Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(7/3/5/1)-(1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-2   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1/6)-(7/3/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(1/2)-(4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/3/5/4)-(1/2/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/2/6)-(5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/7)-(4/2/6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(5/4/3)-(5/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/2)-(5/4/3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/1/4)-(5/8/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/3/7)-(5/1/4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/8/6/3)-(7/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3/7)-(5/8/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/6/3)-(7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/3)-(7/8/1)-(11/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/8/1)-(11/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FG-9   WIN (11/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/2)-(11/2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/2)-(11/2/4/5)-(11/2/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY CHURCHILL Dec31 Dec03 Nov19 Jul29 Jul14 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 116 4.00 ★    
2  MY LITTLE JEN Dec11 Aug19 Jul20 Jun29 May21 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00    
3  ISOLATION Dec11 Oct22 Aug13 Jun29 Jun16 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  EXPLOSIVELY HOT Dec11 Nov25 Nov02 Oct20 Jun02 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 ★    
5  HEART THAT BINDS Nov25 Sep19 Sep06 Jul09 Jun11 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
6  CALAJA Dec11 Sep06 Jul18 Jun04 May09 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
7  BELLAMY CAY Dec11 Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 Mar20 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
FG-2   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANICLUDE Dec19 Sep24 Jul12 Jun20 May09 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 9% 9.60    
2  KIDYOUNOT Dec17 Nov03 Oct13 Aug31 Aug02 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
3  CO CONSPIRATOR Dec19 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 Sep20 (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 17% 4.70    
4  UNCLE NICK Dec22 Dec01 Oct21 Sep23 Aug12 (rodriguez edu)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00    
5  MAGAZINE STREET Dec19 Nov26 Sep10 Aug27 Jul22 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
6  MAD ADAM Dec16 Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug03 (west g)PARKER L 124 5.00 ★    
7  BONUS APPRECIATION Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 Sep11 Sep01 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
FG-3   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY JEOPARDY Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jul02 Jun13 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
2  RICHEBOURG Oct19 Sep19 Jul14 Jun11 May10 (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 15% 5.70    
3  HANNAH'S HAVEN Dec16 Nov04 Sep25 Aug20 Aug05 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 ★    
4  SHE A HOT MESS Sep19 Aug30 Jul29 Jun01 Apr21 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  CHARDONNAY Dec11 Oct20 Aug26 Aug03 Jul02 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 ★    
 
FG-4   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIGABLAST Jul13 May26 Mar27 Mar09 Feb05 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 ★    
2  HEI HEI CUSTIVITY Jun03 May19       (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  VIOLA STAR Dec18 May14 Mar04 Jan30   (husak j)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
4  WUPKAR Dec18 Nov27 Oct20 Jul22 Jun17 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS Nov23 Nov04 Oct20     (bobb tho)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
6  RUE LALA Dec01 Mar04 Feb06 Jan14   (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  NONEYA Dec18 Dec09 Nov04 Oct07 Sep06 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50 ★    
8  SUMITUP Dec18 Nov18 Jun04 Apr21 Mar17 (dandridge cou)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
 
FG-5   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORMLEYS GOT GAME Dec18 Nov17 Oct26 Sep23 Sep01 (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
2  DEVIL'S TOWER Aug02 Jul03 Jun22 May30 Apr30 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 4.00 ★    
3  PRADO'S PRIORITY Dec17 Nov18 Oct20 Sep18 Aug12 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 112 8.00 11% 7.70    
4  ALL WEST Dec18 Oct02 Sep25 Aug25 Aug02 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  EMERALD FOREST Nov26 Oct07 Sep01 Aug05 May21 (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
6  CRIME SPREE Dec18 Sep15 Jul21 Jul06 Jun18 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 ★    
 
FG-6   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLICK AND FAST Dec10         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of CAUSEFORCONFUSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1A  ANDERS SMILE Dec04 Nov19 Oct07     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of UNFRIENDLY KOO by FRIENDLY LOVER)
2  MAIN DUDE Dec22 Dec08       (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of FORMAL DESIRE by FORMAL DINNER)
3  CAJUN CONNECTION Dec22 Dec04 Nov11 Oct20   (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
4  I DON'T VENMO Dec22 Nov19       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SAVVIEST by EL CORREDOR)
5  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Dec26 Nov25       (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of GINGERTINI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  UP N GONE Nov25         (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZIPPITY GOOMBA by CITY ZIP)
7  CAJUN CRAZY Dec22 Nov25 Oct07     (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DEVERELL by ARCH)
8  INSPECTOR ED Dec31         (husak j)PARKER L 120 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BODY BY ISABELLE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 
FG-7   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Dec19 Nov26 Sep12 Aug16 Jul05 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 8.00    
SCR  TOUCHDOWN JOE Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Jul16 Jun09 (noel dane)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
3  BLUE CHEESE Dec22 Dec01 Nov16 Oct08 Aug20 (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  WOODS N WATER Dec16 Dec01 Nov19 Nov02 Aug24 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 119 8.00    
5  FORTY THREE Dec22 Dec01 Nov17 Oct08 Sep05 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 35% 1.80    
6  MARTINIZED Dec19 Nov26 May20 May06 Mar18 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
7  BATTLE OF WILL Dec19 Nov19 Sep05 Aug03 Jul02 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
8  WICKED ROSE Dec29 Nov25 Oct26 Mar16 Feb26 (johnson henry )COTTO L 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
FG-8   01/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER COOL STORM Oct28         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 16% 5.10    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of COOL STORM by STORM CAT)
SCR  PERFECTION SAVER Nov16         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  SURREY Dec15 Mar09 Feb17 Jan10   (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOVECOTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  LAYLA'S SONG Oct24 Oct11 Sep22 Aug21 Jul12 (leonard george)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CUPOLA by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  MOST EMPRESSIVE Sep26 May21 Apr27 Mar23 Feb28 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 124 5.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  TIANA'S STAR (GB)         (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of TIANA by CURLIN)
SCR  SPIRITCATCHER Dec19         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 124 8.00    
  (by CUPID out of ARDARA by ARCH)
7  SOLIDARITY Oct18 Sep08 Aug01 Jun15   (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BIZZY CAROLINE by AFLEET ALEX)
8  MYTOWN MYRULES         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
 
FG-9   01/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REECE'S PRIORITY Dec19 Dec10 Nov10 Aug24 Jul30 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00    
1A  COUNTERFEIT Dec15 Nov24 Oct22 Jun20 May29 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00    
2  C'MON VE Jan01 Dec19 Dec02 Apr27 Mar16 (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRACIDA Dec28 Dec03 Oct28 Aug17 Jul28 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
4  LT. BONURA Dec19 Jul24 Jun11 May21 Mar24 (faucheux ron)PARKER L 124 6.00 ★    
5  QUEST FOR AVETTE Dec19 Mar20 Mar03 Feb11 Jan02 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  PERFECT PERIGEE Jan01 Dec19 Dec03 Sep26 Aug29 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
7  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Dec19 Dec02 Aug12 May07 Apr16 (richards corale )MURRAY M 121 50.00    
8  CRUSADER EXPRESS Dec23 Dec03 Nov16 Apr16 Mar16 (landry jacoby)MELANCON G 121 12.00    
SCR  NO PEDIGREE Dec15 Dec02 Nov05 Sep18 Aug14 (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
10  MR. PRIORITY Dec19 Dec09 Nov22 Oct05 Sep04 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
11  MR. PRODUCTION Dec10 Nov19 Oct22     (faucheux r)ALBERT S 116 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.