Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-2   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.00 $3.00 38%
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-5 $20.60 $4.60 29%
FG-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $24.70 $12.70 106%
    DD (7/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-6 $9.70 $3.70 62%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH KENNY 5 3 33 3   3 1¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 2.70  
HALF AGAIN 3 1 21 2   2½ 2¾ (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 70% 0.40 3.30 P
GRAVY HOUND 2 2 11 1   1½ 3 (felks r)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 5% 18.00 1.50 S
GOLDEN PALACE 6 4 55 5   4 4 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 13.10  
FLASHY BREW 4 5 4 45   5 512 (camejo m)LANERIE J 121 3.00 3.70  
MISTER DON 1 6 67 69   611½ 617¼ (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 15.00 28.50  
SCR  QUEST FOR AVETTE               (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  SECRET VISTA               (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50    
 
FG-2   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKE J 3 2 1nk 11   11 1nk (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.50 21% 3.70 4.50 W
ALL WEST 5 1 3 31   21 2nk (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 1.80 14% 6.00 1.80 P
EMERALD FOREST 2 4 4 21   31 3¼ (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.20 29% 2.50 1.80 S
SPANKHURST 1 5 2nk 42   42 42 (casse w)LANERIE J 120 8.00 2.90  
FIREWATER JAKE 4 3 5 5   56 5 (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 13% 6.50 12.10  
 
FG-3   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEI HEI CUSTIVITY 4 4 3 3½   1½ 1¾ (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00 3.20  
VIOLA STAR 1 5 512½ 4   4 2¾ (husak j)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 15.90  
WUPKAR 2 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 33 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 46% 1.20 0.40 S
SUMITUP 3 2 2nk 2nk   34 47 (dandridge cou)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 23% 3.30 5.50  
SKY HIGH SUSAN 5 3 4 510   511½ 513½ (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
SCR  SHELLI'S ANGEL               (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
 
FG-4   02/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:134 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY GIRL 6 4 2 22 21 1½ 1 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 69% 0.40 0.50 W
GRACEFUL UNION 4 1 1 12 11 2½ 2 (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 2.80 P
ROLL GYPSY ROLL 5 5 68 6 56 5 38 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 6.00 9.70 S
PRIZE DEBATE 1 3 35 34 34 3 4 (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 20.00 13.90  
WAIT ON ME 3 2 46 4 44 4 512½ (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 9.50  
BABY YOUR PERFECT 2 6 58 57 614 625½ 651 (zeringue w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
SCR  FROSTY DIVA               (forster t)LANERIE J 120 3.00    
 
FG-5   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RAGE OF ART 5 3 4 2nk   1nk 1nk (walsh brenda)CARROLL DECLAN 120 4.50 34% 1.90 2.80 W
ZIPPIN PIPPIN 3 4 2½ 1nk   2nk 2nk (wiggins lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 19% 4.20 4.90 P
CATHERINE BLAZE 6 5 610½ 68   57 3 (leonard geo)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 8.00 11.90  
STOP THE MADNESS 4 1 3 32   34 45 (jeansonne just)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00 21.60  
UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY 2 6 52 55   46 5 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 2.10  
KEEP LEFT 1 2 1½ 4   69 617¾ (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 1.90  
SCR  CORONA DEL MAR               (broussard jarmon)MURRAY M 120 12.00    
SCR  DANKE FUER ALLES               (casse w)LANERIE J 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50    
 
FG-6   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KYLE BEAUTY 3 5 1½ 1   13 1 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 25% 3.00 0.90 W
MICHELLES LIL STAR 8 2 4 2   33 2 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 119 3.50 30% 2.40 1.80 P
A RUNNIN AFLEET 2 4 2½ 33   23 3 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 10% 9.40 28.50 S
NODAH 6 8 76 56   4 4 (ortiz joh)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 25.40  
DIXIE FARMER 4 7 5 68   5 59 (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 23.90  
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY 1 3 63 79   710½ 612½ (hodges e)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 14% 6.00 5.90  
CAJUN NINJA 7 6 8 8   812½ 715¾ (silva miguel)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 21.50  
DON'TCALLMEPATSY 5 1 32 46   69 816 (wilson shane)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00 22.60  
 
FG-7   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:214 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELEOUT 3 3 21 1½   11 1¼ (dandridge courtney)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 29% 2.50 0.90 W
BASALT STREET 1 1 32 3   21 2¼ (scherer gary)LANERIE J 121 3.00 32% 2.10 3.40 P
CARNELIAN 4 4 43 4   3 3 (stidham micha)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 10.40  
ROMANCE NOVEL 8 6 6 5   57 4 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 4.60  
HIGH SPEED 5 7 87 7   6 511 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 14.80  
PALACEIN 2 2 11 2½   44 611½ (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 30.60  
MISS DISTINCTIVE 6 8 76 88   812½ 716¼ (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
SHANIAH 7 5 54 6   711½ 817½ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 6% 15.20 15.20  
 
FG-8   02/04/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :51 1:162 1:432   1:56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) 1 4 5 48 2 2½ 1½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 7% 14.10 2.70 W
C FALLS 8 1 13 16 1 1½ 2½ (casse w)LANERIE J 120 4.00 2.00  
COURAGEOUSLY 6 2 3 26 33 31 3 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 18% 4.60 5.60 S
MONARCH MAN 3 5 6 610½ 4 4 4 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 18.90 20.70  
UNLEASH THE POWER 4 3 23 37 65 54 5 (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 24.30  
SUPER WISE 7 7 47 510 55 6 6 (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 17.50  
BRIGHT SPARK 5 6 711½ 713 7 7 7 (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 13.00  
WIN WORTHY 2 8 819½ 825 819½ 811 8 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 24% 3.10 2.90  
SCR  COUSIN LARRY               (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 4.00    
SCR  DECLARE WAR               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
SCR  FIELDSTONE               (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR               (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  OLD SOT               (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  WITCH'S VOW               (alberto antonio)SINGH R 120 20.00    
 
FG-9   02/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MY ROYAL PRINCESS 9 7 63 6   5 1½ (zenon charles)MURRAY M 125 8.00 19.90  
ANSLIE'S GUMDROP 8 6 3 4   41 2½ (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 7% 13.50 3.00 P
MADISON'S SCREEN 6 10 85 77   64 3 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 117 8.00 5.90  
BEANIE 3 2 42 2   2½ 4 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 125 5.00 6.00  
AVIE J 7 8 5 33   31 54 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 8.90  
ISN'T IT TIME 1 3 7 8   7 6 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 125 4.00 43% 1.40 1.30  
CONTINENTAL RED 4 1 1½ 1   1½ 7 (richards cor)CARROLL DECLAN 117 20.00 23.50  
BLESS D'SOUTH 2 5 10 1012   9 8 (schmidt denise)COHEN DAVID 125 15.00 33.20  
GOOD GIRL SHORTY 5 4 2½ 5   8 9 (ladner chad)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 20.00 35.20  
11  SUM CHARM 10 9 9 910   1010 1014¾ (peterson jessi)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00 99.30  
SCR  FEDORA FREYA               (faucheux ron)MORALES EDGAR 117 4.50 30% 2.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.