Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   12/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATH MAN Nov30 Nov05 Aug25 Aug11 Jul12 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 12% 7.10    
UNBRIDLED PULPIT Dec16 Nov19 Nov02 Aug25 Jun23 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 117 10.00    
VALIANT DEFENDER Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 Nov05 Oct05 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
ONE HITTER Nov30 Sep27 Sep19 Sep03 Aug08 (lorick lee)STOKES J 120 6.00    
COUNTRY CUT Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 Nov02 Sep25 (melancon donal)BARRERA J 114 8.00    
NUGGET OF GRACE Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 Oct20 Oct05 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
HESACALENDARBOY Nov30 Oct26 Oct12 Aug17 Jul30 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
 
DED-2   12/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUGBOAT Dec01 Oct20 Sep24 Aug26 Jul15 (ramirez eduardo)THORNTON G 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
LONESHILOHSPECIAL Nov27 Nov04 Oct08 Sep13 Jul23 (delany sarah)STOKES J 120 3.00 9% 10.20    
D'WILD MUFFIN Dec01 Oct20 Oct03 Aug22 Aug07 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRACESSPECIALTOUCH Dec07 Oct12 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
CUTE DINERO QUEEN Nov26 Oct27 Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 119 6.00    
NOT SO SWEET Dec02 Nov16 Oct08 Aug25 Jul23 (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MADAME JANE Dec03 Oct20 Oct08 Jul29 Jul09 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 5.00 18% 4.60    
ANGELA'S CELERITY Dec10 Nov19 Oct22 Oct12 Sep10 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 114 5.00    
SCR  OUR LIBERINA Dec01 Nov02 Aug06 Jul16 Jun15 (roberts kenneth)BACA L 119 8.00    
 
DED-3   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K V TARGET Dec14 Dec01 Nov02 Oct05 Aug26 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
VERDUNVILLE Oct12 Aug26 Jul30 Jul15 Jun22 (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
MULETRAIN Dec15 Oct26 Oct18 Oct10 Sep26 (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 123 1.80    
TRIPLE Dec15 Nov02 Sep24     (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 10.00    
WILDCARD GOLD Nov26 Aug17 Jul30 Jun22 Jun02 (mojica a)BIRZER E 122 6.00    
SHANKINSTINE Dec14 Nov22 Nov02 Oct05 Sep11 (lara jor)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
DED-4   12/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHENTHEDOVESCRY Dec15 Oct14 Jul30 Jul21 Jun02 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
DEBONNAIRE DUDE Dec09 Sep10 Aug25 Jul29 Jul16 (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 17% 5.10    
JAKE THE BAND MAN Dec17 Nov18 Oct05 Aug27 Aug17 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 8.00    
SCR  TIZ SHOWBIZ Nov03 Oct19 Sep05 Aug08 Jul23 (magnon rylee)LEDET THEODRICK 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
WILSON TO LOCKETT Nov23 Oct28 Oct14 Aug17 Jul16 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 2.50    
LIKEN IT Dec09 Nov02 Jun27 Jun11 May14 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 5.00    
GRAB THE MUNNY Dec17 Dec03 Nov14 Jul23 Jun25 (garza e)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 11% 8.40    
LUNAR LIGHT Dec03 Oct14 Aug17 Jun30 May07 (cox l)BACA L 120 12.00 11% 7.80    
 
DED-5   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY DREAM Dec14 Feb16 Jan29 Jan06   (godfrey )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00    
MISS BILLIE K Dec14 Sep19 Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
LUCKY LINDA Aug03 Jun18 Jun02 May12 Apr23 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 120 5.00    
MALARTACH Dec02 Sep04 Jul20 Jun29 May28 (zenon shelton)STOKES A 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
SAVVY SHIPMAN Nov30 Nov02 Aug19 Jul20 Jun23 (landry r)BARRERA J 115 2.50    
TAKE ME AS I AM Dec15 Nov09 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 (gustafson aus)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00 7% 12.50    
MAYAPRETTY Dec15 Nov15 Oct24 Oct13 Apr08 (garza e)TORRES HUGO 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
DIXIE LOVING Dec15 Oct27 Sep06 Jul31 Jul12 (espinoza edgar)VARGAS P 123 15.00    
 
