI CANCION 7 8 88¼ 811   826¼ 839½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 27.40  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
10  INCREDIBLE MARINI 9 9 912¾ 913   926¼ 941¼ (bogart robert)BRACHO A 122 20.00 89.30  
  (by JACK MILTON out of JUSTINCREDIBLE by MARINO MARINI)
SCR  NO MORE MARGS               (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.