Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   EXA (1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-8 $53.30 $37.30 233%
FG-2   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    DD (1/5/8/4)-(1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-8 $13.40 $1.40 12%
FG-9   WIN (3/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $11.60 $5.60 93%
    EXA (3/9/10)-(3/9/10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-3 $26.60 $14.60 122%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:14 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCTIC ROSE 1 5 67 5 2nk 12 1 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.20 W
ARGYBARGY BUCK 8 1 33 33 32 3 2 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 114 8.00 9% 9.60 43.40 P
THE THREE KS 3 3 1½ 11 1nk 22 3 (williams )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00 5.10  
HOPE FOR CHANGE 4 6 55 66 77 58 411 (milburn )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 20.00 8% 10.80 60.80  
MY HEAVY SON 6 8 8 7 66 68 512½ (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 16.00  
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 7 7 2½ 21 43 4 612¾ (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 1.30  
JUJU NINETEEN 5 4 7 8 8 811 719½ (savoie sherman)PARKER L 124 4.00 12% 7.60 4.20  
BAND BOSS 2 2 45 43 54 710½ 8100 (williams kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00 50.30  
 
FG-2   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :471 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN PALACE 7 7 76 74   4 1 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 8% 11.20 2.50 W
MR. PRIORITY 2 5 64 63   2 2 (husak ga)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00 10.00  
NOSY BANKER 8 4 4 2½   3 3 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00 9.20  
QUEST FOR AVETTE 4 2 11 1½   1 4 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 13.10  
MR. PRODUCTION 1 1 5 5   5 5 (camejo jos)ALBERT S 116 2.50 62% 0.60 1.00  
PAT ME DOWN 5 3 21 3   6 69 (west henry)MELANCON G 124 15.00 56.20  
WHY JOEY WHY 3 8 87 88   810¾ 712 (delahoussaye)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 7.00  
BITSY'S CUSTOM C 6 6 3 42   710¾ 820¾ (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 121 10.00 5% 18.90 28.60  
SCR  MISTER DON               (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 8.00    
 
FG-3   02/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:142 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER SPLASH 5 2 32 32 3.2 1 1 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.80 18% 4.60 1.70 W
BLUE JAYS 3 6 6 4 5 2 2 (hartman )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 2.00 36% 1.80 0.90 P
MY BARILEY 4 5 57 64 6 3 3 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 11% 8.50 5.90 S
CO CONSPIRATOR 2 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 4 413¼ (richards corale)LANERIE J 121 4.50 8.50  
SUPER WISE 1 3 4 5 4 5 515½ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 8% 11.50 20.80  
GIMME SOME MO 6 4 2nk 2½ 1nk 6 623½ (hargrave ken)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 7% 12.70 19.60  
 
FG-4   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:132 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE MIKE 5 5 45 4 2 13 1 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 25% 3.00 0.90 W
GUITAR TRIBUTE 6 8 817 814¾ 813½ 5 2 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 20% 4.00 10.10 P
PAYDAY TOO 4 7 711½ 7 65 3 35 (richards corale)LANERIE J 121 6.00 8% 11.10 7.30 S
AND FIFTY 2 1 1 1½ 1 23 411½ (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 11.30  
IZZY'S BABY BOY 7 4 55 6 44 4 512 (gelner scott)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 5.30  
STEAL IT BACK 1 3 33 3 5 69 612 (west patric)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00 16.10  
WAR COUNT 8 6 6 52 7 711½ 722¾ (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 9% 10.60 11.00  
EVERLOVINGHAND 3 2 2 2½ 32 813 824 (claire alexis)PARKER L 121 5.00 15% 5.70 8.50  
 
FG-5   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH TONE 6 3 5 43   52 1½ (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00 15.40  
CLASSIC KING 3 5 68 6   4 2½ (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 9.00 P
POPULIST 2 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 3¾ (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 27% 2.80 1.40 S
GORMLEYS GOT GAME 4 6 3 31   3½ 4 (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 2.40  
CARBON STRYKER 1 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 5 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 36% 1.80 7.70  
IRISH HOKIE 5 2 43 5   6 68 (scherer t)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 3.20  
SCR  CHANNEL WON               (tracy tann)ALBERT S 114 6.00    
SCR  GLENN'S JUMPER               (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 12.00 8% 11.30    
 