DED-6   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GRACIDA Dec03 Oct28 Aug17 Jul28 Jun30 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  IRISH EXPECTATIONS Dec09 Nov04 Aug17 Jul24 Jul09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 4.50    
KING FORD Dec09 Nov23 Oct27 Mar05 Feb19 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00    
OUTLAW X. Dec07 Oct19 Sep10 Aug24 Jul09 (bruno j)STOKES J 120 5.00    
CHAOSMOS Dec14 Sep27 Aug04 Jun18 May26 (richard c)STOKES A 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
GUITARZAN Dec07 Nov25 Nov03 Jul23 Jun03 (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  SOCIAL AFLEET Nov27 Oct19 Aug12 Jul21 Jun29 (delany sarah)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
RANCHO BARGO Dec19 Oct08 Aug08 Jul09 Jun19 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00    
 
DED-7   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLUVA LIFE Dec15 Dec03 Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 1.80 22% 3.50    
SCR  BINDING Dec10 Oct27 Oct14 Oct05 Sep10 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 1.80    
SILVER N LAI Dec19 Oct27 Sep03 Jul11 May05 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
ALWAYS A CATCH Dec07 Nov09 Oct19 Sep18 Aug19 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 8.00 9% 9.70    
BIRTHDAY PARTY Oct22 Jul20 Jul08 Jun03 May19 (latour nichol)MORALES ROBERTO 117 6.00    
HONOR MY SPEED Dec17 Nov09 Oct27 Oct13 Aug17 (landry ray)THORNTON G 120 4.50    
JUSTA SWINGING Dec10 Nov23 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 (turner patti)BACA L 117 8.00    
AKHNAS Oct13 Jul30 Jul21 Jun29 Jun11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 9% 10.70    
 
DED-8   12/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLASHY PREMO Dec08 Nov17 Oct20 Aug24 Aug05 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 4.50    
SCR  TOO MUCH BOURBON Nov04 Oct06 Aug05 Jul22 Jun25 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
GRAND PRADO Dec14 Oct22 Oct07 Aug05 Jun09 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 6.00    
SCR  CHARLIE'S TOWN Dec16 Mar11 Feb17 Jan05   (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 8.00    
G DON'T KNOW Dec10 Nov22 Oct29 Oct05 Jun11 (shamsie )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
WIN WON DOBBS         (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 120 3.00    
TOOL BOX Nov30 Nov10 Oct15 Jul09 Jun19 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
MY AMIGO CHARLIE Nov30 Nov02 Oct07     (ali an)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00    
SCR  HALF OURS N STORMY Nov30 Nov10 Oct07 Aug10 Jul20 (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
LION HEART LEGEND Nov30 Nov10 Oct29 Oct05 Sep25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  HUFFS TAZ A BOO Mar02 Feb19 Jan15     (sam w)STOKES A 120 20.00    
 
DED-9   12/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU MONEY Dec08 Nov23 Nov04 Oct20 Oct05 (mojica e)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
GOLDEN SOPO Dec15 Nov23       (west henry)BARRERA J 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
MCKAY Aug28 Aug14 Jan21 Jan06   (ramirez b)TORRES HUGO 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
MACER THE RACER Dec15 Mar11       (dixon tim)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
FLAT OUT FABIO Dec15 Nov22 Oct19 Sep24 Sep03 (gomez c)MCMAHON J 119 6.00    
MR. NUMERO UNO Dec08 Nov04 May27 Apr22 Apr08 (roberts roy)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
YO PLAY Sep13         (roberts kenn)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00    
RUSSET MOON Dec15 Nov10 Oct19 Aug17 Jul16 (gelner scott)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.