Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4/7/5)-(1/3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/3/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/3/5/4)-(3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/1)-(2/3/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/4)-(3/4/6)-(7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(7/3)-(6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-4   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/6/5)-(7/3/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(6/3)-(8/3/1/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-5   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(8/3/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(8/3/1/2)-(1/3/7/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2/5)-(8/3/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/1/2)-(1/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/2)-(1/3/7/6)-(4/8/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6/8)-(1/3/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/7/6)-(4/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/6)-(4/8/3/5)-(1/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (4/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/5)-(1/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FG-9   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/3/5)-(1/9/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF AGAIN Dec15 Nov19 Oct21 Aug04 Jul12 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 70% 0.40    
SCR  SECRET VISTA Jan15 Dec10 Feb28 Jan28 Jan07 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50    
2  MISTER DON Jan05 Jun28 May24 Mar19 Feb04 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
3  GRAVY HOUND Jan05 Dec04 Feb21 Feb04   (felks r)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 5% 18.00    
4  FLASHY BREW Dec23 Nov18 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 (camejo m)LANERIE J 121 3.00 ★    
5  COACH KENNY Jan13 Dec15 Sep12 Aug14 Jun28 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  QUEST FOR AVETTE Jan12 Dec19 Mar20 Mar03 Feb11 (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
7  GOLDEN PALACE Jan26 Jan15 Jan05 Dec10 Nov24 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 ★    
 
FG-2   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANKHURST Nov17 Oct27 Sep23 Sep06 Aug15 (casse w)LANERIE J 120 8.00 ★    
2  EMERALD FOREST Jan12 Nov26 Oct07 Sep01 Aug05 (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.20 29% 2.50    
3  MIKE J Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Nov11 Aug14 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  FIREWATER JAKE Oct12 Sep29 Aug25 Jul06 Jun11 (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
5  ALL WEST Jan12 Dec18 Oct02 Sep25 Aug25 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 1.80 14% 6.00    
 
FG-3   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLA STAR Jan12 Dec18 May14 Mar04 Jan30 (husak j)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
SCR  SHELLI'S ANGEL Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 Mar18 Feb26 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 ★    
3  WUPKAR Jan12 Dec18 Nov27 Oct20 Jul22 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 46% 1.20    
4  SUMITUP Jan12 Dec18 Nov18 Jun04 Apr21 (dandridge cou)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  HEI HEI CUSTIVITY Jan12 Jun03 May19     (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00 ★    
6  SKY HIGH SUSAN Jan22 Dec31 Nov25 Aug24 Jul10 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-4   02/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIZE DEBATE Dec12 Oct22 Sep24     (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 20.00    
SCR  FROSTY DIVA Dec18 Nov24 Sep29 Aug07   (forster t)LANERIE J 120 3.00 ★    
3  BABY YOUR PERFECT Dec18         (zeringue w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WAIT ON ME Jan14 Dec19 Sep26 Aug29   (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
5  GRACEFUL UNION Dec31 Sep18       (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 ★    
6  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Jan14 Dec03 Sep09 Aug07 Jun24 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 6.00 ★    
7  GHOSTLY GIRL Jan21 Dec31 Nov12 Oct16 Sep23 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 69% 0.40    
 
FG-5   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP LEFT Jan16 Dec23 Dec03 Nov12 Oct15 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 ★    
2  UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY Aug15         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
3  ZIPPIN PIPPIN         (wiggins lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
4  STOP THE MADNESS Dec23 Dec03 Aug29 Jul30   (jeansonne just)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
SCR  DANKE FUER ALLES         (casse w)LANERIE J 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  THE RAGE OF ART         (walsh brenda)CARROLL DECLAN 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
7  CATHERINE BLAZE Dec31 Dec15 Nov25 Jul15 Jul04 (leonard geo)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 8.00    
SCR  CORONA DEL MAR Jan16 Dec03 Oct22 Sep26 Aug29 (broussard jarmon)MURRAY M 120 12.00    
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE Dec01 Oct30 Sep30     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 ★    
 
