Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/1/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2/6)-(4/1/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2/6)-(4/1/3/2/6)-(4/1/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2/6)-(3/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/2/6)-(3/1/6)-(1) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
FG-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/4/8)-(3/1/6/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/5) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(4/6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(4/6/3/1)-(3/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/1)-(3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/1)-(3/8/7)-(7/3/8/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/8/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/8/7/9)-(3/8/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/7)-(7/3/8/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7)-(7/3/8/6/2)-(2/4/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-6   WIN (7/3/8/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/6/2)-(7/3/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/6/2)-(7/3/8/6/2)-(7/3/8/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/8/6/2)-(2/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/6/2)-(2/4/7)-(7/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(7/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/1)-(7/6/8/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/1)-(7/6/8/1/2)-(7/6/8/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY PRINCESS Dec23 Dec04 Nov19 Oct21 Aug24 (arndt the)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 14% 6.00    
2  STAR'S DREAM Dec23 Dec04 Nov25 Sep20 Jul19 (hargrave kenne)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00 6% 15.90    
3  KAITLYN'S COURT Dec23 Dec04 Nov19 Nov03 Oct05 (constan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.00 7% 14.30    
4  HIGH VALUE TARGET Dec07 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Sep25 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
5  I DONT KNOW EITHER Dec23 Dec04 Aug21 Jul17 Jul04 (gomez jo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
6  ZEEROCK Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 Aug13 Jul15 (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR Dec31 Nov25       (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
2  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Dec08 Sep27 Aug27     (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
3  SONO         (stall m)CULP BRIANNE 115 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  COMPUTERIZED         (hodges e)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 ★    
5  ALL TOGETHER Dec31         (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 8.00    
6  HENNY'S TURN Sep17 Sep03 Aug13     (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
7  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27 (thompson k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
8  CARROLL CREEK         (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 8.00 ★    
 
FG-3   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERIOUSLY SAM Dec17 Jan28 Jan08     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of CACTUS CADILLAC by CACTUS RIDGE)
2  AVIE J Dec17         (ladner herman)MURRAY M 124 10.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of ENTERPRISE BEACH by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  SHE'S WAYNE'S Dec20 Sep12 Jun03 Apr16   (devereux j)GRAHAM J 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by MO TOM out of HOLY HAZAAM by SUN BULL)
SCR  PENNIES FOR PAULLA Dec08         (delahoussa)ALBERT S 119 12.00 ★    
  (by JOE'S SON JOEY out of AMAZING SAINT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  THE CALLING STONE Dec17 Nov26 Oct12 Aug17 Jul14 (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ANYTHING BUT QUIET by REAL QUIET)
SCR  VALERIE LOUISE Aug26 Feb16       (zeno benjamin)RIQUELME J 124 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SHINY BAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  REMEMBERIN RONALD         (robinsjr)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00 ★    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
 
FG-4   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST PASSING THRU Dec22 Sep27 Aug27 Aug02 Jul01 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 4.50 5% 17.70    
SCR  TEXAS BLUEBONNET Dec22 Oct12 Aug30 Jul29 Jul05 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
2  PAYTONSATTHEPLATE Dec09 Sep10 Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00    
3  SENSE YOU LEFT Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun05 Apr22 (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 8% 11.90    
4  CARSON'S PRINCESS Dec09 Sep25 Jul18 Jun12 May07 (camejo jose)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  VARSITY FLYGIRL Dec09 Oct15 Sep04 Aug05 Jun26 (bernard jo)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  ANGEL OF VERDUN Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 Jul20 Jun24 (ladner joh)ALBERT S 116 6.00 12% 7.50    
7  WHATS UP SWEETS Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 Jul26 May23 (shirer a)GRAHAM J 121 4.00    
 
