Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:143     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IT TAKES HEART 5 4 21 21   22 11¼ (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 119 1.60 63% 0.60 1.50 W
4  GRACIE DIAMOND 3 1 11 11   12 21¼ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 4.50 12% 7.50 2.60 P
5  KISS ME ON OCONEE 4 6 64 33   38 36½ (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 ★ 1.40 S
3  WOMANONTHEWARPATH 2 2 43 45   418 420½ (tracy greg)BIRZER E 119 6.00 ★ 16.80  
2  RAISE THE PRAISE 1 3 54 67   522 526 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 114 8.00 ★ 18.30  
7  GRAND EXPECTATIONS 6 5 32½ 55½   623 632½ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 40.90  
SCR  GRAEME'S DEAL               (johnson henry )COTTO L 116 12.00    
 
DED-2   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUMMERTIME BANDIT 3 1 1nk 11   11½ 1¾ (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 7.30  
1  JOANIE GAL 1 9 71½ 31   21½ 2¾ (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 14% 5.90 2.60 P
5  COLD AS YOU 4 8 92½ 62¼   53 33½ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 10.00 8.80  
10  TENSAS VIRGINIA 9 5 4¼ 51¼   43 45¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 4.50 46% 1.20 2.30  
2  I'M ALL MIXED UP 2 2 3.2 21   32 56 (nelson eric )BARRERA J 112 12.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
9  CUSTOM GUITAR 8 6 61½ 93¾   65 67½ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 13% 6.70 3.30  
7  MOLLYS FLYIN HIGH 6 7 81½ 72¾   75¼ 78¾ (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 20.00 27.60  
8  GIRL IN BLACK 7 4 2nk 41¼   85¼ 89 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 10.00 9.80  
6  STOP THE FRIEND 5 3 5½ 83¼   98¼ 99¼ (constantine )EDISON JOCELYN 112 20.00 64.30  
SCR  MYFRIENDSAWINNER               (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 ★    
 
DED-3   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:164 1:302   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GALAXY AFFAIR 5 2 43 31½ 2½ 1nk 12 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 5.00 6.80  
6  ASHLEY'S GIRL 4 4 58 55½ 32 33 22 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 26% 2.90 1.20 P
2  LUCKY DEAL 1 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 2nk 33¼ (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 117 2.50 ★ 1.90 S
5  ZONG WAVE 3 1 32 43½ 45 49 416½ (dison philli)BARRERA J 118 6.00 28% 2.60 11.90  
4  SABERFIGHT 2 5 2nk 2nk 520 529 5100 (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 122 4.00 19% 4.30 3.40  
SCR  BAILEY'S CHARM               (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  MISS YELLOW MEADOW               (averett ronnie)STOKES A 122 12.00    
 
DED-4   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:23 :471       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FLASHY PREMO 7 1 12 12   12 11¾ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 6.00 3.30  
5  SPEEDY G 5 3 22 22   22 21¾ (mojica a)THORNTON G 119 5.00 14% 6.20 4.50 P
2  SMOKING GUN (GB) 2 5 64¼ 64½   33 32¼ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.00 26% 2.80 4.30 S
4  ESCROW STYLE 4 7 54 54   44½ 42¾ (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 20% 3.90 2.80  
6  CLERIC 6 2 33 33   54½ 57 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 6.00 15.20  
3  TARGET PRACTICE 3 4 43 43½   66 68½ (pomier)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 116 3.50 ★ 2.90  
1  SYNTHETIC JOE 1 6 74¼ 77½   710 720 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 12% 7.50 32.70  
 
DED-5   12/29/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:162     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUGAR STAR 8 2 3½ 12   12 1¾ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 116 4.00 ★ 1.70  
7  T R'S FIRST 6 7 87¼ 711   22 2¾ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 116 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
4  TABLE ONE 3 8 97¾ 913½   55 31 (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 120 3.50 3.40  
6  MISS WOW WOW 5 6 41½ 54   34 45 (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 114 15.00 6% 15.40 6.50  
5  I LOVE YOU MORE 4 3 75¾ 811½   77 57¾ (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 15.00 37.90  
1  STAR FASHION 7 9 63¾ 43½   66½ 67¾ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 59% 0.70 6.00  
9  TALE OF TENSAS 9 1 1nk 32   44½ 79½ (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 117 10.00 42.30  
3  VANCOUVER SNOW 2 5 53½ 68   89 812¼ (gelner scott)BARRERA J 114 8.00 22.40  
2  TAP YOUR FRONT 1 4 2nk 22   913 919½ (cezar )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 6% 14.90 5.50  
SCR  START WELL               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 116 2.50 ★    
 
