Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/7/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(2/4/11) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(2/4/11)-(3/7/2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-2   WIN (2/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/11)-(2/4/11/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/11)-(2/4/11/5/9)-(2/4/11/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/11)-(3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/11)-(3/7/2)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/1/5)-(3/7/2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(1/2)-(4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/6/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/6/4/3)-(1/2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/6/5)-(4/5/1/8/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/2/9)-(4/6/5/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(4/5/1/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(4/5/1/8/3)-(9/7/8/6/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-6   WIN (4/5/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/8/3)-(4/5/1/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/8/3)-(4/5/1/8/3)-(4/5/1/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/1/8/3)-(9/7/8/6/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/8/3)-(9/7/8/6/3)-(2/7/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-7   WIN (9/7/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/6/3)-(9/7/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/6/3)-(9/7/8/6/3)-(9/7/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/8/6/3)-(2/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/7/8/6/3)-(2/7/4)-(5/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6/9)-(5/2/4/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEER CREEK ROAD Jan11 Dec21 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00    
2  SAMMY DA BULL Feb09 Jan11 Dec12 Nov15 Oct31 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  KINGDOM DIAMOND Jan31 Jan16 Dec29 Dec19 Dec01 (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 ★    
4  DR. ZARNETT Jan26 Dec21 Dec12 Nov28 Nov07 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 ★    
5  HANSENATION Feb02 Sep01 Aug18 Aug02 Jul19 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★    
6  LITTLE BLAKER Feb02 Dec27 Dec12 Jan04   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.40 74% 0.30    
7  BEAT THE DEALER Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 Oct31 Sep29 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYFUL SUMMER Jan05 Dec14 Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
2  HERO'S DAUGHTER Feb01 Jan24 Jan05 Dec28 Sep20 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
3  MAIDEN ROCK Dec30 Dec18 Nov11 Oct16 Sep17 (candelas blanca)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
4  CAPTIVATING ART Feb01 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (robillard julie)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 29% 2.40    
5  LELAWALA Jan19 Jan22 Jan01     (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 ★    
6  CONDUTTORE Aug06 Jul20 Jun21 Jun13 May11 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
7  GRANADICA Jan13 Dec21 Nov30 Oct31 Oct07 (sandy stephen )HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
8  HOPS PETUNIA Jan30 Jan09 Dec28 Dec15 Nov28 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
9  UNCAPTURED FAITH Jan24 Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 Sep16 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★    
10  LUCKYWISE Dec28 Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 Aug22 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
11  FIONA Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 Oct17 Sep30 (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 20.00 6% 16.40    
 
MVR-3   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Jan28 Jan04 Dec08 Dec02 Nov03 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 ★    
2  SWEET QUEEN BEE Jun06 May23 Apr11 Mar14 Feb15 (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 124 3.00 7% 12.90    
3  CONTENT (IRE) Feb02 Dec06 Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
4  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Oct13 Sep18 Aug08 Jul09 Jun18 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 3.50    
5  AFERDITA Dec19 Nov09 Oct14 Sep20 Aug31 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★    
6  CHACALOSA Jan10 May08 Apr21 Jan26 Jan12 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
7  TEMPLEMENT Jan31 Jan04 Nov15 Oct24 Aug15 (van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSALLABOUTACTION Dec15 Oct23 Sep19 May24 Apr13 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 1.20 72% 0.40    
SCR  ADMAA Jan24 Oct31 Oct04 Jul08 Jun08 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 1.20    
2  CANDY ISLAND Dec15 Nov21 Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 7% 13.90    
3  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Jun22 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 ★    
4  BEAV'S BOO Jan09 Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 Sep16 (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 124 12.00 ★    
5  BOURBON BUNS Jan24 Dec29 Dec15 Nov30 Nov10 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL Sep08 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 May14 (fadlovich me)AYALA J 124 15.00 ★    
7  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE Jan24 Dec01 Nov15 Oct06 Sep26 (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
8  ESTILO ELEGANTE Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Sep27 Aug24 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
9  QUARANTINA Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Oct17 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKING ME CRAZY Feb08 Dec20 Dec05 Nov15 Nov08 (mahan p)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
2  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Jan23 Jan09 Nov28 Nov09 Oct22 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.50 ★    
3  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 Aug11 (reavis)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