FG-6   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Jul19   (hodges e)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
2  A RUNNIN AFLEET Dec22 Nov02       (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 10% 9.40    
3  KYLE BEAUTY Jan05         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  DIXIE FARMER Jan04         (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
5  DON'TCALLMEPATSY Dec10 Nov18 Sep04     (wilson shane)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00 ★    
6  NODAH Aug06 Jul23       (ortiz joh)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
7  CAJUN NINJA Oct14 Aug20       (silva miguel)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
8  MICHELLES LIL STAR Dec29 Nov18       (calhoun william)LANERIE J 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
FG-7   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASALT STREET Jan16 Dec26 Nov27 Oct29 Sep24 (scherer gary)LANERIE J 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  PALACEIN Dec14 Nov21 Oct22 Oct01 Aug26 (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
3  BELEOUT Jan01 Dec01 Jun04 Apr15 Mar10 (dandridge courtney)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  CARNELIAN Jan16 Jul20 Feb19     (stidham micha)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
5  HIGH SPEED Sep18 Aug23 Aug04 Jul07 Jun18 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
6  MISS DISTINCTIVE Jan01         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHANIAH Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 6% 15.20    
8  ROMANCE NOVEL Nov16 Sep23 Aug13 Jul02 Jun18 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 ★    
 
FG-8   02/04/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C FALLS Nov27 Oct22 Sep23 Aug25 Jul30 (casse w)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
SCR  COUSIN LARRY Jan19 Nov06 Oct13 Sep17 Aug15 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 4.00    
SCR  DECLARE WAR Oct26 Oct08 Sep05 Jul16 Jun25 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
SCR  OLD SOT Jan08 Nov27 Oct26 Sep26 Sep05 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
3  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) Sep25 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 7% 14.10    
4  WIN WORTHY Jan08 Oct26 Sep05 May22 Apr13 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
5  MONARCH MAN Sep26 Sep11 Aug07 Jul16 Jun14 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 18.90    
6  UNLEASH THE POWER Oct27 Sep01 Jul23 Jun19 May07 (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
7  BRIGHT SPARK Dec31 Dec09 Oct16 Sep23 Aug05 (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
8  COURAGEOUSLY Aug20 Jul24 Jun09 May13 Apr13 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
9  SUPER WISE Jan08 Dec17 Nov18 Sep27 Sep04 (foster joseph )GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR Jan22 Jan01 Dec09 Nov13 Nov03 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  FIELDSTONE Jan08 Dec22 Nov05 Sep02 Aug07 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
SCR  WITCH'S VOW Dec08 Nov25 Nov02 Oct12   (alberto antonio)SINGH R 120 20.00    
 
FG-9   02/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISN'T IT TIME Dec29 Nov25 Oct13 Aug27 Jul24 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 125 4.00 43% 1.40    
2  BLESS D'SOUTH Jan14 Dec15       (schmidt denise)COHEN DAVID 125 15.00    
3  BEANIE Dec29 Dec15 Mar05 Feb17 Jan14 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 125 5.00 ★    
4  CONTINENTAL RED Dec23 Nov27 Aug10     (richards cor)CARROLL DECLAN 117 20.00    
5  GOOD GIRL SHORTY Jan11 Dec29 Jul02 Jun10 May25 (ladner chad)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 20.00 ★    
6  MADISON'S SCREEN Jan13 Dec23 Dec02     (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 117 8.00    
7  AVIE J Jan15 Dec17       (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00    
SCR  FEDORA FREYA         (faucheux ron)MORALES EDGAR 117 4.50 30% 2.40    
9  ANSLIE'S GUMDROP Jan14 Dec29 Mar25 Feb26 Jan28 (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 7% 13.50    
10  MY ROYAL PRINCESS Jan14 Dec15 Nov03 Aug27 Mar10 (zenon charles)MURRAY M 125 8.00    
11  SUM CHARM Jun24         (peterson jessi)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.