FG-5   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OCTOBER SURPRISE Dec14 Nov04 Aug25 Jul27 Jul06 (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 122 30.00    
SCR  SR. CLARKY Nov23 Oct29 Jul28 Jul07 Jun15 (leblanc jo)ALBERT S 114 20.00    
3  TIZ LIGHT THE WAY Dec03 Aug19 Jul15 Jun08 May15 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  WHEN'S TEE TIME Sep27 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
5  ONE TIME GEM Aug19 Jul09 May19 Apr29 Mar18 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00    
6  DEUTERONOMYSTRONG Nov02 Oct20 Sep27 Sep15 Aug23 (leonard i)PARKER L 122 8.00    
7  ROCKDALE Dec15 Nov18 Oct14 Aug20 Jul13 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
8  PAYDAY TOO Dec27 Nov26 Oct13 Aug20 Jul21 (richard chris)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
9  TRIVISTA Dec17 Aug03 Jul09 Jun15 May26 (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 122 4.50 ★    
 
FG-6   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENCH COMPOSER Dec31 Nov24 Nov10 Nov02 Oct05 (tomlinson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
2  COURTHOUSE COVE Dec23 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 Aug20 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLINT RIDGE Dec08 Oct28 Sep22 Jul30   (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 10% 8.70    
4  ONCOMING TRAIN Dec29 Nov25 Nov02 Sep28 Jul03 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50    
5  SCHMOOZIN Dec23 Nov16 Sep22 Jun25 May30 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00    
6  MULTI PLATINUM Dec23 Nov11 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 (santamaria carl)LANERIE J 121 10.00 9% 10.80    
7  MORNING CUP Nov16 Oct08 Aug19     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 39% 1.60    
8  ARABIAN PRINCE Dec08 Nov16 Oct05 Sep05 Jun18 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
FG-7   01/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNINVITED GUEST Nov24 Oct19 Sep30 Aug05 Jul09 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 117 10.00    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA Dec17 Nov27 Oct26 Aug28 Jul09 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 117 10.00    
2  STRAIGHT ANSWER (GB) Nov18         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 117 2.50 16% 5.40    
3  SURFER DUDE Dec22 Nov23 Nov12 Oct14 Jul31 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 117 6.00    
4  BIZZEE CHANNEL Dec26 Nov18 Oct01 Sep10 Aug15 (barkley ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  MONITION Nov18 Sep03 May20 Apr27 Mar19 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 9% 10.20    
6  RISING EMPIRE Nov24 Oct16 Jul23 Jun05 May07 (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
7  ARTIE'S RUMOR Nov11 Oct19 Sep01 May24 Mar19 (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
8  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Dec17 Nov24 Oct25 Sep13 Sep01 (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
9  MY BARILEY Nov11 Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 May21 (leonard geor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
SCR  BIG AGENDA Dec26 Nov12 Oct23 Sep18 Jul30 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  CLARESTOWN Dec22 Sep24 Sep07 Aug15 Jun11 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
SCR  AWE SHACKLE Sep04 Jun06 May15 Jan29 Jan02 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE Dec11 Nov04 Sep30 Aug20 Jul02 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 6.00    
 
FG-8   01/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS RANSOM Dec10 Aug29 Aug02 Jul19 Jun05 (foster m)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 8% 12.00    
2  CRYPTOZONIC Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Sep12 Jul23 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 ★    
3  YOUNG TUSCAN Nov26 Sep13 Jul26 Jul14 Jun09 (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
4  MY AMIGO CHARLIE Dec28 Nov30 Nov02 Oct07   (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 120 30.00    
5  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Jun15 May04 (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 115 15.00    
6  DIXIE STREET Dec10 Nov16 Oct13 Sep18 Aug21 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 1.80 22% 3.50    
7  ALTERANA Dec10 Nov03 Oct12 Aug06 Jun25 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
8  SECRET VISTA Dec10 Feb28 Jan28 Jan07   (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
9  GOLDEN PALACE Jan05 Dec10 Nov24 Nov10 Sep05 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.