4  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Jan09 Dec20 Dec05 Nov28 Nov09 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 49% 1.00    
5  ALACRITOUS Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 Nov09 Oct10 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 7% 13.90    
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jan18 Dec28 Oct10 Sep12 Aug18 (johnson g)CORREA L 126 6.00 21% 3.80    
7  SOUTHERN WILL Dec06 Nov13 Oct03 Aug17 Jul28 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 12.00    
8  CRAFTY CONQUEST Nov26 Nov10 Oct24 Oct04 Sep13 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
9  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Jan26 Dec31 Nov19 Nov04 Oct14 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 ★    
10  FIRST CITIZEN Feb08 Jan10 Jul18 Jun05 May24 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNARUMMA Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 Nov07 Oct10 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUBBLES AND BABIES by A.P. INDY)
2  CANDYMONIUM Aug14 Jul15       (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 126 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BROWN EYED MARY by PULPIT)
3  ASHWICKEN Jan31 Jan12 Dec21 Dec05 Nov04 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
4  CULDEE Jan01 Oct27 Sep30 Aug24 Jul28 (drury jr)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of BEND by ARCH)
5  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Dec05 Nov02 Sep13 Jul27 Jun14 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SNOOZE by FORESTRY)
6  FULL TIME STRUTIN Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 Nov30 Nov06 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  ICY RAIN Jan12 Dec11 Nov09 Sep14 Aug15 (trierweiler camer)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  TIME FOR CUPID Feb06 Dec30 Dec15 Nov11 Sep16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 7% 13.90    
  (by CUPID out of ELUSIVE ACT by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  DINAH JO Dec11         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TORTUGA LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
10  IMA SURE BET Jan31 Jan12 Dec21 Dec05 Nov16 (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SURE FOOT SUE by BRAHMS)
 
MVR-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY SACH Feb01 Jan19 Dec01 Nov21 Nov10 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
1A  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Feb01 Jan02 Dec13 Dec05 Nov16 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
2  JOCULARITY Jan19 Jan02 Dec01 Nov10 Oct03 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
3  JULIE'S FERRARI Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 6% 16.50    
4  SCORSESE Jan30 Dec27 Dec15 Nov19 Oct24 (zielinski richar)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
5  GATTO MARRONE Feb01 Jan02 Dec11 Nov28 Nov02 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
6  EXONERATED PREZ Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 Dec01 Nov14 (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 11% 7.80    
7  TURN THE SWITCH Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 Nov13 Oct30 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
8  NOT A GAME Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Nov21 Sep20 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 12% 7.10    
9  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Feb08 Dec19 Dec05 Nov10 Oct27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  REINSURE Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 Dec01 Oct27 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Feb07 Jan18 Dec28 Dec12 Nov17 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS Dec12 Nov21 Oct25 Oct03 Aug16 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  CLAW Feb07 Jan18 Jan02 Dec15 Nov22 (barnes bart )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
4  CHACO SPIRIT Jan30 Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 Oct03 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 10.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  GARRETT Jan11 Dec12 Nov23 Jun06 May17 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
6  SHANGHAI PRINCE Jan26 Dec27 Dec03 Oct31 Sep27 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.00    
7  UOTTALIKEIT Jan28 Apr25 Apr02 Mar08 Feb12 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  MUTINY Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 Nov29 Nov07 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 15.00 ★    
9  EL MARRO Jan26 Jan10 Dec01 Nov07 Jun01 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-9   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE'S BEST Jan16 Dec30 Dec15     (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 12.00    
  (by PALACE out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  CHANEL SPIRIT Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Oct05 (cline c)PEREZ E 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LATIN TUDOR by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  VAMONOS PIACENTE Sep29 Aug31 Aug15     (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 122 20.00    
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
4  PRONTO CHARLI Jan16         (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 4.50 8% 11.90    
  (by PROTONICO out of INDIANISTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEYOUINTHETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  KISS VALENTINA Dec27 Dec13       (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 5% 17.30    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of KISS FOR DODIE by STATEMENT (IRE))
SCR  NO MORE MARGS Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01   (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  MI CANCION Dec27         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
9  LADYBUGGIN Sep20         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 ★    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ODE TO SAMI by LION HEART)
10  INCREDIBLE MARINI Jan26 Jan11       (bogart robert)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of JUSTINCREDIBLE by MARINO MARINI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.