Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   TRI (4/1/3/2/6)-(4/1/3/2/6)-(4/1/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-2-6 $72.35 $42.35 141%
FG-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $26.30 $14.30 119%
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/8/4)-(3/1/6/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-4-1 $37.30 $19.30 107%
FG-5   PK4 (3/1/6)-(3/1)-(5/4/6/3/1)-(3/8/7) 90 $0.50 $45.00  3-1/3/4/6/7-3-ALL $130.80 $85.80 191%
    PK5 (4/1/3/2/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1)-(5/4/6/3/1)-(3/8/7) 450 $0.50 $225  4-3-1/3/4/6/7-3-ALL $370.20 $145.20 65%
Simulator Race results
 
FG-1   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:254 :503 1:162     1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIGH VALUE TARGET 4 1 12 11 11 12 11¾ (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 1.80 46% 1.20 1.20 W
2  STAR'S DREAM 2 2 22 21 21 22 21¾ (hargrave kenne)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00 6% 15.90 10.10 P
6  ZEEROCK 6 4 59 59 58½ 35½ 33¾ (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 23.80 S
5  I DONT KNOW EITHER 5 5 34 36 36½ 47 48½ (gomez jo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00 7.90  
1  CRAFTY PRINCESS 1 3 47 46½ 46½ 57 59 (arndt the)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 14% 6.00 2.50  
3  KAITLYN'S COURT 3 6 610 69½ 613½ 611 69¾ (constan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.00 7% 14.30 3.30  
 
FG-2   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :453 :582     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SONO 3 2 1½ 12½   16 113¼ (stall m)CULP BRIANNE 115 3.00 45% 1.20 2.40 W
4  COMPUTERIZED 4 7 819 820   516½ 213¼ (hodges e)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 ★ 5.50 P
1  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR 1 3 36 36½   37½ 313¾ (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 20% 4.10 1.30 S
2  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT 2 4 410 413½   414½ 414¾ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 8.40  
5  ALL TOGETHER 5 5 714½ 616½   617½ 519½ (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 8.00 33.90  
7  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 7 1 2½ 22½   26 621½ (thompson k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 10.30  
6  HENNY'S TURN 6 8 510½ 515½   720½ 730¾ (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 14% 6.20 11.80  
8  CARROLL CREEK 8 6 611 716½   824½ 836½ (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 8.00 ★ 25.60  
 
FG-3   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:221 :461 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERIOUSLY SAM 1 1 1½ 12½   17 18¾ (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 2.50 17% 4.80 0.50 W
  (by ASTROLOGY out of CACTUS CADILLAC by CACTUS RIDGE)
5  THE CALLING STONE 3 2 33 22½   27 28¾ (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 ★ 1.30 P
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ANYTHING BUT QUIET by REAL QUIET)
2  AVIE J 2 3 2½ 33   314 334¼ (ladner herman)MURRAY M 124 10.00 5.80  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of ENTERPRISE BEACH by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  SHE'S WAYNE'S               (devereux j)GRAHAM J 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by MO TOM out of HOLY HAZAAM by SUN BULL)
SCR  REMEMBERIN RONALD               (robinsjr)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00 ★    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
SCR  VALERIE LOUISE               (zeno benjamin)RIQUELME J 124 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SHINY BAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  PENNIES FOR PAULLA               (delahoussa)ALBERT S 119 12.00 ★    
  (by JOE'S SON JOEY out of AMAZING SAINT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
FG-4   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:142 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SENSE YOU LEFT 3 4 21 2½ 11½ 14 14¼ (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 8% 11.90 2.50 W
1  JUST PASSING THRU 2 5 66½ 68 53 24 24¼ (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 4.50 5% 17.70 4.10 P
4  CARSON'S PRINCESS 4 2 11 1½ 31½ 36½ 312½ (camejo jose)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 19% 4.20 3.10 S
7  WHATS UP SWEETS 6 6 53½ 42½ 42 48 417 (shirer a)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 2.50  
2  PAYTONSATTHEPLATE 1 1 42½ 53 64 510 517¼ (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 4.70 DH
6  ANGEL OF VERDUN 5 3 31½ 31½ 21½ 610 517¼ (ladner joh)ALBERT S 116 6.00 12% 7.50 28.80 DH
SCR  TEXAS BLUEBONNET               (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
SCR  VARSITY FLYGIRL               (bernard jo)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
FG-5   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:13 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 1 4 35 210 26 11 15¼ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 4.50 25% 3.00 1.10 W
5  ONE TIME GEM 2 2 22 310½ 37½ 43 25¼ (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 6.30  
8  PAYDAY TOO 5 6 58 513½ 410½ 33 36¾ (richard chris)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 23% 3.40 3.50 S
9  TRIVISTA 6 1 612½ 618½ 614½ 56 47¼ (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 122 4.50 ★ 7.20  
7  ROCKDALE 4 3 12 110 16 21 510½ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00 22% 3.60 3.80  
6  DEUTERONOMYSTRONG 3 5 47 413 511 66½ 616¾ (leonard i)PARKER L 122 8.00 17.60  
SCR  OCTOBER SURPRISE               (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 122 30.00    
SCR  SR. CLARKY               (leblanc jo)ALBERT S 114 20.00    
SCR  WHEN'S TEE TIME               (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
 
