The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Delta Downs
Thursday - December 29, 2022

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DED-1   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:55
:24 :491 1:143     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT TAKES HEART 5 4 21 21   22 1(calhoun bret)THORNTON G 119 1.60 63% 0.60 1.50 W
GRACIE DIAMOND 3 1 11 11   12 2(brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 4.50 12% 7.50 2.60 P
KISS ME ON OCONEE 4 6 64 33   38 3(amoss m)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 1.40 S
WOMANONTHEWARPATH 2 2 43 45   418 420½ (tracy greg)BIRZER E 119 6.00 16.80  
RAISE THE PRAISE 1 3 54 67   522 526 (pomier deville)BARRERA J 114 8.00 18.30  
GRAND EXPECTATIONS 6 5 3 5   623 632½ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 40.90  
SCR  GRAEME'S DEAL               (johnson b)COTTO L 116 12.00    
 
DED-2   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
:224 :473       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMERTIME BANDIT 3 1 1nk 11   11¾ (averett ronnie)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 7.30  
JOANIE GAL 1 9 7 31   22¾ (duhon o)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 14% 5.90 2.60 P
COLD AS YOU 4 8 9 6   53 3(birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 10.00 8.80  
10  TENSAS VIRGINIA 9 5 4¼ 5   43 4(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 4.50 46% 1.20 2.30  
I'M ALL MIXED UP 2 2 3.2 21   32 56 (nelson r)BARRERA J 112 12.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
CUSTOM GUITAR 8 6 6 9   65 6(hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 13% 6.70 3.30  
MOLLYS FLYIN HIGH 6 7 8 7   77(turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 20.00 27.60  
GIRL IN BLACK 7 4 2nk 4   889 (ali ancil)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 10.00 9.80  
STOP THE FRIEND 5 3 5½ 8   99(constantine carol)EDISON JOCELYN 112 20.00 64.30  
SCR  MYFRIENDSAWINNER               (lara jorge)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
 
DED-3   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
:233 :492 1:164 1:302   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALAXY AFFAIR 5 2 43 3 2½ 1nk 12 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 5.00 6.80  
ASHLEY'S GIRL 4 4 58 5 32 33 22 (turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 26% 2.90 1.20 P
LUCKY DEAL 1 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 2nk 3(delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 117 2.50 1.90 S
ZONG WAVE 3 1 32 4 45 49 416½ (dison mark)BARRERA J 118 6.00 28% 2.60 11.90  
SABERFIGHT 2 5 2nk 2nk 520 529 5100 (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 122 4.00 19% 4.30 3.40  
SCR  BAILEY'S CHARM               (lara jorge)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50    
SCR  MISS YELLOW MEADOW               (averett ronnie)STOKES A 122 12.00    
 
DED-4   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
:23 :471       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY PREMO 7 1 12 12   12 1(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 6.00 3.30  
SPEEDY G 5 3 22 22   22 2(mojica a)THORNTON G 119 5.00 14% 6.20 4.50 P
SMOKING GUN 2 5 6 6   33 3(birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.00 26% 2.80 4.30 S
ESCROW STYLE 4 7 54 54   44(tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 20% 3.90 2.80  
CLERIC 6 2 33 33   557 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 6.00 15.20  
TARGET PRACTICE 3 4 43 4   66 6(pomier deville)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 116 3.50 2.90  
SYNTHETIC JOE 1 6 7 7   710 720 (dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 12% 7.50 32.70  
 
DED-5   12/29/2022 4950ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
:242 :494 1:162     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR STAR 8 2 3½ 12   12 1¾ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 116 4.00 1.70  
T R'S FIRST 6 7 8 711   22 2¾ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 116 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
TABLE ONE 3 8 9 913½   55 31 (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 120 3.50 3.40  
MISS WOW WOW 5 6 4 54   34 45 (reeves a)TORRES HUGO 114 15.00 6% 15.40 6.50  
I LOVE YOU MORE 4 3 7 811½   77 5(ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 15.00 37.90  
STAR FASHION 7 9 6 4   66(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 59% 0.70 6.00  
TALE OF TENSAS 9 1 1nk 32   47(turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 10.00 42.30  
VANCOUVER SNOW 2 5 5 68   89 812¼ (gelner scott)BARRERA J 114 8.00 22.40  
TAP YOUR FRONT 1 4 2nk 22   913 919½ (cezar jerry)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 6% 14.90 5.50  
SCR  START WELL               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 2.50    
 
