Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT FABIO Nov22 Oct19 Sep24 Sep03   (gomez c)MCMAHON J 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN Dec01 Oct07 Aug26 Aug12   (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 9% 10.40    
3  MACER THE RACER Mar11         (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 8.00    
4  GOLDEN SOPO Nov23         (west henry)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
5  GOTTA DEAL Sep13         (roberts kennet)BACA L 119 5.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  AMANDAS NEW MAN Oct19 Mar03 Jan26 Jan13   (baker ceburn)EDISON JOCELYN 115 15.00    
7  CHELSEA'S GLORY Dec01 Oct19 Oct07 Aug13 Jul27 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
8  ISLE CALL U LATER Dec01 Nov18 Oct19 Oct07 Aug25 (picazo m)RIVERA JOSEAN 119 6.00 ★    
 
DED-2   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYLIES STAR Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Sep12 (dussette alv)BARRERA J 117 8.00 6% 16.10    
2  SWEET STORMY ELLE Nov16 Oct29 Jul11 Jun27 May17 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00    
3  SUGAR STAR Nov16 Oct29 Oct14 Sep26 Aug13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HIDDEN EXPECTATION Nov18 Sep25 May31 Mar02 Feb02 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 5.00    
5  MILA'S KAT Oct29 Apr08 Feb04 Jan06   (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
6  BRI Nov03 Aug27       (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  MEAN AMERICAN Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 Oct14 Aug25 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
8  T R'S FIRST Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 Aug27 Aug12 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 122 10.00    
9  JUST A WIN Nov19 Oct14 Aug24 Aug12 Jul30 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 10.00    
10  STOP SHOP N DROP Nov03 Oct05 Aug27 Jul06 Jun11 (castille ric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
 
DED-3   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEARLY A JET Nov25 Oct29 Oct14 Sep27 Sep13 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
2  CUSTOM TAT Oct22         (breaux dewa)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 15.00    
3  ELUSIVEDESTINATION Dec01 Nov11 Oct22     (morris rowdy)STOKES J 122 15.00    
4  HOLY BAYOU Nov09 Oct22       (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  PAYOFF CYCLE Jul20 Jul02       (demouchet rick)THORNTON G 122 5.00 ★    
6  GOLDENLUTE Nov19         (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 5.00    
7  CLEARLY WAR         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00 5% 18.00    
8  CARLOS' BLAST Oct08         (gelner scott)STOKES A 122 8.00 ★    
9  MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Oct29 Oct20 Oct07 Sep13   (johnson henry )COTTO L 122 3.50 11% 7.90    
10  ADDISONS WARRIOR Oct22 Sep13       (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
 
DED-4   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICAJAH Nov22 Oct22 Aug20 Jul09 Jun22 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 2.00 ★    
2  OAK HILL LG Nov12 Oct08 Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 (govea cesar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00    
3  WISE GUY Nov16 Oct08 Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 (turner patti)BACA L 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  GRIEF Nov19 Oct06 Sep12 Jul23 Jun26 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.00 ★    
5  BET AGAIN Nov19 Feb16 Jan20     (toups brent)POMPELL L 118 8.00 10% 8.70    
6  HOSTILE AFLEET Nov04 Oct07 Aug24 May07 Jan21 (larrosa a)THORNTON G 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
DED-5   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DALLAS GOLD Nov04 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug23 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00    
2  HERZEN Nov17 Oct22 Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 6.00 ★    
3  POSEIDON WRATH Oct13 Sep11 Aug20 Jul27 Jul09 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
4  WHITAKER Nov10 Sep10 Aug20 Aug07 Jul16 (pish danny)MELANCON G 118 10.00    
5  HARDCORE FOLKLORE Nov16 Oct14 Aug08 Jul04 Jun19 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 7% 12.60    
6  UNCLE FRANK Nov17 Oct12 Aug19 May28 Apr16 (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  DRIED PEPPER Dec03 Nov19 Oct12 Aug03 Jul16 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 118 4.00 12% 7.40    
8  STAN'S MIRACLE MAN Nov18 Oct22       (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 6.00 16% 5.50    
9  UNIFIED ASSETS Nov19 Oct15 Sep04 Aug16 Jul26 (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00    
 
DED-6   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTERFEIT Nov24 Oct22 Jun20 May29 May08 (thomas lee)BACA L 120 8.00    
SCR  JOHNNYSJOURNEY Nov22 Nov12 Nov02 Sep20 Sep04 (nelson eric)FLORES S 120 3.00 10% 8.70    
3  TAKEN BACK Nov23 Oct26 Mar03 Feb04 Jan07 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 8.00    
4  ROCK ON COWBOY Nov10 Oct22 Jun23 May27 Apr27 (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 12.00 5% 18.70    
5  LIAM SKYE Nov03 Oct05 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 (gallaway edd)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
6  BODEE BODEE Nov17 Oct28 Oct08 Sep13 Aug15 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  MIND ON MY MONEY Nov22         (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 ★    
8  MUFFIN NUTS Nov22 Sep20 Jul08 Jun25 Jun05 (klanfer alan)COTTO L 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
DED-7   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTY Nov22 Oct21 Sep03 Jul17 Jun07 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
2  MAYAPRETTY Nov15 Oct24 Oct13 Apr08 Mar20 (garza e)TORRES HUGO 115 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  TAKE ME AS I AM Nov09 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul24 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
4  APHRODITES REVENGE Nov25 Nov05 Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 (degeyter jr)STOKES J 117 4.50 ★    
5  DIXIE LOVING Oct27 Sep06 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 (espino)RUIZ GARCIA 120 10.00    
6  VELVET NIGHT Nov22 Aug01 Jul19 May05 Apr09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.00 ★    
7  HOLY WAR Nov23 Oct21 Aug03 Jul01 May25 (roberts kennet)BACA L 117 8.00 ★    
 
DED-8   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBON STRYKER Nov18 Oct22 Sep01 Jul24 Jun26 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 4.50 ★    
2  WHENTHEDOVESCRY Oct14 Jul30 Jul21 Jun02 May19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 10.00    
3  YES BAB Nov16 Oct26 Aug24 Jul22 Jun23 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
4  B W P SPECIAL Oct26 Oct07 Aug11 Jul27 Jul09 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 118 8.00    
5  COROT Dec02 Nov22 May19 May11 Mar27 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  LODE OF BLARNEY Nov18 Oct22 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  FAREWELL TIME Oct29 Oct05 Aug27 Aug10 Jun25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  OLD INDIAN TRICK Nov03         (cox l)STOKES J 118 10.00 18% 4.50    
 
DED-9   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEDARESTHEDEVIL Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 Jul09 Jun18 (dodwell caro)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  MULETRAIN Oct26 Oct18 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
3  RUSSET MOON Nov10 Oct19 Aug17 Jul16 Jun17 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  TRIPLE Nov02 Sep24       (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 15.00    
5  JOHNNY JUDE Dec01 Nov12 Oct19 Sep24 Sep03 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
6  PRODUCTION TIME Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Jul01 Jun08 (celestine c)FLORES S 120 4.50    
7  SABER STORM         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  GRAY DANE Nov17 Oct28 Aug24 Aug06   (bernard john)BACA L 119 10.00    
9  SMARTY RIDGE Nov22 Oct26 Oct07 Sep26 Aug27 (kotara rona)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 20.00    
10  BAD DECISIONS Nov12 Jul24 Jun22 May28   (charles keith)BIRZER E 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.