FG-6   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:132     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER GAME 4 6 5 5 2nk 1½ 1 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 1.00  
SCHMOOZIN 5 4 43 4 1nk 2½ 2 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 20.30  
CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 2 1 21 32 5 5 3 (casse w)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 S
MORNING CUP 3 2 11 1½ 4¼ 31 4 (stall m)LANERIE J 122 3.00 23% 3.30 3.00  
UNIFIED DREAMS 6 3 31 2½ 3.2 4 55 (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 11% 8.40 12.60  
KEEPCALMCARRYON 7 7 66 64 6 6 6 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 16.00  
PACIFICISLANDTIME 1 5 79 7 7 77 7 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 119 4.50 37% 1.70 5.30  
SCR  HAROLD'S CLOUD               (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 12.00    
 
FG-7   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLINT RIDGE 6 5 4 11   11 1½ (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 0.90  
SPARTAN ARMY 2 7 6 5   3 2½ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 6.20 P
ZIPPIN GIGI 5 2 21 21   21 3½ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 11% 8.00 3.40 S
WISE ANCHOR 1 4 31 4   5 4 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 20.40  
TWIRLING ROSES 4 3 5 6   69 5 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 18% 4.50 4.30  
PRADO'S PRIORITY 7 1 11 31   4 610¾ (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 112 5.00 42% 1.40 13.70  
RUSSIAN TANK 3 6 713½ 713¾   713 712½ (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 20.00 51.20  
 
FG-8   02/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :474 :593     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OEUVRE 4 4 1½ 1½   1 1 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 23% 3.40 1.40 W
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
NEW BOSS 7 3 5 32   2 2 (calhoun william )PARKER L 118 12.00 21.80  
  (by STREET BOSS out of DENALI DREAMSCAPE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
GOIN' GOOD 8 7 6 64   45 33 (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 19% 4.10 2.80 S
  (by CONGRATS out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
ASTUTE 3 6 42 4   34 44 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 7% 13.60 3.20  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DISCERNING by LANGFUHR)
PERFECT HAPPINESS 5 1 2½ 2½   55 5 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 15.80  
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of DIVINE HAPPINESS by DIVINE PARK)
MINER'S QUEEN 6 2 32 5   7 6 (hernandez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 19.90  
  (by BERNARDINI out of QUEEN'S AWARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MINUTE WALTZ 2 5 74 7   67 7 (bauer a)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00 25.50  
  (by NYQUIST out of IS IT SAFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
ABOUKIR BAY 1 8 814 819½   824½ 831½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 8.30  
  (by LORD NELSON out of FAIRY STAR by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  BROKE FINANCING               (jackson dwayne)CULP BRIANNE 118 20.00    
  (by OXBOW out of FINANCINGAVAILABLE by KIRIDASHI)
SCR  CHARLIE T               (thomas lee)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of THAT REAL WORLD by ROGER THAT (GB))
SCR  CHEETARA (CHI)               (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of FRESCURA TOTAL by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  HAZY COMMAND               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 6% 16.90    
  (by MASTERY out of JUSTASPRINKLE by GILDED TIME)
SCR  LASTCHANCEFORLOVE               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of AWE HUSH by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  MERCY WARREN               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of I'M PATRIOTIC by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
SCR  SALVAJE               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of WILDCAT HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  SWEET TEMPERAMENT               (bourgeois keith)LANERIE J 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SWEET BASIL by PULPIT)
 
FG-9   02/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNNINGS CATSLE 9 9 5 5   4 11 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 6.00 24% 3.10 4.80 W
RUNAWAY JIM 3 5 3 33   32 21 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 5.00 41% 1.40 4.00 P
HARD KINGS 4 3 8 8   6 3 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00 37.10  
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 6 4 2nk 1½   1nk 4 (thompson k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.00 1.20  
FRIEND'S DO CARE 2 1 1nk 2½   2nk 5 (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 120 15.00 21.60  
11  CHAD'S FLASH 11 11 6 4   55 64 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 117 15.00 17.80  
CHELSEA'S GLORY 5 6 7 6   76 76 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 125 6.00 25.00  
THEOS FLEW 7 7 4 78   89 8 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 5.00 32.00  
10  CHIPEEE 10 10 9 1011¼   911 9 (henry eric)MELANCON G 117 5.00 9% 9.60 12.00  
CAJUN CARLOS 1 2 1111½ 1111¾   1013 1010¾ (granger ran)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 20.00 45.70  
HALF CRAZY 8 8 108 910¾   1114 1117½ (boxie s)LANERIE J 117 8.00 8.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.