DED-6   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
:224 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY MEG 3 3 2 1nk   12 1(segura kearney)STOKES J 113 4.00 34% 2.00 3.80 W
SHELLEY'S MONEY 4 2 3 3½   33 2(duhon o)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 26% 2.80 2.40 P
JACKIES IRISHDREAM 1 6 5 52   22 3(richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 5.00 6.20 S
LA TRESS GRAY 6 4 4 41   44(ramirez eduardo)BARRERA J 112 8.00 5% 18.50 25.20  
MISCHIEVOUS DIANE 7 5 6 6   758 (bryant allan)COTTO L 116 2.50 7% 14.20 1.10  
ROLL BABY 2 7 7 7   66(asmussen m)MCMAHON J 116 8.00 15.30  
MISS JAMIE 5 1 1 2nk   5713½ (beavin judy)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 50.10  
 
DED-7   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:231 :471 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIESTY FIST 5 4 3 2nk   11 1nk (flint steve)MAGNON H 116 1.80 0.60  
DONNIE BOY 7 5 5 5   42nk (ramirez e)VARGAS P 116 8.00 23.00  
WICKED ROSE 6 6 715½ 710¾   53 31 (johnson b)COTTO L 119 3.50 16% 5.40 4.00 S
CAMEO DANCER 1 1 4 4   31 4(gomez c)BACA L 117 10.00 27.10  
IRON IN THE FIRE 4 3 11 3.2   21 5(landry ray)STOKES J 116 6.00 38% 1.70 6.90  
MONARCH'S MISCHIEF 2 7 6 6   7610½ (turner patti)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 4.50 17% 4.80 9.50  
AZTAR 3 2 21 1nk   65 713½ (nixon w)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 7.40  
 
DED-8   12/29/2022 4950ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
:234 :484 1:142     1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EILEEN ALEXANDRA 6 5 53 53   22 1nk (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 6.00 11.60  
FINAL QUEST 5 1 3 4   12 2nk (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 23% 3.40 4.70 P
MISHPACHAH 4 8 42 1nk   33(calhoun bret)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 20% 4.10 3.80 S
SPIRITED BEAUTY 8 9 97 8   4410½ (camejo m)COTTO L 120 2.50 36% 1.80 1.10  
OUR LITTLE GIRL 7 7 85 9   89 511 (mojica a)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00 25.80  
UNIFIED LOVE 3 6 7 6   7611¾ (ali ancil)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 10.00 52.20  
COURTLY DOC 2 3 2½ 3½   57 713¾ (nelson r)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 10.00 6.70  
LUTIE MO 1 4 1½ 2nk   67 814 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 8.00 12.50  
MISS CHARLIE SIOUX 9 2 6 7   913 918¾ (larrosa a)THORNTON G 118 12.00 31.30  
 
DED-9   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 9:41
:223 :464       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE FIVE B'S 5 1 13 14   12 13 (pomier deville)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 34% 1.90 2.90 W
MORO OUTLAW 4 4 44 35   22 23 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 122 2.50 22% 3.60 1.30 P
TALK TO TOKEY 2 5 33 24   33 3(pomier deville)BARRERA J 117 4.00 3.90  
FLASHY BOY GOES 1 6 6 59   46 413¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 8% 10.90 4.20  
COUNTRY CAT JAKE 6 3 23 48   511 518¼ (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 10.00 11.80  
CALL ME FIREY 3 7 7 712½   612 618¾ (dison mark)BOURQUE J 122 20.00 57.00  
ALWAYS LOGAN 7 2 55 611   718 723¼ (briley lonnie)TAYLOR BETHANY 122 12.00 25.40  
SCR  ROLL ON OUT               (tracy greg)BIRZER E 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.