Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:143 1:43   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALIANT DEFENDER 3 7 68 612 4 4 1 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 120 5.00 7.40  
MATH MAN 1 1 34 3 3 1nk 2 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 12% 7.10 2.00 P
NUGGET OF GRACE 6 4 11 1 1½ 2nk 3 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 23% 3.30 2.40 S
HESACALENDARBOY 7 5 21 2 2½ 3.2 4 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 39% 1.60 4.80  
UNBRIDLED PULPIT 2 6 56 511 6 5 5 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 117 10.00 45.70  
COUNTRY CUT 5 3 4 45 57 6 612 (melancon don)BARRERA J 114 8.00 5.20  
ONE HITTER 4 2 7 714 7 7 713½ (lorick lee)STOKES J 120 6.00 7.30  
 
DED-2   12/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:221 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUGBOAT 1 8 7 6   21 14 (ramirez eduard)THORNTON G 119 3.50 37% 1.70 5.00 W
D'WILD MUFFIN 3 5 45 35   32 24 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 120 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80 P
LONESHILOHSPECIAL 2 6 8 89   64 3 (delany sarah)STOKES J 120 3.00 9% 10.20 3.20 S
CUTE DINERO QUEEN 5 7 35 4   5 4 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 6.00 5.30  
MADAME JANE 7 3 21 21   11 5 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 5.00 18% 4.60 2.20  
GRACESSPECIALTOUCH 4 4 5 56   7 612¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 37.00  
ANGELA'S CELERITY 8 2 6 78   87 714¾ (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 114 5.00 20.80  
NOT SO SWEET 6 1 11 11   43 816¼ (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 3.70  
SCR  OUR LIBERINA               (roberts kennet)BACA L 119 8.00    
 
DED-3   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:154 1:441   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCARD GOLD 5 6 5 57 4 23 1¼ (mojica a)BIRZER E 122 6.00 2.20  
SHANKINSTINE 6 1 3 2 2nk 13 2¼ (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 21% 3.70 1.90 P
MULETRAIN 3 2 4 4 5 46 3 (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 123 1.80 4.70 S
K V TARGET 1 3 21 3 31 35 47 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 22% 3.50 3.90  
VERDUNVILLE 2 5 68 611 6 58 511½ (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 23% 3.40 6.20  
TRIPLE 4 4 11 1 1nk 6 620¼ (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 10.00 18.90  
 
DED-4   12/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:15     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBONNAIRE DUDE 2 2 21 21   2½ 1 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 17% 5.10 1.90 W
LIKEN IT 5 4 4 35   43 2 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 5.00 10.00  
LUNAR LIGHT 7 6 69 6   5 3 (cox l)BACA L 120 12.00 11% 7.80 40.60 S
WILSON TO LOCKETT 4 3 57 4   32 4 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 2.50 1.40  
JAKE THE BAND MAN 3 1 11 11   1½ 5 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 8.00 7.70  
GRAB THE MUNNY 6 5 35 56   64 6 (garza e)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 11% 8.40 9.90  
WHENTHEDOVESCRY 1 7 7 78   75 7 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 5.70  
SCR  TIZ SHOWBIZ               (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
DED-5   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:153 1:291   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVVY SHIPMAN 5 2 4 32 3.2 1nk 12 (landry allen)BARRERA J 115 2.50 3.20  
LUCKY LINDA 3 6 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 22 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 120 5.00 8.70  
COUNTRY DREAM 1 7 6 6 4 32 3 (godfre)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 3.40 S
MAYAPRETTY 7 5 54 53 5 4 46 (garza e)TORRES HUGO 118 3.50 46% 1.20 2.60  
DIXIE LOVING 8 4 8 8 7 7 5 (espinoza edga)VARGAS P 123 15.00 32.60  
TAKE ME AS I AM 6 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 5 6 (gustafson a)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00 7% 12.50 4.70  
MALARTACH 4 8 7 7 8 6 77 (zenon shelton)STOKES A 123 4.50 17% 5.00 11.90  
MISS BILLIE K 2 1 3 42 6 814¼ 830½ (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 10.60  
 
DED-6   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:142 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITARZAN 5 2 1 12 12 14 15 (segura kearney)THORNTON G 120 6.00 17% 5.00 5.60 W
OUTLAW X. 2 4 3 44 4 4 25 (bruno j)STOKES J 120 5.00 2.30  
1A  GRACIDA 3 5 54 5 3 34 39 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 15% 5.80 2.50 S
CHAOSMOS 4 6 44 3 22 24 4 (richard russell )STOKES A 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50  
RANCHO BARGO 6 1 2 22 56 510½ 518¼ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00 9.50  
KING FORD 1 3 69 610½ 614 618½ 638½ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 9.30  
SCR  IRISH EXPECTATIONS               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 4.50    
SCR  SOCIAL AFLEET               (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
DED-7   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:14 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONOR MY SPEED 5 2 2 21 11 16 1 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 4.50 7.20  
HELLUVA LIFE 3 6 53 4 34 26 2 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 1.80 22% 3.50 3.10  
SILVER N LAI 1 4 7 7 7 37 3 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 36% 1.80 1.40 S
AKHNAS 7 5 43 5 47 410 410 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 9% 10.70 3.90  
ALWAYS A CATCH 2 1 65 6 5 510½ 511 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 8.00 9% 9.70 12.80  
BIRTHDAY PARTY 4 3 1 11 21 611 619½ (latour nich)MORALES ROBERTO 117 6.00 6.90  
JUSTA SWINGING 6 7 3 32 68 715 721½ (turner patti)BACA L 117 8.00 25.80  
SCR  BINDING               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 1.80    
 
DED-8   12/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
See original race card.
:222 :464       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G DON'T KNOW 2 3 55 53   5¾ 1½ (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 16% 5.40 4.50 W
10  HUFFS TAZ A BOO 7 5 611 67   4¾ 2½ (sam w)STOKES A 120 20.00 25.60  
GRAND PRADO 1 6 4 42   2nk 3 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 6.00 5.60  
MY AMIGO CHARLIE 5 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 4 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00 5.00  
TOOL BOX 4 4 1nk 2nk   3½ 5 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 6.00 22% 3.50 1.20  
LION HEART LEGEND 6 2 3½ 31   6 6 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
WIN WON DOBBS 3 7 711½ 711   7 710 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 3.00 10.60  
SCR  CHARLIE'S TOWN               (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 8.00    
SCR  FLASHY PREMO               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 4.50    
SCR  HALF OURS N STORMY               (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  TOO MUCH BOURBON               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
 
DED-9   12/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
See original race card.
:223 :472       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SOPO 2 8 6 4   3 1 (west henry)BARRERA J 115 4.50 5% 19.00 4.40 W
YO PLAY 7 1 11 1½   2½ 2 (roberts ke)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00 4.80  
RUSSET MOON 8 5 4 3   4 3 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 S
MCKAY 3 6 21 2½   1½ 43 (ramirez b)TORRES HUGO 118 3.50 43% 1.30 4.70  
FLAT OUT FABIO 5 7 7 6   6 56 (gomez c)MCMAHON J 119 6.00 4.80  
MALIBU MONEY 1 4 8 7   7 6 (mojica)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 13.10  
MACER THE RACER 4 3 32 5   55 711½ (dixon tim)VARGAS P 122 20.00 48.30  
MR. NUMERO UNO 6 2 5 8   812½ 813¼ (roberts roy)MAGNON H 120 6.00 22.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.