Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-2   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.80 $1.80 23%
FG-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-2 $16.60 $8.60 108%
FG-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $25.40 $13.40 112%
    DD (1/2)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $15.80 $9.80 163%
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(1/2)-(4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-2-6 $79.70 $67.70 564%
FG-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/2)-(5/4/3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-4-3 $26.10 $8.10 45%
    SFT (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/2)-(5/4/3/6/2)-(5/4/3/6/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  5-4-3-6 $19.97 $12.77 177%
    DD (4/2/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-5 $18.80 $9.80 109%
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/2/6)-(5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-6-5 $29.60 $20.60 229%
    PK4 (7/3/5/1)-(1/2)-(4/2/6)-(5/4/3) 72 $0.50 $36.00  3-2-6-5 $143.65 $107.65 299%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:16     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLOSIVELY HOT 3 2 44 5 2nk 11 1¼ (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 11.50  
ISOLATION 2 1 32 32 52 31 2¼ (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 30% 2.40 1.40 P
BELLAMY CAY 6 6 22 22 1nk 21 3 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.00 16% 5.30 2.70 S
MY LITTLE JEN 1 3 6 66 6 6 4 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00 13.90  
HEART THAT BINDS 4 5 5 43 4 44 5 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 2.50 29% 2.50 1.90  
CALAJA 5 4 12 12 31 5 616¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 23.10  
SCR  LADY CHURCHILL               (ducoing st)ALBERT S 116 4.00    
 
FG-2   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:14 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CO CONSPIRATOR 3 1 11 11 1½ 12 1nk (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 17% 4.70 3.90 W
BONUS APPRECIATION 7 6 7 5 4 22 2nk (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 25% 3.00 0.90 P
MAGAZINE STREET 5 2 42 4 3 44 35 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.50 16% 5.30 6.40 S
UNCLE NICK 4 3 21 3 2½ 32 4 (rodriguez edu)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 5.40  
MAD ADAM 6 7 6 78 711 511 516¼ (west g)PARKER L 124 5.00 7.50  
ANICLUDE 1 4 5 66 67 715½ 625½ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 9% 9.60 41.00  
KIDYOUNOT 2 5 3 21 54 614 727½ (barnett c)RIQUELME J 121 12.00 18.00  
 
FG-3   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:133 1:394   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHEBOURG 2 2 21 2½ 1nk 13 15 (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 15% 5.70 1.90 W
CHARDONNAY 5 3 42 32 32 3 25 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 1.10 P
LADY JEOPARDY 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 23 3 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 42% 1.40 6.40 S
HANNAH'S HAVEN 3 5 32 4 4 4 410¼ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 3.60  
SHE A HOT MESS 4 4 54 5 5 5 514 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 20.60  
 
FG-4   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:22 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUE LALA 6 3 32 33   2nk 14 (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 18% 4.50 3.00 W
GIGABLAST 1 6 6 66   43 24 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 2.70 P
SUMITUP 8 1 2 1½   3½ 3 (dandridge cou)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 22.10  
WUPKAR 4 2 1 2½   1nk 4 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 37% 1.70 1.50  
HEI HEI CUSTIVITY 2 8 4 4   5 5 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 21% 3.70 9.90  
NONEYA 7 4 5 5   6 610¼ (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50 11.50  
VIOLA STAR 3 5 711 712   711½ 713¾ (husak j)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 13.50  
FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS 5 7 817½ 817   819½ 825¾ (bobb tho)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00 74.10  
 
FG-5   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD FOREST 5 2 22 11   11 1 (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.80 42% 1.40 2.40 W
ALL WEST 4 4 6 64   33 2 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 24% 3.20 2.30 P
PRADO'S PRIORITY 3 3 12 21   21 3 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 112 8.00 11% 7.70 10.70 S
CRIME SPREE 6 1 5 3   4 4 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 10.90  
DEVIL'S TOWER 2 6 4 54   55 510 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 4.00 2.50  
GORMLEYS GOT GAME 1 5 32 4   65 611 (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 5.30  
 
