Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4/6)-(1/5/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/8/4)-(1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/4)-(1/8/7)-(3/5/4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/3/4)-(1/8/7/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(3/5/4/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(3/5/4/1/6)-(5/6/3/8/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-3   WIN (3/5/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1/6)-(3/5/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1/6)-(3/5/4/1/6)-(3/5/4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/4/1/6)-(5/6/3/8/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/1/6)-(5/6/3/8/4)-(1/3) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/6/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/8/4)-(5/6/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/8/4)-(5/6/3/8/4)-(5/6/3/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/3/8/4)-(1/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/8/4)-(1/3)-(1/3/7/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(3/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/3/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/3/7/2)-(7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2)-(7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/2)-(7/4/5)-(4/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/6/2)-(7/4/5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(4/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(4/8/3)-(3/9/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-8   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3)-(4/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/3)-(3/9/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FG-9   WIN (3/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/10)-(3/9/10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/10)-(3/9/10/6/5)-(3/9/10/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCTIC ROSE Feb03 Jan06 Nov24 Oct19 Aug18 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
2  BAND BOSS Nov24 Oct22 Aug27     (williams kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00    
3  THE THREE KS Jan28 Dec08 Nov24 Jul16 Jun01 (williams )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00    
4  HOPE FOR CHANGE Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 Sep11 Aug25 (milburn )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 20.00 8% 10.80    
5  JUJU NINETEEN Jan22 Jan01 Dec16 Nov25 Aug12 (savoie sherman)PARKER L 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
6  MY HEAVY SON Dec17 Nov26 Sep24 Sep12 Mar06 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 ★    
7  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Jan28 Jan08 Nov26 Aug16 Jul31 (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00    
8  ARGYBARGY BUCK Feb03 Jan06 Dec08 Nov24 Aug27 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 114 8.00 9% 9.60    
 
FG-2   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PRODUCTION Jan12 Dec10 Nov19 Oct22   (camejo jos)ALBERT S 116 2.50 62% 0.60    
2  MR. PRIORITY Jan12 Dec19 Dec09 Nov22 Oct05 (husak ga)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
3  WHY JOEY WHY Feb02 Dec17 Aug24 Jul20   (delahoussaye)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 ★    
4  QUEST FOR AVETTE Jan12 Dec19 Mar20 Mar03 Feb11 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  MISTER DON Feb04 Jan05 Jun28 May24 Mar19 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 8.00    
6  PAT ME DOWN Feb09 Jan27 Jan14 Dec30 Dec21 (west henry)MELANCON G 124 15.00    
7  BITSY'S CUSTOM C Jan01 Dec08 Jul29 Jun08 May21 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 121 10.00 5% 18.90    
8  GOLDEN PALACE Feb04 Jan26 Jan15 Jan05 Dec10 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 8% 11.20    
9  NOSY BANKER Feb02 Jan01 Dec02 Nov19 Jul20 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00    
 
FG-3   02/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER WISE Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 Nov18 Sep27 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
2  CO CONSPIRATOR Jan12 Dec19 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 (richards corale)LANERIE J 121 4.50    
3  BLUE JAYS Jan28 Aug07 Jun26 May28 Apr15 (hartman )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  MY BARILEY Jan28 Jan15 Nov11 Oct13 Sep02 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 11% 8.50    
5  SUMMER SPLASH Jan28 Jan05 Nov23 Nov16 Oct15 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.80 18% 4.60    
6  GIMME SOME MO May08 Mar20 Feb13 Jan21   (hargrave ken)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 7% 12.70    
 
FG-4   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAL IT BACK Jan29 Jan06 Dec08 Mar11 Feb02 (west patric)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00    
2  AND FIFTY Jan08 Dec09 Nov24 Oct06 Aug26 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
3  EVERLOVINGHAND Feb10 Jan08 Dec09 Nov19 Jul14 (claire alexis)PARKER L 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
4  PAYDAY TOO Jan29 Jan15 Dec27 Nov26 Oct13 (richards corale)LANERIE J 121 6.00 8% 11.10    
5  LIKE MIKE Jan29 Dec17 Oct27 Jul31 Jun14 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  GUITAR TRIBUTE Jan29 Jan01 Nov27 Sep26   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 20% 4.00    
7  IZZY'S BABY BOY Jan29 Nov24 Mar05 Feb05 Jan01 (gelner scott)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00    
8  WAR COUNT Jan29 Dec17 Aug20 Jul10 Jun05 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 9% 10.60    
 
FG-5   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBON STRYKER Jan20 Jan06 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CHANNEL WON Jan20 Oct21 Aug17 Jun02 May11 (tracy tann)ALBERT S 114 6.00 ★    
SCR  GLENN'S JUMPER Dec31 Dec02 Sep18 Aug18 Jul03 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 12.00 8% 11.30    
3  POPULIST Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 Sep10 Aug17 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 27% 2.80    
4  CLASSIC KING Dec17 Dec04 Nov02 Oct12 Sep13 (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 ★    
5  GORMLEYS GOT GAME Jan26 Jan12 Dec18 Nov17 Oct26 (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50    
6  IRISH HOKIE Jun11 May22 Mar01 Jan07   (scherer t)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 ★    
7  HIGH TONE Jan20 Dec29 Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00    
 