DED-6   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:224 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLASHY MEG 3 3 21½ 1nk   12 12¾ (segura kearney)STOKES J 113 4.00 34% 2.00 3.80 W
4  SHELLEY'S MONEY 4 2 31½ 3½   33 22¾ (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 26% 2.80 2.40 P
1  JACKIES IRISHDREAM 1 6 52¾ 52   22 33¼ (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 5.00 ★ 6.20 S
6  LA TRESS GRAY 6 4 42½ 41   43½ 46¼ (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 112 8.00 5% 18.50 25.20  
7  MISCHIEVOUS DIANE 7 5 62¾ 62½   74¾ 58 (bryant george )COTTO L 116 2.50 7% 14.20 1.10  
2  ROLL BABY 2 7 73¾ 75½   64½ 68½ (asmussen steven)MCMAHON J 116 8.00 15.30  
5  MISS JAMIE 5 1 11½ 2nk   53½ 713½ (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 50.10  
 
DED-7   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FIESTY FIST 5 4 31½ 2nk   11 1nk (flint steve)MAGNON H 116 1.80 ★ 0.60  
7  DONNIE BOY 7 5 57½ 53¼   41½ 2nk (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 116 8.00 23.00  
6  WICKED ROSE 6 6 715½ 710¾   53 31 (johnson henry )COTTO L 119 3.50 16% 5.40 4.00 S
1  CAMEO DANCER 1 1 45½ 41¼   31 43¾ (gomez c)BACA L 117 10.00 27.10  
4  IRON IN THE FIRE 4 3 11 3.2   21 54½ (landry ray)STOKES J 116 6.00 38% 1.70 6.90  
2  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF 2 7 69½ 64¾   75¼ 610½ (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 4.50 17% 4.80 9.50  
3  AZTAR 3 2 21 1nk   65 713½ (nixon thomas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 ★ 7.40  
 
DED-8   12/29/2022 4950ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:142     1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EILEEN ALEXANDRA 6 5 53 53   22 1nk (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 6.00 ★ 11.60  
5  FINAL QUEST 5 1 31½ 41½   12 2nk (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 23% 3.40 4.70 P
4  MISHPACHAH 4 8 42 1nk   32½ 35¾ (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 20% 4.10 3.80 S
8  SPIRITED BEAUTY 8 9 97 86½   46½ 410½ (camejo m)COTTO L 120 2.50 36% 1.80 1.10  
7  OUR LITTLE GIRL 7 7 85 97½   89 511 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00 25.80  
3  UNIFIED LOVE 3 6 74½ 63½   77½ 611¾ (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 10.00 52.20  
2  COURTLY DOC 2 3 2½ 3½   57 713¾ (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 10.00 ★ 6.70  
1  LUTIE MO 1 4 1½ 2nk   67 814 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 8.00 12.50  
9  MISS CHARLIE SIOUX 9 2 63½ 74½   913 918¾ (larrosa a)THORNTON G 118 12.00 31.30  
 
DED-9   12/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 9:41
See original race card.
:223 :464       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THE FIVE B'S 5 1 13 14   12 13 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 34% 1.90 2.90 W
5  MORO OUTLAW 4 4 44 35   22 23 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 2.50 22% 3.60 1.30 P
2  TALK TO TOKEY 2 5 33 24   33 36¼ (pomier chase)BARRERA J 117 4.00 3.90  
1  FLASHY BOY GOES 1 6 66½ 59   46 413¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 8% 10.90 4.20  
7  COUNTRY CAT JAKE 6 3 23 48   511 518¼ (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 10.00 ★ 11.80  
4  CALL ME FIREY 3 7 79½ 712½   612 618¾ (dison m)BOURQUE J 122 20.00 57.00  
8  ALWAYS LOGAN 7 2 55 611   718 723¼ (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 122 12.00 25.40  
SCR  ROLL ON OUT               (tracy greg)BIRZER E 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.