FG-6   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLINT RIDGE 3 3 1½ 11   13 16 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 10% 8.70 0.90 W
4  ONCOMING TRAIN 4 8 2½ 31   33 26 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 6.90  
7  MORNING CUP 7 2 43 21   23 37¾ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 39% 1.60 3.10 S
2  COURTHOUSE COVE 2 4 31 42½   43½ 49¼ (leonard i)PARKER L 121 6.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
5  SCHMOOZIN 5 1 76½ 79½   55 59¼ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 7.90  
8  ARABIAN PRINCE 8 5 65½ 67½   66 610¾ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 9% 10.40 19.50  
6  MULTI PLATINUM 6 6 53½ 54½   78 715¾ (santamaria carl)LANERIE J 121 10.00 9% 10.80 25.10  
1  FRENCH COMPOSER 1 7 87 810½   810 818½ (tomlinson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 18.00  
 
FG-7   01/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:25 :512 1:164 1:43   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STRAIGHT ANSWER (GB) 1 7 76½ 53½ 53½ 11 1nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 117 2.50 16% 5.40 1.00 W
6  RISING EMPIRE 4 8 88½ 75 65 54 2nk (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 6.50  
4  BIZZEE CHANNEL 3 2 1½ 11 12 21 34 (barkley ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 15% 5.70 7.20 S
8  NEW YEAR SURPRISE 7 6 53½ 42 22 42½ 44½ (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 120 20.00 32.00  
7  ARTIE'S RUMOR 5 5 32½ 31½ 42½ 32½ 55 (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 10% 8.60 3.90  
1  UNINVITED GUEST 6 4 2½ 21 32½ 65 69½ (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 117 10.00 18.30  
9  MY BARILEY 8 3 65½ 85½ 87½ 76½ 710½ (leonard geor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 13.10  
3  SURFER DUDE 2 1 43½ 64½ 75½ 87½ 824¼ (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 117 6.00 8.80  
SCR  AWE SHACKLE               (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  BIG AGENDA               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  CLARESTOWN               (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
SCR  MONITION               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 9% 10.20    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA               (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 117 10.00    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 6.00    
 
FG-8   01/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DIXIE STREET 6 4 21½ 21   1nk 13 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 1.80 22% 3.50 0.80 W
3  YOUNG TUSCAN 3 2 11½ 11   2nk 23 (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 11.20  
5  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT 5 1 31½ 42   32 33 (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 115 15.00 47.80  
2  CRYPTOZONIC 2 3 73¾ 76   53¾ 44½ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 ★ 11.30  
1  RECKLESS RANSOM 1 8 86¼ 89   86¾ 55 (foster m)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 8% 12.00 20.40  
8  SECRET VISTA 8 9 53½ 63½   64¼ 65¾ (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 16% 5.20 4.70  
7  ALTERANA 7 5 42 31½   43½ 76 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 31% 2.20 3.40  
9  GOLDEN PALACE 9 7 63¾ 53   76¼ 87¾ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 39.40  
4  MY AMIGO CHARLIE 4 6 97¾ 913   911¾ 918¾ (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 120 30.00 48.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.