FG-6   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACIFICISLANDTIME Jan08 Dec09 Nov11 Oct13 Aug26 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
2  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW Dec23 Dec04 Oct20 Sep24 Sep15 (casse w)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MORNING CUP Jan15 Nov16 Oct08 Aug19   (stall m)LANERIE J 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  HAROLD'S CLOUD Jan29 Dec23 Nov23 Oct23   (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 12.00 ★    
5  MASTER GAME Jan19 Dec08 Oct26 Sep13 Jun05 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 4.50    
6  SCHMOOZIN Jan15 Dec23 Nov16 Sep22 Jun25 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
7  UNIFIED DREAMS Feb03 Jan15 Dec16 Nov10 Oct06 (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 11% 8.40    
8  KEEPCALMCARRYON Jan19 Dec22 Dec01 Nov06 Oct16 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
 
FG-7   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE ANCHOR Feb10 Jan15 Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00    
2  SPARTAN ARMY Dec29 Nov25 Nov04 Sep22   (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 ★    
3  RUSSIAN TANK Feb11 Feb03 Jan16 Oct25 Sep06 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 20.00    
4  TWIRLING ROSES Jan26 Dec29 Dec04 Nov04 Oct14 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  ZIPPIN GIGI Jan26 Nov25 Nov02 Sep30 Sep03 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 11% 8.00    
6  FLINT RIDGE Jan15 Dec08 Oct28 Sep22 Jul30 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 ★    
7  PRADO'S PRIORITY Feb04 Jan12 Dec17 Nov18 Oct20 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 112 5.00 42% 1.40    
 
FG-8   02/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABOUKIR BAY Jan14 Oct19 Sep03 May14 Feb26 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FAIRY STAR by MORE THAN READY)
2  MINUTE WALTZ Dec03 Nov10 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 (bauer a)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of IS IT SAFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  ASTUTE Jan14         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 7% 13.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DISCERNING by LANGFUHR)
4  OEUVRE Jan14 Dec03 Oct22 Oct02 Sep13 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  PERFECT HAPPINESS Jan21 Dec03 Nov10 May29 Apr30 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of DIVINE HAPPINESS by DIVINE PARK)
6  MINER'S QUEEN Dec03 Oct29 Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 (hernandez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of QUEEN'S AWARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  NEW BOSS Jan14 Dec03 Oct29 Jul13   (calhoun william )PARKER L 118 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of DENALI DREAMSCAPE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
8  GOIN' GOOD Jan28 Jul18 May05 Apr16 Mar01 (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 19% 4.10    
  (by CONGRATS out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  CHARLIE T Feb11 Jan14 Oct19 Sep21 Aug17 (thomas lee)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of THAT REAL WORLD by ROGER THAT (GB))
SCR  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Jan06 Dec17 Jul21 Jun16 May27 (bourgeois keith)LANERIE J 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SWEET BASIL by PULPIT)
SCR  SALVAJE Apr22 Feb24 Jan06     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of WILDCAT HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  BROKE FINANCING Jan27 Aug19 Jul20 Jun18 Jan07 (jackson dwayne)CULP BRIANNE 118 20.00    
  (by OXBOW out of FINANCINGAVAILABLE by KIRIDASHI)
SCR  CHEETARA (CHI) Oct29 Sep25 Aug16 Jul16 Jun04 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of FRESCURA TOTAL by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  HAZY COMMAND Jan14 Dec09 Nov20 Oct04 Jul20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 6% 16.90    
  (by MASTERY out of JUSTASPRINKLE by GILDED TIME)
SCR  LASTCHANCEFORLOVE Sep25 Sep03 Jun10 May08 Feb25 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of AWE HUSH by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  MERCY WARREN Jan01 Nov27 Oct29 Jun26 Jun03 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of I'M PATRIOTIC by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
 
FG-9   02/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN CARLOS Feb09 Jan26       (granger ran)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 20.00    
2  FRIEND'S DO CARE Dec08 Nov27 Oct22 Aug27   (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 120 15.00    
3  RUNAWAY JIM         (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 5.00 41% 1.40    
4  HARD KINGS Feb09 Jan07 Nov26 Mar20 Mar09 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00    
5  CHELSEA'S GLORY Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 Oct19 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 125 6.00 ★    
6  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Feb01 Jan15 Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 (thompson k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.00 ★    
7  THEOS FLEW Feb09 Dec08 Nov26 Sep26   (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 5.00    
8  HALF CRAZY Oct07         (boxie s)LANERIE J 117 8.00    
9  MUNNINGS CATSLE         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 6.00 24% 3.10    
10  CHIPEEE Feb05 Dec31 Dec17 Dec01   (henry eric)MELANCON G 117 5.00 9% 9.60    
11  CHAD'S FLASH Feb05 Dec31       (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 117 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.