Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :472       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTTA DEAL 5 7 54 43   2½ 1 (roberts kenneth)BACA L 119 5.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
GOLDEN SOPO 4 3 6 65   5 2 (west henry)BARRERA J 115 6.00 5.70  
FLAT OUT FABIO 1 4 4 5   32 3 (gomez c)MCMAHON J 119 3.00 15% 5.50 5.20 S
ISLE CALL U LATER 7 1 2nk 21   4 4 (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 119 6.00 13.10  
EXOTIC GENTLEMAN 2 5 1nk 11   1½ 57 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 9% 10.40 6.50  
CHELSEA'S GLORY 6 6 7 76   6 67 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.30  
MACER THE RACER 3 2 32 3   7 719 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 8.00 9.10  
SCR  AMANDAS NEW MAN               (baker l)EDISON JOCELYN 115 15.00    
 
DED-2   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:16     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN EXPECTATION 4 5 8 85   31 13 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 122 5.00 19.40  
SUGAR STAR 3 6 4 52   4 23 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.30 P
JUST A WIN 9 9 9 9   6 3 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 10.00 16.30  
MYLIES STAR 1 1 3.2 3½   1nk 4 (dussette alvin)BARRERA J 117 8.00 6% 16.10 18.10  
MEAN AMERICAN 7 4 7 6   5 5 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 26% 2.80 0.30  
T R'S FIRST 8 10 108 10   8 6 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 122 10.00 67.80  
SWEET STORMY ELLE 2 2 1nk 1½   2nk 7 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00 67.00  
MILA'S KAT 5 3 2nk 2½   75 8 (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 14% 6.10 6.90  
10  STOP SHOP N DROP 10 8 5 41   107 911¼ (castille ricke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 21.40  
BRI 6 7 6 73   96 1011½ (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00 23% 3.40 14.00  
 
DED-3   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:23 :473       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARLY WAR 7 2 1nk 1½   1½ 1nk (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00 5% 18.00 16.80 W
CARLOS' BLAST 8 3 42 2½   2½ 2nk (gelner scott)STOKES A 122 8.00 14.60 P
HOLY BAYOU 4 9 96 42   3 32 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 122 2.50 60% 0.70 2.40 S
GOLDENLUTE 6 8 8 53   43 43 (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 5.00 1.10  
ELUSIVEDESTINATION 3 6 6 84   55 54 (morris rowdy)STOKES J 122 15.00 24.50  
MR. BUTCH WOMBLE 9 4 74 6   6 6 (johnson b)COTTO L 122 3.50 11% 7.90 4.60  
CUSTOM TAT 2 7 53 9   8 7 (breaux dewayn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 15.00 62.90  
CLEARLY A JET 1 10 109 10   1010 810¾ (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 48.70  
10  ADDISONS WARRIOR 10 5 2nk 31   7 911½ (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 43.40  
PAYOFF CYCLE 5 1 3½ 74   99 1014 (demouchet ricky)THORNTON G 122 5.00 18.70  
 
DED-4   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:142     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAK HILL LG 2 4 2½ 2½   2nk 1nk (govea cesar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 4.30  
HOSTILE AFLEET 6 5 54 4   4 2nk (larrosa a)THORNTON G 120 6.00 12% 7.60 6.30 P
BET AGAIN 5 2 31 3½   31 33 (toups brent)POMPELL L 118 8.00 10% 8.70 15.80 S
MICAJAH 1 3 1½ 1½   1nk 44 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 2.00 0.70  
WISE GUY 3 1 42 53   5 5 (turner patti)BACA L 118 3.50 27% 2.70 10.10  
GRIEF 4 6 6 66   6 6 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.00 5.00  
 
DED-5   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:132 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE FRANK 6 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 14 1 (sturrock billy)MAGNON H 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.80 W
POSEIDON WRATH 3 4 6 4 43 36 2 (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 29.00  
STAN'S MIRACLE MAN 8 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 24 3 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 6.00 16% 5.50 8.10 S
DRIED PEPPER 7 2 3 3 3 4 412½ (mojica edith )MORALES ROBERTO 118 4.00 12% 7.40 1.30  
HERZEN 2 9 75 6 5 5 513¼ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 6.00 9.70  
WHITAKER 4 5 53 54 6 69 614½ (pish danny)MELANCON G 118 10.00 12.10  
UNIFIED ASSETS 9 7 43 7 87 810½ 717 (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00 68.30  
HARDCORE FOLKLORE 5 8 8 9 7 710½ 817 (turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 7% 12.60 5.60  
DALLAS GOLD 1 3 9 87 9 910¾ 917¼ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 26.10  
 
