Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT AMERICAN Dec08 Oct19 Jul02 Jun02 Apr27 (williams k)ALBERT S 116 10.00    
2  SEEKING SPLENDOR Aug03 Jul17 Jul07 Jun15 May26 (silva miguel)PARKER L 118 8.00 ★    
3  SERGEANT RECKLESS Oct14 Aug16 Jul01 Jun03 Apr29 (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 118 10.00 ★    
4  MOUNT KENYA Jul03 Apr30 Jan29     (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  PATH TO SUCCESS Nov27 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 (rodrigue)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.50 ★    
6  FIELDSTONE Nov05 Sep02 Aug07 Jun09 Apr21 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
FG-2   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS PRIORITY Nov10 Oct13       (klanfer a)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Dec08 Oct26 Sep19 Aug30 Jul24 (antwine michae)CULP BRIANNE 114 8.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE STAR Aug25 Jul27       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  WHY WAIT Oct26 Sep19       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00    
5  SWEET VIDALIA Nov25         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
6  MACEE Jun15 May12 Apr14 Mar12 Feb13 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50    
7  LA FEME JOLIE Sep25 Aug16 Jul11 May21 Mar25 (hodges e)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 ★    
8  THE GREY BEAUTY Nov27 May12 Mar18 Feb25 Feb03 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 28% 2.50    
 
FG-3   12/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE NICK Dec01 Oct21 Sep23 Aug12 Jul31 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 ★    
2  TEXAS BLUEBONNET Oct12 Aug30 Jul29 Jul05 Jun11 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 6.00 ★    
3  CLARESTOWN Sep24 Sep07 Aug15 Jun11 May21 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 24% 3.30    
4  CARTIER CAT Nov19 Oct14 Jul21 Jun23 May31 (silva carlo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
5  KEEPCALMCARRYON Dec01 Nov06 Oct16 Sep28 Jul04 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50    
6  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Dec01 Oct26 Oct20 Oct06 Sep14 (claire alexis)PARKER L 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  HE'S GOT THIS Dec01 Sep26 Sep05 Jul16 Jun20 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
FG-4   12/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLY'S GUITAR Nov18 Sep17 Aug10 Jul15   (schwandt emi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
2  REALITOS Dec02 Aug06 Jul08 Jun09 May20 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 117 4.50 14% 6.30    
3  ASPIRATIONAL Oct21 Sep17 Sep04 Jul04   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00    
4  CCED FOR STEPH Nov18 Aug20       (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 119 4.50 39% 1.60    
5  COPPER MOON Aug26 Aug10       (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 6.00    
6  A RUNNIN AFLEET Nov02         (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
7  WHAT CAN I SAY Oct06 Aug06 Jul04     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 6% 16.80    
8  DORGENOIS Dec02 Oct14 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 3.50 ★    
 
FG-5   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STROBE Nov12 Oct14 May07     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 0.60 43% 1.40    
2  OMAHA RED Nov06 Oct15 Sep29 Sep10 Aug17 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 11% 8.10    
3  SURFER DUDE Nov23 Nov12 Oct14 Jul31 Jun03 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 118 4.00 ★    
4  HIGHER STANDARD Nov12 Sep25 Sep03 Aug10 Jun26 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  COLTONATOR Nov26 Sep25 Jul03 Jun12 May15 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 ★    
 
FG-6   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTY THREE Dec01 Nov17 Oct08 Sep05 Jul23 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
1A  KINGOFBROKENHEARTS Nov19 Aug30 Jul16 Jun27 Jun04 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50    
2  JACK BOB AND LARRY Nov17 May08 Mar26 Mar06 Feb11 (johnson b)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
3  BLUE CHEESE Dec01 Nov16 Oct08 Aug20 Feb05 (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 119 4.00 ★    
4  TWO B Dec01 Aug09 Jul02 May17 Mar12 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 ★    
5  WRONGWAYHIGHWAY Apr30 Mar05 Feb21     (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
6  KAHAAL Nov17 Oct19 Aug16 Jul21 Jun14 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
7  HOME VISIT Dec01 Nov16 Mar01 Feb05 Jan15 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 ★    
 
FG-7   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CAJUN CONNECTION Dec04 Nov11 Oct20     (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  KAJUN KARMA Dec10 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27   (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50    
2  MY LIL DUDE Dec01         (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
3  MAIN DUDE Dec08         (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
4  I DON'T VENMO Nov19         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
5  LIKE THIS Dec04 Nov11       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 ★    
6  OWEN THE ICE MAN Dec01 Sep17 Aug13     (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
SCR  SNAKEBIT Dec01 Oct20 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 (morris ro)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 32% 2.10    
8  CAJUN CRAZY Nov25 Oct07       (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 ★    
 
FG-8   12/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST PASSING THRU Sep27 Aug27 Aug02 Jul01 May17 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 ★    
2  JUDY'S WAY Nov12 Oct09 Sep25 Aug10 Jul27 (silva h)PARKER L 120 8.00    
3  AIN'T BROKE Nov27 Oct15 Mar09 Feb10 Jan14 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  FREE LOVE Nov27 Jun03 May12     (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00    
5  ONE TIME MO Nov06 Oct01 Apr28     (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  WAYWARDNESS Nov18 Oct14 Sep25 Aug29 Aug02 (lovell mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
SCR  GIMME CANDY Nov25 Oct19 May09 Apr02 Jan21 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 6.00 ★    
8  MARINA'S GOLD Dec03 Oct24 Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 112 4.50 11% 8.20    
 
FG-9   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
2  CHARMONTE Sep05         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
3  BLAME THE TOLL         (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
4  BALI DOVE (FR) Jul20 May29       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
5  ONE MORE LAUGH Oct18 Sep26 Jan23     (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00 8% 10.90    
6  SWEETASBAILY         (husak j)SMITH R 124 20.00    
7  PLEASE BE KIND Nov09 Sep28 Sep17 Aug07 Jul02 (mcgee paul)CARROLL DECLAN 122 5.00 ★    
8  NON VIOLENCE         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
9  ROSE PALACE Nov27         (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
10  TERRANOVA Nov18 Jan07       (williamson bria)COHEN DAVID 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.