Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133 1:404   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIELDSTONE 6 3 43 3 1nk 14 1 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30 W
SEEKING SPLENDOR 2 2 55 64 54 36 2 (silva miguel)PARKER L 118 8.00 11.90 P
PATH TO SUCCESS 5 4 2½ 2 2nk 24 3 (rodrigue)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.50 4.20 S
MOUNT KENYA 4 6 65 53 4 4 4 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 1.80 24% 3.20 2.00  
SERGEANT RECKLESS 3 1 32 4 6 613½ 521¾ (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 118 10.00 49.20  
FLAT OUT AMERICAN 1 5 1½ 1 33 512½ 624½ (williams k)ALBERT S 116 10.00 5.20  
 
FG-2   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA FEME JOLIE 4 2 21 2½   1½ 1¼ (hodges e)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 4.70  
MISS PRIORITY 1 5 11 1½   2½ 2¼ (klanfer a)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 6.10 P
MACEE 3 1 4 3   3 3 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50 1.90  
SWEET VIDALIA 2 3 54 4   45 45 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 44% 1.30 2.90  
THE GREY BEAUTY 5 4 3 55   5 515¾ (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 28% 2.50 2.20  
SCR  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON               (antwine michae)CULP BRIANNE 114 8.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE STAR               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00    
SCR  WHY WAIT               (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00    
 
FG-3   12/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:134 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPCALMCARRYON 5 7 64 7 34 13 1 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50 5.80  
CARTIER CAT 4 4 5 23 2 3 2 (silva carlo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 6.80  
HE'S GOT THIS 7 5 4 44 4 4 3 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.50 23% 3.30 9.60 S
CLARESTOWN 3 2 2½ 13 1 23 410¾ (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 24% 3.30 1.90  
TEXAS BLUEBONNET 2 3 32 5 57 5 515¾ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 6.00 15.50  
SOLID COUNTRY GOLD 6 6 7 65 68 613½ 620 (claire alexis)PARKER L 121 3.50 33% 2.00 2.10  
UNCLE NICK 1 1 1½ 33 716 736½ 795¼ (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 7.10  
 
FG-4   12/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A RUNNIN AFLEET 6 7 32 2nk   2nk 1 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 15% 5.50 10.50 W
DOLLY'S GUITAR 1 5 8 7   33 2 (schwandt emi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 13.40  
CCED FOR STEPH 4 2 1 1nk   1nk 3 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 119 4.50 39% 1.60 6.30 S
WHAT CAN I SAY 7 8 5 5   4 4 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 6% 16.80 2.20  
REALITOS 2 4 42 6   6 510 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 117 4.50 14% 6.30 2.90  
ASPIRATIONAL 3 3 7 8   7 610½ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00 52.80  
DORGENOIS 8 6 6 4¾   5 712½ (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 3.50 2.30  
COPPER MOON 5 1 2 3½   8 814 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 6.00 27.70  
 
FG-5   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STROBE 1 3 1 12   14 16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 0.60 43% 1.40 0.20 W
OMAHA RED 2 2 32 3   35 26 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 11% 8.10 19.40 P
HIGHER STANDARD 4 4 2 22   24 3 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 19% 4.20 4.30 S
SURFER DUDE 3 1 45 45   46 4 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 118 4.00 7.10  
COLTONATOR 5 5 5 5   5 515¼ (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 15.50  
 
FG-6   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:214 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK BOB AND LARRY 1 8 820 813   67 1¼ (johnson b)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 14% 6.10 3.00 W
BLUE CHEESE 4 7 712 6   11 2¼ (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 119 4.00 1.70 P
FORTY THREE 2 5 68 5   3 3 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.50 62% 0.60 2.30 S
1A  KINGOFBROKENHEARTS 3 3 24 2   21 4 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 2.30  
WRONGWAYHIGHWAY 6 1 35 35   43 54 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 28.00  
TWO B 5 4 46 4   7 613 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 7.60  
HOME VISIT 8 6 5 7   812 719 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 14.70  
KAHAAL 7 2 14 1   5 825 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 10.70  
 
FG-7   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:153 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LIL DUDE 1 2 11 1 1nk 2nk 1nk (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 7.80  
I DON'T VENMO 3 1 3 42 31 1nk 2nk (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 1.40  
CAJUN CRAZY 7 5 21 2 2nk 3½ 3 (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 6.20 S
1A  CAJUN CONNECTION 6 4 42 32 4 4 4 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 43% 1.30 2.70  
MAIN DUDE 2 6 65 66 6 56 5 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 14.30  
LIKE THIS 4 3 53 54 5 6 610¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 4.20  
OWEN THE ICE MAN 5 7 7 711 7 710½ 716¾ (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00 39.10  
SCR  KAJUN KARMA               (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50    
SCR  SNAKEBIT               (morris ro)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 32% 2.10    
 
FG-8   12/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:144 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TIME MO 5 7 44 44 5 2 11 (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 3.50 35% 1.90 2.00 W
AIN'T BROKE 3 3 2 21 11 1 21 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 2.50 27% 2.70 1.50 P
JUDY'S WAY 2 1 33 3 32 33 3 (silva h)PARKER L 120 8.00 8.00  
MARINA'S GOLD 7 4 77 7 79 46 45 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 112 4.50 11% 8.20 3.00  
WAYWARDNESS 6 5 65 5 44 57 5 (lovell mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 20.80  
JUST PASSING THRU 1 6 55 6 6 69 610½ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 25.30  
FREE LOVE 4 2 1 11 21 79 718¼ (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00 20.00  
SCR  GIMME CANDY               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 6.00    
 
FG-9   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :471 :592     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NON VIOLENCE 7 9 53 4   1nk 1 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 16% 5.20 2.50 W
ONE MORE LAUGH 4 2 1 12   2nk 2 (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00 8% 10.90 10.50 P
CHARMONTE 1 5 6 6   34 3 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 30% 2.40 3.70 S
ROSE PALACE 8 4 4 5   5 48 (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 21% 3.80 4.70  
BLAME THE TOLL 2 6 9 911¾   8 5 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 8.80  
PLEASE BE KIND 6 7 7 7   6 6 (mcgee paul)CARROLL DECLAN 122 5.00 4.40  
BALI DOVE (FR) 3 1 3 32   4 712½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 8.70  
10  TERRANOVA 9 3 2 22   7 817 (williamson bria)COHEN DAVID 124 20.00 19.00  
SWEETASBAILY 5 8 8 8   912¼ 918¾ (husak j)SMITH R 124 20.00 58.40  
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.