DED-6   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142 1:281   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKEN BACK 2 7 712 714 4 24 1nk (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 8.00 10.50  
MUFFIN NUTS 7 4 3½ 3½ 14 14 2nk (klanfer alan)COTTO L 120 2.00 36% 1.80 0.40 P
BODEE BODEE 5 1 53 4 5 49 3 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 22% 3.50 5.10 S
COUNTERFEIT 1 2 2½ 1nk 24 39 412½ (thomas lee)BACA L 120 8.00 19.50  
LIAM SKYE 4 6 66 66 6 611½ 513¾ (gallaway eddie)BARRERA J 115 12.00 69.60  
MIND ON MY MONEY 6 3 41 53 34 511 618 (mojica edith )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 7.50  
ROCK ON COWBOY 3 5 1½ 2nk 710½ 715½ 723½ (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 12.00 5% 18.70 11.00  
SCR  JOHNNYSJOURNEY               (nelson r)FLORES S 120 3.00 10% 8.70    
 
DED-7   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:244 :501 1:154 1:292   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTY 1 4 2½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 1¾ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 9.00  
MAYAPRETTY 2 5 31 3½ 2nk 2nk 2¾ (garza e)TORRES HUGO 115 3.00 50% 1.00 3.60 P
HOLY WAR 7 3 4 6 4 4 39 (roberts kenneth)BACA L 117 8.00 24.50 S
DIXIE LOVING 5 1 75 7 710¼ 57 49 (espinoza)RUIZ GARCIA 120 10.00 76.00  
TAKE ME AS I AM 3 6 63 53 6 69 510 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 120 8.00 19% 4.30 2.10  
APHRODITES REVENGE 4 7 5 41 3.2 34 612 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 117 4.50 2.30  
VELVET NIGHT 6 2 1½ 2nk 5 710 718 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.00 3.40  
 
DED-8   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
See original race card.
:222 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LODE OF BLARNEY 6 4 22 1nk   1 1 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.50 28% 2.50 1.90 W
B W P SPECIAL 4 3 55 3   32 2 (mojica edith )MORALES ROBERTO 118 8.00 29.90  
CARBON STRYKER 1 5 3 4   43 33 (broberg karl)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 4.50 7.20 S
COROT 5 7 67 53   5 43 (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 30% 2.30 1.40  
FAREWELL TIME 7 1 12 2nk   2 5 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 115 6.00 4.50  
YES BAB 3 2 44 6   6 66 (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00 9.10  
WHENTHEDOVESCRY 2 6 7 710½   7 7 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 10.00 36.90  
SCR  OLD INDIAN TRICK               (cox l)STOKES J 118 10.00 18% 4.50    
 
DED-9   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:154     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRODUCTION TIME 6 3 1nk 11   13 1¼ (celestine cha)FLORES S 120 4.50 6.30  
HEDARESTHEDEVIL 1 1 2nk 21   23 2¼ (dodwell caroli)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 14% 6.30 8.60 P
GRAY DANE 8 4 6 43   35 3 (bernard john)BACA L 119 10.00 13.40  
SABER STORM 7 10 9 911   7 47 (averett ronnie)BARRERA J 117 15.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
RUSSET MOON 3 5 3 3   4 5 (gelner scott)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 20% 4.00 4.60  
MULETRAIN 2 2 4 57   57 610¼ (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 12% 7.60 10.80  
10  BAD DECISIONS 10 7 8 8   69 710¼ (charles keith)BIRZER E 122 5.00 29% 2.50 0.90  
SMARTY RIDGE 9 8 1012¾ 1021   912½ 812¼ (kotara ronald)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 20.00 ######  
JOHNNY JUDE 5 6 5 6   810½ 917 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 21.60  
TRIPLE 4 9 7 79   1014 1019¼ (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 15.00 33.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.