Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-4   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :45 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BULLAWAY 4 3 43 42¼   42 12 (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 22% 3.50 4.60 W
1  TULSA TIME 1 1 1½ 3.2   1nk 22 (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 120 12.00 15% 5.50 5.10 P
5  CHUCK NAZTY 5 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 34¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 6.00 ★ 1.00 S
2  RED WES 2 5 3½ 1nk   3½ 48½ (gerke cimmaron)RAMOS B 124 3.50 ★ 4.60  
3  TOMBI 3 4 57 59¼   57 59¾ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 39% 1.60 3.00  
 
ARP-5   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:143 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRAN EDITION 2 2 2½ 45½ 44 1nk 11½ (chavez juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 6.70  
4  BANJO BILL 3 1 1½ 1½ 11½ 2nk 21½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 ★ 1.90 P
1  WATER PATROL 1 3 77 711 55 52¼ 34 (haar j)WALES T 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.40 S
6  THETRASHMANSCOMING 4 7 43 33½ 33½ 31½ 44 (haar j)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 19% 4.20 2.00  
7  PODEROSO EQUS 5 5 66 68 710 62¾ 59½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
9  HATTIES JEWEL 7 4 54 57½ 610 73¾ 614½ (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 3.50 12.60  
8  LIGHT BOUND BID 6 6 32 2½ 21½ 41¾ 718¾ (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 10.00 19.20  
SCR  FERRARI ROAD               (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00    
SCR  GOLD NOTE               (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
ARP-6   10/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:122     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHTED 1 9 75 32½   2½ 14½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 3.50 32% 2.20 1.10 W
2  BIG DADDY DON 2 1 2½ 1½   1½ 24½ (parsons riley)WALES T 117 2.50 43% 1.30 2.40 P
4  LINCHTOWN 4 8 64 69   48 314¾ (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 ★ 3.40 S
5  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 5 4 43 44½   512 417¼ (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 12.90  
9  BE ALL EARS 9 5 53½ 710½   613½ 520¼ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 15.00 31.20  
8  BUMPER POOL 8 7 87 812½   715 621¾ (ibanez alb)GONZALEZ V 120 20.00 34.80  
6  BAD BOY BILL 6 2 1½ 2½   36½ 726 (gleason tyrone)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 5.00 ★ 29.50  
3  ALL RISE UP 3 6 911 914½   816 827¼ (chavez juan)MARTIN A 120 12.00 16.60  
7  LONESTAR CHROME 7 3 32 57½   917 929½ (williams ste)BEVERLY JR 124 30.00 ★ 39.70  
 
ARP-7   10/02/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141     1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INTO CLASSIC 2 2 23 23 22½ 12 19 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00 50% 1.00 0.40 W
4  LADY CLARE 3 1 34½ 35 54¼ 22 29 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 2.50 ★ 4.30 P
5  POETIC PURSUIT 4 4 46½ 55½ 34 43 311¼ (martinez a)WALES T 122 3.50 13% 6.60 7.10 S
6  AMERICAN REALITY 5 5 57 45½ 44 54 412¾ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 10.00 ★ 12.00  
2  FLO TIME 1 3 13 13 12½ 32 514 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.50 6.10  
SCR  PROMPTLY DONE               (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 15.00 8% 12.00    
 
ARP-8   10/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:154     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TIME TO SKIP TOWN 5 2 22 21   3½ 11¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 33% 2.00 0.80 W
2  BENTLEY 1 1 12 11   1nk 21¾ (ness john)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 2.50  
6  OUR HALF FIRST 4 4 35 53   41 32¾ (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 7% 13.70 12.10 S
4  CASH CRUZER 3 3 47 42½   2nk 45 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 3.50 ★ 2.90  
3  DADDY JACK 2 5 59 32   54 510¾ (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 8% 11.60 11.20  
SCR  BULL RING               (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  STRONG STORM               (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 10.00    
 
ARP-9   10/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WIN FOR FUN 7 2 23 31   1nk 11½ (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 3.50 29% 2.50 1.00 W
2  DALLAS GOLD 2 6 47½ 2½   31½ 21½ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 33% 2.00 2.10 P
1  CLEARLY MAD 1 1 13 1½   2nk 31½ (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 18.60 8.00 S
8  ORDER OF THE DAY 8 4 69 42½   44½ 48¼ (rushton temple)WALES T 120 6.00 11.70  
4  THREE FOR THREE 4 3 37 53½   56 59¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 4.50 11.10  
3  DEL ARGENT 3 5 58 65   66½ 610¾ (alire ran)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 7% 13.90 13.40  
5  THE GREATEST EAGLE 5 7 813½ 810   87½ 713¾ (ibanez alb)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 ★ 30.90  
6  RANCHER 6 8 710½ 78   77 817½ (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 15.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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