FG-6   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:16 1:29   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN CRAZY 8 5 32 42 2nk 1½ 1¾ (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 15.50  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DEVERELL by ARCH)
SLICK AND FAST 1 6 55 3 5 4 2¾ (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 24% 3.20 2.30 P
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of CAUSEFORCONFUSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
I DON'T VENMO 4 1 65 63 7 5 31 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 5% 19.00 4.40 S
  (by MO TOWN out of SAVVIEST by EL CORREDOR)
1A  ANDERS SMILE 6 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 42 (david b)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 2.30  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of UNFRIENDLY KOO by FRIENDLY LOVER)
CAJUN CONNECTION 3 3 4 52 4 3 52 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 36.20  
  (by CONNECT out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT 5 7 7 7 6 64 6 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.80 48% 1.10 0.90  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of GINGERTINI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MAIN DUDE 2 2 1½ 1½ 31 76 711¾ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 59.00  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of FORMAL DESIRE by FORMAL DINNER)
INSPECTOR ED 9 8 88 8 8 813 820¾ (husak j)PARKER L 120 20.00 60.30  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BODY BY ISABELLE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
UP N GONE 7 9 9 95 9 914½ 923½ (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 10.60  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZIPPITY GOOMBA by CITY ZIP)
 
FG-7   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:153 1:281   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE CHEESE 2 5 54 54 5 22 11 (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 121 3.50 5% 19.00 1.50 W
FORTY THREE 4 1 1½ 11 1½ 12 21 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 35% 1.80 3.50 P
MARTINIZED 5 7 4 4 3 3 3 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 17% 4.90 3.10 S
WOODS N WATER 3 4 3 32 42 43 4 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 119 8.00 14.10  
GUITARTUITION PLZZ 1 6 76 7 6 6 5 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 8.00 11.60  
WICKED ROSE 7 2 2½ 21 2½ 5 67 (johnson henry )COTTO L 121 3.00 23% 3.40 5.70  
BATTLE OF WILL 6 3 65 6 7 713½ 725 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 14.50  
SCR  TOUCHDOWN JOE               (noel dane)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
FG-8   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:14     1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYTOWN MYRULES 4 2 11 1½ 1 18 116½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 17% 5.00 1.60 W
  (by UNIFIED out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
SOLIDARITY 3 1 21 33 3 28 216½ (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.50 23% 3.30 1.10 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BIZZY CAROLINE by AFLEET ALEX)
LAYLA'S SONG 2 4 32 2½ 2 38 316½ (leonard george)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00 6.90  
  (by TAPITURE out of CUPOLA by MIZZEN MAST)
SUPER COOL STORM 1 3 42 48 411½ 412 417¾ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 16% 5.10 2.90  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of COOL STORM by STORM CAT)
SCR  SURREY               (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOVECOTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  SPIRITCATCHER               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 124 8.00    
  (by CUPID out of ARDARA by ARCH)
SCR  PERFECTION SAVER               (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  TIANA'S STAR (GB)               (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of TIANA by CURLIN)
SCR  MOST EMPRESSIVE               (lovell michelle)PARKER L 124 5.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
FG-9   01/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACIDA 3 10 1012¾ 1012½   9 1¾ (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 5.50  
11  MR. PRODUCTION 10 6 4 42   31 2¾ (faucheux r)ALBERT S 116 1.80 48% 1.10 0.80 P
C'MON VE 2 4 5 5   43 32 (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 22.00 S
10  MR. PRIORITY 9 9 8 7   6 4 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 14.90  
CRUSADER EXPRESS 8 8 7 86   7 5 (landry jacoby)MELANCON G 121 12.00 16.70  
QUEST FOR AVETTE 5 1 2½ 2½   1½ 6 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 8.80  
LOVEU AND PROUDOFU 6 3 31 31   54 7 (richards corale )MURRAY M 121 50.00 67.70  
LT. BONURA 4 5 6 6   8 8 (faucheux ron)PARKER L 124 6.00 5.40  
REECE'S PRIORITY 1 2 1½ 1½   2½ 9 (thomas lee)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 15.00 14.00  
1A  COUNTERFEIT 7 7 9 9   10 10 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00 14.00  
SCR  NO PEDIGREE               (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  PERFECT PERIGEE               (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.